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Rule Northern Lights

Luleå - Northern Lights - Swedish Lapland

Luleå, Norrbotten, Sweden

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Kp IndexKp 3 (Unsettled)
Sun Elevation8.7° (Daylight)
Cloud Cover86%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/Stockholm
aurora weather icon
Next opportunity
Excellent Chance of Aurora
Luleå
Tue, Feb 24 · 18:00–06:00 · 12h window
Medium confidence
40%
🌌Aurora Quality90-95%
Kp Index: Kp 5 (Minor Storm)
Sun Elevation: -10.0° (Nautical twilight)
Cloud Cover: 4%

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Swedish Lapland's Abisko area is world-renowned for the "Blue Hole" - a unique microclimate created by surrounding mountains that push clouds aside, giving Abisko statistically the clearest skies in all of Scandinavia.

What makes Swedish Lapland special:

  • The Blue Hole - Abisko's microclimate creates exceptionally clear skies even when neighbors are cloudy
  • Lake Torneträsk - Sweden's sixth largest lake offers stunning aurora reflections
  • ICEHOTEL - Jukkasjärvi's frozen art hotel provides unique foreground subjects
  • Sami culture - Jokkmokk offers authentic cultural experiences alongside aurora viewing

Aurora season runs September through March. Abisko's clear sky advantage makes it a top choice for photographers who can't reschedule their trip around weather.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/Stockholm
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Mon, Feb 16
14:000%8.4°0%100%24134m
15:000%4.5°100%56%24135m
16:000%-0.28°48%48%24135m
17:0040%-6.4°53%37%24135m
18:0034%-13°63%46%24134m
19:0049%-19°58%41%24135m
20:000%-25°53%100%24135m
21:000%-30°51%100%24134m
22:000%-34°35%100%24135m
23:000%-36°28%100%24134m
Tue, Feb 17
24:000%-36°26%100%24134m
01:000%-35°39%100%24134m
02:000%-32°100%100%24134m
03:000%-27°100%100%24134m
04:000%-22°0%100%24135m
05:000%-16°0%100%24134m
06:000%-9.4°0%100%24134m
07:000%-3.3°0%100%24134m
08:000%2.3°0%100%24134m
09:000%6.7°0%100%24134m
10:000%10°100%100%24134m
11:000%12°100%100%24135m
12:000%13°100%98%24134m
13:000%11°23%86%24135m
14:000%8.7°23%86%12613m
15:000%4.8°23%72%12415m
16:000%0.13°23%74%17416m
17:000%-6.1°23%83%6272m
18:000%-12°23%90%15414m
19:000%-18°5.7%98%6203m
20:000%-24°5.7%100%6094m
21:000%-29°5.7%100%5878m
22:000%-33°17%100%6698m
23:000%-36°17%99%6254m
Wed, Feb 18
24:000%-36°17%100%4486m
01:000%-35°17%100%3312m
02:000%-31°17%100%2266m
03:000%-27°17%100%1431m
04:000%-21°17%100%1013m
05:000%-15°17%100%1176m
06:000%-9°17%100%1241m
07:000%-3°17%100%1276m
08:000%2.6°17%100%1340m
09:000%7.1°17%100%1150m
10:000%10°8.7%100%672m
11:000%12°8.7%100%687m
12:000%13°8.7%100%767m
13:000%12°8.7%100%488m
14:000%8.7%100%425m
15:000%5.1°8.7%100%771m
16:000%0.4°0.75%100%1106m
17:000%-5.8°0.75%100%562m
18:000%-12°0.75%100%396m
19:000%-18°12%100%382m
20:000%-24°12%100%493m
21:000%-29°12%100%631m
22:000%-33°23%99%525m
23:000%-35°23%99%441m
Thu, Feb 19
24:000%-36°23%100%469m
01:000%-34°17%99%418m
02:000%-31°17%95%607m
03:000%-26°17%95%808m
04:000%-21°30%94%783m
05:000%-15°30%95%914m
06:000%-8.7°30%100%979m
07:000%-2.6°8.7%100%1243m
08:000%8.7%100%1570m
09:000%7.4°8.7%100%2005m
10:000%11°12%99%2316m
11:000%13°12%100%2982m
12:000%13°12%98%3552m
13:000%12°5.7%100%4609m
14:000%9.4°5.7%100%5759m
15:000%5.4°5.7%100%7383m
16:000%0.68°8.7%100%6656m
17:000%-5.5°8.7%100%5031m
18:000%-12°8.7%100%5622m
19:000%-18°12%98%8273m
20:000%-24°12%99%13463m
21:000%-29°12%99%18654m
22:000%-33°17%100%23844m
23:000%-35°17%100%23617m
Fri, Feb 20
24:000%-35°17%100%23390m
01:000%-34°8.7%100%23163m
02:000%-31°8.7%70%23487m
03:0028%-26°8.7%40%23811m
04:0039%-21°8.7%9.5%24135m
05:0028%-15°8.7%31%24135m
06:000%-8.4°8.7%52%24135m
07:000%-2.3°8.7%73%24135m
08:000%3.3°8.7%78%19517m
09:000%7.8°8.7%84%14899m
10:000%11°8.7%89%10281m
11:000%13°8.7%93%6938m
12:000%14°8.7%96%3596m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

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