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Rule Fog Hunter

Fog Hunter Forecast for Coniston Water, Lake District

Coniston, England, United Kingdom

Coniston Water combines long lake views, wooded headlands and the Old Man of Coniston, with boats and stone shorelines adding scale to reflections.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Fog Probability
49%
Dewpoint Spread0.3°C
Visibility3953 (Mist/Haze)
Relative Humidity98%
Wind Speed3.0m/s (calm conditions)

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/London
fog weather icon
Next opportunity
Fog Potential
Coniston Water
Tue, Jul 28 · 03:00–04:00 · 1h window
Medium confidence
40%
🌫️Fog Probability77.1%
Dewpoint Spread: 0.4°C
Visibility: 10753 (Clear)
Relative Humidity: 98%
Wind Speed: 3.2m/s (calm conditions)
fog weather icon
Fog Potential at Sunrise
Coniston Water
Tue, Jul 28 · 04:00–07:00
🌫️Fog Probability:79.7%
Low
fog weather icon
Fog Potential
Coniston Water
Tue, Jul 28 · 07:00–08:00
🌫️Fog Probability:77.1%
Low

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Fog Hunter conditions across Lake District. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Coniston Water.

Explore Fog Hunter conditions across Lake District →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Coniston Water during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 90 days
2
recorded matching windows · 48% average confidence
Last 365 days
2
recorded matching windows · 48% average confidence

Only 2 completed matches are recorded in the last 365 days—insufficient history to identify a reliable typical start time or month.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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92-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 92-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
5matching hours in the next 92 hoursJump to next match
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/London
Fog Probability
≥ 75.0%
Sat, Jul 25
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Sun, Jul 26
24:000%
01:000%
02:0055%
03:0049%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Mon, Jul 27
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:0020%
20:0043%
21:0043%
22:0037%
23:0044%
Tue, Jul 28
24:0026%
01:0026%
02:0047%
03:0077%
04:0080%
05:0080%
06:0080%
07:0077%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Wed, Jul 29
24:000%
01:000%
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Fog Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Europe/London
Clear Sky Probability (Ensemble)
%
Dew Point
°C
Rainfall
mm
Relative Humidity
%
Snowfall
cm
Solar Elevation
°
Temperature
°C
Total Precipitation
mm
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Visibility
m
Wind Gusts
m/s
Wind Speed
m/s
Sun, Jul 26 Sunrise 05:14 Sunset 21:22
03:00 ☾
0% 15°C 0.43mm 98% 0cm -13° 15°C 0.38mm 0.03kPa 3953m 7.8m/s 3m/s
04:00 ☾
0% 15°C 0.09mm 96% 0cm -8.5° 16°C 0.69mm 0.07kPa 10580m 11m/s 6m/s
05:00 ☾
0% 15°C 0.1mm 94% 0cm -2.3° 15°C 0.94mm 0.1kPa 19455m 12m/s 7.1m/s
06:00
0% 14°C 0.02mm 93% 0cm 5° 15°C 1.1mm 0.11kPa 24134m 12m/s 7.1m/s
07:00
0% 13°C 0mm 92% 0cm 13° 15°C 1.1mm 0.12kPa 24134m 12m/s 7.2m/s
08:00
0% 13°C 0.01mm 92% 0cm 22° 14°C 0mm 0.14kPa 24134m 12m/s 7m/s
09:00
0% 13°C 0mm 90% 0cm 30° 14°C 0.06mm 0.16kPa 24134m 12m/s 7.3m/s
10:00
0% 13°C 0mm 86% 0cm 39° 15°C 0.13mm 0.23kPa 24135m 12m/s 7.4m/s
11:00
0% 13°C 0mm 85% 0cm 46° 15°C 0.19mm 0.27kPa 24134m 12m/s 8.1m/s
12:00
0% 12°C 0mm 85% 0cm 52° 15°C 0.25mm 0.25kPa 24134m 13m/s 7.9m/s
13:00
0% 11°C 0mm 68% 0cm 55° 17°C 0.31mm 0.62kPa 24134m 12m/s 9.3m/s
14:00
4% 11°C 0mm 70% 0cm 54° 17°C 0.06mm 0.59kPa 24134m 12m/s 9.1m/s
15:00
7% 11°C 0mm 72% 0cm 50° 16°C 0.13mm 0.52kPa 24134m 12m/s 8.8m/s
16:00
11% 11°C 0mm 73% 0cm 44° 16°C 0.13mm 0.5kPa 24134m 12m/s 8.8m/s
17:00
17% 12°C 0mm 75% 0cm 36° 16°C 0.13mm 0.46kPa 24135m 12m/s 8.4m/s
18:00
22% 12°C 0mm 77% 0cm 27° 16°C 0.13mm 0.42kPa 24135m 13m/s 8.3m/s
19:00
28% 12°C 0mm 80% 0cm 18° 16°C 0.13mm 0.36kPa 24134m 12m/s 7.5m/s
20:00
45% 12°C 0mm 82% 0cm 9.9° 15°C 0mm 0.3kPa 24135m 13m/s 7m/s
21:00
63% 12°C 0mm 84% 0cm 2.2° 14°C 0mm 0.26kPa 24135m 12m/s 6.7m/s
22:00 ☾
80% 11°C 0mm 82% 0cm -4.9° 14°C 0mm 0.29kPa 24134m 12m/s 6.5m/s
23:00 ☾
80% 11°C 0mm 80% 0cm -11° 14°C 0mm 0.32kPa 24135m 11m/s 6.5m/s
Mon, Jul 27 Sunrise 05:14 Sunset 21:22
24:00 ☾
80% 11°C 0mm 80% 0cm -14° 14°C 0mm 0.32kPa 24135m 11m/s 6m/s
01:00 ☾
80% 11°C 0mm 80% 0cm -16° 14°C 0mm 0.31kPa 24135m 11m/s 6.5m/s
02:00 ☾
69% 11°C 0.02mm 79% 0cm -16° 14°C 0.06mm 0.33kPa 24135m 10m/s 6.2m/s
03:00 ☾
57% 11°C 0.01mm 84% 0cm -13° 14°C 0.06mm 0.26kPa 24135m 9.6m/s 5.7m/s
04:00 ☾
46% 10°C 0.01mm 80% 0cm -8.7° 14°C 0.06mm 0.31kPa 24134m 9.7m/s 6.1m/s
05:00 ☾
37% 11°C 0mm 87% 0cm -2.5° 13°C 0.06mm 0.2kPa 24135m 8.7m/s 4.9m/s
06:00
27% 10°C 0mm 83% 0cm 4.9° 13°C 0.13mm 0.25kPa 24134m 8.4m/s 4.8m/s
07:00
18% 10°C 0mm 82% 0cm 13° 13°C 0.13mm 0.27kPa 24135m 8.1m/s 4.7m/s
08:00
12% 11°C 0mm 82% 0cm 21° 14°C 0.06mm 0.28kPa 24134m 7.8m/s 4.5m/s
09:00
6% 10°C 0mm 74% 0cm 30° 15°C 0.06mm 0.43kPa 24135m 8.3m/s 5.4m/s
10:00
0% 10°C 0.01mm 71% 0cm 39° 15°C 0.13mm 0.5kPa 24135m 8.1m/s 5.4m/s
11:00
0% 11°C 0mm 73% 0cm 46° 15°C 0.19mm 0.47kPa 24134m 7.7m/s 5.8m/s
12:00
0% 11°C 0mm 70% 0cm 52° 17°C 0.25mm 0.56kPa 24134m 8.3m/s 6.4m/s
13:00
0% 12°C 0mm 73% 0cm 55° 17°C 0.31mm 0.52kPa 24135m 7.7m/s 6.5m/s
14:00
2% 12°C 0mm 71% 0cm 54° 17°C 0.06mm 0.58kPa 24134m 8.2m/s 7m/s
15:00
4% 13°C 0.01mm 78% 0cm 50° 17°C 0.13mm 0.41kPa 24135m 8.3m/s 6.8m/s
16:00
6% 13°C 0.13mm 88% 0cm 43° 15°C 0.19mm 0.2kPa 24134m 9.1m/s 5.4m/s
17:00
5% 14°C 0.1mm 95% 0cm 35° 14°C 0.5mm 0.08kPa 17035m 9m/s 4.5m/s
18:00
4% 14°C 0.2mm 95% 0cm 27° 15°C 0.63mm 0.08kPa 10392m 9.2m/s 4m/s
19:00
3% 15°C 0.5mm 98% 0cm 18° 15°C 1.4mm 0.04kPa 7573m 8.6m/s 3.7m/s
20:00
4% 15°C 0.2mm 98% 0cm 9.7° 15°C 0.13mm 0.04kPa 9141m 9.4m/s 3.7m/s
21:00
4% 15°C 0.01mm 98% 0cm 2° 16°C 0.25mm 0.03kPa 10360m 6.8m/s 3m/s
22:00 ☾
5% 16°C 0.03mm 98% 0cm -5.1° 16°C 0.25mm 0.03kPa 10337m 6.9m/s 3.2m/s
23:00 ☾
3% 16°C 0.09mm 98% 0cm -11° 16°C 0.38mm 0.03kPa 8824m 5.7m/s 2.9m/s
Tue, Jul 28 Sunrise 05:15 Sunset 21:20
24:00 ☾
2% 16°C 0mm 99% 0cm -15° 16°C 0.38mm 0.03kPa 10270m 6.4m/s 3.1m/s
01:00 ☾
0% 16°C 0.02mm 98% 0cm -16° 16°C 0.44mm 0.03kPa 9820m 7.3m/s 3.4m/s
02:00 ☾
0% 16°C 0mm 98% 0cm -16° 16°C 0mm 0.03kPa 10309m 5.5m/s 2.8m/s
03:00 ☾
0% 16°C 0mm 98% 0cm -13° 16°C 0mm 0.03kPa 10345m 5.5m/s 2.6m/s
04:00 ☾
0% 16°C 0.01mm 98% 0cm -8.9° 16°C 0mm 0.03kPa 10354m 5.8m/s 2.6m/s
05:00 ☾
0% 16°C 0.02mm 98% 0cm -2.7° 16°C 0mm 0.03kPa 10346m 6.4m/s 2.7m/s
06:00
0% 16°C 0.02mm 98% 0cm 4.7° 16°C 0.06mm 0.04kPa 10319m 8.5m/s 2.9m/s
07:00
0% 16°C 0.08mm 97% 0cm 13° 17°C 0.06mm 0.05kPa 10638m 9.2m/s 3.2m/s
08:00
0% 16°C 0.08mm 98% 0cm 21° 17°C 0.06mm 0.05kPa 10864m 9m/s 3.3m/s
09:00
0% 17°C 0.01mm 96% 0cm 30° 17°C 0.13mm 0.07kPa 11394m 8.2m/s 3.2m/s
10:00
0% 17°C 0.01mm 96% 0cm 38° 17°C 0.13mm 0.08kPa 13252m 8.5m/s 3.8m/s
11:00
0% 17°C 0mm 94% 0cm 46° 17°C 0.13mm 0.11kPa 19245m 8.4m/s 3.8m/s
12:00
0% 17°C 0mm 90% 0cm 51° 19°C 0.31mm 0.23kPa 20083m 8.8m/s 4.7m/s
13:00
0% 17°C 0mm 83% 0cm 54° 20°C 0.56mm 0.39kPa 17173m 8.3m/s 5.7m/s
14:00
1% 16°C 0mm 87% 0cm 54° 18°C 0.38mm 0.27kPa 19494m 6.2m/s 4.4m/s
15:00
1% 15°C 0mm 91% 0cm 50° 16°C 0.19mm 0.17kPa 21814m 4m/s 3.2m/s
16:00
2% 14°C 0mm 95% 0cm 43° 15°C 0mm 0.09kPa 24135m 1.9m/s 2m/s
17:00
2% 13°C 0mm 94% 0cm 35° 14°C 0mm 0.1kPa 24135m 2.2m/s 2.2m/s
18:00
3% 13°C 0mm 93% 0cm 27° 14°C 0mm 0.12kPa 24135m 2.4m/s 2.3m/s
19:00
3% 13°C 0mm 92% 0cm 18° 14°C 0mm 0.13kPa 24135m 2.6m/s 2.4m/s
20:00
5% 12°C 0mm 91% 0cm 9.5° 14°C 0mm 0.14kPa 24135m 2.5m/s 2.4m/s
21:00
7% 12°C 0mm 91% 0cm 1.9° 14°C 0mm 0.15kPa 24135m 2.3m/s 2.3m/s
22:00 ☾
9% 12°C 0mm 90% 0cm -5.4° 14°C 0mm 0.16kPa 24135m 2.1m/s 2.2m/s
23:00 ☾
7% 13°C 0mm 90% 0cm -11° 14°C 0mm 0.17kPa 24135m 2.4m/s 2.1m/s
Wed, Jul 29 Sunrise 05:17 Sunset 21:19
24:00 ☾
5% 13°C 0mm 89% 0cm -15° 15°C 0mm 0.19kPa 24135m 2.7m/s 2.1m/s
01:00 ☾
3% 14°C 0mm 88% 0cm -17° 15°C 0mm 0.2kPa 24135m 3m/s 2m/s
02:00 ☾
3% 14°C 0mm 83% 0cm -16° 17°C 0mm 0.33kPa 24135m 3.4m/s 2.3m/s
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →
Forecast generated

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