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Rule Fog Hunter

Fog Hunter Forecast for Bryson City, Smoky Mountains & Blue Ridge

Bryson City, North Carolina, United States

Bryson City sits beside the Tuckasegee River near Deep Creek, with waterfall trails, wooded slopes, and Fontana Lake coves nearby.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Fog Probability
0%
Dewpoint Spread13.7°C
Visibility24135 (Clear)
Relative Humidity43%
Wind Speed4.5m/s (calm conditions)

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in America/New_York

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (95-hour forecast)

  • Fog Probability100% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Fog Hunter conditions across Smoky Mountains & Blue Ridge. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Bryson City.

Explore Fog Hunter conditions across Smoky Mountains & Blue Ridge →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Bryson City during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
4
recorded matching windows · 83% average confidence
Last 90 days
12
recorded matching windows · 69% average confidence
Last 365 days
20
recorded matching windows · 74% average confidence
Most frequent recorded start hour

03:00 local time, shared by 7 of 20 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

Most represented month

May, with 14 of 20 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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95-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 95-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
America/New_York
Fog Probability
≥ 75.0%
Fri, Aug 21
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Sat, Aug 22
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:0055%
04:0055%
05:0055%
06:0055%
07:0055%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Sun, Aug 23
24:000%
01:000%
02:0030%
03:0053%
04:0055%
05:0055%
06:0055%
07:0055%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Mon, Aug 24
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Tue, Aug 25
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Fog Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
America/New_York
Clear Sky Probability (Ensemble)
%
Dew Point
°C
Rainfall
mm
Relative Humidity
%
Snowfall
cm
Solar Elevation
°
Temperature
°C
Total Precipitation
mm
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Visibility
m
Wind Gusts
m/s
Wind Speed
m/s
Sat, Aug 22 Sunrise 06:58 Sunset 20:13
16:00
100% 13°C 0mm 43% 0cm 50° 27°C 0mm 2kPa 24135m 5m/s 4.5m/s
17:00
100% 14°C 0mm 46% 0cm 38° 26°C 0mm 1.9kPa 24135m 4.9m/s 4.1m/s
18:00
100% 14°C 0mm 50% 0cm 26° 25°C 0mm 1.6kPa 24134m 4.6m/s 3.1m/s
19:00
99% 17°C 0mm 73% 0cm 14° 22°C 0.25mm 0.73kPa 16461m 3.6m/s 2.2m/s
20:00 ☾
99% 16°C 0mm 82% 0cm 2.2° 20°C 0.38mm 0.42kPa 24134m 1.1m/s 1m/s
21:00 ☾
99% 16°C 0mm 85% 0cm -9.7° 18°C 0.13mm 0.3kPa 24134m 1.6m/s 1.7m/s
22:00 ☾
98% 15°C 0mm 88% 0cm -21° 17°C 0.19mm 0.23kPa 24134m 1.6m/s 1.6m/s
23:00 ☾
98% 15°C 0mm 90% 0cm -30° 17°C 0.25mm 0.18kPa 24134m 1.1m/s 1.1m/s
Sun, Aug 23 Sunrise 06:59 Sunset 20:12
24:00 ☾
97% 15°C 0mm 92% 0cm -38° 16°C 0.38mm 0.15kPa 24134m 1.2m/s 1.2m/s
01:00 ☾
95% 15°C 0mm 94% 0cm -42° 16°C 0.5mm 0.11kPa 24135m 1.2m/s 1.3m/s
02:00 ☾
94% 15°C 0mm 95% 0cm -43° 16°C 0.5mm 0.08kPa 24135m 1.3m/s 1.4m/s
03:00 ☾
90% 15°C 0mm 95% 0cm -39° 16°C 0mm 0.09kPa 24135m 1.2m/s 1.3m/s
04:00 ☾
86% 15°C 0mm 96% 0cm -32° 16°C 0mm 0.08kPa 24134m 1.2m/s 1.3m/s
05:00 ☾
82% 15°C 0mm 96% 0cm -23° 15°C 0mm 0.06kPa 24134m 1.2m/s 1.2m/s
06:00 ☾
84% 14°C 0mm 96% 0cm -12° 15°C 0mm 0.06kPa 24134m 1.2m/s 1.3m/s
07:00
86% 14°C 0mm 96% 0cm -0.25° 14°C 0mm 0.06kPa 24135m 1.4m/s 1.5m/s
08:00
88% 14°C 0mm 93% 0cm 11° 15°C 0mm 0.11kPa 24135m 1.1m/s 1.2m/s
09:00
92% 15°C 0mm 83% 0cm 24° 18°C 0mm 0.35kPa 24135m 1.8m/s 1.2m/s
10:00
95% 14°C 0mm 67% 0cm 36° 20°C 0mm 0.79kPa 24134m 2.6m/s 1.5m/s
11:00
99% 9.9°C 0mm 45% 0cm 47° 22°C 0mm 1.5kPa 24135m 5.2m/s 2.1m/s
12:00
99% 7.4°C 0mm 35% 0cm 57° 24°C 0mm 1.9kPa 24135m 6.2m/s 2.8m/s
13:00
100% 5.5°C 0mm 30% 0cm 64° 24°C 0mm 2.1kPa 24134m 5.9m/s 3m/s
14:00
100% 4.7°C 0mm 27% 0cm 65° 25°C 0mm 2.3kPa 24135m 5m/s 3m/s
15:00
99% 5.7°C 0mm 29% 0cm 59° 25°C 0mm 2.2kPa 24134m 4.3m/s 3.2m/s
16:00
99% 7.1°C 0mm 33% 0cm 49° 25°C 0mm 2.1kPa 24134m 3.9m/s 3m/s
17:00
98% 8°C 0mm 36% 0cm 38° 24°C 0mm 1.9kPa 24134m 3.5m/s 2.7m/s
18:00
95% 9.2°C 0mm 41% 0cm 26° 23°C 0mm 1.6kPa 24134m 3.2m/s 2.4m/s
19:00
92% 13°C 0mm 60% 0cm 14° 21°C 0mm 0.97kPa 24134m 2.8m/s 1.8m/s
20:00 ☾
89% 11°C 0mm 69% 0cm 2° 17°C 0mm 0.59kPa 24134m 1.3m/s 1.4m/s
21:00 ☾
76% 9.9°C 0mm 69% 0cm -10° 15°C 0mm 0.54kPa 24134m 1.6m/s 1.7m/s
22:00 ☾
63% 9.6°C 0mm 69% 0cm -21° 15°C 0mm 0.54kPa 24134m 1.6m/s 1.7m/s
23:00 ☾
50% 9.9°C 0mm 72% 0cm -31° 15°C 0mm 0.47kPa 24135m 1.4m/s 1.6m/s
Mon, Aug 24 Sunrise 07:00 Sunset 20:11
24:00 ☾
46% 10°C 0mm 78% 0cm -38° 14°C 0mm 0.36kPa 24134m 1.2m/s 1.3m/s
01:00 ☾
43% 10°C 0mm 82% 0cm -43° 13°C 0mm 0.28kPa 24134m 1.1m/s 1.2m/s
02:00 ☾
39% 10°C 0mm 81% 0cm -43° 14°C 0mm 0.3kPa 24134m 1.1m/s 1.2m/s
03:00 ☾
46% 10°C 0mm 81% 0cm -39° 13°C 0mm 0.29kPa 24134m 1.2m/s 1.3m/s
04:00 ☾
52% 9.7°C 0mm 79% 0cm -32° 13°C 0mm 0.31kPa 24135m 1.3m/s 1.5m/s
05:00 ☾
59% 9.3°C 0mm 79% 0cm -23° 13°C 0mm 0.32kPa 24135m 1.1m/s 1.2m/s
06:00 ☾
55% 8.9°C 0mm 80% 0cm -12° 12°C 0mm 0.29kPa 24134m 1m/s 1.1m/s
07:00 ☾
52% 8.7°C 0mm 80% 0cm -0.48° 12°C 0mm 0.28kPa 24134m 1.2m/s 1.2m/s
08:00
48% 9.9°C 0mm 79% 0cm 11° 13°C 0mm 0.32kPa 24134m 1.1m/s 1.1m/s
09:00
50% 11°C 0mm 66% 0cm 23° 17°C 0mm 0.67kPa 24134m 1m/s 0.71m/s
10:00
52% 11°C 0mm 55% 0cm 35° 20°C 0mm 1.1kPa 24135m 0.63m/s 0.41m/s
11:00
54% 9.8°C 0mm 46% 0cm 47° 22°C 0mm 1.4kPa 24134m 1.4m/s 1m/s
12:00
53% 8.8°C 0mm 37% 0cm 57° 24°C 0mm 1.9kPa 24135m 1.5m/s 1m/s
13:00
53% 7.4°C 0mm 32% 0cm 64° 25°C 0mm 2.1kPa 24134m 2.3m/s 1.6m/s
14:00
52% 7.1°C 0mm 31% 0cm 65° 26°C 0mm 2.3kPa 24135m 2.3m/s 1.8m/s
15:00
56% 7.1°C 0mm 30% 0cm 59° 26°C 0mm 2.3kPa 24134m 2.5m/s 2.2m/s
16:00
59% 7.3°C 0mm 31% 0cm 49° 26°C 0mm 2.3kPa 24134m 2.6m/s 2.7m/s
17:00
63% 8.3°C 0mm 35% 0cm 38° 25°C 0mm 2kPa 24134m 2.5m/s 2.9m/s
18:00
62% 9.9°C 0mm 42% 0cm 26° 23°C 0mm 1.7kPa 24135m 2.4m/s 2.5m/s
19:00
62% 14°C 0mm 64% 0cm 14° 21°C 0mm 0.87kPa 24134m 2m/s 1.8m/s
20:00 ☾
61% 12°C 0mm 74% 0cm 1.8° 17°C 0mm 0.49kPa 24134m 1.8m/s 2.1m/s
21:00 ☾
59% 11°C 0mm 74% 0cm -10° 16°C 0mm 0.45kPa 24134m 1.6m/s 1.8m/s
22:00 ☾
56% 9.8°C 0mm 75% 0cm -21° 14°C 0mm 0.41kPa 24134m 1.4m/s 1.5m/s
23:00 ☾
54% 8.5°C 0mm 75% 0cm -31° 13°C 0mm 0.38kPa 24135m 1.1m/s 1.1m/s
Tue, Aug 25 Sunrise 07:01 Sunset 20:09
24:00 ☾
53% 9.2°C 0mm 75% 0cm -39° 14°C 0mm 0.4kPa 24135m 1.1m/s 1.1m/s
01:00 ☾
53% 9.9°C 0mm 75% 0cm -43° 14°C 0mm 0.41kPa 24135m 1m/s 1m/s
02:00 ☾
52% 11°C 0mm 75% 0cm -43° 15°C 0mm 0.43kPa 24135m 0.95m/s 0.93m/s
03:00 ☾
49% 11°C 0mm 67% 0cm -40° 17°C 0mm 0.65kPa 24135m 0.94m/s 0.82m/s
04:00 ☾
47% 12°C 0mm 60% 0cm -33° 20°C 0mm 0.91kPa 24135m 0.94m/s 0.71m/s
05:00 ☾
44% 12°C 0mm 52% 0cm -23° 22°C 0mm 1.2kPa 24135m 0.93m/s 0.6m/s
06:00 ☾
45% 12°C 0mm 55% 0cm -13° 22°C 0mm 1.2kPa 24135m 1.2m/s 0.86m/s
07:00 ☾
45% 13°C 0mm 57% 0cm -0.69° 22°C 0mm 1.1kPa 24135m 1.4m/s 1.1m/s
08:00
46% 13°C 0mm 59% 0cm 11° 21°C 0mm 1.1kPa 24135m 1.6m/s 1.4m/s
09:00
54% 13°C 0mm 57% 0cm 23° 22°C 0mm 1.1kPa 24135m 1.5m/s 1.3m/s
10:00
62% 13°C 0mm 56% 0cm 35° 22°C 0mm 1.2kPa 24135m 1.3m/s 1.3m/s
11:00
70% 13°C 0mm 54% 0cm 47° 22°C 0mm 1.2kPa 24135m 1.1m/s 1.2m/s
12:00
70% 13°C 0mm 62% 0cm 57° 21°C 0mm 0.93kPa 24135m 1.3m/s 1.4m/s
13:00
70% 13°C 0mm 69% 0cm 64° 19°C 0mm 0.68kPa 24135m 1.5m/s 1.6m/s
14:00
70% 13°C 0mm 77% 0cm 65° 17°C 0mm 0.46kPa 24135m 1.6m/s 1.8m/s
15:00
68% 13°C 0mm 77% 0cm 59° 17°C 0mm 0.45kPa 24135m 1.5m/s 1.6m/s
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →
Forecast generated

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