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Rule Northern Lights

Kiruna - Northern Lights - Swedish Lapland

Kiruna, Norrbotten, Sweden

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Kp IndexKp 2 (Quiet)
Sun Elevation-20.6° (Astronomical night)
Cloud Cover90%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/Stockholm
aurora weather icon
Next opportunity
Excellent Chance of Aurora
Kiruna
Tomorrow · 22:00–01:00 · 3h window
Medium confidence
52%
🌌Aurora Quality95%
Kp Index: Kp 4 (Unsettled)
Sun Elevation: -24.8° (Astronomical night)
Cloud Cover: 5%
aurora weather icon
Excellent Chance of Aurora
Kiruna
Tue, Mar 10 · 19:00–20:00
🌌Aurora Quality:83.3%
Medium
aurora weather icon
Excellent Chance of Aurora
Kiruna
Thu, Mar 12 · 04:00–05:00
🌌Aurora Quality:92.3%
Medium

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Swedish Lapland's Abisko area is world-renowned for the "Blue Hole" - a unique microclimate created by surrounding mountains that push clouds aside, giving Abisko statistically the clearest skies in all of Scandinavia.

What makes Swedish Lapland special:

  • The Blue Hole - Abisko's microclimate creates exceptionally clear skies even when neighbors are cloudy
  • Lake Torneträsk - Sweden's sixth largest lake offers stunning aurora reflections
  • ICEHOTEL - Jukkasjärvi's frozen art hotel provides unique foreground subjects
  • Sami culture - Jokkmokk offers authentic cultural experiences alongside aurora viewing

Aurora season runs September through March. Abisko's clear sky advantage makes it a top choice for photographers who can't reschedule their trip around weather.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
3matching hours in the next 95 hoursJump to next match
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/Stockholm
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Wed, Mar 4
03:000%-21°100%100%3631m
04:000%-16°82%99%2256m
05:000%-11°82%97%1538m
06:000%-5°0%84%1293m
07:000%0.87°0%79%7318m
08:000%5.7°0%97%3803m
09:000%10°20%91%13614m
10:000%13°8%100%24134m
11:000%15°8%78%24135m
12:000%16°8%65%24134m
13:000%15°8%91%24134m
14:000%12°8%5%24134m
15:000%8.9°8%48%24134m
16:000%4.4°11%100%24135m
17:000%-0.76°14%100%24135m
18:000%-6.6°18%100%24135m
19:000%-12°21%96%24135m
20:0049%-17°28%5%24135m
21:0051%-22°31%5%24134m
22:0051%-26°32%5%24134m
23:0050%-28°30%5.1%24135m
Thu, Mar 5
24:0048%-28°25%6.8%24135m
01:0031%-27°24%41%21571m
02:000%-25°25%100%24135m
03:000%-21°25%90%24134m
04:0030%-16°15%37%24134m
05:000%-10°15%100%24134m
06:000%-4.7°15%100%24135m
07:000%1.2°2.2%89%24134m
08:000%6.1°2.2%94%24135m
09:000%10°2.2%100%24135m
10:000%14°4.2%100%24134m
11:000%16°4.2%100%24134m
12:000%16°4.2%100%24134m
13:000%15°2.2%100%24135m
14:000%13°2.2%100%24134m
15:000%9.2°2.2%100%24134m
16:000%4.7°15%100%24134m
17:000%-0.28°15%100%9659m
18:000%-6.3°15%100%2465m
19:000%-12°15%100%23195m
20:000%-17°15%100%24134m
21:000%-22°15%100%24134m
22:000%-25°71%100%24134m
23:000%-27°71%100%24134m
Fri, Mar 6
24:000%-28°71%100%24135m
01:000%-27°100%100%24134m
02:000%-24°100%100%24135m
03:000%-20°100%100%24135m
04:000%-15°100%100%24134m
05:000%-10°100%100%24134m
06:000%-4.3°100%100%24134m
07:000%1.5°71%100%24135m
08:000%6.5°71%100%24134m
09:000%11°71%100%24135m
10:000%14°71%100%24134m
11:000%16°71%100%24134m
12:000%17°71%100%24135m
13:000%16°27%100%24134m
14:000%13°27%100%24134m
15:000%9.6°27%100%24135m
16:000%20%0.2%24134m
17:000%0.15°20%0%24134m
18:000%-5.9°20%0.2%24134m
19:0047%-12°27%1.1%24135m
20:0048%-17°27%5%24135m
21:0048%-21°27%5%24134m
22:0095%-25°100%5%24134m
23:0095%-27°100%5%24134m
Sat, Mar 7
24:0095%-27°100%5%24135m
01:0040%-26°10%5.1%24135m
02:0034%-24°10%26%24135m
03:0028%-20°10%35%24135m
04:000%-15°10%96%24134m
05:000%-9.6°10%100%24135m
06:000%-3.9°10%100%24134m
07:000%1.9°10%100%24135m
08:000%6.8°10%100%24135m
09:000%11°10%100%24135m
10:000%14°10%100%24135m
11:000%16°10%100%24135m
12:000%17°10%100%24135m
13:000%16°10%100%24135m
14:000%14°10%100%24135m
15:000%9.9°10%100%24135m
16:000%5.4°10%100%24135m
17:000%0.44°10%100%24135m
18:000%-5.6°10%100%24135m
19:000%-11°10%100%24135m
20:000%-16°10%100%24135m
21:000%-21°10%100%24135m
22:000%-24°10%100%24135m
23:000%-27°10%99%24135m
Sun, Mar 8
24:000%-27°10%97%24135m
01:000%-26°27%96%24135m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

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