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Rule Northern Lights

Northern Lights Forecast for Porjus, Swedish Lapland

Porjus, Norrbotten, Sweden

Porjus grew beside a major hydroelectric station on the regulated Lule River, so dams, transmission structures, and reservoir shorelines define its foregrounds. Sparse boreal forest and the broad water or winter ice lead west toward the less developed mountain landscapes of Laponia.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Kp IndexKp 2 (Quiet)
Sun Elevation3.7° (Golden hour)
Cloud Cover100%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/Stockholm

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (95-hour forecast)

  • Aurora Quality100% of hours
  • Solar Elevation100% of hours
  • Total Cloud Coverage97% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Northern Lights conditions across Swedish Lapland. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Porjus.

Explore Northern Lights conditions across Swedish Lapland →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Porjus during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 90 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 365 days
37
recorded matching windows · 67% average confidence
Most frequent recorded start hour

01:00 local time, shared by 5 of 37 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

Most represented month

January, with 17 of 37 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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95-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 95-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/Stockholm
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Sat, Jul 25
04:000%3.9°14%5%24134m
05:000%8.3°8%5%24134m
06:000%14°0%5%24134m
07:000%19°0%5%24134m
08:000%25°0%5%24134m
09:000%31°0%5%24134m
10:000%36°0%6.9%24134m
11:000%40°0%25%24134m
12:000%42°0%87%24135m
13:000%43°0%100%24135m
14:000%41°0%100%24134m
15:000%38°8%80%24135m
16:000%34°14%69%24134m
17:000%28°21%98%24134m
18:000%23°28%100%24134m
19:000%17°34%97%24135m
20:000%11°34%99%24135m
21:000%6.2°30%100%21898m
22:000%2.2°31%100%24135m
23:000%-1°25%100%24134m
Sun, Jul 26
24:000%-3°24%99%24134m
01:000%-3.4°20%100%24134m
02:000%-2.4°16%100%23747m
03:000%0.37°14%100%24134m
04:000%3.7°14%100%20999m
05:000%8.1°14%100%13051m
06:000%13°6.4%100%1644m
07:000%19°6.4%100%819m
08:000%25°3.9%100%693m
09:000%31°3.9%100%8296m
10:000%36°3.9%100%12308m
11:000%39°2.1%100%14297m
12:000%42°2.1%100%22894m
13:000%42°2.1%100%14861m
14:000%41°3.9%100%11238m
15:000%38°3.9%100%14417m
16:000%33°3.9%100%6291m
17:000%28°3.9%100%9006m
18:000%22°3.9%100%401m
19:000%17°3.9%93%10408m
20:000%11°3.9%100%19820m
21:000%3.9%70%24112m
22:000%3.9%48%23656m
23:000%-1.3°6.4%99%24135m
Mon, Jul 27
24:000%-3.2°6.4%100%20659m
01:000%-3.7°6.4%92%21558m
02:000%-2.6°25%95%7149m
03:000%0.19°25%100%12452m
04:000%3.5°25%99%7629m
05:000%7.9°25%100%21701m
06:000%13°25%100%5281m
07:000%19°25%100%13835m
08:000%25°25%93%24135m
09:000%30°25%84%24134m
10:000%35°25%85%24135m
11:000%39°32%97%19056m
12:000%42°32%5%24134m
13:000%42°32%23%24134m
14:000%41°25%82%21609m
15:000%38°25%99%21981m
16:000%33°25%100%17387m
17:000%28°32%58%15832m
18:000%22°32%67%15978m
19:000%16°32%74%17253m
20:000%11°80%47%24134m
21:000%5.8°80%99%24134m
22:000%1.7°80%95%24134m
23:000%-1.5°80%85%24134m
Tue, Jul 28
24:000%-3.5°80%83%24134m
01:000%-3.9°80%100%24134m
02:000%-2.8°9.7%100%24135m
03:000%0.008°9.7%93%24134m
04:000%3.3°9.7%81%24134m
05:000%7.7°9.7%100%24135m
06:000%13°9.7%100%24134m
07:000%19°9.7%100%24135m
08:000%25°9.7%100%24135m
09:000%30°9.7%100%24134m
10:000%35°9.7%100%24134m
11:000%39°9.7%96%24134m
12:000%41°9.7%100%16148m
13:000%42°9.7%100%23353m
14:000%41°9.7%100%24135m
15:000%37°9.7%100%24135m
16:000%33°9.7%100%24135m
17:000%28°9.7%100%24135m
18:000%22°9.7%100%24135m
19:000%16°9.7%100%24135m
20:000%11°9.7%100%24135m
21:000%5.6°9.7%100%24135m
22:000%1.5°9.7%100%24135m
23:000%-1.8°9.7%100%24135m
Wed, Jul 29
24:000%-3.7°9.7%100%23824m
01:000%-4.1°9.7%100%23513m
02:000%-3.1°9.7%100%23202m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

Forecast generated

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