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Rule Fog Hunter

Tarn Hows - Fog Hunter - Lake District

Hawkshead, England, United Kingdom

Thick, moody fog for atmospheric forest and landscape shots

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/London
Next opportunity
Dense Fog (lingering)
Tarn Hows
Wed, Jan 14 · 02:00–07:00 · 5h window
Medium confidence
40%
Dense Fog (lingering) at Sunrise
Tarn Hows
Wed, Jan 14 · 07:00–10:00
Low
Dense Fog (lingering) at Sunrise
Tarn Hows
Sat, Jan 17 · 08:00–10:00
Medium
Dense Fog (lingering, sunbreaks)
Tarn Hows
Sat, Jan 17 · 10:00–12:00
High
Dense Fog (lingering)
Tarn Hows
Sat, Jan 17 · 12:00–13:00
Medium
Dense Fog (lingering)
Tarn Hows
Sat, Jan 17 · 18:00–19:00
Medium
Dense Fog (lingering) at Sunrise
Tarn Hows
Mon, Jan 19 · 09:00–10:00
Medium
+7 more windows in the next 14 days

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast tracks the conditions that create the Lake District's legendary atmospheric photography. We combine fog probability, dewpoint spread, visibility, and wind data to predict when and where mist will form over these famous lakes and valleys.

The Lake District's combination of lakes, tarns, and enclosed valleys creates ideal conditions for fog formation. Cool, calm nights allow mist to pool in valley bottoms, creating ethereal scenes at dawn that have inspired poets and photographers for centuries.

What makes the Lake District special for fog photography:

  • Lake mist - Cold water surfaces generate fog that pools over the lakes at dawn
  • Valley inversions - Mountain-ringed valleys trap mist while fells rise above
  • Romantic landscapes - This is Wordsworth and Turner country, with timeless views
  • Accessible locations - Well-maintained paths reach viewpoints above the fog layer

Peak fog season runs from late August through October, when temperature differentials are greatest. The best conditions typically occur on calm, clear nights when temperatures drop near dewpoint. Arrive before dawn—lake mist often lifts within an hour or two of sunrise. Higher viewpoints like Catbells or Loughrigg offer shots looking down at fog-filled valleys.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 72 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/London
Fog Probability
≥ 85.0%
Dewpoint Spread
≤ 2.0°C
Visibility
≤ 3000.0m
Wind Speed
≤ 2.0m/s
Sun, Jan 11
24:000%2.4°C28040m1.9m/s
01:000%2.4°C26800m2.5m/s
02:000%1.9°C14540m3.3m/s
03:000%1.3°C7120m4.1m/s
04:000%1°C6480m4.6m/s
05:000%1.2°C7920m5m/s
06:000%1°C7000m5.5m/s
07:000%1°C7300m6.2m/s
08:000%1°C6880m5.3m/s
09:000%1°C7540m4.8m/s
10:000%1°C4480m4.4m/s
11:000%1°C4400m3.9m/s
12:000%1°C6600m2.9m/s
13:000%1°C7020m2.7m/s
14:000%1°C6640m2.7m/s
15:000%0.7°C4660m3.4m/s
16:000%0.7°C3360m5.7m/s
17:000%0.7°C4320m6.8m/s
18:000%0.9°C7680m8.8m/s
19:000%0.9°C9200m11m/s
20:000%0.9°C9260m11m/s
21:000%1.1°C8720m9.4m/s
22:000%1.9°C14000m8.7m/s
23:000%2.2°C18240m8.9m/s
Mon, Jan 12
24:000%2°C16300m8.1m/s
01:000%1.5°C10400m8.3m/s
02:000%1.7°C12480m7.8m/s
03:000%1.9°C13800m6.6m/s
04:000%1.7°C13280m6.1m/s
05:000%1.7°C13720m5.7m/s
06:000%1.5°C10300m5.8m/s
07:000%1.2°C7280m6m/s
08:000%1.1°C6140m5.9m/s
09:000%1.1°C6040m6.2m/s
10:000%1.4°C8900m6m/s
11:000%1.2°C6360m5.6m/s
12:000%0.9°C4060m5.2m/s
13:000%1.1°C5520m6.2m/s
14:000%1.5°C9980m6.3m/s
15:000%1.9°C13800m7.2m/s
16:000%1.5°C11580m7.2m/s
17:000%1.9°C14540m6.7m/s
18:000%1.7°C13965m6.8m/s
19:000%1.5°C12380m6.7m/s
20:000%1.7°C14360m6.4m/s
21:000%1.5°C12660m6.2m/s
22:000%1.5°C13160m5.7m/s
23:000%1.7°C13760m4.7m/s
Tue, Jan 13
24:000%1.4°C11200m4.2m/s
01:000%1.4°C11360m4.2m/s
02:000%1.4°C10940m4.5m/s
03:000%1.2°C9580m4.3m/s
04:000%1.2°C8720m4.4m/s
05:000%1.1°C7440m5.7m/s
06:000%1.2°C8400m5.9m/s
07:000%1.5°C11360m4.7m/s
08:000%1.9°C16720m3.4m/s
09:000%1.8°C17320m1.9m/s
10:000%1.8°C19460m1.4m/s
11:000%2°C20620m0.85m/s
12:000%2.5°C26740m0.71m/s
13:000%3.8°C42880m1.3m/s
14:000%3.6°C41580m0.92m/s
15:000%2.9°C33780m0.78m/s
16:000%1.8°C19660m1.2m/s
17:000%1.3°C12160m1.6m/s
18:0076%0.9°C6720m1.4m/s
19:0081%0.7°C5880m1.5m/s
20:0081%0.7°C5040m1.5m/s
21:0092%0.7°C4200m1.5m/s
22:0092%0.7°C4680m1.6m/s
23:0081%0.7°C5180m1.6m/s
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Fog Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Europe/London
Dew Point
°C
Rainfall
mm
Relative Humidity
%
Snowfall
cm
Temperature
°C
Total Precipitation
mm
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Wind Gusts
m/s
Sun, Jan 11 Sunrise 08:28 Sunset 16:11
01:00
-1.2°C 0mm 84% 0cm 1.2°C 0mm 0.11kPa 3.1m/s
02:00
-0.8°C 0mm 87% 0cm 1.1°C 0mm 0.09kPa 4.7m/s
03:00
-0.5°C 0mm 89% 0.14cm 1.1°C 0.3mm 0.07kPa 5.5m/s
04:00
-0.3°C 0.1mm 92% 0.42cm 0.9°C 0.8mm 0.05kPa 5.6m/s
05:00
0.2°C 0.4mm 96% 0.84cm 0.8°C 1.6mm 0.03kPa 5.8m/s
06:00
0.5°C 0.9mm 98% 0.84cm 0.8°C 2.2mm 0.01kPa 7.3m/s
07:00
1.2°C 2.3mm 92% 0.07cm 2.4°C 2.4mm 0.06kPa 9.3m/s
08:00
1.8°C 2.8mm 93% 0cm 2.8°C 2.8mm 0.05kPa 9.4m/s
09:00
1.9°C 2mm 92% 0cm 3.1°C 1.9mm 0.06kPa 8.8m/s
10:00
2.3°C 3mm 93% 0cm 3.3°C 3mm 0.05kPa 7.9m/s
11:00
2.4°C 4.5mm 93% 0cm 3.4°C 4.5mm 0.05kPa 6.3m/s
12:00
2.6°C 3.1mm 94% 0cm 3.5°C 3.1mm 0.05kPa 5.9m/s
13:00
3°C 1mm 93% 0cm 4°C 1mm 0.06kPa 5m/s
14:00
3.6°C 0mm 94% 0cm 4.5°C 0mm 0.05kPa 5m/s
15:00
4.4°C 0.7mm 95% 0cm 5.1°C 0.7mm 0.04kPa 5.3m/s
16:00
5°C 1.4mm 95% 0cm 5.7°C 1.4mm 0.05kPa 8.8m/s
17:00
5.5°C 2.2mm 95% 0cm 6.2°C 2.2mm 0.05kPa 11m/s
18:00
5.9°C 2mm 95% 0cm 6.6°C 2mm 0.05kPa 12m/s
19:00
6.4°C 2.1mm 93% 0cm 7.5°C 2.1mm 0.07kPa 15m/s
20:00
7.1°C 4mm 94% 0cm 8°C 4mm 0.06kPa 16m/s
21:00
7.4°C 2mm 94% 0cm 8.3°C 2mm 0.07kPa 15m/s
22:00
7.3°C 0mm 90% 0cm 8.8°C 0mm 0.11kPa 13m/s
23:00
6.6°C 0mm 87% 0cm 8.6°C 0mm 0.15kPa 13m/s
Mon, Jan 12 Sunrise 08:27 Sunset 16:13
24:00
6.8°C 0mm 90% 0cm 8.3°C 0mm 0.11kPa 13m/s
01:00
7°C 0mm 90% 0cm 8.5°C 0mm 0.11kPa 14m/s
02:00
6.6°C 0mm 89% 0cm 8.3°C 0mm 0.12kPa 13m/s
03:00
6.3°C 0mm 87% 0cm 8.3°C 0mm 0.14kPa 11m/s
04:00
6.5°C 0mm 89% 0cm 8.2°C 0mm 0.12kPa 11m/s
05:00
6.2°C 0mm 89% 0cm 7.9°C 0mm 0.12kPa 10m/s
06:00
6.6°C 0mm 93% 0cm 7.7°C 0mm 0.07kPa 9.2m/s
07:00
6.6°C 0mm 91% 0cm 8°C 0mm 0.1kPa 11m/s
08:00
6.5°C 0mm 92% 0cm 7.7°C 0mm 0.08kPa 10m/s
09:00
6.5°C 0mm 91% 0cm 7.9°C 0.1mm 0.1kPa 10m/s
10:00
6.1°C 0mm 92% 0cm 7.3°C 0mm 0.08kPa 10m/s
11:00
6.1°C 0mm 93% 0cm 7.2°C 0mm 0.07kPa 8.5m/s
12:00
6.3°C 0mm 93% 0cm 7.4°C 0.2mm 0.07kPa 8.9m/s
13:00
6.7°C 0mm 89% 0cm 8.4°C 0.1mm 0.12kPa 12m/s
14:00
6.8°C 0mm 88% 0cm 8.7°C 0mm 0.13kPa 13m/s
15:00
6.4°C 0mm 86% 0cm 8.6°C 0mm 0.16kPa 14m/s
16:00
6.2°C 0mm 86% 0cm 8.4°C 0mm 0.15kPa 13m/s
17:00
6.3°C 0mm 87% 0cm 8.3°C 0mm 0.14kPa 12m/s
18:00
6.6°C 0mm 89% 0cm 8.3°C 0mm 0.12kPa 12m/s
19:00
6.6°C 0mm 89% 0cm 8.3°C 0.1mm 0.12kPa 13m/s
20:00
6.4°C 0mm 88% 0cm 8.3°C 0.25mm 0.13kPa 14m/s
21:00
6.6°C 0mm 90% 0cm 8.1°C 0.08mm 0.11kPa 14m/s
22:00
6.5°C 0mm 90% 0cm 8°C 0mm 0.11kPa 12m/s
23:00
5.9°C 0mm 87% 0cm 7.9°C 0mm 0.14kPa 12m/s
Tue, Jan 13 Sunrise 08:26 Sunset 16:15
24:00
5.8°C 0mm 87% 0cm 7.8°C 0.1mm 0.14kPa 11m/s
01:00
5.8°C 0mm 87% 0cm 7.8°C 0mm 0.14kPa 9.2m/s
02:00
5.5°C 0mm 85% 0cm 7.9°C 0mm 0.16kPa 7m/s
03:00
5.6°C 0mm 87% 0cm 7.6°C 0mm 0.14kPa 5.7m/s
04:00
5.6°C 0mm 87% 0cm 7.6°C 0mm 0.14kPa 4.7m/s
05:00
5.4°C 0mm 89% 0cm 7.1°C 0mm 0.11kPa 3.7m/s
06:00
5.2°C 0mm 92% 0cm 6.4°C 0mm 0.08kPa 2.7m/s
07:00
5.2°C 0mm 95% 0cm 5.9°C 0mm 0.05kPa 2.3m/s
08:00
5.2°C 0mm 96% 0cm 5.8°C 0mm 0.04kPa 1.4m/s
09:00
5.3°C 0mm 98% 0cm 5.6°C 0.2mm 0.02kPa 3.2m/s
10:00
5.7°C 0.1mm 99% 0cm 5.8°C 0.5mm 0.01kPa 2.9m/s
11:00
5.7°C 0.5mm 98% 0cm 6°C 0.6mm 0.02kPa 1.9m/s
12:00
5.9°C 1.5mm 98% 0cm 6.2°C 1.5mm 0.02kPa 2m/s
13:00
5.9°C 2.5mm 97% 0cm 6.3°C 2.5mm 0.03kPa 2.3m/s
14:00
5.6°C 2.4mm 96% 0cm 6.2°C 2.5mm 0.04kPa 1.9m/s
15:00
5.5°C 1.6mm 96% 0cm 6.1°C 1.6mm 0.04kPa 1.9m/s
16:00
5.4°C 0.3mm 97% 0cm 5.8°C 0.3mm 0.03kPa 1.9m/s
17:00
5°C 0mm 98% 0cm 5.3°C 0mm 0.02kPa 1.4m/s
18:00
5.3°C 0mm 100% 0cm 5.3°C 0mm 0kPa 0.9m/s
19:00
5°C 0mm 99% 0cm 5.1°C 0mm 0.01kPa 2.2m/s
20:00
4°C 0mm 93% 0cm 5°C 0mm 0.06kPa 2.9m/s
21:00
2.9°C 0mm 91% 0cm 4.2°C 0mm 0.07kPa 3.4m/s
22:00
1.6°C 0mm 90% 0cm 3.1°C 0mm 0.08kPa 3.5m/s
23:00
0.7°C 0mm 91% 0cm 2°C 0mm 0.06kPa 3m/s
Wed, Jan 14 Sunrise 08:25 Sunset 16:16
24:00
-0.3°C 0mm 93% 0cm 0.7°C 0mm 0.04kPa 2.6m/s
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

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