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Rule Fog Hunter

Maggie Valley - Fog Hunter - Smoky Mountains & Blue Ridge

Maggie Valley, North Carolina, United States

Thick, moody fog for atmospheric forest and landscape shots

Currently

Real-time conditions
Dewpoint Spread7.6°C
Visibility24135 (Clear)
Relative Humidity57%
Wind Speed3.4m/s (calm conditions)

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in America/New_York
fog weather icon
Next opportunity
Moderate Fog
Maggie Valley
Fri, Mar 20 · 23:00–03:00 · 4h window
Medium confidence
55%
🌫️Fog Probability75%
Dewpoint Spread: 0.4°C
Visibility: 13177 (Clear)
Relative Humidity: 98%
Wind Speed: 1.7m/s (calm conditions)

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast tracks the namesake "smoke" that gives the Great Smoky Mountains their name—the natural fog and mist that creates atmospheric conditions found nowhere else in the eastern United States. We combine humidity, temperature, and topography to predict when valleys will fill with fog while ridgelines glow above.

The Smokies generate their own weather. Dense forests release moisture through transpiration, creating the persistent haze that appears as blue smoke from a distance. Add morning temperature inversions, and valleys like Cades Cove become fog-filled bowls with mountain ridges emerging from the mist. This phenomenon occurs year-round but peaks during autumn when humidity remains high and temperatures drop.

What makes Smoky Mountains fog photography exceptional:

  • Natural smoke effect - Forest transpiration creates the blue haze that's visible even on clear days, intensifying during foggy conditions
  • Cades Cove mornings - Historic valley becomes a sea of fog with churches and barns emerging as islands
  • Blue Ridge Parkway inversions - High-elevation overlooks look down on clouds filling valleys below
  • Appalachian character - Fog transforms familiar mountain landscapes into ancient, primeval scenes

Best fog occurs on clear, calm nights followed by sunny mornings, typically September through November. Arrive at Cades Cove before dawn to catch fog at its thickest. Blue Ridge Parkway overlooks like Clingmans Dome and Waterrock Knob offer views above the clouds. The fog typically burns off by mid-morning, so timing is critical.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
America/New_York
Fog Probability
≥ 60.0%
Thu, Mar 12
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
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Fri, Mar 13
24:000%
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09:000%
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Sat, Mar 14
24:000%
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Sun, Mar 15
24:000%
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Mon, Mar 16
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Fog Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
America/New_York
Dew Point
°C
Rainfall
mm
Relative Humidity
%
Snowfall
cm
Temperature
°C
Total Precipitation
mm
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Visibility
m
Wind Gusts
m/s
Wind Speed
m/s
Fri, Mar 13 Sunrise 07:45 Sunset 19:38
09:00
-6.4°C 0mm 57% 0cm 1.2°C 0mm 0.29kPa 24135m 6.6m/s 3.4m/s
10:00
-6.8°C 0mm 43% 0cm 4.5°C 0mm 0.48kPa 24134m 7.1m/s 4m/s
11:00
-6.6°C 0mm 37% 0cm 7°C 0mm 0.63kPa 24135m 7.3m/s 4.2m/s
12:00
-6.5°C 0mm 33% 0cm 8.8°C 0mm 0.75kPa 24135m 9.6m/s 4.2m/s
13:00
-5.8°C 0mm 32% 0cm 10°C 0mm 0.86kPa 24134m 10m/s 4.8m/s
14:00
-5.9°C 0mm 28% 0cm 12°C 0mm 1kPa 24134m 12m/s 4.7m/s
15:00
-5.1°C 0mm 30% 0cm 12°C 0mm 0.96kPa 24135m 12m/s 5.3m/s
16:00
-4°C 0mm 34% 0cm 11°C 0mm 0.88kPa 24134m 10m/s 5m/s
17:00
-3.2°C 0mm 37% 0cm 11°C 0mm 0.83kPa 24135m 9.1m/s 4.4m/s
18:00
-1.5°C 0mm 43% 0cm 11°C 0mm 0.74kPa 24135m 8.2m/s 3.8m/s
19:00
-0.6°C 0mm 54% 0cm 8.2°C 0mm 0.5kPa 24134m 6.1m/s 3.1m/s
20:00
-0.5°C 0mm 68% 0cm 4.8°C 0mm 0.27kPa 24135m 3.9m/s 2.8m/s
21:00
-0.4°C 0mm 73% 0cm 4.1°C 0mm 0.22kPa 24134m 3.8m/s 2.6m/s
22:00
-0.2°C 0mm 76% 0cm 3.6°C 0mm 0.19kPa 24134m 3.5m/s 2.5m/s
23:00
0°C 0mm 80% 0cm 3.2°C 0mm 0.16kPa 24134m 2.9m/s 2.3m/s
Sat, Mar 14 Sunrise 07:44 Sunset 19:38
24:00
0.1°C 0mm 82% 0cm 2.9°C 0mm 0.14kPa 24134m 2.6m/s 2.2m/s
01:00
-0.1°C 0mm 82% 0cm 2.6°C 0mm 0.13kPa 24135m 2.2m/s 2.1m/s
02:00
-0.3°C 0mm 82% 0cm 2.4°C 0mm 0.13kPa 24134m 1.8m/s 2m/s
03:00
-0.5°C 0mm 82% 0cm 2.2°C 0mm 0.13kPa 24134m 1.6m/s 1.9m/s
04:00
-0.6°C 0mm 82% 0cm 2.1°C 0mm 0.13kPa 24134m 1.5m/s 1.7m/s
05:00
-0.5°C 0mm 83% 0cm 2.1°C 0mm 0.12kPa 24135m 1.4m/s 1.6m/s
06:00
-0.3°C 0mm 84% 0cm 2.2°C 0mm 0.12kPa 24134m 1.3m/s 1.5m/s
07:00
-0.1°C 0mm 85% 0cm 2.2°C 0mm 0.11kPa 24135m 1.1m/s 1.2m/s
08:00
0°C 0mm 85% 0cm 2.3°C 0mm 0.11kPa 24135m 0.81m/s 0.88m/s
09:00
1.1°C 0mm 72% 0cm 5.8°C 0mm 0.26kPa 24135m 0.61m/s 0.49m/s
10:00
1.7°C 0mm 57% 0cm 9.9°C 0mm 0.52kPa 24134m 0.81m/s 0.18m/s
11:00
2.1°C 0mm 47% 0cm 13°C 0mm 0.79kPa 24135m 1.6m/s 0.55m/s
12:00
2°C 0mm 40% 0cm 15°C 0mm 1.1kPa 24134m 2.4m/s 0.86m/s
13:00
1.7°C 0mm 35% 0cm 17°C 0mm 1.3kPa 24135m 2.9m/s 1.1m/s
14:00
1.6°C 0mm 33% 0cm 18°C 0mm 1.4kPa 24135m 3.9m/s 1.6m/s
15:00
1.8°C 0mm 33% 0cm 19°C 0mm 1.4kPa 24134m 4.1m/s 2.2m/s
16:00
2.3°C 0mm 34% 0cm 18°C 0mm 1.4kPa 24134m 4m/s 2.5m/s
17:00
2.7°C 0mm 37% 0cm 17°C 0mm 1.3kPa 24135m 4m/s 2.7m/s
18:00
3.8°C 0mm 44% 0cm 16°C 0mm 1kPa 24135m 3.9m/s 2.8m/s
19:00
5.2°C 0mm 59% 0cm 13°C 0mm 0.6kPa 24135m 3.3m/s 2.3m/s
20:00
4.1°C 0mm 71% 0cm 9.1°C 0mm 0.34kPa 24134m 2m/s 2.3m/s
21:00
3.6°C 0mm 74% 0cm 8°C 0mm 0.28kPa 24134m 1.9m/s 2.2m/s
22:00
3.3°C 0mm 76% 0cm 7.4°C 0mm 0.25kPa 24135m 2.2m/s 2.2m/s
23:00
3.2°C 0mm 77% 0cm 7.1°C 0mm 0.23kPa 24134m 2.3m/s 2.2m/s
Sun, Mar 15 Sunrise 07:43 Sunset 19:39
24:00
3.3°C 0mm 77% 0cm 7°C 0mm 0.23kPa 24134m 2.2m/s 2.2m/s
01:00
3.1°C 0mm 77% 0cm 6.8°C 0mm 0.23kPa 24135m 1.9m/s 2.2m/s
02:00
3.1°C 0mm 78% 0cm 6.8°C 0mm 0.22kPa 24135m 2.3m/s 2.3m/s
03:00
2.8°C 0mm 77% 0cm 6.6°C 0mm 0.22kPa 24134m 2.3m/s 2.3m/s
04:00
2.8°C 0mm 78% 0cm 6.4°C 0mm 0.21kPa 24135m 2.6m/s 2.5m/s
05:00
2.8°C 0mm 80% 0cm 6.1°C 0mm 0.19kPa 24134m 2.6m/s 2.3m/s
06:00
3°C 0mm 81% 0cm 6.1°C 0mm 0.18kPa 24134m 2.4m/s 2.2m/s
07:00
3.6°C 0mm 86% 0cm 5.7°C 0mm 0.13kPa 24135m 3.1m/s 2.4m/s
08:00
4.8°C 0mm 92% 0cm 6°C 0mm 0.07kPa 24135m 3.2m/s 2.4m/s
09:00
6.4°C 0mm 87% 0cm 8.4°C 0mm 0.14kPa 24135m 4.8m/s 2.5m/s
10:00
7.7°C 0.02mm 81% 0cm 11°C 0mm 0.24kPa 16121m 9m/s 3.1m/s
11:00
7.9°C 0mm 86% 0cm 10°C 0.06mm 0.17kPa 16054m 8.2m/s 2.9m/s
12:00
8.4°C 0mm 78% 0cm 12°C 0.06mm 0.31kPa 4041m 9.7m/s 3.7m/s
13:00
8.3°C 0mm 76% 0cm 13°C 0.06mm 0.35kPa 17494m 9.4m/s 3.7m/s
14:00
7.6°C 0mm 64% 0cm 14°C 0.06mm 0.58kPa 24135m 11m/s 4.1m/s
15:00
8.6°C 0mm 71% 0cm 14°C 0.08mm 0.45kPa 24135m 12m/s 4.2m/s
16:00
9.5°C 0mm 79% 0cm 13°C 0.1mm 0.32kPa 24135m 13m/s 4.3m/s
17:00
10°C 0mm 86% 0cm 12°C 0.13mm 0.2kPa 24135m 13m/s 4.3m/s
18:00
10°C 0.01mm 86% 0cm 13°C 0.19mm 0.2kPa 21489m 14m/s 4.4m/s
19:00
11°C 0.02mm 86% 0cm 13°C 0.25mm 0.2kPa 18842m 15m/s 4.5m/s
20:00
11°C 0.03mm 87% 0cm 13°C 0.31mm 0.2kPa 16196m 16m/s 4.6m/s
21:00
11°C 0.03mm 86% 0cm 13°C 0.29mm 0.21kPa 18842m 17m/s 4.7m/s
22:00
11°C 0.02mm 85% 0cm 13°C 0.27mm 0.22kPa 21489m 17m/s 4.7m/s
23:00
10°C 0.02mm 84% 0cm 13°C 0.25mm 0.24kPa 24135m 18m/s 4.8m/s
Mon, Mar 16 Sunrise 07:41 Sunset 19:40
24:00
10°C 0.03mm 84% 0cm 13°C 0.29mm 0.24kPa 24135m 18m/s 4.7m/s
01:00
10°C 0.05mm 83% 0cm 13°C 0.33mm 0.25kPa 24135m 18m/s 4.7m/s
02:00
9.8°C 0.06mm 83% 0cm 13°C 0.38mm 0.25kPa 24135m 18m/s 4.7m/s
03:00
10°C 0.5mm 87% 0cm 13°C 3.2mm 0.19kPa 17953m 18m/s 4.7m/s
04:00
11°C 0.93mm 91% 0cm 12°C 6mm 0.13kPa 11770m 18m/s 4.7m/s
05:00
11°C 1.4mm 95% 0cm 12°C 8.8mm 0.07kPa 5588m 17m/s 4.7m/s
06:00
9.3°C 1mm 94% 0cm 10°C 11mm 0.08kPa 10698m 15m/s 4.4m/s
07:00
7.2°C 0.66mm 93% 0cm 8.3°C 14mm 0.08kPa 15808m 12m/s 4.1m/s
08:00
5.1°C 0.31mm 92% 0cm 6.3°C 17mm 0.08kPa 20918m 8.9m/s 3.8m/s
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

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