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Rule Fire Sky

Arches - Fire Sky - US Southwest

Moab, Utah, United States

Those rare, intensely red and orange sunset skies

Currently

Real-time conditions
Low Cloud Cover9%
Mid Cloud Cover4%
High Cloud Cover3%
Aerosol Optical Depth0.1dimensionless
Sun Elevation59.7° (Daylight)

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in America/Denver
fire-sky weather icon
Next opportunity
Excellent Fiery Red Sky at Sunrise
Arches
Sun, Apr 19 · 06:18–07:11 · 1h window
Low confidence
31%
🔥Fiery Red Sky Potential77.8-84.3%
Low Cloud Cover: 0%
Mid Cloud Cover: 31%
High Cloud Cover: 73%
Sun Elevation: -7.5° (Nautical twilight)

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast tracks the spectacular sunset conditions that ignite the Southwest's desert landscapes. We combine cloud coverage patterns, atmospheric particulate levels, and visibility data to predict when skies will explode with dramatic color over the region's iconic formations.

The Southwest's desert atmosphere creates fire-sky conditions unlike anywhere else in North America. Fine dust particles suspended in the dry air scatter light dramatically, while the region's distinctive red rock formations amplify and reflect sunset colors. Monsoon season brings additional drama with towering storm clouds catching golden light.

What makes the Southwest special for fire-sky photography:

  • Desert dust advantage - Fine particulate matter creates intense color scattering without haze
  • Red rock amplification - Sandstone formations reflect and intensify sunset colors
  • Monsoon drama - July-September storms create towering cloud formations lit from below
  • Slot canyon magic - Narrow canyons like Antelope glow with reflected light during golden hour

Monument Valley's mesas silhouetted against burning skies create legendary images—the combination of towering buttes and horizontal color bands is quintessential Southwest. Slot canyons like Antelope near Page become luminous during fire-sky conditions, with reflected light painting smooth sandstone walls. The hoodoos at Bryce Canyon catch alpenglow while valleys below fill with shadow. During monsoon season, clearing storms produce the most dramatic conditions—dark storm clouds lit from below by setting sun over red desert create apocalyptic beauty. White Sands offers unique opportunities where pure gypsum dunes reflect fire-sky colors with mirror-like intensity.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 85 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
America/Denver
Golden Hour
Any
Fiery Red Sky Potential
≥ 65.0%
Precipitation Chance
≤ 15.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Fri, Apr 10
23:000%28%24134m
Sat, Apr 11
24:000%22%24134m
01:000%0%24135m
02:000%0%24134m
03:000%0%24134m
04:000%16%24135m
05:000%33%24135m
06:000%49%24134m
07:007.8%28%24134m
08:000%33%24135m
09:000%39%24135m
10:000%39%24135m
11:000%39%24008m
12:000%39%24135m
13:000%26%24135m
14:000%13%24134m
15:000%0%24134m
16:000%0%24134m
17:000%0%24135m
18:000%0%24134m
19:000%0%24135m
20:0035%0%24135m
21:000%0%24135m
22:000%0%24134m
23:000%0%24135m
Sun, Apr 12
24:000%0%24134m
01:000%0%24135m
02:000%0%24135m
03:000%0%24134m
04:000%0%24135m
05:000%0%24135m
06:000.4%0%24135m
07:0060%0%24135m
08:000%0%24135m
09:000%0%24135m
10:000%0%24135m
11:000%0%24134m
12:000%0%24134m
13:000%0%24134m
14:000%0%24135m
15:000%0%24135m
16:000%0%24135m
17:000%0%24135m
18:000%0%24135m
19:000%13%24135m
20:0028%26%24135m
21:000%39%24135m
22:000%39%24134m
23:000%39%24134m
Mon, Apr 13
24:000%39%24135m
01:000%33%24135m
02:000%28%24134m
03:000%22%24135m
04:000%27%24134m
05:000%32%24135m
06:000.7%38%24135m
07:0013%42%24135m
08:000%46%24135m
09:000%50%24134m
10:000%39%24134m
11:000%28%24135m
12:000%17%24135m
13:000%24%24134m
14:000%30%24135m
15:000%37%24134m
16:000%53%24135m
17:000%68%24135m
18:000%84%24134m
19:000%71%24134m
20:0012%59%24135m
21:000%47%24135m
22:000%54%19347m
23:000%62%14559m
Tue, Apr 14
24:000%69%9771m
01:000%65%6553m
02:000%61%3335m
03:000%57%118m
04:000%54%3339m
05:000%52%6560m
06:000.2%49%9781m
07:0010%40%14566m
08:000%31%19350m
09:000%22%24135m
10:000%31%24135m
11:000%41%24135m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Fiery Red Sky Potential mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
America/Denver
Aerosol Optical Depth (550nm)
Clear Sky Probability (Ensemble)
%
Cloud Cover Uncertainty (Ensemble)
%
Dust AOD (550nm)
Golden Hour
High Clouds
%
Low Clouds
%
Mid-Level Clouds
%
RH @ 700 hPa
%
Smoke AOD (550nm)
Solar Elevation
°
Sunshine Duration
seconds
Sat, Apr 11 Sunrise 06:47 Sunset 19:50
13:00
0.06 3% 17% 0.01 - 3% 9% 4% 61% 0.005 60° 3600seconds
14:00
0.06 3% 19% 0.01 - 0% 9% 98% 52% 0.005 59° 3600seconds
15:00
0.06 3% 20% 0.01 - 0% 4% 93% 43% 0.005 52° 3600seconds
16:00
0.05 3% 20% 0.009 - 18% 1% 70% 37% 0.004 43° 3600seconds
17:00
0.04 3% 20% 0.007 - 0% 0% 0% 32% 0.004 32° 3600seconds
18:00
0.03 3% 20% 0.007 - 0% 0% 49% 26% 0.004 21° 3600seconds
19:00
0.03 16% 23% 0.006 - 0% 0% 32% 25% 0.003 9.2° 3600seconds
20:00
0.03 30% 27% 0.005 - 0% 0% 20% 24% 0.003 -2.4° 0seconds
21:00
0.03 43% 30% 0.005 - 0% 0% 1% 22% 0.003 -14° 0seconds
22:00
0.03 52% 26% 0.005 - 0% 0% 1% 24% 0.003 -24° 0seconds
23:00
0.03 60% 23% 0.005 - 0% 0% 1% 26% 0.004 -33° 0seconds
Sun, Apr 12 Sunrise 06:46 Sunset 19:51
24:00
0.03 69% 19% 0.005 - 0% 0% 0% 27% 0.004 -39° 0seconds
01:00
0.03 79% 14% 0.005 - 0% 0% 0% 29% 0.004 -42° 0seconds
02:00
0.03 89% 10% 0.006 - 0% 0% 0% 31% 0.004 -42° 0seconds
03:00
0.03 99% 5% 0.007 - 0% 0% 0% 32% 0.004 -37° 0seconds
04:00
0.03 99% 5% 0.007 - 0% 0% 0% 33% 0.004 -30° 0seconds
05:00
0.03 100% 4% 0.008 - 5% 0% 0% 35% 0.004 -20° 0seconds
06:00
0.04 100% 4% 0.009 - 5% 0% 0% 36% 0.004 -9.5° 0seconds
07:00
0.04 92% 10% 0.01 - 95% 0% 0% 37% 0.004 2.1° 0seconds
08:00
0.04 83% 16% 0.01 - 23% 0% 0% 37% 0.004 14° 0seconds
09:00
0.04 75% 22% 0.01 - 58% 0% 0% 38% 0.004 25° 0seconds
10:00
0.05 66% 22% 0.01 - 70% 0% 0% 38% 0.005 37° 3600seconds
11:00
0.05 57% 21% 0.01 - 90% 0% 1% 37% 0.005 47° 3600seconds
12:00
0.05 48% 21% 0.009 - 8% 0% 0% 36% 0.005 55° 3600seconds
13:00
0.05 50% 25% 0.008 - 0% 0% 1% 35% 0.006 60° 3600seconds
14:00
0.05 51% 29% 0.008 - 4% 0% 24% 33% 0.006 59° 3600seconds
15:00
0.06 53% 33% 0.008 - 5% 0% 100% 31% 0.006 53° 3600seconds
16:00
0.06 44% 32% 0.009 - 5% 0% 99% 28% 0.006 43° 3600seconds
17:00
0.06 35% 31% 0.009 - 5% 0% 82% 25% 0.006 32° 3600seconds
18:00
0.05 26% 30% 0.008 - 5% 0% 86% 22% 0.006 21° 3600seconds
19:00
- 26% 32% - - 13% 0% 81% 25% - 9.3° 3600seconds
20:00
- 25% 35% - - 14% 0% 88% 28% - -2.2° 0seconds
21:00
- 25% 37% - - 28% 0% 79% 30% - -13° 0seconds
22:00
- 28% 35% - - 48% 0% 5% 36% - -24° 0seconds
23:00
- 32% 34% - - 50% 0% 14% 41% - -32° 0seconds
Mon, Apr 13 Sunrise 06:44 Sunset 19:51
24:00
- 35% 32% - - 86% 0% 56% 47% - -39° 0seconds
01:00
- 42% 35% - - 73% 0% 82% 53% - -42° 0seconds
02:00
- 50% 38% - - 8% 0% 80% 59% - -41° 0seconds
03:00
- 57% 41% - - 0% 0% 4% 65% - -37° 0seconds
04:00
- 54% 39% - - 0% 1% 3% 70% - -29° 0seconds
05:00
- 52% 36% - - 0% 22% 87% 76% - -20° 0seconds
06:00
- 49% 34% - - 0% 44% 76% 82% - -9.2° 0seconds
07:00
- 49% 35% - - 0% 17% 30% 81% - 2.4° 0seconds
08:00
- 50% 36% - - 0% 2% 0% 80% - 14° 0seconds
09:00
- 50% 37% - - 0% 5% 0% 80% - 25° 0seconds
10:00
- 45% 35% - - 0% 5% 0% 75% - 37° 3600seconds
11:00
- 40% 33% - - 0% 4% 2% 69% - 47° 3600seconds
12:00
- 35% 31% - - 0% 3% 4% 64% - 56° 3600seconds
13:00
- 26% 29% - - 0% 1% 10% 64% - 60° 3600seconds
14:00
- 16% 27% - - 5% 1% 27% 64% - 59° 3600seconds
15:00
- 7% 25% - - 25% 1% 26% 64% - 53° 3600seconds
16:00
- 7% 25% - - 100% 0% 36% 57% - 44° 3600seconds
17:00
- 6% 24% - - 100% 1% 48% 50% - 33° 3600seconds
18:00
- 6% 24% - - 100% 1% 91% 43% - 21° 3600seconds
19:00
- 7% 25% - - 98% 5% 88% 47% - 9.5° 2400seconds
20:00
- 9% 27% - - 97% 9% 86% 52% - -2° 1200seconds
21:00
- 10% 28% - - 95% 14% 83% 57% - -13° 0seconds
22:00
- 7% 25% - - 94% 41% 89% 69% - -23° 0seconds
23:00
- 5% 21% - - 93% 69% 94% 82% - -32° 0seconds
Tue, Apr 14 Sunrise 06:43 Sunset 19:52
24:00
- 2% 18% - - 92% 96% 100% 94% - -39° 0seconds
01:00
- 3% 20% - - 94% 97% 100% 91% - -42° 0seconds
02:00
- 5% 22% - - 97% 99% 100% 87% - -41° 0seconds
03:00
- 6% 24% - - 100% 100% 100% 84% - -36° 0seconds
04:00
- 5% 23% - - 100% 81% 100% 89% - -29° 0seconds
05:00
- 5% 22% - - 100% 61% 100% 94% - -20° 0seconds
06:00
- 4% 21% - - 100% 42% 100% 99% - -8.9° 0seconds
07:00
- 7% 25% - - 98% 28% 100% 99% - 2.6° 1200seconds
08:00
- 11% 28% - - 95% 14% 100% 99% - 14° 2400seconds
09:00
- 14% 32% - - 92% 1% 100% 99% - 26° 3600seconds
10:00
- 17% 33% - - 83% 0% 89% 93% - 37° 3600seconds
11:00
- 19% 35% - - 73% 0% 79% 88% - 48° 3600seconds
12:00
- 22% 36% - - 64% 0% 68% 83% - 56° 3600seconds
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

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