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Rule Northern Lights

Jokkmokk - Northern Lights - Swedish Lapland

Jokkmokk, Norrbotten, Sweden

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Aurora Quality
0%
Kp IndexKp 3 (Unsettled)
Sun Elevation-2.0° (Civil twilight)
Cloud Cover60%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/Stockholm
Next opportunity
Excellent Chance of Aurora
Jokkmokk
Sat, Feb 14 · 24:00–07:00 · 7h window
Low confidence
33%
🌌Aurora Quality80.8-90.4%
Kp Index: Kp 5 (Minor Storm)
Sun Elevation: -36.5° (Astronomical night)
Cloud Cover: 23%
starry-night weather icon
Excellent Chance of Aurora
Jokkmokk
Sat, Feb 14 · 18:00–21:00
🌌Aurora Quality:85.9-90.4%
Low
starry-night weather icon
Good Chance of Aurora
Jokkmokk
Sat, Feb 14 · 21:00–22:00
🌌Aurora Quality:63.3%
Low
starry-night weather icon
Good Chance of Aurora
Jokkmokk
Mon, Feb 16 · 05:00–06:00
🌌Aurora Quality:76.8%
Low
starry-night weather icon
Good Chance of Aurora at Dawn
Jokkmokk
Mon, Feb 16 · 06:00–07:00
🌌Aurora Quality:74.2%
Low
starry-night weather icon
Excellent Chance of Aurora
Jokkmokk
Mon, Feb 16 · 18:00–06:00
🌌Aurora Quality:85-90.4%
Low
starry-night weather icon
Excellent Chance of Aurora at Dawn
Jokkmokk
Tue, Feb 17 · 06:00–07:00
🌌Aurora Quality:86.5%
Medium

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Swedish Lapland's Abisko area is world-renowned for the "Blue Hole" - a unique microclimate created by surrounding mountains that push clouds aside, giving Abisko statistically the clearest skies in all of Scandinavia.

What makes Swedish Lapland special:

  • The Blue Hole - Abisko's microclimate creates exceptionally clear skies even when neighbors are cloudy
  • Lake Torneträsk - Sweden's sixth largest lake offers stunning aurora reflections
  • ICEHOTEL - Jukkasjärvi's frozen art hotel provides unique foreground subjects
  • Sami culture - Jokkmokk offers authentic cultural experiences alongside aurora viewing

Aurora season runs September through March. Abisko's clear sky advantage makes it a top choice for photographers who can't reschedule their trip around weather.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 72 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/Stockholm
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Sun, Feb 8
07:000%-7.4°32%68%9557m
08:000%-2°32%60%9163m
09:000%2.6°32%100%11215m
10:000%5.9°32%100%24134m
11:000%7.9°32%100%24135m
12:000%8.6°32%100%24134m
13:000%7.7°9.5%100%24134m
14:000%5.4°9.5%100%24134m
15:000%2°9.5%100%24134m
16:000%-2.8°32%100%24135m
17:000%-8.2°32%100%24134m
18:000%-14°32%100%24134m
19:000%-20°32%100%24135m
20:000%-26°32%100%24135m
21:000%-31°32%86%24134m
22:000%-35°40%90%24134m
23:000%-37°40%97%24135m
Mon, Feb 9
24:000%-38°40%97%24135m
01:000%-37°32%79%24135m
02:000%-34°32%77%24134m
03:000%-30°32%100%24134m
04:000%-25°19%87%24135m
05:000%-19°19%94%24135m
06:000%-13°19%97%24135m
07:000%-7.1°9.5%94%24134m
08:000%-1.7°9.5%88%24134m
09:000%2.9°9.5%92%24135m
10:000%6.2°25%77%24135m
11:000%8.3°25%71%24134m
12:000%8.9°25%19%24134m
13:000%8°25%5%24135m
14:000%5.8°25%5.9%24135m
15:000%2.3°25%5%24134m
16:000%-2.5°32%5%24134m
17:0039%-7.9°32%14%24135m
18:0043%-14°32%25%24135m
19:0014%-20°25%50%24135m
20:0023%-25°25%45%24135m
21:000%-30°25%85%18536m
22:000%-34°40%93%13052m
23:000%-37°40%99%13466m
Tue, Feb 10
24:000%-38°40%100%8826m
01:000%-37°19%100%593m
02:000%-34°19%100%293m
03:000%-30°19%100%324m
04:000%-24°19%100%386m
05:000%-19°19%100%345m
06:000%-13°19%100%318m
07:000%-6.8°9.5%100%415m
08:000%-1.4°9.5%100%2231m
09:000%3.2°9.5%100%6379m
10:000%6.5°6.2%90%17421m
11:000%8.6°6.2%82%19616m
12:000%9.2°6.2%18%20809m
13:000%8.4°6.2%5%24134m
14:000%6.1°6.2%35%20227m
15:000%2.6°6.2%65%16320m
16:000%-2.2°0.84%95%12412m
17:000%-7.6°0.84%96%15476m
18:000%-13°0.84%98%18540m
19:000%-19°6.2%100%21603m
20:000%-25°6.2%100%22447m
21:000%-30°6.2%100%23291m
22:000%-34°19%100%24135m
23:000%-37°19%100%23065m
Wed, Feb 11
24:000%-37°19%100%21995m
01:000%-36°25%100%20925m
02:000%-34°25%100%15081m
03:000%-29°25%100%9237m
04:000%-24°25%100%3394m
05:000%-18°25%100%2666m
06:000%-12°25%100%1939m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

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