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Rule Fog Hunter

Pico do Arieiro - Fog Hunter - Madeira

Funchal, Madeira, Portugal

Thick, moody fog for atmospheric forest and landscape shots

Currently

Real-time conditions
Dewpoint Spread13.0°C
Visibility22857 (Clear)
Relative Humidity45%
Wind Speed0.9m/s (calm conditions)

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Atlantic/Madeira
fog weather icon
Next opportunity
Dense Fog
Pico do Arieiro
Tomorrow · 05:00–06:00 · 1h window
High confidence
80%
🌫️Fog Probability100%
Dewpoint Spread: 0.8°C
Visibility: 414 (Fog)
Relative Humidity: 95%
Wind Speed: 2.6m/s (calm conditions)
fog weather icon
Moderate Fog at Sunrise
Pico do Arieiro
Tomorrow · 06:00–07:00
🌫️Fog Probability:80%
Medium

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast predicts when temperature inversions and cloud formations create Madeira's signature above-cloud and below-cloud fog photography opportunities. We track overnight cooling, humidity, Atlantic weather patterns, and elevation to identify when fog fills valleys while peaks emerge above the cloud line.

Madeira's elevation changes—rising from sea level to 1,818 meters at Pico do Arieiro—create extraordinary temperature inversions. Prevailing northeast trade winds mean cloud formations are frequent and predictable. Volcanic peaks pierce clouds while laurel forest levadas disappear into mist.

What makes Madeira fog photography special:

  • Above-cloud peaks - Pico do Arieiro and Pico Ruivo rise above the cloud line at sunrise, creating sea-of-clouds vistas
  • Levada mist - Ancient irrigation channels through laurel forest become atmospheric trails when fog drifts through valleys
  • Coastal fog layers - Funchal's amphitheater setting means fog fills the harbour while hills remain clear, or vice versa
  • Temperature inversions - Trade wind clouds create a stable cloud base around 1,200-1,500 meters for above-cloud photography

Pico do Arieiro at sunrise offers the iconic composition—arrive before dawn to photograph the volcanic peak above an endless white cloud sea, with Pico Ruivo visible as an island in the mist. Funchal's harbour and botanical gardens create stunning compositions when morning fog pools in the valley while upper terraces remain clear. Ribeira Brava's deep valley traps fog that burns off dramatically. The levada trails become magical when fog drifts through ancient laurel forest. São Vicente's north valley frequently fills with fog when the south remains clear due to rain shadow effect. Winter and spring provide the most reliable inversions.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
2matching hours in the next 80 hoursJump to next match
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Atlantic/Madeira
Fog Probability
≥ 75.0%
Wed, Jul 8
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Thu, Jul 9
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:00100%
06:0080%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Fri, Jul 10
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Sat, Jul 11
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Fog Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Atlantic/Madeira
Clear Sky Probability (Ensemble)
%
Dew Point
°C
Rainfall
mm
Relative Humidity
%
Snowfall
cm
Solar Elevation
°
Temperature
°C
Total Precipitation
mm
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Visibility
m
Wind Gusts
m/s
Wind Speed
m/s
Wed, Jul 8 Sunrise 07:07 Sunset 21:18
15:00
100% 13°C 0mm 45% 0cm 75° 26°C 0mm 1.8kPa 22857m 2m/s 0.89m/s
16:00
100% 13°C 0mm 46% 0cm 64° 25°C 0mm 1.7kPa 22851m 2.2m/s 1.1m/s
17:00
100% 13°C 0mm 48% 0cm 52° 25°C 0mm 1.6kPa 22862m 2.3m/s 1.2m/s
18:00
100% 13°C 0mm 51% 0cm 39° 24°C 0mm 1.5kPa 24135m 2.5m/s 1.3m/s
19:00
100% 14°C 0mm 56% 0cm 27° 23°C 0mm 1.2kPa 24134m 2.9m/s 1.8m/s
20:00
100% 14°C 0mm 65% 0cm 15° 21°C 0mm 0.84kPa 24134m 2.7m/s 1.8m/s
21:00
100% 14°C 0mm 79% 0cm 2.9° 18°C 0mm 0.44kPa 24134m 2.6m/s 1.6m/s
22:00
100% 14°C 0mm 90% 0cm -8.3° 15°C 0mm 0.17kPa 1161m 3.2m/s 1.5m/s
23:00
100% 13°C 0mm 91% 0cm -18° 15°C 0mm 0.15kPa 24134m 4.3m/s 2.1m/s
Thu, Jul 9 Sunrise 07:07 Sunset 21:18
24:00
100% 13°C 0mm 89% 0cm -26° 15°C 0mm 0.18kPa 22711m 4.9m/s 2.3m/s
01:00
100% 14°C 0mm 92% 0cm -32° 15°C 0mm 0.13kPa 209m 5.1m/s 2.5m/s
02:00
100% 14°C 0mm 93% 0cm -35° 15°C 0mm 0.12kPa 4737m 5m/s 2.8m/s
03:00
100% 14°C 0mm 91% 0cm -34° 15°C 0mm 0.15kPa 24135m 4.6m/s 2.7m/s
04:00
100% 13°C 0mm 94% 0cm -29° 14°C 0mm 0.09kPa 24134m 4.5m/s 2.4m/s
05:00
100% 13°C 0mm 95% 0cm -22° 14°C 0mm 0.08kPa 414m 4.6m/s 2.6m/s
06:00
100% 13°C 0mm 94% 0cm -13° 14°C 0mm 0.1kPa 897m 3.3m/s 2.2m/s
07:00
100% 13°C 0mm 94% 0cm -2.1° 14°C 0mm 0.09kPa 3354m 2.9m/s 1.8m/s
08:00
86% 13°C 0mm 91% 0cm 9.4° 15°C 0mm 0.16kPa 3057m 3.4m/s 2.2m/s
09:00
71% 13°C 0mm 78% 0cm 21° 17°C 0mm 0.43kPa 22743m 3.7m/s 2.4m/s
10:00
57% 13°C 0mm 62% 0cm 34° 20°C 0mm 0.9kPa 24135m 3.2m/s 2m/s
11:00
57% 12°C 0mm 53% 0cm 46° 22°C 0mm 1.3kPa 24134m 2.4m/s 1.1m/s
12:00
58% 12°C 0mm 50% 0cm 59° 23°C 0mm 1.4kPa 24135m 1.7m/s 0.8m/s
13:00
58% 12°C 0mm 48% 0cm 71° 24°C 0mm 1.5kPa 24135m 1.5m/s 0.56m/s
14:00
62% 13°C 0mm 49% 0cm 79° 24°C 0mm 1.6kPa 22911m 1.4m/s 0.22m/s
15:00
65% 14°C 0.01mm 51% 0cm 75° 24°C 0mm 1.5kPa 22875m 1.5m/s 0.52m/s
16:00
69% 14°C 0.01mm 54% 0cm 64° 24°C 0mm 1.4kPa 22878m 1.8m/s 1.1m/s
17:00
70% 14°C 0.01mm 55% 0cm 52° 24°C 0mm 1.3kPa 22874m 2.3m/s 1.2m/s
18:00
72% 14°C 0.01mm 56% 0cm 39° 23°C 0mm 1.2kPa 22963m 2.4m/s 1.3m/s
19:00
73% 13°C 0mm 58% 0cm 27° 21°C 0mm 1.1kPa 24135m 2.7m/s 1.6m/s
20:00
75% 13°C 0mm 62% 0cm 14° 20°C 0mm 0.87kPa 24134m 2.8m/s 1.6m/s
21:00
76% 12°C 0mm 70% 0cm 2.9° 18°C 0mm 0.61kPa 24135m 2.5m/s 1.6m/s
22:00
78% 12°C 0mm 76% 0cm -8.4° 16°C 0mm 0.42kPa 24135m 1.5m/s 1.6m/s
23:00
79% 10°C 0mm 70% 0cm -18° 16°C 0mm 0.54kPa 24135m 2.3m/s 1.6m/s
Fri, Jul 10 Sunrise 07:07 Sunset 21:18
24:00
80% 9.9°C 0mm 69% 0cm -27° 16°C 0mm 0.55kPa 24135m 2.4m/s 1.7m/s
01:00
81% 10°C 0mm 70% 0cm -32° 15°C 0mm 0.51kPa 22511m 3.9m/s 1.9m/s
02:00
69% 11°C 0mm 78% 0cm -35° 15°C 0mm 0.37kPa 22512m 4.3m/s 2.4m/s
03:00
57% 11°C 0mm 80% 0cm -34° 15°C 0mm 0.35kPa 24135m 3.7m/s 2.3m/s
04:00
45% 11°C 0mm 78% 0cm -29° 15°C 0mm 0.39kPa 24134m 3.3m/s 2.1m/s
05:00
34% 12°C 0mm 80% 0cm -22° 15°C 0mm 0.35kPa 24135m 3.5m/s 2.3m/s
06:00
23% 13°C 0mm 86% 0cm -13° 15°C 0mm 0.24kPa 24134m 3.6m/s 2.2m/s
07:00
12% 13°C 0mm 87% 0cm -2.2° 15°C 0mm 0.23kPa 24135m 3.4m/s 2.1m/s
08:00
13% 13°C 0mm 79% 0cm 9.3° 16°C 0mm 0.39kPa 22525m 3.6m/s 1.9m/s
09:00
14% 12°C 0mm 64% 0cm 21° 19°C 0mm 0.82kPa 24134m 2.9m/s 1.7m/s
10:00
15% 13°C 0mm 58% 0cm 34° 22°C 0mm 1.1kPa 24135m 2.9m/s 1.7m/s
11:00
16% 13°C 0mm 55% 0cm 46° 23°C 0mm 1.3kPa 24134m 2.4m/s 1.3m/s
12:00
17% 14°C 0mm 53% 0cm 59° 24°C 0mm 1.4kPa 24134m 2m/s 0.97m/s
13:00
18% 14°C 0mm 53% 0cm 71° 24°C 0mm 1.4kPa 22952m 2.1m/s 0.6m/s
14:00
33% 15°C 0.01mm 54% 0cm 79° 25°C 0mm 1.4kPa 22851m 2m/s 0.67m/s
15:00
47% 15°C 0.01mm 58% 0cm 75° 24°C 0mm 1.3kPa 22862m 2.2m/s 0.95m/s
16:00
62% 16°C 0.01mm 62% 0cm 64° 24°C 0mm 1.1kPa 24134m 2.1m/s 1.1m/s
17:00
64% 16°C 0mm 67% 0cm 52° 22°C 0.06mm 0.89kPa 24135m 2.2m/s 1.2m/s
18:00
66% 16°C 0mm 69% 0cm 39° 22°C 0.13mm 0.83kPa 3190m 1.7m/s 1.1m/s
19:00
68% 16°C 0mm 74% 0cm 27° 21°C 0.19mm 0.66kPa 3293m 1.5m/s 1.3m/s
20:00
70% 17°C 0mm 76% 0cm 14° 22°C 0.15mm 0.63kPa 10240m 2.4m/s 2.3m/s
21:00
73% 18°C 0mm 77% 0cm 2.8° 22°C 0.1mm 0.61kPa 17187m 3.4m/s 3.3m/s
22:00
75% 19°C 0mm 79% 0cm -8.4° 23°C 0.06mm 0.59kPa 24135m 4.3m/s 4.3m/s
23:00
75% 19°C 0mm 78% 0cm -18° 23°C 0.08mm 0.62kPa 24135m 4.7m/s 4.7m/s
Sat, Jul 11 Sunrise 07:08 Sunset 21:17
24:00
75% 18°C 0mm 76% 0cm -27° 22°C 0.1mm 0.65kPa 24135m 5.1m/s 5.2m/s
01:00
75% 18°C 0mm 75% 0cm -32° 22°C 0.13mm 0.68kPa 24135m 5.4m/s 5.6m/s
02:00
73% 18°C 0.003mm 75% 0cm -35° 22°C 0.08mm 0.68kPa 24135m 4.3m/s 4.1m/s
03:00
71% 18°C 0.007mm 75% 0cm -34° 23°C 0.04mm 0.69kPa 24135m 3.2m/s 2.7m/s
04:00
69% 18°C 0.01mm 75% 0cm -30° 23°C 0mm 0.69kPa 24135m 2m/s 1.2m/s
05:00
68% 18°C 0.01mm 74% 0cm -22° 23°C 0mm 0.71kPa 24135m 2m/s 1.5m/s
06:00
66% 18°C 0.02mm 73% 0cm -13° 22°C 0mm 0.73kPa 24135m 2m/s 1.8m/s
07:00
65% 17°C 0.02mm 72% 0cm -2.3° 22°C 0mm 0.74kPa 24135m 2m/s 2m/s
08:00
63% 17°C 0.01mm 73% 0cm 9.2° 22°C 0.02mm 0.73kPa 24135m 3m/s 3.1m/s
09:00
62% 17°C 0.007mm 73% 0cm 21° 22°C 0.04mm 0.72kPa 24135m 3.9m/s 4.2m/s
10:00
60% 18°C 0mm 74% 0cm 34° 22°C 0.06mm 0.71kPa 24135m 4.8m/s 5.2m/s
11:00
60% 18°C 0.01mm 74% 0cm 46° 23°C 0.1mm 0.71kPa 24135m 4.6m/s 4.8m/s
12:00
61% 18°C 0.02mm 74% 0cm 59° 23°C 0.15mm 0.7kPa 24135m 4.3m/s 4.5m/s
13:00
61% 18°C 0.03mm 75% 0cm 71° 23°C 0.19mm 0.7kPa 24135m 4m/s 4.1m/s
14:00
70% 18°C 0.02mm 75% 0cm 79° 23°C 0.15mm 0.68kPa 24135m 4.2m/s 4.3m/s
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

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