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Rule Northern Lights

Northern Lights - Swedish Lapland

Swedish Lapland, Sweden

Aurora forecast for Swedish Lapland and the famous Abisko 'Blue Hole'. Track Northern Lights at Kiruna, Jukkasjärvi.

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Swedish Lapland's Abisko area is world-renowned for the "Blue Hole" - a unique microclimate created by surrounding mountains that push clouds aside, giving Abisko statistically the clearest skies in all of Scandinavia.

What makes Swedish Lapland special:

  • The Blue Hole - Abisko's microclimate creates exceptionally clear skies even when neighbors are cloudy
  • Lake Torneträsk - Sweden's sixth largest lake offers stunning aurora reflections
  • ICEHOTEL - Jukkasjärvi's frozen art hotel provides unique foreground subjects
  • Sami culture - Jokkmokk offers authentic cultural experiences alongside aurora viewing

Aurora season runs September through March. Abisko's clear sky advantage makes it a top choice for photographers who can't reschedule their trip around weather.

aurora weather icon
Next potential opportunity
Luleå
Luleå, Norrbotten, Sweden
Starting in ~55m
Medium confidence

Location status

0 of 11 locations currently active

Abisko

Inactive

Famous 'Blue Hole' microclimate with clearest Nordic skies

Right now: Total Cloud Coverage too high (100%, ≤ 30.0%)

Next opportunity in ~9 days 3h

2 opportunities in next 10 days

View forecast

Abisko

Inactive

Famous 'Blue Hole' microclimate with clearest Nordic skies

Abisko, Norrbotten, Sweden

View forecast

Björkliden

Inactive

Mountain resort near Abisko with lake reflections

Björkliden, Norrbotten, Sweden

Right now: Total Cloud Coverage too high (74%, ≤ 30.0%)

View forecast

Kiruna

Inactive

Arctic mining town with surrounding wilderness

Kiruna, Norrbotten, Sweden

Right now: Total Cloud Coverage too high (100%, ≤ 30.0%)

Next opportunity in ~8 days 23h

1 opportunity in next 10 days

View forecast

Jukkasjärvi

Inactive

Home of ICEHOTEL with Torne River views

Jukkasjärvi, Norrbotten, Sweden

Right now: Total Cloud Coverage too high (100%, ≤ 30.0%)

View forecast

Riksgränsen

Inactive

Norwegian border ski resort in mountain terrain

Riksgränsen, Norrbotten, Sweden

Right now: Visibility too low (724.0, ≥ 8000.0m)

Next opportunity in ~3 days 16h

12 opportunities in next 10 days

View forecast

Torneträsk

Inactive

Sweden's sixth largest lake with mountain backdrop

Abisko, Norrbotten, Sweden

Right now: Total Cloud Coverage too high (100%, ≤ 30.0%)

Next opportunity in ~9 days 3h

2 opportunities in next 10 days

View forecast

Gällivare

Inactive

Mining town gateway to Stora Sjöfallet

Gällivare, Norrbotten, Sweden

Right now: Total Cloud Coverage too high (100%, ≤ 30.0%)

Next opportunity in ~9 days 2h

1 opportunity in next 10 days

View forecast

Jokkmokk

Inactive

Sami cultural center on the Arctic Circle

Jokkmokk, Norrbotten, Sweden

Right now: Total Cloud Coverage too high (100%, ≤ 30.0%)

View forecast

Porjus

Inactive

Hydropower heritage with dam and aurora reflections

Porjus, Norrbotten, Sweden

Right now: Total Cloud Coverage too high (100%, ≤ 30.0%)

Next opportunity in ~9 days 1h

1 opportunity in next 10 days

View forecast

Luleå

Inactive

Coastal Lapland with archipelago and frozen sea

Luleå, Norrbotten, Sweden

Right now: Total Cloud Coverage too high (62%, ≤ 30.0%)

Next opportunity in ~55m

2 opportunities in next 10 days

View forecast

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/Stockholm
aurora weather icon
Next opportunity
Excellent Chance of Aurora
Luleå
Today · 03:00–04:00 · 1h window
Medium confidence
63%
🌌Aurora Quality80.8%
Kp Index: Kp 5 (Unsettled)
OVATION Probability: 33%
Sun Elevation: -27.5° (Astronomical night)
Cloud Cover: 30%
aurora weather icon
Excellent Chance of Aurora
Riksgränsen
Thu, Feb 19 · 18:00–06:00
🌌Aurora Quality:88.5-93.1%
Low
aurora weather icon
Excellent Chance of Aurora at Dawn
Riksgränsen
Fri, Feb 20 · 06:00–07:00
🌌Aurora Quality:88.7%
Medium
aurora weather icon
Good Chance of Aurora
Riksgränsen
Fri, Feb 20 · 21:00–22:00
🌌Aurora Quality:79.1%
Medium
aurora weather icon
Excellent Chance of Aurora
Riksgränsen
Fri, Feb 20 · 22:00–03:00
🌌Aurora Quality:88.4-93.1%
Low
aurora weather icon
Good Chance of Aurora
Riksgränsen
Sat, Feb 21 · 03:00–04:00
🌌Aurora Quality:79.1%
Medium
aurora weather icon
Good Chance of Aurora
Riksgränsen
Sat, Feb 21 · 05:00–06:00
🌌Aurora Quality:79.1%
Medium
+14 more windows in the next 10 days

What's blocking opportunities

72-hour view of conditions preventing matches across 11 locations

Top 5 blocking conditions across 10 of 11 locations
Some blocked
Most blocked
15 Sun
16 Mon
17 Tue
18 Wed
19 Thu
06
12
18
24
06
12
18
24
06
12
18
24
06
12
18
24
Aurora Quality (≥ 50.0%)
99% blocked
Total Cloud Coverage (≤ 30.0%)
97% blocked
Aurora Activity (≥ 50.0%)
47% blocked
Solar Elevation (≤ -8.0°)
46% blocked
Visibility (≥ 8000.0m)
37% blocked
How to read: Each row shows when a condition blocks opportunities. Stronger red means more locations are affected. These are the top 5 conditions preventing matches across the 72-hour forecast.

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