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Rule Northern Lights

Abisko - Northern Lights - Swedish Lapland

Sweden

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Aurora Quality
0%
Kp IndexKp 2 (Quiet)
Sun Elevation-20.7° (Astronomical night)
Cloud Cover92%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/Stockholm
aurora weather icon
Next opportunity
Good Chance of Aurora
Abisko
Fri, Mar 13 · 03:00–05:00 · 2h window
Low confidence
22%
🌌Aurora Quality64.5-75.9%
Kp Index: Kp 3 (Unsettled)
Sun Elevation: -12.9° (Astronomical twilight)
Cloud Cover: 5%
aurora weather icon
Excellent Chance of Aurora
Abisko
Sat, Mar 14 · 01:00–05:00
🌌Aurora Quality:79-93%
Low

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Swedish Lapland's Abisko area is world-renowned for the "Blue Hole" - a unique microclimate created by surrounding mountains that push clouds aside, giving Abisko statistically the clearest skies in all of Scandinavia.

What makes Swedish Lapland special:

  • The Blue Hole - Abisko's microclimate creates exceptionally clear skies even when neighbors are cloudy
  • Lake Torneträsk - Sweden's sixth largest lake offers stunning aurora reflections
  • ICEHOTEL - Jukkasjärvi's frozen art hotel provides unique foreground subjects
  • Sami culture - Jokkmokk offers authentic cultural experiences alongside aurora viewing

Aurora season runs September through March. Abisko's clear sky advantage makes it a top choice for photographers who can't reschedule their trip around weather.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/Stockholm
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Wed, Mar 4
02:000%-25°100%100%24134m
03:000%-21°100%85%24134m
04:000%-16°83%82%22861m
05:000%-11°83%97%24134m
06:000%-5.6°0%85%24134m
07:000%0.31°0%56%24134m
08:000%5°0%100%24135m
09:000%9.3°21%91%11565m
10:000%13°8%53%4659m
11:000%15°8%39%20992m
12:000%15°0%50%24134m
13:000%15°8%40%24134m
14:000%12°8%100%10947m
15:000%8.9°8%90%3617m
16:000%4.6°11%76%1303m
17:000%-0.22°14%77%383m
18:000%-6.1°18%57%1031m
19:0026%-12°21%34%2334m
20:000%-17°28%71%1146m
21:000%-21°30%62%5161m
22:000%-25°32%53%4508m
23:000%-27°30%66%1362m
Thu, Mar 5
24:000%-28°25%91%1031m
01:000%-27°25%93%563m
02:000%-24°25%99%501m
03:000%-21°25%92%583m
04:000%-16°15%93%674m
05:000%-11°15%100%580m
06:000%-5.2°15%93%2579m
07:000%0.63°2.3%67%19454m
08:000%5.4°2.3%100%24086m
09:000%9.7°2.3%100%24134m
10:000%13°4.3%100%24134m
11:000%15°4.3%100%24134m
12:000%16°4.3%100%24134m
13:000%15°2.3%100%24135m
14:000%13°2.3%100%24134m
15:000%9.3°2.3%100%24134m
16:000%4.9°15%100%24134m
17:000%0.18°15%100%24135m
18:000%-5.7°15%100%24135m
19:000%-11°15%100%24135m
20:000%-16°15%100%24134m
21:000%-21°15%100%24134m
22:000%-24°72%100%24134m
23:000%-27°72%100%17680m
Fri, Mar 6
24:000%-27°72%100%15872m
01:000%-26°100%100%7707m
02:000%-24°100%100%1378m
03:000%-20°100%100%737m
04:000%-16°100%100%2174m
05:000%-10°100%100%630m
06:000%-4.8°100%99%266m
07:000%0.97°72%100%167m
08:000%5.8°72%100%101m
09:000%10°72%100%94m
10:000%13°72%100%2479m
11:000%15°72%100%5320m
12:000%16°72%86%924m
13:000%15°62%96%629m
14:000%13°62%99%10057m
15:000%9.6°62%85%10126m
16:000%5.2°21%87%7800m
17:000%0.47°21%89%22811m
18:000%-5.4°21%100%5262m
19:000%-11°62%100%1573m
20:000%-16°62%100%561m
21:000%-21°62%100%418m
22:000%-24°100%75%8034m
23:000%-26°100%75%22279m
Sat, Mar 7
24:0046%-27°100%45%22471m
01:0034%-26°11%26%24134m
02:000%-24°11%59%22699m
03:000%-20°11%72%14461m
04:000%-15°11%87%5385m
05:000%-10°11%66%19619m
06:000%-4.4°11%57%22462m
07:000%1.3°11%50%18770m
08:000%6.1°11%67%20558m
09:000%10°11%83%22347m
10:000%14°11%100%24135m
11:000%16°11%100%24135m
12:000%17°11%100%24135m
13:000%16°11%100%24135m
14:000%13°11%100%24135m
15:000%10°11%100%24135m
16:000%5.6°11%100%24135m
17:000%0.77°11%72%24135m
18:000%-5.1°11%43%24135m
19:0035%-11°11%15%24135m
20:0034%-16°11%25%23069m
21:0028%-20°11%35%22002m
22:0020%-24°11%45%20936m
23:000%-26°11%62%14048m
Sun, Mar 8
24:000%-27°11%78%7159m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

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