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Rule Fog Hunter

Thirlmere - Fog Hunter - Lake District

Penrith, England, United Kingdom

Thick, moody fog for atmospheric forest and landscape shots

Currently

Real-time conditions
Dewpoint Spread2.3°C
Visibility22552 (Clear)
Relative Humidity85%
Wind Speed5.5m/s (moderate winds)

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/London
Next opportunity
Dense Fog (lingering)
Thirlmere
Mon, Feb 16 · 04:00–06:00 · 2h window
Low confidence
37%
🌫️Fog Probability97.2-100%
Dewpoint Spread: 0.0°C
Visibility: 1036 (Mist/Haze)
Relative Humidity: 100%
Wind Speed: 1.8m/s (calm conditions)
fog weather icon
Dense Fog (lingering) at Dawn
Thirlmere
Mon, Feb 16 · 06:00–07:00
🌫️Fog Probability:100%
Medium
fog weather icon
Dense Fog (lingering) at Sunrise
Thirlmere
Mon, Feb 16 · 07:00–09:00
🌫️Fog Probability:100%
Medium
fog weather icon
Dense Fog (lingering)
Thirlmere
Mon, Feb 16 · 09:00–16:00
🌫️Fog Probability:100%
Medium
fog weather icon
Dense Fog (lingering) at Sunset
Thirlmere
Mon, Feb 16 · 16:00–18:00
🌫️Fog Probability:100%
Medium
fog weather icon
Dense Fog (lingering)
Thirlmere
Mon, Feb 16 · 18:00–21:00
🌫️Fog Probability:100%
Medium

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast tracks the conditions that create the Lake District's legendary atmospheric photography. We combine fog probability, dewpoint spread, visibility, and wind data to predict when and where mist will form over these famous lakes and valleys.

The Lake District's combination of lakes, tarns, and enclosed valleys creates ideal conditions for fog formation. Cool, calm nights allow mist to pool in valley bottoms, creating ethereal scenes at dawn that have inspired poets and photographers for centuries.

What makes the Lake District special for fog photography:

  • Lake mist - Cold water surfaces generate fog that pools over the lakes at dawn
  • Valley inversions - Mountain-ringed valleys trap mist while fells rise above
  • Romantic landscapes - This is Wordsworth and Turner country, with timeless views
  • Accessible locations - Well-maintained paths reach viewpoints above the fog layer

Peak fog season runs from late August through October, when temperature differentials are greatest. The best conditions typically occur on calm, clear nights when temperatures drop near dewpoint. Arrive before dawn—lake mist often lifts within an hour or two of sunrise. Higher viewpoints like Catbells or Loughrigg offer shots looking down at fog-filled valleys.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 72 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/London
Fog Probability
≥ 85.0%
Dewpoint Spread
≤ 2.0°C
Visibility
≤ 3000.0m
Wind Speed
≤ 2.0m/s
Sun, Feb 8
06:000%2.2°C24134m5.9m/s
07:000%2.3°C22552m5.5m/s
08:000%2.2°C22545m5.5m/s
09:000%1.6°C22502m4.6m/s
10:000%1.4°C22509m4.3m/s
11:000%2°C24134m4.5m/s
12:000%2°C24134m4.3m/s
13:000%1.8°C24134m3.6m/s
14:000%1.6°C22204m2.9m/s
15:000%2.1°C24135m2.5m/s
16:000%1.8°C24134m2.3m/s
17:000%1.8°C24134m2.8m/s
18:000%1.7°C24135m3.3m/s
19:000%1.7°C24135m3.2m/s
20:000%1.7°C24134m2.9m/s
21:000%1.8°C24134m2.8m/s
22:000%1.8°C24135m2.8m/s
23:000%1.6°C24135m2.8m/s
Mon, Feb 9
24:000%1.4°C24135m2.5m/s
01:000%1.1°C24134m2.3m/s
02:000%1.3°C24134m2.2m/s
03:000%1.2°C24135m2.3m/s
04:000%1°C24135m2.3m/s
05:0030%0.9°C24135m2.4m/s
06:0030%0.9°C24134m2.6m/s
07:0060%0.9°C24134m2.5m/s
08:000%1°C24135m2.6m/s
09:000%1.5°C24135m2.5m/s
10:000%2°C24134m2.6m/s
11:000%3°C24134m3.4m/s
12:000%3.5°C24135m4m/s
13:000%3.1°C24135m3.7m/s
14:000%3.3°C24134m4.1m/s
15:000%3.2°C24134m3.9m/s
16:000%3°C24135m3.5m/s
17:000%2.1°C24135m3.2m/s
18:000%2.5°C24135m3.9m/s
19:000%2.6°C24135m4.1m/s
20:000%2.6°C24135m3.3m/s
21:000%2.5°C24134m3.6m/s
22:000%2.1°C24135m3.5m/s
23:000%1.8°C24134m3.8m/s
Tue, Feb 10
24:000%1.3°C24134m3.8m/s
01:000%1.2°C24134m3.4m/s
02:000%1.3°C24135m3.4m/s
03:000%1.1°C12463m3.5m/s
04:000%1°C24135m3.6m/s
05:000%1.2°C24134m3.8m/s
06:000%1.5°C24135m3.5m/s
07:000%1.3°C24134m3.4m/s
08:000%1.4°C24092m4.4m/s
09:000%1.3°C24135m4.3m/s
10:000%1.5°C24135m4.5m/s
11:000%1.5°C24134m4.5m/s
12:000%1.3°C24134m4m/s
13:0026%0.9°C16548m3.3m/s
14:0037%0.5°C8962m2.6m/s
15:000%0.2°C1376m1.8m/s
16:000%0.1°C959m2m/s
17:000%0.1°C543m2.2m/s
18:000%0.2°C126m2.4m/s
19:000%0.1°C106m2.6m/s
20:000%0.1°C86m2.9m/s
21:0063%0.1°C66m3.1m/s
22:0063%0.1°C81m3.1m/s
23:000%0.1°C96m3.2m/s
Wed, Feb 11
24:000%0.1°C112m3.2m/s
01:000%0.1°C122m3.1m/s
02:000%0.2°C132m3m/s
03:000%0.2°C142m2.9m/s
04:000%0.2°C314m2.8m/s
05:000%0.3°C487m2.8m/s
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Fog Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Europe/London
Dew Point
°C
Rainfall
mm
Relative Humidity
%
Snowfall
cm
Temperature
°C
Total Precipitation
mm
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Wind Gusts
m/s
Sun, Feb 8 Sunrise 07:47 Sunset 17:03
07:00
3.9°C 0mm 85% 0cm 6.2°C 0mm 0.14kPa 8.9m/s
08:00
3.9°C 0mm 86% 0cm 6.1°C 0mm 0.14kPa 9.7m/s
09:00
4.5°C 0mm 89% 0cm 6.1°C 0mm 0.1kPa 9.4m/s
10:00
4.8°C 0mm 90% 0cm 6.2°C 0mm 0.09kPa 8.7m/s
11:00
5°C 0mm 87% 0cm 7°C 0mm 0.13kPa 7.8m/s
12:00
5.1°C 0mm 87% 0cm 7.1°C 0mm 0.13kPa 7m/s
13:00
5.1°C 0mm 88% 0cm 6.9°C 0mm 0.12kPa 6.3m/s
14:00
5.1°C 0.02mm 90% 0cm 6.7°C 0.19mm 0.1kPa 6.5m/s
15:00
5.2°C 0mm 86% 0cm 7.3°C 0.19mm 0.14kPa 4.8m/s
16:00
5°C 0mm 88% 0cm 6.8°C 0.25mm 0.12kPa 3.6m/s
17:00
4.3°C 0mm 88% 0cm 6.1°C 0.25mm 0.11kPa 3.6m/s
18:00
3.3°C 0mm 88% 0cm 5°C 0.25mm 0.1kPa 5.2m/s
19:00
3.1°C 0mm 89% 0cm 4.8°C 0mm 0.09kPa 5.5m/s
20:00
3.2°C 0mm 88% 0cm 4.9°C 0mm 0.1kPa 4.3m/s
21:00
3.3°C 0mm 88% 0cm 5.1°C 0mm 0.1kPa 4.5m/s
22:00
3.4°C 0mm 88% 0cm 5.2°C 0mm 0.11kPa 4.6m/s
23:00
3.7°C 0mm 89% 0cm 5.3°C 0mm 0.1kPa 5.8m/s
Mon, Feb 9 Sunrise 07:45 Sunset 17:05
24:00
3.7°C 0.1mm 91% 0cm 5.1°C 0mm 0.08kPa 4.1m/s
01:00
3.9°C 0.1mm 93% 0cm 5°C 0.19mm 0.06kPa 4.6m/s
02:00
4°C 0.06mm 92% 0cm 5.3°C 0.31mm 0.08kPa 4.2m/s
03:00
4.1°C 0mm 92% 0cm 5.3°C 0.31mm 0.07kPa 4.3m/s
04:00
4.2°C 0.04mm 93% 0cm 5.2°C 0.38mm 0.06kPa 4.4m/s
05:00
4.3°C 0.02mm 94% 0cm 5.2°C 0.5mm 0.05kPa 4.6m/s
06:00
4.4°C 0mm 94% 0cm 5.3°C 0.5mm 0.05kPa 5.1m/s
07:00
4.4°C 0mm 94% 0cm 5.3°C 0mm 0.06kPa 4.9m/s
08:00
4.3°C 0mm 93% 0cm 5.3°C 0.06mm 0.06kPa 4.6m/s
09:00
4.2°C 0mm 90% 0cm 5.7°C 0.06mm 0.09kPa 5.1m/s
10:00
4.5°C 0mm 87% 0cm 6.5°C 0.06mm 0.13kPa 5.5m/s
11:00
4.3°C 0mm 81% 0cm 7.3°C 0.06mm 0.19kPa 6m/s
12:00
4.5°C 0mm 79% 0cm 8°C 0.06mm 0.23kPa 6.6m/s
13:00
4.9°C 0mm 81% 0cm 8°C 0mm 0.21kPa 6.3m/s
14:00
4.9°C 0mm 80% 0cm 8.2°C 0mm 0.22kPa 6.2m/s
15:00
4.7°C 0.01mm 80% 0cm 7.9°C 0mm 0.21kPa 6.2m/s
16:00
4.3°C 0mm 81% 0cm 7.3°C 0mm 0.19kPa 6.1m/s
17:00
3.2°C 0mm 86% 0cm 5.3°C 0mm 0.12kPa 5.5m/s
18:00
3.2°C 0mm 84% 0cm 5.7°C 0mm 0.14kPa 9m/s
19:00
3.5°C 0mm 84% 0cm 6.1°C 0mm 0.15kPa 9.2m/s
20:00
3.5°C 0mm 84% 0cm 6.1°C 0mm 0.16kPa 7.6m/s
21:00
3.8°C 0mm 84% 0cm 6.3°C 0mm 0.15kPa 8.1m/s
22:00
4.3°C 0mm 86% 0cm 6.4°C 0mm 0.13kPa 8.4m/s
23:00
4.7°C 0.02mm 88% 0cm 6.5°C 0mm 0.11kPa 9m/s
Tue, Feb 10 Sunrise 07:43 Sunset 17:07
24:00
5.1°C 0.02mm 91% 0cm 6.4°C 0.06mm 0.08kPa 9.6m/s
01:00
5.1°C 0.02mm 92% 0cm 6.3°C 0mm 0.08kPa 8.5m/s
02:00
5.1°C 0mm 92% 0cm 6.4°C 0mm 0.08kPa 8.7m/s
03:00
5.2°C 0.1mm 93% 0cm 6.3°C 0.06mm 0.07kPa 9m/s
04:00
5.2°C 0.05mm 93% 0cm 6.2°C 0.13mm 0.07kPa 8.8m/s
05:00
5°C 0.08mm 92% 0cm 6.2°C 0.19mm 0.08kPa 9.4m/s
06:00
4.8°C 0.12mm 90% 0cm 6.3°C 0.25mm 0.09kPa 8.9m/s
07:00
4.9°C 0.13mm 91% 0cm 6.2°C 0.13mm 0.09kPa 9.1m/s
08:00
4.9°C 0.16mm 91% 0cm 6.3°C 0.25mm 0.09kPa 10m/s
09:00
5°C 0.02mm 92% 0cm 6.3°C 0.31mm 0.08kPa 9m/s
10:00
5°C 0.07mm 90% 0cm 6.5°C 0.38mm 0.09kPa 8.5m/s
11:00
5.1°C 0.04mm 90% 0cm 6.6°C 0.44mm 0.1kPa 8.1m/s
12:00
5.3°C 0.06mm 92% 0cm 6.6°C 0.5mm 0.08kPa 7.1m/s
13:00
5.3°C 0.29mm 94% 0cm 6.2°C 0.69mm 0.06kPa 5.5m/s
14:00
5.3°C 0.53mm 96% 0cm 5.8°C 0.88mm 0.03kPa 3.9m/s
15:00
5.2°C 0.76mm 99% 0cm 5.4°C 1.1mm 0.01kPa 2.3m/s
16:00
5.3°C 0.54mm 99% 0cm 5.4°C 1.9mm 0.01kPa 3.7m/s
17:00
5.4°C 0.33mm 99% 0cm 5.5°C 2.7mm 0.01kPa 5m/s
18:00
5.4°C 0.11mm 99% 0cm 5.6°C 3.6mm 0.01kPa 6.4m/s
19:00
5.7°C 0.08mm 99% 0cm 5.8°C 2.5mm 0.01kPa 6.1m/s
20:00
5.9°C 0.04mm 99% 0cm 6°C 1.4mm 0.01kPa 5.7m/s
21:00
6.1°C 0.01mm 99% 0cm 6.2°C 0.25mm 0.01kPa 5.4m/s
22:00
6.1°C 0.21mm 99% 0cm 6.2°C 0.75mm 0.01kPa 5.2m/s
23:00
6°C 0.42mm 99% 0cm 6.1°C 1.3mm 0.01kPa 4.9m/s
Wed, Feb 11 Sunrise 07:41 Sunset 17:09
24:00
5.9°C 0.62mm 99% 0cm 6°C 1.8mm 0.01kPa 4.7m/s
01:00
5.9°C 0.58mm 99% 0cm 6°C 1.5mm 0.01kPa 4.8m/s
02:00
5.9°C 0.55mm 99% 0cm 6.1°C 1.3mm 0.01kPa 4.8m/s
03:00
5.9°C 0.51mm 99% 0cm 6.1°C 1.1mm 0.01kPa 4.9m/s
04:00
6°C 0.35mm 98% 0cm 6.2°C 1.3mm 0.02kPa 4.6m/s
05:00
6.1°C 0.19mm 98% 0cm 6.4°C 1.4mm 0.02kPa 4.4m/s
06:00
6.1°C 0.03mm 97% 0cm 6.6°C 1.6mm 0.03kPa 4.1m/s
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

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