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Rule Morning Frost

Kiruna - Morning Frost - Swedish Lapland

Kiruna, Norrbotten, Sweden

Frost crystals on calm, cold mornings near sunrise

No opportunities right now
Here’s what usually blocks matches

No Morning Frost opportunities in the next 14 days

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Rule requirements (key thresholds)
Time Window · Sunrise -45m to +90m Frost Probability · ≥ 60.0% Wind Speed · ≤ 1.5m/s

Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.

Most common blockers (next 72 hours)
Time Window 88% failing
Wind Speed 83% failing
Frost Probability 28% failing

Currently

Real-time conditions
Soil Temperature-9.2°C
Dew Point-20.1°C (low dew point)
Wind Speed2.2m/s (calm conditions)
Cloud Cover81%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/Stockholm

No opportunities in the next 10 days

See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast tracks the extreme arctic frost conditions that transform Swedish Lapland into a frozen wonderland. We combine temperature, humidity, wind, and snow data to predict optimal conditions for photographing the region's spectacular frost phenomena.

Swedish Lapland experiences frost conditions as extreme as neighboring Finland, with temperatures regularly dropping below -25°C from December through February. The region's vast frozen lakes, frost-covered birch forests, and ice formations create otherworldly winter landscapes. The famous Abisko microclimate means frost conditions often coincide with clear skies—ideal for photography.

What makes Swedish Lapland special for frost photography:

  • Frozen Torneträsk - Sweden's sixth largest lake freezes solid, creating vast ice plains
  • Abisko clarity - The Blue Hole microclimate provides clear skies for photographing frost
  • Birch forest frost - Frost-covered mountain birch create delicate white forests
  • Ice architecture - The ICEHOTEL and frozen Torne River offer unique frost subjects

Lake Torneträsk freezes completely by midwinter, creating an otherworldly frozen seascape stretching to the horizon. The pressure ridges and ice formations along the shore provide dramatic foreground elements. The mountain birch forests around Abisko become ethereal frost galleries—each delicate branch outlined in white against blue arctic twilight. The Torne River near Jukkasjärvi provides ice harvesting opportunities to photograph—massive blocks cut for the ICEHOTEL construction. At Abisko, the microclimate advantage means you can photograph frost phenomena under clear skies more reliably than elsewhere in Lapland. The combination of extreme cold and the region's unique light makes for spectacular blue hour frost photography.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/Stockholm
Time Window
Sunrise -45m to +90m
Frost Probability
≥ 60.0%
Wind Speed
≤ 1.5m/s
Sat, Feb 21
20:0067%1.8m/s
21:0067%1.7m/s
22:0056%2m/s
23:0056%1.8m/s
Sun, Feb 22
24:0058%1.6m/s
01:0060%1.8m/s
02:0067%2.4m/s
03:0071%2.3m/s
04:0071%2.4m/s
05:0071%2.6m/s
06:0071%2.4m/s
07:0071%2.4m/s
08:0063%2.4m/s
09:0071%2.2m/s
10:0071%2.1m/s
11:0067%1.8m/s
12:0065%1.6m/s
13:0056%1.8m/s
14:0073%1.3m/s
15:0071%1.7m/s
16:0057%1.8m/s
17:0057%2m/s
18:0056%2.3m/s
19:0056%2.3m/s
20:0056%2.2m/s
21:0063%1.9m/s
22:0063%1.9m/s
23:0063%1.9m/s
Mon, Feb 23
24:0063%1.8m/s
01:0063%1.8m/s
02:0058%1.6m/s
03:0056%1.8m/s
04:0056%1.7m/s
05:0069%1.6m/s
06:0073%1.6m/s
07:0073%1.5m/s
08:0069%1.7m/s
09:0073%1.6m/s
10:0073%1.6m/s
11:0073%1.4m/s
12:0073%1.1m/s
13:0073%1m/s
14:0073%1.1m/s
15:0073%1.2m/s
16:0069%1.4m/s
17:0069%1.5m/s
18:0069%1.6m/s
19:0069%1.6m/s
20:0069%1.6m/s
21:0069%1.6m/s
22:0067%1.7m/s
23:0067%1.8m/s
Tue, Feb 24
24:0067%1.7m/s
01:0067%1.7m/s
02:0067%1.7m/s
03:0067%1.8m/s
04:0071%1.7m/s
05:0071%1.8m/s
06:0071%1.9m/s
07:0071%1.9m/s
08:0071%1.9m/s
09:0071%1.7m/s
10:0081%1.6m/s
11:0081%1.4m/s
12:0081%1.2m/s
13:0081%1.3m/s
14:0081%1.5m/s
15:0081%1.4m/s
16:0081%1.7m/s
17:0079%1.8m/s
18:0079%1.8m/s
19:0079%1.7m/s
20:0081%1.6m/s
21:0081%1.5m/s
22:0081%1.6m/s
23:0081%1.6m/s
Wed, Feb 25
24:0081%1.7m/s
01:0081%1.7m/s
02:0071%1.8m/s
03:0065%2m/s
04:0056%2.2m/s
05:0054%3.1m/s
06:0054%4m/s
07:0052%4.9m/s
08:0050%5.8m/s
09:0050%6.7m/s
10:0050%7.5m/s
11:0050%7.4m/s
12:0050%7.3m/s
13:0050%7.2m/s
14:0050%6.7m/s
15:0050%6.2m/s
16:0050%5.6m/s
17:0052%4.4m/s
18:0054%3.2m/s
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Frost Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Europe/Stockholm
Dew Point
°C
Surface Temperature
°C
Temperature
°C
Time Window
Total Cloud Coverage
%
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Sun, Feb 22 Sunrise 07:27 Sunset 16:18
20:00
-20°C -9.2°C -19°C - 81% 0.02kPa
21:00
-21°C -9.2°C -19°C - 34% 0.02kPa
22:00
-21°C -9.3°C -20°C - 35% 0.02kPa
23:00
-21°C -9.3°C -20°C - 35% 0.02kPa
Mon, Feb 23 Sunrise 07:27 Sunset 16:18
24:00
-21°C -9.3°C -19°C - 38% 0.02kPa
01:00
-21°C -9.3°C -19°C - 33% 0.02kPa
02:00
-21°C -9.3°C -19°C - 99% 0.02kPa
03:00
-20°C -9.3°C -18°C - 100% 0.02kPa
04:00
-20°C -9.3°C -18°C - 82% 0.02kPa
05:00
-20°C -9.3°C -18°C - 24% 0.02kPa
06:00
-21°C -9.3°C -19°C - 5% 0.02kPa
07:00
-21°C -9.3°C -20°C - 6% 0.02kPa
08:00
-22°C -9.4°C -20°C - 15% 0.02kPa
09:00
-20°C -9.4°C -19°C - 5% 0.02kPa
10:00
-18°C -9.4°C -17°C - 5% 0.02kPa
11:00
-16°C -9.4°C -14°C - 5% 0.03kPa
12:00
-15°C -9.4°C -13°C - 5% 0.03kPa
13:00
-14°C -9.3°C -13°C - 5% 0.03kPa
14:00
-15°C -9.3°C -14°C - 5% 0.02kPa
15:00
-17°C -9.3°C -16°C - 5% 0.02kPa
16:00
-19°C -9.3°C -18°C - 5% 0.01kPa
17:00
-21°C -9.3°C -20°C - 5% 0.01kPa
18:00
-21°C -9.3°C -21°C - 5% 0.01kPa
19:00
-22°C -9.3°C -22°C - 5% 0.01kPa
20:00
-23°C -9.3°C -22°C - 5% 0kPa
21:00
-23°C -9.4°C -22°C - 5% 0.01kPa
22:00
-23°C -9.4°C -23°C - 5% 0.01kPa
23:00
-23°C -9.4°C -23°C - 5% 0.01kPa
Tue, Feb 24 Sunrise 07:23 Sunset 16:22
24:00
-23°C -9.4°C -23°C - 5% 0.01kPa
01:00
-23°C -9.5°C -23°C - 5% 0.01kPa
02:00
-23°C -9.5°C -23°C - 5% 0.01kPa
03:00
-23°C -9.5°C -23°C - 5% 0.01kPa
04:00
-23°C -9.5°C -22°C - 5% 0.01kPa
05:00
-24°C -9.6°C -22°C - 4% 0.01kPa
06:00
-24°C -9.6°C -23°C - 3% 0.01kPa
07:00
-24°C -9.6°C -23°C - 0% 0.02kPa
08:00
-24°C -9.6°C -22°C - 0% 0.02kPa
09:00
-23°C -9.6°C -20°C - 0% 0.02kPa
10:00
-20°C -9.7°C -17°C - 0% 0.04kPa
11:00
-18°C -9.7°C -14°C - 0% 0.06kPa
12:00
-17°C -9.6°C -13°C - 0% 0.07kPa
13:00
-16°C -9.6°C -13°C - 2% 0.06kPa
14:00
-17°C -9.6°C -14°C - 0% 0.05kPa
15:00
-19°C -9.6°C -16°C - 0% 0.05kPa
16:00
-22°C -9.5°C -18°C - 0% 0.04kPa
17:00
-24°C -9.6°C -20°C - 0% 0.04kPa
18:00
-25°C -9.6°C -21°C - 0% 0.03kPa
19:00
-25°C -9.6°C -21°C - 0% 0.03kPa
20:00
-26°C -9.6°C -21°C - 0% 0.03kPa
21:00
-26°C -9.6°C -22°C - 0% 0.03kPa
22:00
-26°C -9.6°C -22°C - 0% 0.04kPa
23:00
-27°C -9.7°C -22°C - 1% 0.04kPa
Wed, Feb 25 Sunrise 07:19 Sunset 16:26
24:00
-27°C -9.7°C -22°C - 0% 0.04kPa
01:00
-27°C -9.7°C -22°C - 0% 0.04kPa
02:00
-26°C -10°C -21°C - 33% 0.03kPa
03:00
-24°C -10°C -21°C - 67% 0.03kPa
04:00
-22°C -11°C -20°C - 100% 0.03kPa
05:00
-20°C -11°C -18°C - 100% 0.03kPa
06:00
-18°C -11°C -15°C - 100% 0.03kPa
07:00
-15°C -11°C -13°C - 100% 0.04kPa
08:00
-15°C -11°C -13°C - 100% 0.03kPa
09:00
-14°C -11°C -12°C - 100% 0.03kPa
10:00
-13°C -11°C -12°C - 99% 0.02kPa
11:00
-13°C -11°C -12°C - 100% 0.02kPa
12:00
-13°C -11°C -11°C - 100% 0.03kPa
13:00
-12°C -10°C -11°C - 100% 0.03kPa
14:00
-12°C -10°C -11°C - 100% 0.03kPa
15:00
-11°C -10°C -10°C - 100% 0.03kPa
16:00
-11°C -10°C -9.6°C - 100% 0.03kPa
17:00
-11°C -10°C -9.9°C - 100% 0.03kPa
18:00
-11°C -10°C -10°C - 100% 0.03kPa
19:00
-11°C -10°C -10°C - 100% 0.02kPa
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

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