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Rule Fog Hunter

Buttermere - Fog Hunter - Lake District

Workington, England, United Kingdom

Thick, moody fog for atmospheric forest and landscape shots

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/London
Next opportunity
Dense Fog (lingering)
Buttermere
Wed, Jan 14 · 06:00–07:00 · 1h window
Medium confidence
53%
Dense Fog (lingering) at Dawn
Buttermere
Wed, Jan 14 · 07:00–08:00
Medium
Dense Fog (lingering) at Sunrise
Buttermere
Wed, Jan 14 · 08:00–10:00
Medium

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast tracks the conditions that create the Lake District's legendary atmospheric photography. We combine fog probability, dewpoint spread, visibility, and wind data to predict when and where mist will form over these famous lakes and valleys.

The Lake District's combination of lakes, tarns, and enclosed valleys creates ideal conditions for fog formation. Cool, calm nights allow mist to pool in valley bottoms, creating ethereal scenes at dawn that have inspired poets and photographers for centuries.

What makes the Lake District special for fog photography:

  • Lake mist - Cold water surfaces generate fog that pools over the lakes at dawn
  • Valley inversions - Mountain-ringed valleys trap mist while fells rise above
  • Romantic landscapes - This is Wordsworth and Turner country, with timeless views
  • Accessible locations - Well-maintained paths reach viewpoints above the fog layer

Peak fog season runs from late August through October, when temperature differentials are greatest. The best conditions typically occur on calm, clear nights when temperatures drop near dewpoint. Arrive before dawn—lake mist often lifts within an hour or two of sunrise. Higher viewpoints like Catbells or Loughrigg offer shots looking down at fog-filled valleys.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 72 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/London
Fog Probability
≥ 85.0%
Dewpoint Spread
≤ 2.0°C
Visibility
≤ 3000.0m
Wind Speed
≤ 2.0m/s
Sun, Jan 11
24:000%1.6°C12580m6.4m/s
01:000%1.5°C22060m6.6m/s
02:000%1.5°C24160m6.9m/s
03:000%1.2°C15860m8.6m/s
04:000%1.3°C14620m9.7m/s
05:000%1.5°C9200m9.8m/s
06:000%1.5°C12320m11m/s
07:000%1.5°C8520m13m/s
08:000%1.7°C19520m13m/s
09:000%1.5°C18140m13m/s
10:000%1.3°C16580m12m/s
11:000%1.2°C16100m11m/s
12:000%1.4°C10320m11m/s
13:000%1.2°C50000m10m/s
14:000%1.4°C50000m11m/s
15:000%1.2°C9040m11m/s
16:000%1.1°C12260m10m/s
17:000%1.2°C9520m9.9m/s
18:000%0.9°C23320m11m/s
19:000%1.1°C9340m12m/s
20:000%1.2°C26660m13m/s
21:000%1.1°C14600m14m/s
22:000%1.2°C50000m12m/s
23:000%1.2°C9560m11m/s
Mon, Jan 12
24:000%1.6°C50000m11m/s
01:000%1.2°C12840m10m/s
02:000%1.4°C10360m11m/s
03:000%1.6°C11220m11m/s
04:000%1.6°C11320m9.9m/s
05:000%1.6°C11200m9.5m/s
06:000%1.9°C50000m9.7m/s
07:000%1.4°C50000m10m/s
08:000%1.4°C50000m10m/s
09:000%1.4°C46110m9.7m/s
10:000%1.2°C29520m9.9m/s
11:000%0.9°C19280m10m/s
12:000%1.2°C21380m10m/s
13:000%1.7°C31480m9.5m/s
14:000%1.2°C32600m9.1m/s
15:000%1.4°C37860m8.6m/s
16:000%1.2°C31520m8.8m/s
17:000%1.4°C39900m8.9m/s
18:000%1.2°C17680m9.3m/s
19:000%1.2°C15600m8.8m/s
20:000%0.9°C8200m8.2m/s
21:000%1.5°C26980m8.4m/s
22:000%1.5°C38760m8.3m/s
23:000%1.5°C25300m8.4m/s
Tue, Jan 13
24:000%1.2°C41100m8m/s
01:000%1.4°C41880m7.8m/s
02:000%1.4°C41940m7.4m/s
03:000%1.4°C42000m6.6m/s
04:000%1.4°C42040m5.6m/s
05:000%1.4°C42180m5.1m/s
06:000%1.2°C42280m3.9m/s
07:000%1.2°C42400m3.5m/s
08:000%1.2°C42460m2.3m/s
09:000%1°C8220m2.1m/s
10:0068%0.9°C13260m2.7m/s
11:0064%0.7°C18320m2.2m/s
12:000%1°C8600m2m/s
13:0046%0.6°C4940m0.92m/s
14:0047%0.4°C4420m1.3m/s
15:0047%0.4°C4380m1.5m/s
16:0047%0.4°C4960m1.7m/s
17:0042%0.4°C6140m3.1m/s
18:0043%0.3°C9560m3.4m/s
19:0075%0.4°C14760m3.3m/s
20:0067%0.4°C20560m3.4m/s
21:0064%0.7°C28620m3.4m/s
22:000%1.3°C42520m3.6m/s
23:000%1.3°C40140m3.6m/s
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Fog Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Europe/London
Dew Point
°C
Rainfall
mm
Relative Humidity
%
Snowfall
cm
Temperature
°C
Total Precipitation
mm
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Wind Gusts
m/s
Sun, Jan 11 Sunrise 08:32 Sunset 16:12
01:00
1.8°C 0.6mm 91% 0cm 3.1°C 0.6mm 0.07kPa 13m/s
02:00
2.3°C 1mm 92% 0cm 3.5°C 1mm 0.06kPa 16m/s
03:00
2°C 0.9mm 91% 0cm 3.3°C 0.9mm 0.07kPa 18m/s
04:00
2.5°C 1.1mm 89% 0cm 4.1°C 1.1mm 0.09kPa 19m/s
05:00
2.9°C 1.9mm 90% 0cm 4.4°C 1.9mm 0.08kPa 20m/s
06:00
3°C 2.2mm 89% 0cm 4.7°C 2.2mm 0.09kPa 23m/s
07:00
2.9°C 0.9mm 90% 0cm 4.4°C 0.9mm 0.08kPa 25m/s
08:00
2.5°C 0.2mm 89% 0cm 4.1°C 0.2mm 0.09kPa 25m/s
09:00
3.2°C 0.5mm 91% 0cm 4.5°C 0.5mm 0.08kPa 23m/s
10:00
3.7°C 1.6mm 91% 0cm 5°C 1.6mm 0.08kPa 23m/s
11:00
4°C 0.2mm 91% 0cm 5.4°C 0.2mm 0.08kPa 21m/s
12:00
4.6°C 0.2mm 92% 0cm 5.8°C 0.2mm 0.07kPa 21m/s
13:00
5.5°C 0.2mm 93% 0cm 6.5°C 0.2mm 0.07kPa 21m/s
14:00
5.8°C 2.4mm 93% 0cm 6.9°C 2.4mm 0.07kPa 21m/s
15:00
6.6°C 2mm 93% 0cm 7.7°C 2mm 0.07kPa 19m/s
16:00
7°C 1.4mm 93% 0cm 8.1°C 1.4mm 0.08kPa 22m/s
17:00
7.1°C 2.2mm 92% 0cm 8.3°C 2.2mm 0.09kPa 22m/s
18:00
7.4°C 1.3mm 91% 0cm 8.8°C 1.3mm 0.1kPa 23m/s
19:00
8.2°C 2mm 92% 0cm 9.4°C 2mm 0.09kPa 25m/s
20:00
8.5°C 2.8mm 95% 0cm 9.3°C 2.8mm 0.06kPa 25m/s
21:00
8.4°C 0mm 93% 0cm 9.5°C 0mm 0.08kPa 23m/s
22:00
8.2°C 0mm 92% 0cm 9.4°C 0mm 0.09kPa 21m/s
23:00
8°C 0mm 92% 0cm 9.2°C 0mm 0.09kPa 20m/s
Mon, Jan 12 Sunrise 08:31 Sunset 16:14
24:00
7.8°C 0mm 91% 0cm 9.2°C 0mm 0.1kPa 20m/s
01:00
7.4°C 0mm 90% 0cm 9°C 0mm 0.11kPa 20m/s
02:00
7.4°C 0mm 91% 0cm 8.8°C 0mm 0.1kPa 18m/s
03:00
7.5°C 0.2mm 93% 0cm 8.6°C 0.2mm 0.08kPa 17m/s
04:00
7.3°C 0mm 91% 0cm 8.7°C 0mm 0.1kPa 16m/s
05:00
7.5°C 0mm 92% 0cm 8.7°C 0mm 0.09kPa 15m/s
06:00
7.4°C 0mm 92% 0cm 8.6°C 0mm 0.09kPa 15m/s
07:00
7.5°C 0mm 93% 0cm 8.6°C 0mm 0.08kPa 16m/s
08:00
7.8°C 0mm 94% 0cm 8.7°C 0mm 0.07kPa 16m/s
09:00
7.5°C 0mm 93% 0cm 8.6°C 0mm 0.08kPa 15m/s
10:00
8°C 0mm 93% 0cm 9.1°C 0mm 0.08kPa 15m/s
11:00
8°C 0.2mm 92% 0cm 9.2°C 0.2mm 0.09kPa 19m/s
12:00
8.1°C 1.2mm 94% 0cm 9°C 1.2mm 0.07kPa 18m/s
13:00
7.4°C 1.5mm 93% 0cm 8.5°C 1.5mm 0.08kPa 16m/s
14:00
7.8°C 0mm 93% 0cm 8.9°C 0mm 0.08kPa 14m/s
15:00
7.9°C 0mm 93% 0cm 9°C 0mm 0.08kPa 16m/s
16:00
7.9°C 0mm 94% 0cm 8.8°C 0mm 0.07kPa 16m/s
17:00
7.4°C 0mm 91% 0cm 8.8°C 0mm 0.1kPa 16m/s
18:00
7.7°C 0mm 94% 0cm 8.6°C 0mm 0.07kPa 16m/s
19:00
7.4°C 0mm 93% 0cm 8.5°C 0mm 0.08kPa 15m/s
20:00
7.5°C 0mm 92% 0cm 8.7°C 0mm 0.09kPa 16m/s
21:00
7.2°C 0mm 91% 0cm 8.6°C 0mm 0.1kPa 15m/s
22:00
6.7°C 0.1mm 89% 0cm 8.4°C 0.1mm 0.12kPa 14m/s
23:00
7°C 0.7mm 92% 0cm 8.2°C 0.7mm 0.09kPa 13m/s
Tue, Jan 13 Sunrise 08:30 Sunset 16:15
24:00
7.2°C 0mm 94% 0cm 8.1°C 0mm 0.06kPa 12m/s
01:00
6.8°C 0mm 92% 0cm 8°C 0mm 0.09kPa 10m/s
02:00
6.7°C 0mm 94% 0cm 7.6°C 0mm 0.06kPa 10m/s
03:00
6.5°C 0mm 92% 0cm 7.7°C 0mm 0.08kPa 8.2m/s
04:00
6.4°C 0mm 93% 0cm 7.5°C 0mm 0.07kPa 8m/s
05:00
6.7°C 0mm 93% 0cm 7.8°C 0mm 0.07kPa 9.2m/s
06:00
6.9°C 0mm 95% 0cm 7.6°C 0mm 0.05kPa 9.1m/s
07:00
6.7°C 0mm 97% 0cm 7.1°C 0.05mm 0.03kPa 7.3m/s
08:00
6.4°C 0mm 99% 0cm 6.5°C 0mm 0.01kPa 5.7m/s
09:00
5.6°C 0mm 100% 0cm 5.6°C 0mm 0kPa 3.9m/s
10:00
6.2°C 0mm 100% 0cm 6.2°C 0mm 0kPa 4.7m/s
11:00
6.3°C 0.2mm 100% 0cm 6.3°C 0.2mm 0kPa 4.6m/s
12:00
6.4°C 0.8mm 100% 0cm 6.4°C 0.8mm 0kPa 4m/s
13:00
6.3°C 2mm 100% 0cm 6.3°C 2.3mm 0kPa 3.7m/s
14:00
6.2°C 2.6mm 100% 0cm 6.2°C 2.7mm 0kPa 2.2m/s
15:00
6°C 2.6mm 100% 0cm 6°C 2.7mm 0kPa 2.6m/s
16:00
5.6°C 2mm 100% 0cm 5.6°C 2mm 0kPa 2.9m/s
17:00
5.3°C 0.9mm 100% 0cm 5.3°C 0.9mm 0kPa 4.9m/s
18:00
5.1°C 0.2mm 100% 0cm 5.1°C 0.2mm 0kPa 5.8m/s
19:00
4.4°C 0.2mm 97% 0cm 4.8°C 0.2mm 0.03kPa 5.6m/s
20:00
4.2°C 0.2mm 96% 0cm 4.8°C 0.2mm 0.03kPa 5.9m/s
21:00
4°C 0.1mm 94% 0cm 4.9°C 0.1mm 0.05kPa 5.9m/s
22:00
3.6°C 0mm 90% 0cm 5.1°C 0mm 0.09kPa 6m/s
23:00
3.1°C 0mm 87% 0cm 5.1°C 0mm 0.11kPa 6m/s
Wed, Jan 14 Sunrise 08:29 Sunset 16:17
24:00
2.7°C 0mm 91% 0cm 4°C 0mm 0.07kPa 6.8m/s
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

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