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Rule Fog Hunter

Ullswater - Fog Hunter - Lake District

Penrith, England, United Kingdom

Thick, moody fog for atmospheric forest and landscape shots

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/London
Next opportunity
Dense Fog (lingering)
Ullswater
Tue, Jan 13 · 22:00–03:00 · 5h window
Medium confidence
62%
Dense Fog (lingering)
Ullswater
Wed, Jan 14 · 04:00–07:00
Medium
Dense Fog (lingering) at Sunrise
Ullswater
Wed, Jan 14 · 07:00–10:00
High
Dense Fog (lingering) at Sunrise
Ullswater
Sat, Jan 17 · 09:00–10:00
Low
Dense Fog (lingering)
Ullswater
Mon, Jan 19 · 12:00–15:00
Medium
Dense Fog (lingering) at Sunset
Ullswater
Mon, Jan 19 · 15:00–16:00
Medium

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast tracks the conditions that create the Lake District's legendary atmospheric photography. We combine fog probability, dewpoint spread, visibility, and wind data to predict when and where mist will form over these famous lakes and valleys.

The Lake District's combination of lakes, tarns, and enclosed valleys creates ideal conditions for fog formation. Cool, calm nights allow mist to pool in valley bottoms, creating ethereal scenes at dawn that have inspired poets and photographers for centuries.

What makes the Lake District special for fog photography:

  • Lake mist - Cold water surfaces generate fog that pools over the lakes at dawn
  • Valley inversions - Mountain-ringed valleys trap mist while fells rise above
  • Romantic landscapes - This is Wordsworth and Turner country, with timeless views
  • Accessible locations - Well-maintained paths reach viewpoints above the fog layer

Peak fog season runs from late August through October, when temperature differentials are greatest. The best conditions typically occur on calm, clear nights when temperatures drop near dewpoint. Arrive before dawn—lake mist often lifts within an hour or two of sunrise. Higher viewpoints like Catbells or Loughrigg offer shots looking down at fog-filled valleys.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
2matching hours in the next 72 hoursJump to next match
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/London
Fog Probability
≥ 85.0%
Dewpoint Spread
≤ 2.0°C
Visibility
≤ 3000.0m
Wind Speed
≤ 2.0m/s
Sun, Jan 11
24:000%2.2°C24040m3.6m/s
01:000%2.2°C23760m4.1m/s
02:000%2.1°C19940m4.8m/s
03:000%2.1°C20180m6m/s
04:000%1.6°C12140m6.5m/s
05:000%1.3°C9340m6.5m/s
06:000%1.2°C7020m6.9m/s
07:000%1°C6660m7.2m/s
08:000%1.6°C14200m8m/s
09:000%2°C12280m7.7m/s
10:000%2°C11500m7.1m/s
11:000%2°C18160m6.9m/s
12:000%2.3°C21360m5.9m/s
13:000%2°C17280m5.4m/s
14:000%2°C17440m5.2m/s
15:000%1.7°C13560m5.9m/s
16:000%1.4°C8700m6.2m/s
17:000%1.2°C7560m6.1m/s
18:000%1.5°C10980m7.2m/s
19:000%1.5°C10720m9.4m/s
20:000%1.7°C14120m8.4m/s
21:000%1.9°C16360m6.9m/s
22:000%2.4°C23160m7.4m/s
23:000%2.7°C25660m8.3m/s
Mon, Jan 12
24:000%2.5°C24960m7.7m/s
01:000%2.5°C24260m6.6m/s
02:000%2.5°C24280m6m/s
03:000%2.5°C25240m5.6m/s
04:000%2.5°C25000m4.7m/s
05:000%2.5°C24740m3.7m/s
06:000%2.5°C24760m3m/s
07:000%2.4°C23280m2.8m/s
08:000%2.4°C23080m3m/s
09:000%2.5°C24560m4.1m/s
10:000%2.7°C26260m5m/s
11:000%2.9°C27500m5.7m/s
12:000%2.9°C25400m4.9m/s
13:000%2.5°C22520m4m/s
14:000%2.7°C24500m4.5m/s
15:000%2.9°C28720m4.4m/s
16:000%2.9°C27980m5.4m/s
17:000%2.9°C27710m5.7m/s
18:000%2.7°C27245m5.3m/s
19:000%2.7°C27380m4.7m/s
20:000%2.5°C26060m4m/s
21:000%2.5°C26000m4.2m/s
22:000%2.5°C27040m4.2m/s
23:000%2.5°C26280m4.2m/s
Tue, Jan 13
24:000%2.5°C27540m3.4m/s
01:000%2.3°C26500m2.5m/s
02:000%2.3°C25260m2.6m/s
03:000%2.2°C22700m2.6m/s
04:000%2°C21760m2.4m/s
05:000%2°C21520m2.7m/s
06:000%2°C21340m2.8m/s
07:000%2.5°C27100m2.5m/s
08:000%2.3°C25980m2m/s
09:000%2.5°C27460m2m/s
10:000%2°C20300m1.6m/s
11:000%2.5°C26120m3.3m/s
12:000%2.3°C24240m2.4m/s
13:000%2.5°C26520m2.1m/s
14:000%2.7°C28980m1.8m/s
15:000%2.3°C25420m1.9m/s
16:000%1.3°C11320m1.8m/s
17:0076%0.9°C6160m0.92m/s
18:0081%0.7°C5040m0.86m/s
19:0092%0.6°C4660m0.72m/s
20:0092%0.6°C4260m0.64m/s
21:0092%0.6°C3880m0.57m/s
22:0094%0.4°C2700m0.5m/s
23:00100%0.3°C1520m0.41m/s
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Fog Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Europe/London
Dew Point
°C
Rainfall
mm
Relative Humidity
%
Snowfall
cm
Temperature
°C
Total Precipitation
mm
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Wind Gusts
m/s
Sun, Jan 11 Sunrise 08:29 Sunset 16:09
01:00
-1.3°C 0mm 84% 0cm 1.1°C 0mm 0.11kPa 7.4m/s
02:00
-1°C 0mm 86% 0cm 1.1°C 0mm 0.09kPa 8.6m/s
03:00
-0.7°C 0mm 86% 0cm 1.4°C 0mm 0.09kPa 10m/s
04:00
-0.3°C 0.1mm 90% 0cm 1.2°C 0.3mm 0.07kPa 11m/s
05:00
-0.1°C 0.4mm 91% 0cm 1.2°C 0.6mm 0.06kPa 11m/s
06:00
0°C 0.7mm 92% 0.28cm 1.2°C 0.8mm 0.05kPa 12m/s
07:00
0.1°C 0.9mm 92% 0.07cm 1.3°C 1.1mm 0.05kPa 13m/s
08:00
0.4°C 1.7mm 90% 0cm 1.9°C 1.7mm 0.07kPa 14m/s
09:00
0.9°C 2.4mm 88% 0cm 2.7°C 2.4mm 0.09kPa 14m/s
10:00
1.4°C 2.3mm 88% 0cm 3.2°C 2.3mm 0.09kPa 14m/s
11:00
1.8°C 0.8mm 87% 0cm 3.8°C 0.8mm 0.1kPa 13m/s
12:00
2.1°C 0mm 87% 0cm 4.1°C 0mm 0.11kPa 12m/s
13:00
2.8°C 0mm 88% 0cm 4.6°C 0mm 0.1kPa 12m/s
14:00
3.3°C 0mm 90% 0cm 4.8°C 0mm 0.09kPa 11m/s
15:00
3.6°C 0.1mm 89% 0cm 5.3°C 0.1mm 0.1kPa 9.8m/s
16:00
4.2°C 0.6mm 90% 0cm 5.7°C 0.6mm 0.09kPa 11m/s
17:00
4.8°C 1.2mm 93% 0cm 5.8°C 1.2mm 0.06kPa 11m/s
18:00
5.4°C 1.8mm 91% 0cm 6.8°C 1.8mm 0.09kPa 13m/s
19:00
6.1°C 1.7mm 89% 0cm 7.8°C 1.7mm 0.12kPa 15m/s
20:00
6.5°C 2.2mm 88% 0cm 8.4°C 2.3mm 0.13kPa 16m/s
21:00
6.7°C 1.1mm 89% 0cm 8.4°C 1.1mm 0.12kPa 14m/s
22:00
6.2°C 0.1mm 85% 0cm 8.6°C 0.1mm 0.17kPa 11m/s
23:00
5.6°C 0mm 84% 0cm 8.1°C 0mm 0.17kPa 14m/s
Mon, Jan 12 Sunrise 08:28 Sunset 16:10
24:00
5.5°C 0mm 85% 0cm 7.9°C 0mm 0.16kPa 14m/s
01:00
5.6°C 0mm 85% 0cm 8°C 0mm 0.16kPa 12m/s
02:00
5.3°C 0mm 84% 0cm 7.8°C 0mm 0.17kPa 12m/s
03:00
5.1°C 0mm 84% 0cm 7.6°C 0mm 0.17kPa 12m/s
04:00
5°C 0mm 84% 0cm 7.5°C 0mm 0.17kPa 11m/s
05:00
4.9°C 0mm 84% 0cm 7.4°C 0mm 0.16kPa 11m/s
06:00
4.8°C 0mm 85% 0cm 7.1°C 0mm 0.15kPa 8.3m/s
07:00
4.8°C 0mm 85% 0cm 7.2°C 0mm 0.15kPa 5.5m/s
08:00
4.9°C 0mm 85% 0cm 7.3°C 0mm 0.15kPa 7.1m/s
09:00
5.1°C 0mm 85% 0cm 7.5°C 0mm 0.16kPa 7.7m/s
10:00
5.5°C 0mm 84% 0cm 8°C 0mm 0.17kPa 9.7m/s
11:00
5.7°C 0mm 85% 0cm 8.1°C 0mm 0.16kPa 10m/s
12:00
5.7°C 0mm 84% 0cm 8.2°C 0mm 0.17kPa 9.4m/s
13:00
5.6°C 0mm 80% 0cm 8.9°C 0mm 0.23kPa 10m/s
14:00
5.5°C 0mm 79% 0cm 8.9°C 0mm 0.24kPa 12m/s
15:00
5.3°C 0mm 80% 0cm 8.6°C 0mm 0.22kPa 13m/s
16:00
5°C 0mm 81% 0cm 8.1°C 0mm 0.21kPa 13m/s
17:00
5°C 0mm 82% 0cm 7.9°C 0mm 0.19kPa 13m/s
18:00
5.3°C 0mm 83% 0cm 8°C 0mm 0.18kPa 14m/s
19:00
5.4°C 0mm 83% 0cm 8.1°C 0.03mm 0.18kPa 13m/s
20:00
5.2°C 0mm 82% 0cm 8.1°C 0.05mm 0.19kPa 13m/s
21:00
5°C 0mm 82% 0cm 7.9°C 0mm 0.19kPa 12m/s
22:00
4.7°C 0mm 81% 0cm 7.8°C 0mm 0.2kPa 12m/s
23:00
4.6°C 0mm 81% 0cm 7.7°C 0.1mm 0.2kPa 9.5m/s
Tue, Jan 13 Sunrise 08:27 Sunset 16:12
24:00
4.9°C 0mm 83% 0cm 7.6°C 0.2mm 0.18kPa 7.4m/s
01:00
4.8°C 0mm 83% 0cm 7.5°C 0.2mm 0.18kPa 4.7m/s
02:00
4.7°C 0mm 84% 0cm 7.2°C 0mm 0.16kPa 3.4m/s
03:00
4.6°C 0mm 85% 0cm 6.9°C 0.1mm 0.15kPa 2.9m/s
04:00
4.7°C 0mm 88% 0cm 6.5°C 0.3mm 0.12kPa 2.9m/s
05:00
4.2°C 0mm 88% 0cm 6°C 0mm 0.11kPa 2.6m/s
06:00
4.3°C 0mm 90% 0cm 5.8°C 0mm 0.09kPa 2.5m/s
07:00
4°C 0mm 91% 0cm 5.4°C 0mm 0.08kPa 1.9m/s
08:00
4°C 0mm 93% 0cm 5°C 0.1mm 0.06kPa 0.7m/s
09:00
3.9°C 0mm 97% 0cm 4.3°C 0.1mm 0.02kPa 1.7m/s
10:00
4°C 0mm 95% 0cm 4.7°C 0mm 0.04kPa 1.7m/s
11:00
4.1°C 0.3mm 94% 0cm 5°C 0.3mm 0.05kPa 2.3m/s
12:00
4.7°C 0.5mm 96% 0cm 5.3°C 0.5mm 0.04kPa 2.2m/s
13:00
5.1°C 0.9mm 96% 0cm 5.7°C 0.9mm 0.04kPa 2.4m/s
14:00
5.3°C 1.5mm 97% 0cm 5.7°C 1.5mm 0.03kPa 2m/s
15:00
5.2°C 1.6mm 98% 0cm 5.5°C 1.6mm 0.02kPa 2m/s
16:00
4.5°C 0.7mm 97% 0cm 4.9°C 0.7mm 0.03kPa 3.7m/s
17:00
3.5°C 0.1mm 97% 0cm 3.9°C 0.1mm 0.02kPa 4.5m/s
18:00
2.7°C 0mm 96% 0cm 3.3°C 0mm 0.03kPa 4.5m/s
19:00
2.4°C 0mm 95% 0cm 3.1°C 0mm 0.04kPa 3.8m/s
20:00
2°C 0mm 94% 0cm 2.9°C 0mm 0.05kPa 3.8m/s
21:00
1.2°C 0mm 95% 0cm 1.9°C 0mm 0.04kPa 4.5m/s
22:00
0.6°C 0mm 96% 0cm 1.2°C 0mm 0.03kPa 4.2m/s
23:00
-0.2°C 0mm 95% 0cm 0.5°C 0mm 0.03kPa 1.6m/s
Wed, Jan 14 Sunrise 08:26 Sunset 16:14
24:00
-0.5°C 0mm 96% 0cm 0.1°C 0mm 0.02kPa 0.9m/s
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

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