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Rule Morning Frost

Repovesi - Morning Frost - Southern Finland

Repovesi Nationalpark, Kymenlaakso, Finland

Frost crystals on calm, cold mornings near sunrise

Currently

Real-time conditions
Soil Temperature-5.8°C
Dew Point-10.6°C (low dew point)
Wind Speed4.5m/s (calm conditions)
Cloud Cover5%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/Helsinki
Next opportunity
Moderate Frost (radiative) at Sunrise
Repovesi
Wed, Feb 25 · 06:41–08:56 · 2h window
Medium confidence
48%
❄️Frost Probability75-84%
Soil Temperature: -5.5°C
Dew Point: -6.9°C (low dew point)
Wind Speed: 1.2m/s (calm conditions)
Cloud Cover: 5%

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast tracks the conditions that create Southern Finland's dramatic frost photography opportunities. From November through March, the region's lakes, forests, and wetlands transform under hoar frost and ice formations, with temperatures regularly dropping to -15°C or colder.

What makes Southern Finland special for frost photography:

  • Lake ice formations - Vesijärvi and Saimaa develop intricate ice patterns and frozen shoreline details
  • Torronsuo's frozen bog - The region's largest raised bog becomes an otherworldly landscape of frosted sphagnum and ice-covered pools
  • Nuuksio forest frost - Hoar frost on birch trees and frozen forest streams create intimate woodland scenes
  • Accessible winter locations - All major frost photography sites within 2 hours of Helsinki

Peak frost conditions occur during stable high-pressure systems when clear nights drop temperatures well below freezing while daytime sun creates backlit opportunities. Nuuksio's mixed forests develop heavy hoar frost on birch branches, transforming familiar trails into sparkling winter scenes. Torronsuo National Park's boardwalks traverse frosted bog landscapes where every sedge and shrub carries ice crystals. The region's thousands of lakes create endless shoreline compositions—ice formations along reed beds, frozen spray patterns, and geometric crack patterns in smooth ice. The forecast identifies calm, clear nights with appropriate temperature drops, then tracks morning visibility to ensure you can photograph the frost before midday sun melts the formations.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
3matching hours in the next 95 hoursJump to next match
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/Helsinki
Time Window
Sunrise -45m to +90m
Frost Probability
≥ 60.0%
Wind Speed
≤ 1.5m/s
Sat, Feb 21
21:0048%5m/s
22:0048%4.8m/s
23:0048%4.8m/s
Sun, Feb 22
24:0048%4.7m/s
01:0048%4.4m/s
02:0050%4.1m/s
03:0050%4m/s
04:0050%3.7m/s
05:0050%3.4m/s
06:0050%2.9m/s
07:0052%2.3m/s
08:0052%1.9m/s
09:0052%2.1m/s
10:0048%4.3m/s
11:0048%5.3m/s
12:0052%5.4m/s
13:0050%6m/s
14:0050%6m/s
15:0061%6.1m/s
16:0073%6m/s
17:0073%5.9m/s
18:0065%5.6m/s
19:0067%5.4m/s
20:0067%5m/s
21:0067%4.5m/s
22:0069%4.1m/s
23:0069%3.8m/s
Mon, Feb 23
24:0069%3.3m/s
01:0069%3m/s
02:0071%2.7m/s
03:0067%2.3m/s
04:0059%2.3m/s
05:0067%2.1m/s
06:0063%2m/s
07:0063%1.8m/s
08:0058%1.5m/s
09:0063%1.7m/s
10:0073%1.5m/s
11:0065%1.4m/s
12:0062%1.4m/s
13:0069%1.3m/s
14:0070%1.2m/s
15:0069%1m/s
16:0075%0.55m/s
17:0071%0.75m/s
18:0069%0.87m/s
19:0058%1.2m/s
20:0055%1.1m/s
21:0055%1.1m/s
22:0055%1.3m/s
23:0055%1.3m/s
Tue, Feb 24
24:0054%1.3m/s
01:0054%1.3m/s
02:0054%1.3m/s
03:0054%1.2m/s
04:0054%1.4m/s
05:0054%1.3m/s
06:0054%1.2m/s
07:0054%1.1m/s
08:0054%1.2m/s
09:0054%1.2m/s
10:0058%1.2m/s
11:0058%1.1m/s
12:0058%1.1m/s
13:0058%0.94m/s
14:0058%1m/s
15:0058%0.98m/s
16:0058%0.81m/s
17:0054%0.86m/s
18:0054%1.1m/s
19:0054%1m/s
20:0054%1m/s
21:0054%1.2m/s
22:0054%1.2m/s
23:0054%1m/s
Wed, Feb 25
24:0054%0.93m/s
01:0054%0.9m/s
02:0054%0.99m/s
03:0059%0.8m/s
04:0067%0.62m/s
05:0075%0.43m/s
06:0075%0.7m/s
07:0081%0.96m/s
08:0084%1.2m/s
09:0065%1.2m/s
10:0059%1.2m/s
11:0054%1.2m/s
12:0054%1.4m/s
13:0054%1.5m/s
14:0054%1.7m/s
15:0052%1.8m/s
16:0052%2m/s
17:0052%2.1m/s
18:0052%2.3m/s
19:0052%2.4m/s
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Frost Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Europe/Helsinki
Dew Point
°C
Surface Temperature
°C
Temperature
°C
Time Window
Total Cloud Coverage
%
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Sun, Feb 22 Sunrise 07:35 Sunset 17:18
21:00
-11°C -5.8°C -8.3°C - 5% 0.05kPa
22:00
-11°C -5.9°C -9°C - 5% 0.04kPa
23:00
-11°C -5.9°C -9.7°C - 5% 0.04kPa
Mon, Feb 23 Sunrise 07:35 Sunset 17:18
24:00
-12°C -5.9°C -10°C - 5% 0.03kPa
01:00
-13°C -5.9°C -11°C - 5% 0.02kPa
02:00
-14°C -6°C -13°C - 5% 0.02kPa
03:00
-15°C -6°C -14°C - 5% 0.01kPa
04:00
-15°C -6.1°C -15°C - 29% 0.01kPa
05:00
-16°C -6.1°C -15°C - 5% 0.01kPa
06:00
-17°C -6.2°C -16°C - 11% 0.01kPa
07:00
-17°C -6.3°C -17°C - 19% 0kPa
08:00
-18°C -6.4°C -18°C - 43% 0kPa
09:00
-14°C -6.4°C -13°C - 16% 0.01kPa
10:00
-11°C -6.4°C -9.2°C - 5% 0.04kPa
11:00
-9°C -6.4°C -6.5°C - 30% 0.06kPa
12:00
-7.6°C -6.4°C -4.8°C - 52% 0.08kPa
13:00
-6.8°C -6.4°C -3.8°C - 11% 0.09kPa
14:00
-6.4°C -6.3°C -3.3°C - 41% 0.1kPa
15:00
-6°C -6.3°C -3.3°C - 11% 0.09kPa
16:00
-5.7°C -6.2°C -4.6°C - 5% 0.03kPa
17:00
-9.4°C -6.2°C -8.7°C - 5% 0.02kPa
18:00
-12°C -6.2°C -12°C - 5% 0.01kPa
19:00
-14°C -6.2°C -14°C - 58% 0kPa
20:00
-15°C -6.2°C -15°C - 66% 0kPa
21:00
-16°C -6.3°C -16°C - 67% 0kPa
22:00
-16°C -6.4°C -16°C - 71% 0kPa
23:00
-17°C -6.5°C -17°C - 78% 0kPa
Tue, Feb 24 Sunrise 07:32 Sunset 17:20
24:00
-18°C -6.5°C -18°C - 93% 0kPa
01:00
-18°C -6.6°C -18°C - 100% 0kPa
02:00
-19°C -6.7°C -19°C - 100% 0kPa
03:00
-18°C -6.8°C -18°C - 100% 0kPa
04:00
-17°C -6.8°C -18°C - 100% 0kPa
05:00
-14°C -6.9°C -14°C - 100% 0kPa
06:00
-15°C -6.9°C -15°C - 100% 0kPa
07:00
-15°C -7°C -15°C - 100% 0kPa
08:00
-14°C -7°C -14°C - 100% 0.01kPa
09:00
-11°C -7°C -10°C - 100% 0.02kPa
10:00
-9.8°C -7°C -8.4°C - 100% 0.03kPa
11:00
-8.7°C -7°C -6.7°C - 100% 0.05kPa
12:00
-8°C -6.9°C -5.6°C - 100% 0.07kPa
13:00
-7.5°C -6.8°C -4.8°C - 100% 0.08kPa
14:00
-7.2°C -6.8°C -4.4°C - 100% 0.08kPa
15:00
-6.8°C -6.7°C -4.3°C - 100% 0.08kPa
16:00
-6°C -6.6°C -4.7°C - 100% 0.04kPa
17:00
-7°C -6.6°C -6.4°C - 100% 0.02kPa
18:00
-8.8°C -6.6°C -8.3°C - 100% 0.01kPa
19:00
-10°C -6.5°C -9.5°C - 100% 0.01kPa
20:00
-11°C -6.5°C -11°C - 100% 0.01kPa
21:00
-12°C -6.5°C -11°C - 100% 0.01kPa
22:00
-12°C -6.5°C -12°C - 100% 0.01kPa
23:00
-12°C -6.6°C -12°C - 100% 0.01kPa
Wed, Feb 25 Sunrise 07:29 Sunset 17:23
24:00
-13°C -6.6°C -13°C - 92% 0.01kPa
01:00
-14°C -6.6°C -14°C - 98% 0.01kPa
02:00
-14°C -6.7°C -14°C - 100% 0.01kPa
03:00
-12°C -6.3°C -11°C - 68% 0.02kPa
04:00
-10°C -5.9°C -8.5°C - 37% 0.04kPa
05:00
-8.3°C -5.6°C -5.7°C - 5% 0.07kPa
06:00
-7.9°C -5.6°C -5°C - 5% 0.08kPa
07:00
-7.4°C -5.5°C -4.2°C - 5% 0.1kPa
08:00
-6.9°C -5.5°C -3.4°C - 5% 0.11kPa
09:00
-7.5°C -5.5°C -5°C - 36% 0.07kPa
10:00
-8.1°C -5.4°C -6.5°C - 66% 0.04kPa
11:00
-8.8°C -5.4°C -8.1°C - 97% 0.02kPa
12:00
-10°C -5.4°C -9.5°C - 98% 0.02kPa
13:00
-11°C -5.4°C -11°C - 99% 0.01kPa
14:00
-13°C -5.4°C -12°C - 100% 0.01kPa
15:00
-12°C -5.4°C -12°C - 100% 0.01kPa
16:00
-12°C -5.4°C -11°C - 100% 0.01kPa
17:00
-11°C -5.4°C -10°C - 100% 0.02kPa
18:00
-10°C -5.4°C -9.3°C - 100% 0.02kPa
19:00
-9°C -5.4°C -8.3°C - 100% 0.02kPa
20:00
-8°C -5.4°C -7.4°C - 100% 0.02kPa
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

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