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Rule Fog Hunter

Machico - Fog Hunter - Madeira

Machico, Madeira, Portugal

Thick, moody fog for atmospheric forest and landscape shots

No opportunities right now
Here’s what usually blocks matches

No Fog Hunter opportunities in the next 14 days

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Rule requirements (key thresholds)
Fog Probability · ≥ 75.0%

Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.

Most common blockers (next 72 hours)
Fog Probability 100% failing

Currently

Real-time conditions
Dewpoint Spread6.1°C
Visibility24135 (Clear)
Relative Humidity69%
Wind Speed4.9m/s (calm conditions)

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Atlantic/Madeira

No opportunities in the next 10 days

See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast predicts when temperature inversions and cloud formations create Madeira's signature above-cloud and below-cloud fog photography opportunities. We track overnight cooling, humidity, Atlantic weather patterns, and elevation to identify when fog fills valleys while peaks emerge above the cloud line.

Madeira's elevation changes—rising from sea level to 1,818 meters at Pico do Arieiro—create extraordinary temperature inversions. Prevailing northeast trade winds mean cloud formations are frequent and predictable. Volcanic peaks pierce clouds while laurel forest levadas disappear into mist.

What makes Madeira fog photography special:

  • Above-cloud peaks - Pico do Arieiro and Pico Ruivo rise above the cloud line at sunrise, creating sea-of-clouds vistas
  • Levada mist - Ancient irrigation channels through laurel forest become atmospheric trails when fog drifts through valleys
  • Coastal fog layers - Funchal's amphitheater setting means fog fills the harbour while hills remain clear, or vice versa
  • Temperature inversions - Trade wind clouds create a stable cloud base around 1,200-1,500 meters for above-cloud photography

Pico do Arieiro at sunrise offers the iconic composition—arrive before dawn to photograph the volcanic peak above an endless white cloud sea, with Pico Ruivo visible as an island in the mist. Funchal's harbour and botanical gardens create stunning compositions when morning fog pools in the valley while upper terraces remain clear. Ribeira Brava's deep valley traps fog that burns off dramatically. The levada trails become magical when fog drifts through ancient laurel forest. São Vicente's north valley frequently fills with fog when the south remains clear due to rain shadow effect. Winter and spring provide the most reliable inversions.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Atlantic/Madeira
Fog Probability
≥ 75.0%
Tue, Jul 7
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Wed, Jul 8
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Thu, Jul 9
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Fri, Jul 10
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Sat, Jul 11
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Fog Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Atlantic/Madeira
Clear Sky Probability (Ensemble)
%
Dew Point
°C
Rainfall
mm
Relative Humidity
%
Snowfall
cm
Solar Elevation
°
Temperature
°C
Total Precipitation
mm
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Visibility
m
Wind Gusts
m/s
Wind Speed
m/s
Wed, Jul 8 Sunrise 07:06 Sunset 21:17
15:00
100% 17°C 0mm 69% 0cm 75° 23°C 0mm 0.89kPa 24135m 4.6m/s 4.9m/s
16:00
100% 17°C 0mm 71% 0cm 64° 23°C 0mm 0.8kPa 24135m 4.8m/s 4.9m/s
17:00
100% 17°C 0mm 72% 0cm 52° 22°C 0mm 0.77kPa 24135m 4.8m/s 4.6m/s
18:00
100% 17°C 0mm 70% 0cm 39° 23°C 0mm 0.82kPa 24135m 4.7m/s 4.1m/s
19:00
100% 17°C 0mm 70% 0cm 27° 23°C 0mm 0.83kPa 24134m 4.8m/s 3.8m/s
20:00
100% 17°C 0mm 73% 0cm 14° 22°C 0mm 0.7kPa 24134m 4.9m/s 3.9m/s
21:00
100% 17°C 0mm 77% 0cm 2.8° 22°C 0mm 0.6kPa 24134m 5m/s 4m/s
22:00
100% 17°C 0mm 79% 0cm -8.4° 21°C 0mm 0.53kPa 24135m 5.2m/s 4.2m/s
23:00
100% 16°C 0mm 77% 0cm -18° 21°C 0mm 0.57kPa 24134m 5.6m/s 4.2m/s
Thu, Jul 9 Sunrise 07:06 Sunset 21:17
24:00
100% 16°C 0mm 75% 0cm -26° 20°C 0mm 0.6kPa 24134m 6.1m/s 4.4m/s
01:00
100% 16°C 0mm 76% 0cm -32° 20°C 0mm 0.57kPa 24135m 6.5m/s 4.7m/s
02:00
100% 17°C 0mm 80% 0cm -35° 20°C 0mm 0.46kPa 24135m 6.3m/s 4.8m/s
03:00
100% 17°C 0mm 80% 0cm -34° 20°C 0mm 0.46kPa 24135m 6.5m/s 5m/s
04:00
100% 16°C 0mm 79% 0cm -29° 20°C 0mm 0.47kPa 24134m 6.7m/s 5.2m/s
05:00
100% 16°C 0mm 81% 0cm -22° 19°C 0mm 0.44kPa 24134m 7.4m/s 5.8m/s
06:00
100% 16°C 0mm 83% 0cm -13° 19°C 0mm 0.39kPa 24134m 7m/s 5.6m/s
07:00
100% 16°C 0mm 83% 0cm -1.9° 19°C 0mm 0.39kPa 24135m 5.7m/s 4.7m/s
08:00
86% 16°C 0mm 81% 0cm 9.5° 20°C 0mm 0.44kPa 24135m 4.9m/s 4.1m/s
09:00
71% 16°C 0mm 74% 0cm 22° 21°C 0mm 0.64kPa 24134m 4.5m/s 3.5m/s
10:00
57% 16°C 0mm 69% 0cm 34° 22°C 0mm 0.82kPa 24135m 5m/s 4.1m/s
11:00
57% 16°C 0mm 65% 0cm 47° 22°C 0mm 0.94kPa 24134m 6.2m/s 5.8m/s
12:00
58% 16°C 0mm 63% 0cm 59° 23°C 0mm 1kPa 24135m 6.5m/s 6.2m/s
13:00
58% 16°C 0mm 65% 0cm 71° 23°C 0mm 0.98kPa 24135m 6.8m/s 6.5m/s
14:00
62% 16°C 0mm 65% 0cm 79° 23°C 0mm 0.98kPa 24134m 6.6m/s 5.7m/s
15:00
65% 16°C 0mm 67% 0cm 75° 23°C 0mm 0.92kPa 24135m 6.6m/s 5.7m/s
16:00
69% 17°C 0mm 67% 0cm 64° 23°C 0mm 0.93kPa 24135m 7.4m/s 6.2m/s
17:00
70% 17°C 0mm 68% 0cm 52° 23°C 0mm 0.92kPa 24134m 7.6m/s 6.5m/s
18:00
72% 17°C 0mm 70% 0cm 39° 23°C 0mm 0.83kPa 24135m 8.5m/s 7.3m/s
19:00
73% 17°C 0mm 72% 0cm 27° 22°C 0mm 0.75kPa 24135m 8.5m/s 7m/s
20:00
75% 16°C 0mm 72% 0cm 14° 22°C 0mm 0.73kPa 24134m 7.3m/s 6.3m/s
21:00
76% 16°C 0mm 75% 0cm 2.8° 21°C 0mm 0.63kPa 24135m 6.5m/s 5.4m/s
22:00
78% 17°C 0mm 77% 0cm -8.4° 21°C 0mm 0.56kPa 24135m 5.9m/s 4.8m/s
23:00
79% 17°C 0mm 78% 0cm -18° 21°C 0mm 0.54kPa 24135m 5.3m/s 4.4m/s
Fri, Jul 10 Sunrise 07:06 Sunset 21:17
24:00
80% 16°C 0mm 77% 0cm -27° 20°C 0mm 0.54kPa 24135m 5m/s 4.2m/s
01:00
81% 16°C 0mm 77% 0cm -32° 20°C 0mm 0.54kPa 24135m 4.6m/s 3.7m/s
02:00
69% 16°C 0mm 77% 0cm -35° 20°C 0mm 0.53kPa 24135m 4.8m/s 3.7m/s
03:00
57% 16°C 0mm 78% 0cm -34° 20°C 0mm 0.52kPa 24135m 6.1m/s 4.4m/s
04:00
45% 16°C 0mm 78% 0cm -29° 20°C 0mm 0.51kPa 24134m 6.6m/s 4.8m/s
05:00
34% 16°C 0mm 79% 0cm -22° 20°C 0mm 0.48kPa 24135m 7.5m/s 5.5m/s
06:00
23% 17°C 0mm 81% 0cm -13° 20°C 0mm 0.43kPa 24134m 7.4m/s 5.5m/s
07:00
12% 17°C 0mm 83% 0cm -2° 20°C 0mm 0.39kPa 24135m 6.7m/s 5.1m/s
08:00
13% 17°C 0mm 80% 0cm 9.4° 21°C 0mm 0.48kPa 24134m 6.4m/s 4.6m/s
09:00
14% 17°C 0mm 74% 0cm 21° 22°C 0mm 0.68kPa 24134m 5.8m/s 3.8m/s
10:00
15% 18°C 0mm 72% 0cm 34° 23°C 0mm 0.77kPa 24135m 5.5m/s 3.9m/s
11:00
16% 18°C 0mm 73% 0cm 46° 23°C 0mm 0.75kPa 24134m 4.8m/s 3.6m/s
12:00
17% 18°C 0mm 74% 0cm 59° 23°C 0mm 0.72kPa 24134m 4.4m/s 3.6m/s
13:00
18% 18°C 0mm 74% 0cm 71° 23°C 0mm 0.73kPa 24134m 4.1m/s 3.3m/s
14:00
33% 18°C 0.01mm 75% 0cm 79° 23°C 0mm 0.69kPa 24135m 3.8m/s 2.7m/s
15:00
47% 19°C 0mm 77% 0cm 75° 23°C 0mm 0.65kPa 2642m 3.4m/s 2.2m/s
16:00
62% 19°C 0mm 78% 0cm 64° 23°C 0mm 0.62kPa 24134m 3.3m/s 2m/s
17:00
64% 19°C 0mm 81% 0cm 52° 23°C 0mm 0.52kPa 24135m 3.5m/s 2.4m/s
18:00
66% 19°C 0mm 85% 0cm 39° 22°C 0.06mm 0.4kPa 24135m 3.1m/s 2.3m/s
19:00
68% 19°C 0mm 88% 0cm 27° 22°C 0.06mm 0.31kPa 24135m 2.4m/s 1.7m/s
20:00
70% 19°C 0mm 85% 0cm 14° 22°C 0.06mm 0.4kPa 24135m 3m/s 2.6m/s
21:00
73% 19°C 0mm 82% 0cm 2.7° 22°C 0.06mm 0.49kPa 24135m 3.7m/s 3.4m/s
22:00
75% 19°C 0mm 79% 0cm -8.5° 23°C 0.06mm 0.59kPa 24135m 4.3m/s 4.3m/s
23:00
75% 19°C 0mm 78% 0cm -18° 23°C 0.08mm 0.62kPa 24135m 4.7m/s 4.7m/s
Sat, Jul 11 Sunrise 07:07 Sunset 21:17
24:00
75% 18°C 0mm 76% 0cm -27° 22°C 0.1mm 0.65kPa 24135m 5.1m/s 5.2m/s
01:00
75% 18°C 0mm 75% 0cm -32° 22°C 0.13mm 0.68kPa 24135m 5.4m/s 5.6m/s
02:00
73% 18°C 0.003mm 75% 0cm -35° 22°C 0.08mm 0.68kPa 24135m 4.3m/s 4.1m/s
03:00
71% 18°C 0.007mm 75% 0cm -34° 23°C 0.04mm 0.69kPa 24135m 3.2m/s 2.7m/s
04:00
69% 18°C 0.01mm 75% 0cm -29° 23°C 0mm 0.69kPa 24135m 2m/s 1.2m/s
05:00
68% 18°C 0.01mm 74% 0cm -22° 23°C 0mm 0.71kPa 24135m 2m/s 1.5m/s
06:00
66% 18°C 0.02mm 73% 0cm -13° 22°C 0mm 0.73kPa 24135m 2m/s 1.8m/s
07:00
65% 17°C 0.02mm 72% 0cm -2.1° 22°C 0mm 0.74kPa 24135m 2m/s 2m/s
08:00
63% 17°C 0.01mm 73% 0cm 9.3° 22°C 0.02mm 0.73kPa 24135m 3m/s 3.1m/s
09:00
62% 17°C 0.007mm 73% 0cm 21° 22°C 0.04mm 0.72kPa 24135m 3.9m/s 4.2m/s
10:00
60% 18°C 0mm 74% 0cm 34° 22°C 0.06mm 0.71kPa 24135m 4.8m/s 5.2m/s
11:00
60% 18°C 0.01mm 74% 0cm 46° 23°C 0.1mm 0.71kPa 24135m 4.6m/s 4.8m/s
12:00
61% 18°C 0.02mm 74% 0cm 59° 23°C 0.15mm 0.7kPa 24135m 4.3m/s 4.5m/s
13:00
61% 18°C 0.03mm 75% 0cm 71° 23°C 0.19mm 0.7kPa 24135m 4m/s 4.1m/s
14:00
70% 18°C 0.02mm 75% 0cm 79° 23°C 0.15mm 0.68kPa 24135m 4.2m/s 4.3m/s
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

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