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Rule Fog Hunter

Fog Hunter Forecast for Brevard, Smoky Mountains & Blue Ridge

Brevard, North Carolina, United States

Brevard is surrounded by Pisgah forest, where Looking Glass Rock, tumbling creeks, dense hardwoods, and numerous waterfalls shape intimate scenes.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Fog Probability
0%
Dewpoint Spread2.4°C
Visibility24134 (Clear)
Relative Humidity86%
Wind Speed1.8m/s (calm conditions)

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in America/New_York

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (95-hour forecast)

  • Fog Probability100% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Fog Hunter conditions across Smoky Mountains & Blue Ridge. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Brevard.

Explore Fog Hunter conditions across Smoky Mountains & Blue Ridge →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Brevard during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
3
recorded matching windows · 73% average confidence
Last 90 days
10
recorded matching windows · 83% average confidence
Last 365 days
10
recorded matching windows · 83% average confidence
Most represented month

May, with 7 of 10 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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95-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 95-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
America/New_York
Fog Probability
≥ 75.0%
Tue, Jul 14
22:000%
23:000%
Wed, Jul 15
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Thu, Jul 16
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Fri, Jul 17
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Sat, Jul 18
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Fog Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
America/New_York
Clear Sky Probability (Ensemble)
%
Dew Point
°C
Rainfall
mm
Relative Humidity
%
Snowfall
cm
Solar Elevation
°
Temperature
°C
Total Precipitation
mm
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Visibility
m
Wind Gusts
m/s
Wind Speed
m/s
Wed, Jul 15 Sunrise 06:28 Sunset 20:45
22:00 ☾
98% 18°C 0mm 86% 0cm -14° 21°C 0mm 0.34kPa 24134m 1.6m/s 1.8m/s
23:00 ☾
100% 18°C 0mm 89% 0cm -22° 20°C 0mm 0.26kPa 24134m 1.6m/s 1.8m/s
Thu, Jul 16 Sunrise 06:28 Sunset 20:45
24:00 ☾
100% 18°C 0mm 88% 0cm -29° 20°C 0mm 0.28kPa 24135m 1.6m/s 1.9m/s
01:00 ☾
100% 17°C 0mm 87% 0cm -33° 20°C 0mm 0.29kPa 24135m 1.6m/s 1.9m/s
02:00 ☾
100% 17°C 0mm 87% 0cm -33° 19°C 0mm 0.29kPa 24134m 1.7m/s 1.9m/s
03:00 ☾
100% 17°C 0mm 87% 0cm -30° 19°C 0mm 0.29kPa 24134m 1.6m/s 1.9m/s
04:00 ☾
100% 17°C 0mm 87% 0cm -24° 19°C 0mm 0.29kPa 24134m 1.6m/s 1.9m/s
05:00 ☾
100% 17°C 0mm 88% 0cm -16° 19°C 0mm 0.27kPa 24135m 1.8m/s 2.1m/s
06:00 ☾
100% 17°C 0mm 88% 0cm -5.8° 19°C 0mm 0.25kPa 24135m 1.7m/s 2m/s
07:00
100% 17°C 0mm 89% 0cm 5.2° 19°C 0mm 0.25kPa 24135m 1.7m/s 2m/s
08:00
100% 18°C 0mm 81% 0cm 17° 22°C 0mm 0.48kPa 24135m 1.9m/s 1.5m/s
09:00
100% 18°C 0mm 68% 0cm 29° 25°C 0mm 0.99kPa 24134m 2.1m/s 1.5m/s
10:00
100% 17°C 0mm 56% 0cm 41° 27°C 0mm 1.6kPa 24135m 2.2m/s 1.5m/s
11:00
100% 16°C 0mm 46% 0cm 53° 29°C 0mm 2.1kPa 24135m 2m/s 1.5m/s
12:00
100% 15°C 0mm 40% 0cm 65° 30°C 0mm 2.6kPa 24134m 2m/s 1.8m/s
13:00
100% 14°C 0mm 36% 0cm 74° 31°C 0mm 2.9kPa 24135m 2.2m/s 2.4m/s
14:00
100% 14°C 0mm 34% 0cm 75° 32°C 0mm 3.1kPa 24134m 2.2m/s 2.4m/s
15:00
99% 13°C 0mm 32% 0cm 67° 32°C 0mm 3.3kPa 24134m 2.5m/s 2.6m/s
16:00
99% 13°C 0mm 31% 0cm 56° 32°C 0mm 3.3kPa 24135m 2.7m/s 2.7m/s
17:00
98% 14°C 0mm 33% 0cm 44° 32°C 0mm 3.2kPa 24134m 2.5m/s 2.5m/s
18:00
98% 16°C 0mm 46% 0cm 31° 29°C 0mm 2.1kPa 24135m 2.6m/s 2m/s
19:00
99% 18°C 0mm 60% 0cm 19° 26°C 0mm 1.3kPa 24135m 1.6m/s 1.5m/s
20:00 ☾
99% 17°C 0mm 62% 0cm 7.7° 25°C 0mm 1.2kPa 24134m 1.5m/s 1.6m/s
21:00 ☾
94% 16°C 0mm 58% 0cm -3.4° 25°C 0mm 1.3kPa 24135m 1.6m/s 1.7m/s
22:00 ☾
90% 16°C 0mm 61% 0cm -14° 24°C 0mm 1.1kPa 24134m 1.6m/s 1.9m/s
23:00 ☾
85% 16°C 0mm 66% 0cm -22° 22°C 0mm 0.91kPa 24135m 1.7m/s 2m/s
Fri, Jul 17 Sunrise 06:29 Sunset 20:44
24:00 ☾
87% 16°C 0mm 70% 0cm -29° 22°C 0mm 0.78kPa 24135m 1.6m/s 1.9m/s
01:00 ☾
90% 16°C 0mm 72% 0cm -33° 22°C 0mm 0.72kPa 24134m 1.7m/s 2m/s
02:00 ☾
92% 17°C 0mm 74% 0cm -33° 21°C 0mm 0.65kPa 24135m 1.8m/s 2.2m/s
03:00 ☾
88% 17°C 0mm 76% 0cm -30° 21°C 0mm 0.59kPa 24134m 1.9m/s 2.3m/s
04:00 ☾
85% 16°C 0mm 77% 0cm -24° 21°C 0mm 0.56kPa 24134m 1.9m/s 2.3m/s
05:00 ☾
81% 16°C 0mm 77% 0cm -16° 20°C 0mm 0.56kPa 24135m 1.9m/s 2.3m/s
06:00 ☾
80% 16°C 0mm 77% 0cm -6° 20°C 0mm 0.53kPa 24134m 1.9m/s 2.3m/s
07:00
79% 17°C 0mm 81% 0cm 5.1° 20°C 0mm 0.45kPa 24135m 2m/s 2.3m/s
08:00
78% 19°C 0mm 79% 0cm 17° 22°C 0mm 0.57kPa 24135m 2.8m/s 1.9m/s
09:00
76% 19°C 0mm 66% 0cm 29° 26°C 0mm 1.1kPa 24135m 2.8m/s 1.8m/s
10:00
73% 19°C 0mm 59% 0cm 41° 27°C 0.13mm 1.5kPa 19145m 3.4m/s 2.1m/s
11:00
71% 18°C 0mm 53% 0cm 53° 29°C 0.25mm 1.8kPa 24135m 3.5m/s 2.5m/s
12:00
72% 17°C 0mm 47% 0cm 64° 30°C 0.38mm 2.2kPa 24134m 3m/s 2.7m/s
13:00
74% 16°C 0mm 39% 0cm 74° 31°C 0.38mm 2.8kPa 24134m 2.5m/s 3.4m/s
14:00
75% 15°C 0mm 36% 0cm 75° 32°C 0.38mm 3kPa 24134m 2.5m/s 3.6m/s
15:00
67% 15°C 0mm 34% 0cm 67° 32°C 0mm 3.1kPa 24135m 2.4m/s 3.4m/s
16:00
60% 16°C 0mm 39% 0cm 56° 31°C 0mm 2.7kPa 24135m 2.9m/s 2.9m/s
17:00
52% 17°C 0mm 46% 0cm 44° 29°C 0mm 2.2kPa 24134m 4.6m/s 2.8m/s
18:00
46% 17°C 0mm 50% 0cm 31° 29°C 0mm 2kPa 24135m 6.1m/s 3.8m/s
19:00
40% 19°C 0mm 58% 0cm 19° 27°C 0.06mm 1.5kPa 24134m 5.4m/s 1.9m/s
20:00 ☾
34% 18°C 0mm 68% 0cm 7.7° 25°C 0.13mm 1kPa 24134m 1.3m/s 1.3m/s
21:00 ☾
32% 19°C 0mm 80% 0cm -3.5° 22°C 0.38mm 0.55kPa 24134m 2.2m/s 2m/s
22:00 ☾
31% 19°C 0mm 85% 0cm -14° 21°C 0.44mm 0.39kPa 24134m 1.8m/s 2m/s
23:00 ☾
29% 19°C 0mm 89% 0cm -23° 20°C 0.56mm 0.26kPa 24135m 2m/s 2.2m/s
Sat, Jul 18 Sunrise 06:30 Sunset 20:44
24:00 ☾
29% 19°C 0mm 89% 0cm -29° 20°C 0.56mm 0.27kPa 24134m 1.9m/s 2.2m/s
01:00 ☾
30% 18°C 0mm 94% 0cm -33° 19°C 1mm 0.14kPa 24134m 2.4m/s 2.3m/s
02:00 ☾
30% 18°C 0mm 95% 0cm -33° 19°C 1mm 0.11kPa 24134m 2.3m/s 2.3m/s
03:00 ☾
33% 19°C 0mm 79% 0cm -30° 23°C 0.67mm 0.6kPa 24134m 1.9m/s 1.8m/s
04:00 ☾
37% 20°C 0mm 63% 0cm -24° 27°C 0.33mm 1.4kPa 24135m 1.6m/s 1.4m/s
05:00 ☾
40% 19°C 0mm 47% 0cm -16° 32°C 0mm 2.5kPa 24135m 1.2m/s 0.9m/s
06:00 ☾
41% 19°C 0mm 45% 0cm -6.1° 33°C 0.02mm 2.7kPa 24135m 1.6m/s 1.2m/s
07:00
42% 19°C 0mm 44% 0cm 4.9° 33°C 0.04mm 2.8kPa 24135m 2m/s 1.5m/s
08:00
43% 19°C 0mm 43% 0cm 16° 34°C 0.06mm 3kPa 24135m 2.3m/s 1.7m/s
09:00
53% 20°C 0.01mm 51% 0cm 28° 32°C 0.17mm 2.3kPa 24135m 2.2m/s 1.7m/s
10:00
62% 21°C 0.02mm 59% 0cm 41° 30°C 0.27mm 1.7kPa 24135m 2.1m/s 1.7m/s
11:00
72% 21°C 0.03mm 67% 0cm 53° 28°C 0.38mm 1.2kPa 24135m 2m/s 1.7m/s
12:00
72% 21°C 0.02mm 67% 0cm 64° 28°C 0.4mm 1.2kPa 24135m 2m/s 1.6m/s
13:00
71% 21°C 0.01mm 67% 0cm 74° 28°C 0.42mm 1.2kPa 24135m 1.9m/s 1.5m/s
14:00
71% 21°C 0mm 67% 0cm 75° 28°C 0.44mm 1.2kPa 24135m 1.8m/s 1.4m/s
15:00
66% 21°C 0mm 70% 0cm 67° 27°C 0.29mm 1kPa 24135m 1.8m/s 1.4m/s
16:00
62% 20°C 0mm 73% 0cm 56° 25°C 0.15mm 0.87kPa 24135m 1.7m/s 1.5m/s
17:00
57% 19°C 0mm 76% 0cm 44° 24°C 0mm 0.72kPa 24135m 1.6m/s 1.6m/s
18:00
49% 19°C 0mm 77% 0cm 31° 23°C 0mm 0.65kPa 24135m 1.5m/s 1.5m/s
19:00
40% 19°C 0mm 79% 0cm 19° 23°C 0mm 0.59kPa 24135m 1.4m/s 1.5m/s
20:00 ☾
32% 19°C 0mm 80% 0cm 7.6° 22°C 0mm 0.53kPa 24135m 1.3m/s 1.4m/s
21:00 ☾
30% 18°C 0mm 80% 0cm -3.6° 22°C 0mm 0.52kPa 24135m 1.3m/s 1.4m/s
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →
Forecast generated

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