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Rule Northern Lights

Riksgränsen - Northern Lights - Swedish Lapland

Riksgränsen, Norrbotten, Sweden

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Kp IndexKp 3 (Quiet)
Sun Elevation-24.7° (Astronomical night)
Cloud Cover36%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/Stockholm
Next opportunity
Good Chance of Aurora
Riksgränsen
Tomorrow · 24:00–01:00 · 1h window
Medium confidence
61%
🌌Aurora Quality71.2%
Kp Index: Kp 4 (Unsettled)
Sun Elevation: -36.6° (Astronomical night)
Cloud Cover: 20%
starry-night weather icon
Excellent Chance of Aurora
Riksgränsen
Tomorrow · 01:00–03:00
🌌Aurora Quality:87.4-92%
Medium
starry-night weather icon
Good Chance of Aurora
Riksgränsen
Tue, Feb 10 · 04:00–05:00
🌌Aurora Quality:64.5%
Medium
starry-night weather icon
Good Chance of Aurora
Riksgränsen
Wed, Feb 11 · 18:00–01:00
🌌Aurora Quality:72.1-75.9%
Low
starry-night weather icon
Excellent Chance of Aurora
Riksgränsen
Fri, Feb 13 · 01:00–07:00
🌌Aurora Quality:95%
Medium
starry-night weather icon
Excellent Chance of Aurora
Riksgränsen
Fri, Feb 13 · 18:00–01:00
🌌Aurora Quality:80.8-95%
Low
starry-night weather icon
Excellent Chance of Aurora
Riksgränsen
Sat, Feb 14 · 18:00–22:00
🌌Aurora Quality:88.4-93.1%
Low
+2 more windows in the next 10 days

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Swedish Lapland's Abisko area is world-renowned for the "Blue Hole" - a unique microclimate created by surrounding mountains that push clouds aside, giving Abisko statistically the clearest skies in all of Scandinavia.

What makes Swedish Lapland special:

  • The Blue Hole - Abisko's microclimate creates exceptionally clear skies even when neighbors are cloudy
  • Lake Torneträsk - Sweden's sixth largest lake offers stunning aurora reflections
  • ICEHOTEL - Jukkasjärvi's frozen art hotel provides unique foreground subjects
  • Sami culture - Jokkmokk offers authentic cultural experiences alongside aurora viewing

Aurora season runs September through March. Abisko's clear sky advantage makes it a top choice for photographers who can't reschedule their trip around weather.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
4matching hours in the next 72 hoursJump to next match
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/Stockholm
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Sat, Feb 7
19:0045%-19°44%38%14840m
20:0045%-25°44%37%13930m
21:0045%-29°44%37%12285m
22:0061%-33°84%37%17074m
23:0059%-36°84%33%11395m
Sun, Feb 8
24:0071%-37°84%20%12899m
01:0092%-36°100%8%12396m
02:0087%-33°100%16%12501m
03:000%-30°100%57%19791m
04:000%-25°84%65%24134m
05:000%-20°84%67%24134m
06:0061%-14°84%39%24134m
07:000%-8.6°72%98%24134m
08:000%-3.6°72%100%24135m
09:000%0.95°72%100%24135m
10:000%72%100%24134m
11:000%6.1°72%100%24134m
12:000%6.8°72%100%24134m
13:000%6.2°11%100%24134m
14:000%4.2°11%100%24135m
15:000%1.2°11%100%24134m
16:000%-3.3°72%100%24135m
17:000%-8.2°72%100%24134m
18:000%-14°72%100%24135m
19:000%-19°72%100%24135m
20:000%-24°72%100%24134m
21:000%-29°72%100%24135m
22:000%-33°84%100%24135m
23:000%-35°84%100%24135m
Mon, Feb 9
24:000%-36°84%100%24135m
01:000%-35°72%100%24135m
02:000%-33°72%100%24134m
03:000%-29°72%100%24135m
04:000%-25°21%100%24135m
05:000%-19°21%100%24134m
06:000%-14°21%100%24134m
07:000%-8.3°11%100%24135m
08:000%-3.3°11%91%24134m
09:000%1.2°11%25%24135m
10:000%4.3°62%30%24134m
11:000%6.4°62%50%20763m
12:000%7.1°62%53%13213m
13:000%6.5°62%84%4207m
14:000%4.5°62%90%2090m
15:000%1.5°62%97%644m
16:000%-2.9°72%99%310m
17:000%-7.9°72%100%344m
18:000%-13°72%100%340m
19:000%-19°62%100%324m
20:000%-24°62%100%332m
21:000%-29°62%100%311m
22:000%-33°84%100%321m
23:000%-35°84%100%380m
Tue, Feb 10
24:000%-36°84%100%768m
01:000%-35°62%100%1425m
02:000%-33°62%73%7870m
03:0031%-29°62%47%14316m
04:0065%-24°62%20%20761m
05:0046%-19°62%42%20768m
06:000%-13°62%64%20775m
07:000%-8°62%86%20782m
08:000%-3°62%85%21899m
09:000%1.5°62%85%23017m
10:000%4.6°62%84%24135m
11:000%6.7°62%86%24135m
12:000%7.4°62%88%24135m
13:000%6.8°62%90%24135m
14:000%4.8°62%93%24135m
15:000%1.8°62%97%24135m
16:000%-2.6°62%100%24135m
17:000%-7.6°62%100%24135m
18:000%-13°62%100%24135m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

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