Fog Probability tells you when to set your alarm for a foggy sunrise shoot. Fog creates some of the most compelling photography—soft diffused light, simplified compositions, mysterious depth, and light beams cutting through the mist. But chasing fog means early mornings and long drives, so you need a forecast you can trust.
The score combines humidity, dewpoint, temperature, wind, and time of day to predict when fog will form. Calm conditions with moisture-saturated air score highest, especially during the prime fog window from late night through dawn—exactly when radiation fog is most likely to appear. Clear overnight skies boost the score further, since the ground cools faster and fog forms more readily.
Whether you're planning a misty lake sunrise, waiting for fog to roll through a valley, or hoping for light beams in a forest, this is the number to watch. Set your threshold around 70-80% for notifications. Scores above 80% mean conditions are strongly lined up—grab your camera.