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Rule Northern Lights

Kiruna - Northern Lights - Swedish Lapland

Kiruna, Norrbotten, Sweden

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Aurora Quality
0%
Kp IndexKp 3 (Unsettled)
Sun Elevation7.2° (Daylight)
Cloud Cover81%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/Stockholm
aurora weather icon
Next opportunity
Excellent Chance of Aurora
Kiruna
Tue, Feb 24 · 18:00–06:00 · 12h window
Medium confidence
40%
🌌Aurora Quality88.2-95%
Kp Index: Kp 5 (Minor Storm)
Sun Elevation: -9.3° (Nautical twilight)
Cloud Cover: 1%

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Swedish Lapland's Abisko area is world-renowned for the "Blue Hole" - a unique microclimate created by surrounding mountains that push clouds aside, giving Abisko statistically the clearest skies in all of Scandinavia.

What makes Swedish Lapland special:

  • The Blue Hole - Abisko's microclimate creates exceptionally clear skies even when neighbors are cloudy
  • Lake Torneträsk - Sweden's sixth largest lake offers stunning aurora reflections
  • ICEHOTEL - Jukkasjärvi's frozen art hotel provides unique foreground subjects
  • Sami culture - Jokkmokk offers authentic cultural experiences alongside aurora viewing

Aurora season runs September through March. Abisko's clear sky advantage makes it a top choice for photographers who can't reschedule their trip around weather.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/Stockholm
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Mon, Feb 16
14:000%6.9°100%100%24134m
15:000%3.5°100%100%24135m
16:000%-0.92°95%100%24135m
17:000%-6.3°100%94%24135m
18:000%-12°100%59%23750m
19:000%-17°100%81%15122m
20:000%-23°99%100%17669m
21:000%-28°94%100%9585m
22:000%-31°39%100%7420m
23:000%-34°34%100%7332m
Tue, Feb 17
24:000%-34°31%100%7023m
01:000%-33°87%100%5108m
02:000%-30°100%100%4010m
03:000%-26°100%100%3831m
04:000%-22°100%100%3931m
05:000%-16°0%100%4706m
06:000%-10°0%100%5247m
07:000%-4.9°0%100%5540m
08:000%0.58°0%100%23996m
09:000%4.6°100%99%17827m
10:000%7.8°100%78%12517m
11:000%9.8°100%94%9933m
12:000%10°100%97%11757m
13:000%9.5°27%87%12118m
14:000%7.2°27%81%9321m
15:000%3.8°27%88%6755m
16:000%-0.5°27%87%5431m
17:000%-6°27%82%5848m
18:000%-12°27%92%5833m
19:000%-17°6.9%87%5625m
20:000%-23°6.9%82%5017m
21:000%-27°6.9%86%4172m
22:000%-31°20%89%3490m
23:000%-33°20%86%4072m
Wed, Feb 18
24:000%-34°20%92%3433m
01:000%-33°20%96%2642m
02:000%-30°20%97%3530m
03:000%-26°20%100%2959m
04:000%-21°20%100%3271m
05:000%-16°20%100%3062m
06:000%-10°20%100%2937m
07:000%-4.5°20%100%3957m
08:000%0.88°20%100%3287m
09:000%4.9°20%100%2659m
10:000%8.1°10%100%4396m
11:000%10°10%100%6714m
12:000%11°10%100%8387m
13:000%9.8°10%100%10084m
14:000%7.5°10%100%9624m
15:000%4.1°10%100%13999m
16:000%0.02°0.94%100%6459m
17:000%-5.7°0.94%100%5018m
18:000%-11°0.94%100%3573m
19:000%-17°15%100%3790m
20:000%-22°15%100%3980m
21:000%-27°15%100%1580m
22:000%-31°27%100%693m
23:000%-33°27%100%304m
Thu, Feb 19
24:000%-33°27%100%278m
01:000%-32°20%100%316m
02:000%-30°20%100%558m
03:000%-26°20%100%731m
04:000%-21°71%100%852m
05:000%-15°71%100%408m
06:000%-9.7°71%100%269m
07:000%-4.2°10%100%341m
08:000%1.2°10%100%468m
09:000%5.3°10%100%465m
10:000%8.5°15%100%345m
11:000%10°15%100%546m
12:000%11°15%100%2345m
13:000%10°6.9%100%2783m
14:000%7.9°6.9%100%2599m
15:000%4.4°6.9%100%1408m
16:000%0.3°10%100%503m
17:000%-5.3°10%100%260m
18:000%-11°10%100%324m
19:000%-17°15%100%463m
20:000%-22°15%87%5603m
21:000%-27°15%74%10744m
22:000%-30°20%61%15884m
23:000%-32°20%54%15461m
Fri, Feb 20
24:0021%-33°20%46%15037m
01:0026%-32°10%39%14614m
02:0028%-29°10%35%15328m
03:0028%-25°10%32%16043m
04:0034%-21°10%29%16757m
05:000%-15°10%52%19216m
06:000%-9.4°10%75%21676m
07:000%-3.8°10%98%24135m
08:000%1.5°10%99%18540m
09:000%5.6°10%99%12945m
10:000%8.8°10%100%7350m
11:000%11°10%100%4967m
12:000%11°10%100%2585m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

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