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Rule Fog Hunter

Fog Hunter Forecast for Coniston Water, Lake District

Coniston, England, United Kingdom

Coniston Water combines long lake views, wooded headlands and the Old Man of Coniston, with boats and stone shorelines adding scale to reflections.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Fog Probability
0%
Dewpoint Spread6.1°C
Visibility24135 (Clear)
Relative Humidity67%
Wind Speed6.6m/s (moderate winds)

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/London

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (95-hour forecast)

  • Fog Probability100% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Fog Hunter conditions across Lake District. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Coniston Water.

Explore Fog Hunter conditions across Lake District →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Coniston Water during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
1
recorded matching window · 40% average confidence
Last 90 days
2
recorded matching windows · 48% average confidence
Last 365 days
3
recorded matching windows · 45% average confidence

Only 3 completed matches are recorded in the last 365 days—insufficient history to identify a reliable typical start time or month.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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95-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 95-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/London
Fog Probability
≥ 75.0%
Mon, Aug 17
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Tue, Aug 18
24:000%
01:000%
02:0067%
03:0036%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Wed, Aug 19
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Thu, Aug 20
24:000%
01:000%
02:0037%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Fri, Aug 21
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Fog Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Europe/London
Clear Sky Probability (Ensemble)
%
Dew Point
°C
Rainfall
mm
Relative Humidity
%
Snowfall
cm
Solar Elevation
°
Temperature
°C
Total Precipitation
mm
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Visibility
m
Wind Gusts
m/s
Wind Speed
m/s
Tue, Aug 18 Sunrise 05:54 Sunset 20:36
15:00
0% 11°C 0mm 67% 0cm 44° 17°C 0.13mm 0.64kPa 24135m 9m/s 6.6m/s
16:00
0% 11°C 0mm 66% 0cm 38° 17°C 0.19mm 0.65kPa 24135m 9m/s 6.5m/s
17:00
0% 11°C 0mm 68% 0cm 30° 17°C 0.25mm 0.61kPa 24135m 8.8m/s 5.6m/s
18:00
0% 11°C 0mm 69% 0cm 22° 17°C 0.31mm 0.59kPa 24134m 8.1m/s 5m/s
19:00
0% 12°C 0mm 74% 0cm 13° 16°C 0.38mm 0.47kPa 24135m 7.6m/s 4.1m/s
20:00
0% 11°C 0mm 77% 0cm 4.4° 15°C 0.06mm 0.41kPa 24135m 8.1m/s 3.9m/s
21:00 ☾
0% 11°C 0mm 79% 0cm -3.8° 15°C 0.13mm 0.35kPa 24134m 7.5m/s 3.3m/s
22:00 ☾
0% 11°C 0mm 82% 0cm -11° 14°C 0.19mm 0.29kPa 22687m 4.7m/s 2.8m/s
23:00 ☾
0% 12°C 0.01mm 84% 0cm -17° 14°C 0.44mm 0.25kPa 19699m 4.9m/s 3.1m/s
Wed, Aug 19 Sunrise 05:54 Sunset 20:36
24:00 ☾
0% 12°C 0.11mm 87% 0cm -21° 14°C 0.88mm 0.2kPa 9931m 7.3m/s 3.6m/s
01:00 ☾
0% 12°C 0.17mm 90% 0cm -23° 14°C 1.5mm 0.15kPa 19815m 7.6m/s 3.4m/s
02:00 ☾
0% 12°C 0mm 92% 0cm -22° 13°C 0.19mm 0.13kPa 22329m 6m/s 2.6m/s
03:00 ☾
0% 12°C 0mm 93% 0cm -19° 13°C 0.5mm 0.1kPa 20013m 4m/s 2.5m/s
04:00 ☾
0% 11°C 0mm 93% 0cm -14° 12°C 0.63mm 0.1kPa 23590m 4.1m/s 2.7m/s
05:00 ☾
0% 10°C 0mm 94% 0cm -7.9° 11°C 0.75mm 0.08kPa 24134m 4m/s 2.5m/s
06:00
0% 10°C 0mm 94% 0cm 0.22° 11°C 0.75mm 0.08kPa 24134m 4.3m/s 2.6m/s
07:00
0% 11°C 0mm 92% 0cm 8.1° 12°C 0.75mm 0.11kPa 24135m 7.2m/s 3m/s
08:00
11% 11°C 0mm 87% 0cm 17° 13°C 0mm 0.19kPa 24135m 7.5m/s 4m/s
09:00
23% 11°C 0mm 80% 0cm 25° 14°C 0.06mm 0.32kPa 24134m 7.1m/s 4.8m/s
10:00
34% 10°C 0mm 73% 0cm 34° 15°C 0.13mm 0.47kPa 24134m 7.3m/s 5.3m/s
11:00
30% 9.4°C 0mm 65% 0cm 41° 16°C 0.13mm 0.63kPa 23736m 7.9m/s 6.2m/s
12:00
25% 9.5°C 0mm 65% 0cm 46° 16°C 0.31mm 0.64kPa 21409m 7.7m/s 6.1m/s
13:00
21% 9.8°C 0mm 69% 0cm 48° 15°C 0.38mm 0.54kPa 24135m 7.3m/s 5.7m/s
14:00
24% 10°C 0mm 65% 0cm 47° 17°C 0.13mm 0.68kPa 20547m 7.6m/s 6.2m/s
15:00
28% 11°C 0mm 74% 0cm 44° 16°C 0.63mm 0.46kPa 11873m 7.8m/s 6.3m/s
16:00
31% 12°C 0mm 81% 0cm 37° 15°C 0.94mm 0.32kPa 24135m 7.2m/s 4.6m/s
17:00
29% 11°C 0mm 76% 0cm 30° 16°C 1.1mm 0.43kPa 17370m 6.4m/s 4.5m/s
18:00
28% 12°C 0mm 78% 0cm 21° 16°C 1.3mm 0.39kPa 23531m 5.5m/s 3.4m/s
19:00
26% 12°C 0.02mm 87% 0cm 13° 14°C 1.6mm 0.22kPa 21403m 6.1m/s 2.8m/s
20:00
26% 12°C 0.07mm 90% 0cm 4.1° 14°C 0.38mm 0.16kPa 18749m 5.7m/s 2.6m/s
21:00 ☾
25% 12°C 0.03mm 92% 0cm -4.1° 14°C 0.75mm 0.13kPa 19856m 2.6m/s 1.5m/s
22:00 ☾
25% 12°C 0.11mm 92% 0cm -11° 14°C 1.3mm 0.12kPa 13132m 3.2m/s 1.6m/s
23:00 ☾
22% 13°C 0.23mm 94% 0cm -17° 14°C 2.3mm 0.09kPa 10412m 4m/s 2.2m/s
Thu, Aug 20 Sunrise 05:56 Sunset 20:34
24:00 ☾
20% 13°C 0.29mm 96% 0cm -21° 13°C 3.3mm 0.07kPa 6719m 4.7m/s 2.6m/s
01:00 ☾
17% 13°C 0.1mm 96% 0cm -23° 13°C 4.2mm 0.05kPa 7503m 3.2m/s 2m/s
02:00 ☾
14% 13°C 0.08mm 96% 0cm -22° 13°C 0.56mm 0.06kPa 7502m 1.6m/s 1.4m/s
03:00 ☾
12% 12°C 0.02mm 96% 0cm -20° 13°C 1.3mm 0.06kPa 6246m 1.2m/s 1.1m/s
04:00 ☾
9% 12°C 0.01mm 96% 0cm -15° 13°C 1.9mm 0.06kPa 16247m 1.4m/s 1.3m/s
05:00 ☾
8% 12°C 0.06mm 96% 0cm -8.1° 13°C 2.6mm 0.06kPa 14299m 2.2m/s 1.8m/s
06:00
6% 12°C 1.5mm 96% 0cm 0.02° 13°C 3.7mm 0.06kPa 8958m 7.2m/s 3.8m/s
07:00
5% 11°C 0.61mm 93% 0cm 7.9° 12°C 4.9mm 0.1kPa 13866m 10m/s 5.2m/s
08:00
5% 11°C 0.61mm 92% 0cm 17° 12°C 0.63mm 0.11kPa 15020m 11m/s 5.3m/s
09:00
6% 10°C 0.15mm 90% 0cm 25° 12°C 1mm 0.14kPa 24134m 12m/s 6m/s
10:00
6% 10°C 0.17mm 89% 0cm 33° 12°C 1.1mm 0.15kPa 24134m 12m/s 5.8m/s
11:00
5% 9.7°C 0.98mm 90% 0cm 40° 11°C 1.6mm 0.13kPa 14913m 12m/s 5.5m/s
12:00
4% 9.3°C 1.9mm 92% 0cm 45° 11°C 3.1mm 0.1kPa 6915m 11m/s 4.7m/s
13:00
3% 9.4°C 0.96mm 91% 0cm 48° 11°C 4.6mm 0.12kPa 17583m 9.9m/s 3.7m/s
14:00
3% 9.7°C 0.01mm 84% 0cm 47° 12°C 0.25mm 0.23kPa 24134m 9.4m/s 3.6m/s
15:00
2% 10°C 0.01mm 83% 0cm 43° 13°C 0.25mm 0.26kPa 24134m 9.1m/s 3.6m/s
16:00
2% 10°C 0.01mm 82% 0cm 37° 13°C 0.25mm 0.27kPa 24135m 8m/s 3.4m/s
17:00
2% 10°C 0mm 81% 0cm 29° 14°C 0.31mm 0.3kPa 24134m 6.5m/s 3.1m/s
18:00
2% 10°C 0mm 79% 0cm 21° 14°C 0.44mm 0.32kPa 23489m 5.7m/s 2.9m/s
19:00
2% 10°C 0mm 78% 0cm 12° 14°C 0.56mm 0.34kPa 23230m 5.6m/s 2.7m/s
20:00
9% 8°C 0mm 80% 0cm 3.8° 11°C 0.38mm 0.27kPa 23532m 4.3m/s 2.4m/s
21:00 ☾
16% 6°C 0mm 82% 0cm -4.4° 8.9°C 0.19mm 0.21kPa 23833m 3m/s 2.1m/s
22:00 ☾
23% 4°C 0mm 84% 0cm -12° 6.5°C 0mm 0.16kPa 24135m 1.7m/s 1.7m/s
23:00 ☾
22% 4.4°C 0mm 83% 0cm -17° 7.1°C 0mm 0.17kPa 24135m 1.7m/s 1.7m/s
Fri, Aug 21 Sunrise 05:58 Sunset 20:31
24:00 ☾
20% 4.9°C 0mm 83% 0cm -22° 7.7°C 0mm 0.18kPa 24135m 1.7m/s 1.6m/s
01:00 ☾
19% 5.4°C 0mm 82% 0cm -23° 8.2°C 0mm 0.19kPa 24135m 1.6m/s 1.5m/s
02:00 ☾
18% 5.6°C 0mm 79% 0cm -23° 9°C 0mm 0.24kPa 24135m 1.7m/s 1.5m/s
03:00 ☾
17% 5.7°C 0mm 76% 0cm -20° 9.8°C 0mm 0.29kPa 24135m 1.8m/s 1.5m/s
04:00 ☾
16% 5.8°C 0mm 72% 0cm -15° 11°C 0mm 0.35kPa 24135m 1.9m/s 1.6m/s
05:00 ☾
17% 5.8°C 0mm 68% 0cm -8.4° 12°C 0.02mm 0.44kPa 24135m 2.1m/s 1.7m/s
06:00 ☾
17% 5.7°C 0mm 63% 0cm -0.38° 13°C 0.04mm 0.54kPa 24135m 2.2m/s 1.9m/s
07:00
18% 5.5°C 0mm 58% 0cm 7.7° 14°C 0.06mm 0.65kPa 24135m 2.3m/s 2.1m/s
08:00
23% 5.7°C 0mm 58% 0cm 16° 14°C 0.19mm 0.67kPa 23077m 2.3m/s 1.8m/s
09:00
27% 6°C 0mm 58% 0cm 25° 14°C 0.31mm 0.69kPa 22018m 2.2m/s 1.6m/s
10:00
32% 6.2°C 0mm 57% 0cm 33° 15°C 0.44mm 0.71kPa 20960m 2.1m/s 1.4m/s
11:00
31% 7°C 0.02mm 64% 0cm 40° 14°C 0.65mm 0.55kPa 22018m 1.9m/s 1.3m/s
12:00
30% 7.7°C 0.05mm 72% 0cm 45° 13°C 0.85mm 0.41kPa 23077m 1.6m/s 1.3m/s
13:00
29% 8.1°C 0.07mm 79% 0cm 48° 12°C 1.1mm 0.29kPa 24135m 1.3m/s 1.2m/s
14:00
20% 7.8°C 0.05mm 80% 0cm 47° 11°C 0.73mm 0.26kPa 24135m 1.2m/s 1.1m/s
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →
Forecast generated

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