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Rule Northern Lights

Jokkmokk - Northern Lights - Swedish Lapland

Jokkmokk, Norrbotten, Sweden

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Kp IndexKp 2 (Quiet)
Sun Elevation-21.5° (Astronomical night)
Cloud Cover100%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/Stockholm
aurora weather icon
Next opportunity
Excellent Chance of Aurora
Jokkmokk
Tomorrow · 22:00–24:00 · 2h window
Medium confidence
45%
🌌Aurora Quality80.8-95%
Kp Index: Kp 4 (Unsettled)
Sun Elevation: -25.8° (Astronomical night)
Cloud Cover: 5%
aurora weather icon
Excellent Chance of Aurora
Jokkmokk
Tue, Mar 10 · 02:00–05:00
🌌Aurora Quality:76.8-90.4%
Low

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Swedish Lapland's Abisko area is world-renowned for the "Blue Hole" - a unique microclimate created by surrounding mountains that push clouds aside, giving Abisko statistically the clearest skies in all of Scandinavia.

What makes Swedish Lapland special:

  • The Blue Hole - Abisko's microclimate creates exceptionally clear skies even when neighbors are cloudy
  • Lake Torneträsk - Sweden's sixth largest lake offers stunning aurora reflections
  • ICEHOTEL - Jukkasjärvi's frozen art hotel provides unique foreground subjects
  • Sami culture - Jokkmokk offers authentic cultural experiences alongside aurora viewing

Aurora season runs September through March. Abisko's clear sky advantage makes it a top choice for photographers who can't reschedule their trip around weather.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
2matching hours in the next 95 hoursJump to next match
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/Stockholm
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Wed, Mar 4
02:000%-26°100%100%20644m
03:000%-22°100%100%20654m
04:000%-17°40%100%20663m
05:000%-11°40%94%3686m
06:000%-5.1°0%95%17414m
07:000%1.1°0%99%390m
08:000%6.2°0%100%502m
09:000%11°0%100%291m
10:000%14°8%100%24134m
11:000%16°8%5.8%24135m
12:000%17°0%5%24134m
13:000%16°0%7.2%24134m
14:000%14°0%5%24134m
15:000%9.8°8%9.5%24134m
16:000%5.1°8%6.5%24135m
17:000%-0.07°14%96%24135m
18:0025%-6.4°16%22%24135m
19:0045%-12°20%5%24135m
20:0047%-18°24%3.7%24135m
21:0049%-23°29%6.9%23530m
22:0051%-27°31%8.5%23313m
23:0034%-29°29%40%23518m
Thu, Mar 5
24:000%-30°24%100%22602m
01:000%-28°24%100%22623m
02:000%-26°24%100%20671m
03:000%-22°24%100%20617m
04:000%-16°14%100%20777m
05:000%-11°14%100%22862m
06:000%-4.7°14%100%23902m
07:000%1.4°2%100%23920m
08:000%6.6°2%100%24135m
09:000%11°2%100%24135m
10:000%15°3.7%100%24134m
11:000%17°3.7%100%548m
12:000%17°3.7%100%73m
13:000%16°2%100%58m
14:000%14°2%100%42m
15:000%10°2%100%59m
16:000%5.4°14%100%148m
17:000%0.25°14%100%2475m
18:000%-6.1°14%100%20512m
19:000%-12°14%100%20534m
20:000%-18°14%100%20551m
21:000%-22°14%100%20586m
22:000%-26°32%100%20676m
23:000%-28°32%100%21064m
Fri, Mar 6
24:000%-29°32%100%23833m
01:000%-28°100%98%23297m
02:000%-25°100%100%24135m
03:000%-21°100%100%24135m
04:000%-16°100%100%24134m
05:000%-10°100%100%24134m
06:000%-4.3°100%100%24134m
07:000%1.8°32%100%24135m
08:000%32%100%24134m
09:000%12°32%73%24135m
10:000%15°32%100%24134m
11:000%17°32%100%24134m
12:000%18°32%100%24135m
13:000%17°25%100%24134m
14:000%14°25%100%24134m
15:000%11°25%100%24135m
16:000%5.7°19%5%24134m
17:000%0.53°19%0%24134m
18:000%-5.8°19%0.2%24134m
19:0047%-12°25%0%24135m
20:0047%-17°25%4.7%24135m
21:0047%-22°25%3.1%24134m
22:0095%-26°100%5.2%24134m
23:0081%-28°100%26%24134m
Sat, Mar 7
24:0034%-29°100%49%24135m
01:0034%-28°9.5%28%24135m
02:000%-25°9.5%100%24135m
03:000%-21°9.5%100%24135m
04:000%-16°9.5%100%22595m
05:000%-9.9°9.5%100%24135m
06:000%-3.9°9.5%100%24134m
07:000%2.1°9.5%100%24135m
08:000%7.4°9.5%100%24135m
09:000%12°9.5%100%24135m
10:000%15°9.5%100%24135m
11:000%18°9.5%100%24135m
12:000%18°9.5%100%24135m
13:000%17°9.5%100%24135m
14:000%15°9.5%100%24135m
15:000%11°9.5%100%24135m
16:000%6.1°9.5%100%24135m
17:000%0.82°9.5%100%24135m
18:000%-5.4°9.5%100%24135m
19:000%-11°9.5%100%24135m
20:000%-17°9.5%100%24135m
21:000%-22°9.5%100%24135m
22:000%-25°9.5%100%24135m
23:000%-28°9.5%100%24135m
Sun, Mar 8
24:000%-28°9.5%100%24135m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

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