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Rule Fog Hunter

Fog Hunter Forecast for Blowing Rock, Smoky Mountains & Blue Ridge

Blowing Rock, North Carolina, United States

Blowing Rock overlooks the Blue Ridge, with nearby parkway pullouts, Grandfather Mountain, rocky outcrops, and folded valleys for long views.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Fog Probability
0%
Dewpoint Spread4.1°C
Visibility24134 (Clear)
Relative Humidity77%
Wind Speed0.7m/s (calm conditions)

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in America/New_York

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (95-hour forecast)

  • Fog Probability100% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Fog Hunter conditions across Smoky Mountains & Blue Ridge. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Blowing Rock.

Explore Fog Hunter conditions across Smoky Mountains & Blue Ridge →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Blowing Rock during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
11
recorded matching windows · 76% average confidence
Last 90 days
31
recorded matching windows · 83% average confidence
Last 365 days
31
recorded matching windows · 83% average confidence
Most frequent recorded start hour

05:00 local time, shared by 6 of 31 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

Most represented month

May, with 14 of 31 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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95-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 95-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
America/New_York
Fog Probability
≥ 75.0%
Tue, Jul 14
22:000%
23:000%
Wed, Jul 15
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Thu, Jul 16
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Fri, Jul 17
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Sat, Jul 18
24:0032%
01:0039%
02:0041%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Fog Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
America/New_York
Clear Sky Probability (Ensemble)
%
Dew Point
°C
Rainfall
mm
Relative Humidity
%
Snowfall
cm
Solar Elevation
°
Temperature
°C
Total Precipitation
mm
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Visibility
m
Wind Gusts
m/s
Wind Speed
m/s
Wed, Jul 15 Sunrise 06:22 Sunset 20:43
22:00 ☾
100% 15°C 0mm 77% 0cm -14° 19°C 0mm 0.51kPa 24134m 0.7m/s 0.75m/s
23:00 ☾
100% 15°C 0mm 77% 0cm -22° 19°C 0mm 0.49kPa 24134m 0.71m/s 0.77m/s
Thu, Jul 16 Sunrise 06:22 Sunset 20:43
24:00 ☾
100% 14°C 0mm 76% 0cm -28° 19°C 0mm 0.51kPa 24135m 1.1m/s 1.2m/s
01:00 ☾
100% 14°C 0mm 75% 0cm -32° 18°C 0mm 0.52kPa 24135m 1.2m/s 1.4m/s
02:00 ☾
100% 13°C 0mm 75% 0cm -32° 18°C 0mm 0.52kPa 24134m 1.5m/s 1.7m/s
03:00 ☾
99% 13°C 0mm 76% 0cm -29° 17°C 0mm 0.47kPa 24134m 1.5m/s 1.7m/s
04:00 ☾
99% 13°C 0mm 78% 0cm -23° 17°C 0mm 0.42kPa 24134m 1.4m/s 1.6m/s
05:00 ☾
98% 13°C 0mm 80% 0cm -15° 17°C 0mm 0.39kPa 24135m 1.4m/s 1.7m/s
06:00 ☾
98% 14°C 0mm 81% 0cm -4.6° 17°C 0mm 0.36kPa 24135m 1.5m/s 1.7m/s
07:00
97% 14°C 0mm 83% 0cm 6.3° 17°C 0mm 0.33kPa 24135m 1.6m/s 1.8m/s
08:00
97% 15°C 0mm 77% 0cm 18° 19°C 0mm 0.52kPa 24135m 2.9m/s 1.9m/s
09:00
95% 16°C 0mm 66% 0cm 30° 23°C 0mm 0.94kPa 24134m 2.6m/s 1.8m/s
10:00
93% 16°C 0mm 57% 0cm 42° 25°C 0mm 1.4kPa 24135m 2.8m/s 2.1m/s
11:00
91% 16°C 0mm 50% 0cm 54° 27°C 0mm 1.8kPa 24135m 2.3m/s 2.1m/s
12:00
92% 15°C 0mm 44% 0cm 65° 29°C 0mm 2.2kPa 24134m 2.2m/s 2m/s
13:00
92% 15°C 0mm 39% 0cm 74° 31°C 0mm 2.7kPa 24135m 2m/s 1.6m/s
14:00
93% 14°C 0mm 35% 0cm 74° 32°C 0mm 3kPa 24134m 2.1m/s 1.3m/s
15:00
81% 14°C 0mm 34% 0cm 66° 32°C 0mm 3.1kPa 24134m 2m/s 1m/s
16:00
70% 18°C 0mm 51% 0cm 55° 29°C 0mm 1.9kPa 24135m 1.9m/s 1.2m/s
17:00
58% 17°C 0mm 62% 0cm 43° 25°C 0mm 1.2kPa 24134m 1.5m/s 1.5m/s
18:00
53% 17°C 0mm 65% 0cm 31° 24°C 0mm 1.1kPa 24135m 1.2m/s 1.3m/s
19:00
47% 17°C 0mm 65% 0cm 19° 24°C 0mm 1kPa 24135m 1m/s 1m/s
20:00 ☾
42% 17°C 0mm 65% 0cm 7.3° 24°C 0mm 1kPa 24134m 1.2m/s 1.2m/s
21:00 ☾
41% 16°C 0mm 64% 0cm -3.7° 24°C 0mm 1kPa 24135m 1.2m/s 1.2m/s
22:00 ☾
41% 16°C 0mm 64% 0cm -14° 23°C 0mm 1kPa 24134m 1.2m/s 1.3m/s
23:00 ☾
40% 16°C 0mm 64% 0cm -22° 23°C 0mm 1kPa 24135m 1.3m/s 1.3m/s
Fri, Jul 17 Sunrise 06:22 Sunset 20:42
24:00 ☾
42% 16°C 0mm 66% 0cm -29° 23°C 0mm 0.93kPa 24135m 1.5m/s 1.6m/s
01:00 ☾
43% 16°C 0mm 73% 0cm -32° 21°C 0mm 0.68kPa 24134m 1.7m/s 1.8m/s
02:00 ☾
45% 16°C 0mm 76% 0cm -32° 20°C 0mm 0.57kPa 24135m 1.6m/s 1.8m/s
03:00 ☾
49% 17°C 0mm 80% 0cm -29° 20°C 0mm 0.47kPa 24134m 1.4m/s 1.5m/s
04:00 ☾
54% 17°C 0mm 82% 0cm -23° 20°C 0mm 0.4kPa 24134m 1.4m/s 1.5m/s
05:00 ☾
58% 17°C 0mm 87% 0cm -15° 19°C 0mm 0.28kPa 24135m 1.3m/s 1.5m/s
06:00 ☾
58% 17°C 0mm 90% 0cm -4.8° 19°C 0mm 0.23kPa 24134m 1.3m/s 1.5m/s
07:00
57% 18°C 0mm 90% 0cm 6.2° 19°C 0mm 0.22kPa 24135m 1.3m/s 1.4m/s
08:00
57% 19°C 0mm 82% 0cm 18° 22°C 0mm 0.45kPa 24135m 2.4m/s 1.6m/s
09:00
61% 18°C 0mm 68% 0cm 30° 25°C 0.06mm 1kPa 24135m 1.8m/s 1.5m/s
10:00
64% 17°C 0mm 53% 0cm 42° 27°C 0.06mm 1.7kPa 24135m 2.5m/s 1.1m/s
11:00
68% 17°C 0mm 46% 0cm 54° 29°C 0.06mm 2.2kPa 24135m 2m/s 1.3m/s
12:00
68% 16°C 0mm 42% 0cm 65° 30°C 0.06mm 2.5kPa 24134m 2.4m/s 1.8m/s
13:00
68% 15°C 0mm 39% 0cm 73° 31°C 0.06mm 2.7kPa 24134m 1.9m/s 3.2m/s
14:00
68% 16°C 0mm 48% 0cm 74° 28°C 0.06mm 2kPa 24134m 4.3m/s 3.1m/s
15:00
57% 17°C 0mm 57% 0cm 66° 26°C 0mm 1.5kPa 24135m 2.2m/s 1.6m/s
16:00
46% 18°C 0mm 62% 0cm 55° 25°C 0mm 1.3kPa 24135m 1m/s 0.86m/s
17:00
35% 18°C 0mm 63% 0cm 43° 25°C 0mm 1.2kPa 24134m 1.2m/s 1m/s
18:00
31% 18°C 0mm 67% 0cm 31° 25°C 0mm 1kPa 24135m 2.6m/s 1.9m/s
19:00
26% 18°C 0mm 77% 0cm 19° 23°C 0mm 0.64kPa 24134m 2.7m/s 2.1m/s
20:00 ☾
22% 18°C 0mm 78% 0cm 7.2° 22°C 0mm 0.56kPa 24134m 0.74m/s 0.36m/s
21:00 ☾
23% 16°C 0mm 78% 0cm -3.8° 20°C 0mm 0.52kPa 24134m 2.5m/s 2.3m/s
22:00 ☾
24% 16°C 0mm 84% 0cm -14° 19°C 0mm 0.34kPa 24134m 1.3m/s 1.5m/s
23:00 ☾
25% 16°C 0mm 87% 0cm -22° 19°C 0.06mm 0.27kPa 14005m 1.9m/s 2.1m/s
Sat, Jul 18 Sunrise 06:23 Sunset 20:42
24:00 ☾
24% 17°C 0mm 97% 0cm -29° 17°C 0.63mm 0.06kPa 24134m 2.8m/s 2.2m/s
01:00 ☾
22% 17°C 0mm 98% 0cm -32° 18°C 0.63mm 0.04kPa 24134m 2.5m/s 2.1m/s
02:00 ☾
21% 17°C 0mm 99% 0cm -32° 18°C 0.63mm 0.02kPa 24134m 3.1m/s 2.2m/s
03:00 ☾
23% 19°C 0mm 81% 0cm -29° 22°C 0.42mm 0.5kPa 24134m 2.6m/s 1.6m/s
04:00 ☾
25% 20°C 0mm 64% 0cm -23° 27°C 0.21mm 1.3kPa 24135m 2.1m/s 1.1m/s
05:00 ☾
27% 19°C 0mm 46% 0cm -15° 32°C 0mm 2.5kPa 24135m 1.6m/s 0.59m/s
06:00 ☾
28% 19°C 0.03mm 43% 0cm -4.9° 33°C 0mm 2.8kPa 20828m 2.1m/s 0.87m/s
07:00
30% 18°C 0.07mm 40% 0cm 6° 34°C 0mm 3.1kPa 17522m 2.6m/s 1.2m/s
08:00
31% 18°C 0.1mm 37% 0cm 17° 34°C 0mm 3.4kPa 14216m 3.1m/s 1.4m/s
09:00
40% 18°C 0.07mm 37% 0cm 29° 34°C 0mm 3.4kPa 17522m 3.3m/s 1.7m/s
10:00
49% 17°C 0.03mm 36% 0cm 41° 34°C 0mm 3.5kPa 20828m 3.4m/s 1.9m/s
11:00
58% 17°C 0mm 36% 0cm 53° 34°C 0mm 3.5kPa 24135m 3.5m/s 2.1m/s
12:00
58% 19°C 0mm 45% 0cm 65° 32°C 0.02mm 2.6kPa 24135m 4.4m/s 2.3m/s
13:00
58% 20°C 0mm 54% 0cm 73° 30°C 0.04mm 1.9kPa 24135m 5.3m/s 2.4m/s
14:00
58% 20°C 0mm 63% 0cm 74° 28°C 0.06mm 1.4kPa 24135m 6.2m/s 2.6m/s
15:00
51% 20°C 0mm 68% 0cm 66° 26°C 0.04mm 1.1kPa 24135m 4.6m/s 2.2m/s
16:00
44% 19°C 0mm 74% 0cm 55° 24°C 0.02mm 0.79kPa 24135m 3m/s 1.8m/s
17:00
37% 19°C 0mm 79% 0cm 43° 23°C 0mm 0.56kPa 24135m 1.3m/s 1.4m/s
18:00
31% 19°C 0mm 80% 0cm 31° 22°C 0mm 0.53kPa 24135m 1.4m/s 1.4m/s
19:00
26% 18°C 0mm 80% 0cm 19° 22°C 0mm 0.51kPa 24135m 1.4m/s 1.4m/s
20:00 ☾
20% 18°C 0mm 81% 0cm 7.1° 21°C 0mm 0.49kPa 24135m 1.4m/s 1.4m/s
21:00 ☾
17% 18°C 0mm 83% 0cm -3.9° 21°C 0mm 0.41kPa 24135m 1.2m/s 1.1m/s
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →
Forecast generated

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