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Rule Northern Lights

Abisko - Northern Lights - Swedish Lapland

Sweden

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Kp IndexKp 2 (Quiet)
Sun Elevation-23.1° (Astronomical night)
Cloud Cover100%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/Stockholm
aurora weather icon
Next opportunity
Good Chance of Aurora
Abisko
Tomorrow · 22:00–23:00 · 1h window
Medium confidence
53%
🌌Aurora Quality73.7%
Kp Index: Kp 4 (Unsettled)
Sun Elevation: -31.2° (Astronomical night)
Cloud Cover: 29%
aurora weather icon
Excellent Chance of Aurora
Abisko
Sun, Feb 15 · 05:00–06:00
🌌Aurora Quality:86.7%
Medium

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Swedish Lapland's Abisko area is world-renowned for the "Blue Hole" - a unique microclimate created by surrounding mountains that push clouds aside, giving Abisko statistically the clearest skies in all of Scandinavia.

What makes Swedish Lapland special:

  • The Blue Hole - Abisko's microclimate creates exceptionally clear skies even when neighbors are cloudy
  • Lake Torneträsk - Sweden's sixth largest lake offers stunning aurora reflections
  • ICEHOTEL - Jukkasjärvi's frozen art hotel provides unique foreground subjects
  • Sami culture - Jokkmokk offers authentic cultural experiences alongside aurora viewing

Aurora season runs September through March. Abisko's clear sky advantage makes it a top choice for photographers who can't reschedule their trip around weather.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
2matching hours in the next 72 hoursJump to next match
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/Stockholm
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Fri, Feb 13
19:000%-18°40%97%24134m
20:000%-23°40%100%24135m
21:000%-28°40%100%24134m
22:000%-32°2.3%96%24135m
23:000%-34°2.3%99%24134m
Sat, Feb 14
24:000%-35°2.3%100%24134m
01:000%-34°62%100%6362m
02:000%-31°62%100%457m
03:000%-28°62%100%454m
04:000%-23°21%100%3149m
05:000%-17°21%100%24134m
06:000%-12°21%99%24133m
07:000%-6.5°11%96%24134m
08:000%-1.4°11%97%24134m
09:000%2.9°11%72%9122m
10:000%6.1°21%100%331m
11:000%8.1°21%100%353m
12:000%8.8°21%86%3072m
13:000%8.1°11%100%257m
14:000%11%100%189m
15:000%2.9°11%100%3452m
16:000%-1.5°21%100%23201m
17:000%-6.6°21%100%24134m
18:000%-12°21%100%24134m
19:000%-18°21%100%24134m
20:000%-23°21%85%23800m
21:000%-27°21%50%24134m
22:0074%-31°83%29%24134m
23:000%-34°83%67%24134m
Sun, Feb 15
24:000%-34°83%99%24134m
01:000%-34°21%100%722m
02:000%-31°21%100%282m
03:000%-27°21%80%5021m
04:000%-22°83%80%7389m
05:0087%-17°83%5%24135m
06:000%-12°83%79%24135m
07:000%-6.2°83%100%24135m
08:000%-0.99°83%100%24135m
09:000%3.2°83%100%6339m
10:000%6.4°100%100%18558m
11:000%8.5°100%100%24133m
12:000%9.2°100%100%5079m
13:000%8.4°83%100%590m
14:000%6.4°83%100%576m
15:000%3.2°83%100%5429m
16:000%-1.1°21%100%7790m
17:000%-6.3°21%100%24135m
18:000%-12°21%100%24135m
19:000%-17°21%100%24135m
20:000%-22°21%100%24134m
21:000%-27°21%100%24135m
22:000%-31°83%100%24134m
23:000%-33°83%100%24135m
Mon, Feb 16
24:000%-34°83%100%24135m
01:000%-33°96%100%24135m
02:000%-31°96%97%20102m
03:000%-27°96%95%16069m
04:000%-22°96%92%12036m
05:000%-17°96%84%9893m
06:000%-11°96%75%7750m
07:000%-5.9°96%67%5607m
08:000%-0.57°96%77%5460m
09:000%3.6°96%87%5312m
10:000%6.8°96%97%5164m
11:000%8.8°96%98%4846m
12:000%9.5°96%99%4529m
13:000%8.8°96%100%4211m
14:000%6.7°96%99%3574m
15:000%3.5°96%97%2938m
16:000%-0.68°96%96%2302m
17:000%-5.9°96%97%1673m
18:000%-11°96%98%1045m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

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