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Rule Northern Lights

Kiruna - Northern Lights - Swedish Lapland

Kiruna, Norrbotten, Sweden

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Kp IndexKp 3 (Unsettled)
Sun Elevation14.7° (Daylight)
Cloud Cover100%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/Stockholm
aurora weather icon
Next opportunity
Excellent Chance of Aurora
Kiruna
Thu, Mar 19 · 01:00–02:00 · 1h window
Medium confidence
54%
🌌Aurora Quality92.3%
Kp Index: Kp 4 (Unsettled)
Sun Elevation: -21.6° (Astronomical night)
Cloud Cover: 7%
aurora weather icon
Excellent Chance of Aurora
Kiruna
Sat, Mar 21 · 20:00–24:00
🌌Aurora Quality:80.8-95%
Low
aurora weather icon
Good Chance of Aurora at Sunrise
Kiruna
Sun, Mar 22 · 04:00–05:00
🌌Aurora Quality:74.6%
Medium
aurora weather icon
Excellent Chance of Aurora
Kiruna
Mon, Mar 23 · 22:00–24:00
🌌Aurora Quality:78.4-92.3%
Low
aurora weather icon
Good Chance of Aurora
Kiruna
Tue, Mar 24 · 03:00–04:00
🌌Aurora Quality:78.4%
Low
aurora weather icon
Excellent Chance of Aurora at Sunrise
Kiruna
Tue, Mar 24 · 04:00–05:00
🌌Aurora Quality:83%
Medium
aurora weather icon
Excellent Chance of Aurora
Kiruna
Tue, Mar 24 · 20:00–04:00
🌌Aurora Quality:75.2-92.3%
Low

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Swedish Lapland's Abisko area is world-renowned for the "Blue Hole" - a unique microclimate created by surrounding mountains that push clouds aside, giving Abisko statistically the clearest skies in all of Scandinavia.

What makes Swedish Lapland special:

  • The Blue Hole - Abisko's microclimate creates exceptionally clear skies even when neighbors are cloudy
  • Lake Torneträsk - Sweden's sixth largest lake offers stunning aurora reflections
  • ICEHOTEL - Jukkasjärvi's frozen art hotel provides unique foreground subjects
  • Sami culture - Jokkmokk offers authentic cultural experiences alongside aurora viewing

Aurora season runs September through March. Abisko's clear sky advantage makes it a top choice for photographers who can't reschedule their trip around weather.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
1matching hours in the next 95 hoursJump to next match
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/Stockholm
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Sun, Mar 15
08:000%9.9°0%8.5%20922m
09:000%14°0%8.9%24135m
10:000%18°95%9%24135m
11:000%20°95%8.1%24135m
12:000%20°95%5.8%24134m
13:000%19°82%5%24134m
14:000%17°100%5%24134m
15:000%13°100%5%24135m
16:000%8.1°71%5.6%24134m
17:000%2.9°71%6.9%24134m
18:000%-2.8°78%12%24134m
19:0041%-8.4°35%14%24134m
20:0047%-14°44%33%21398m
21:000%-18°51%76%21126m
22:000%-21°41%76%17222m
23:000%-23°38%80%16557m
Mon, Mar 16
24:000%-24°30%80%10995m
01:000%-23°85%82%11508m
02:000%-20°84%83%14939m
03:000%-16°82%81%22608m
04:000%-11°82%89%23576m
05:000%-6.1°82%100%24135m
06:000%0.09°0%100%24135m
07:000%5.3°0%100%19717m
08:000%10°0%100%5612m
09:000%15°0%100%5424m
10:000%18°20%100%23128m
11:000%20°20%100%23039m
12:000%21°20%100%21518m
13:000%19°20%100%5042m
14:000%17°20%100%1497m
15:000%13°20%100%3300m
16:000%8.4°27%100%22790m
17:000%3.2°27%100%24134m
18:000%-2.5°27%100%24134m
19:000%-8.1°71%100%24134m
20:000%-13°71%100%24134m
21:000%-18°71%100%24135m
22:000%-21°71%100%24134m
23:000%-23°71%100%24134m
Tue, Mar 17
24:000%-24°71%100%24134m
01:000%-22°20%100%24134m
02:000%-20°20%100%24134m
03:000%-16°20%100%24135m
04:000%-11°27%100%24135m
05:000%-5.7°27%100%23552m
06:000%0.42°27%100%21898m
07:000%5.6°15%100%23797m
08:000%11°15%100%24135m
09:000%15°15%100%24135m
10:000%18°10%38%24134m
11:000%20°10%6%24134m
12:000%21°10%5%24134m
13:000%20°10%5%24134m
14:000%17°10%9.4%24135m
15:000%13°10%6.9%24134m
16:000%8.8°10%12%24134m
17:000%3.6°10%82%24135m
18:000%-2.1°10%100%24135m
19:000%-7.8°15%100%6698m
20:000%-13°15%100%4194m
21:000%-17°15%100%24134m
22:000%-21°20%100%24134m
23:000%-23°20%100%24135m
Wed, Mar 18
24:000%-23°20%100%24135m
01:000%-22°20%100%24135m
02:000%-19°20%100%24135m
03:000%-15°20%100%24039m
04:000%-11°15%100%23399m
05:000%-5.3°15%100%12292m
06:000%0.76°15%100%5274m
07:000%10%100%7131m
08:000%11°10%97%21315m
09:000%16°10%60%8851m
10:000%19°4.2%14%24135m
11:000%21°4.2%0.2%24134m
12:000%21°4.2%0.9%24135m
13:000%20°6.9%0%24135m
14:000%18°6.9%1.5%24135m
15:000%14°6.9%3.1%24135m
16:000%9.1°10%4.6%24135m
17:000%3.9°10%27%24135m
18:000%-1.7°10%49%24135m
19:000%-7.4°15%71%24135m
20:000%-13°15%64%24135m
21:000%-17°15%57%24135m
22:0014%-20°20%50%24135m
23:0032%-22°20%36%24135m
Thu, Mar 19
24:0038%-23°20%21%24135m
01:0092%-22°95%6.8%24135m
02:0065%-19°95%32%24094m
03:000%-15°95%58%24053m
04:000%-10°95%83%24011m
05:000%-4.9°95%56%24053m
06:000%1.1°95%29%24094m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

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