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Rule Northern Lights

Northern Lights Forecast for Torneträsk, Swedish Lapland

Abisko, Norrbotten, Sweden

Torneträsk extends for roughly 70 kilometres through a mountain trough, creating a much longer horizon than Swedish Lapland’s forest lakes. Winter turns that corridor into a pale plane of fractures and pressure ridges beneath the dark walls of Abisko’s mountains.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Kp IndexKp 2 (Quiet)
Sun Elevation4.5° (Golden hour)
Cloud Cover100%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/Stockholm

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (95-hour forecast)

  • Aurora Quality100% of hours
  • Solar Elevation100% of hours
  • Total Cloud Coverage99% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Northern Lights conditions across Swedish Lapland. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Torneträsk.

Explore Northern Lights conditions across Swedish Lapland →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Torneträsk during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 90 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 365 days
38
recorded matching windows · 67% average confidence
Most frequent recorded start hour

22:00 local time, shared by 6 of 38 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

Most represented month

February, with 16 of 38 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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95-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 95-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/Stockholm
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Sat, Jul 25
04:000%4.7°14%42%24134m
05:000%8.9°11%42%24134m
06:000%14°0%37%24134m
07:000%19°0%37%24134m
08:000%25°0%37%24134m
09:000%30°0%54%24134m
10:000%35°8%47%24134m
11:000%38°8%87%24134m
12:000%41°8%100%10750m
13:000%41°8%92%24135m
14:000%40°8%90%24134m
15:000%37°11%100%24134m
16:000%33°14%100%24134m
17:000%28°24%55%24134m
18:000%23°30%100%24134m
19:000%17°36%100%24135m
20:000%12°36%83%24135m
21:000%7.2°31%93%24134m
22:000%3.3°32%80%24135m
23:000%0.59°27%99%24134m
Sun, Jul 26
24:000%-1.5°25%100%24134m
01:000%-2°23%46%24134m
02:000%-0.98°18%99%24135m
03:000%1.3°16%100%24134m
04:000%4.5°16%100%24135m
05:000%8.7°16%100%2865m
06:000%14°7.2%100%99m
07:000%19°7.2%100%75m
08:000%24°4.3%100%103m
09:000%30°4.3%100%104m
10:000%34°4.3%100%106m
11:000%38°2.3%100%107m
12:000%40°2.3%100%104m
13:000%41°2.3%100%100m
14:000%40°4.3%100%122m
15:000%37°4.3%100%150m
16:000%33°4.3%100%190m
17:000%28°4.3%100%319m
18:000%23°4.3%100%290m
19:000%17°4.3%100%143m
20:000%12°4.3%100%102m
21:000%4.3%100%111m
22:000%3.1°4.3%54%801m
23:000%0.4°7.2%99%23129m
Mon, Jul 27
24:000%-1.7°7.2%100%5359m
01:000%-2.2°7.2%100%22179m
02:000%-1.2°62%100%22459m
03:000%1.1°62%100%3095m
04:000%4.3°62%100%1208m
05:000%8.4°62%95%824m
06:000%13°62%100%355m
07:000%19°62%100%1342m
08:000%24°62%100%24134m
09:000%30°62%100%24135m
10:000%34°62%100%24135m
11:000%38°72%48%24135m
12:000%40°72%62%24134m
13:000%41°72%42%24135m
14:000%40°62%11%24134m
15:000%37°62%33%24135m
16:000%33°62%100%23293m
17:000%28°72%100%24123m
18:000%22°72%100%23909m
19:000%17°72%100%24134m
20:000%12°83%100%23189m
21:000%6.8°83%100%23704m
22:000%2.9°83%100%23861m
23:000%0.21°83%38%24134m
Tue, Jul 28
24:000%-2°83%64%24135m
01:000%-2.5°83%97%24135m
02:000%-1.5°11%97%24135m
03:000%0.92°11%99%24134m
04:000%11%100%24134m
05:000%8.2°11%100%24135m
06:000%13°11%88%24134m
07:000%19°11%72%24135m
08:000%24°11%100%24134m
09:000%29°11%100%19675m
10:000%34°11%100%15216m
11:000%38°11%100%10758m
12:000%40°11%100%9543m
13:000%41°11%100%8329m
14:000%39°11%100%7115m
15:000%37°11%100%4859m
16:000%32°11%100%2603m
17:000%28°11%100%347m
18:000%22°11%100%352m
19:000%17°11%100%357m
20:000%11°11%100%362m
21:000%6.6°11%100%1879m
22:000%2.7°11%100%3396m
23:000%0.02°11%100%4914m
Wed, Jul 29
24:000%-2.2°11%100%5602m
01:000%-2.7°11%100%6291m
02:000%-1.7°11%100%6979m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

Forecast generated

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