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Rule Fog Hunter

Fog Hunter Forecast for Banner Elk, Smoky Mountains & Blue Ridge

Banner Elk, North Carolina, United States

Banner Elk sits between Beech Mountain and Grandfather Mountain, with high-elevation village scenes and broad views across autumn-coloured ridges.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Fog Probability
0%
Dewpoint Spread13.4°C
Visibility24134 (Clear)
Relative Humidity43%
Wind Speed4.2m/s (calm conditions)

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in America/New_York
fog weather icon
Next opportunity
Fog Potential
Banner Elk
Tomorrow · 05:00–06:00 · 1h window
Medium confidence
55%
🌫️Fog Probability82.2%
Dewpoint Spread: 0.1°C
Visibility: 9340 (Moderate)
Relative Humidity: 100%
Wind Speed: 2.2m/s (calm conditions)
fog weather icon
Dense Fog at Sunrise
Banner Elk
Tomorrow · 06:00–08:00
🌫️Fog Probability:100%
High
fog weather icon
Fog Potential
Banner Elk
Tomorrow · 08:00–09:00
🌫️Fog Probability:77.1%
Medium

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Fog Hunter conditions across Smoky Mountains & Blue Ridge. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Banner Elk.

Explore Fog Hunter conditions across Smoky Mountains & Blue Ridge →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Banner Elk during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
11
recorded matching windows · 85% average confidence
Last 90 days
33
recorded matching windows · 81% average confidence
Last 365 days
42
recorded matching windows · 83% average confidence
Most frequent recorded start hour

05:00 local time, shared by 7 of 42 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

Most represented month

July, with 17 of 42 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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86-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 86-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
4matching hours in the next 86 hoursJump to next match
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
America/New_York
Fog Probability
≥ 75.0%
Sat, Aug 22
24:0049%
01:0041%
02:0042%
03:0069%
04:0073%
05:0071%
06:0071%
07:0071%
08:0058%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Sun, Aug 23
24:000%
01:0030%
02:0030%
03:0071%
04:0073%
05:0082%
06:00100%
07:00100%
08:0077%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Mon, Aug 24
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Tue, Aug 25
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Fog Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
America/New_York
Clear Sky Probability (Ensemble)
%
Dew Point
°C
Rainfall
mm
Relative Humidity
%
Snowfall
cm
Solar Elevation
°
Temperature
°C
Total Precipitation
mm
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Visibility
m
Wind Gusts
m/s
Wind Speed
m/s
Sat, Aug 22 Sunrise 06:51 Sunset 20:08
16:00
91% 13°C 0mm 43% 0cm 48° 26°C 0mm 1.9kPa 24134m 5.4m/s 4.2m/s
17:00
88% 13°C 0mm 45% 0cm 37° 25°C 0mm 1.8kPa 24135m 5.6m/s 4.7m/s
18:00
91% 14°C 0mm 51% 0cm 25° 24°C 0mm 1.5kPa 24134m 6.3m/s 4m/s
19:00
95% 16°C 0mm 69% 0cm 13° 22°C 0.19mm 0.81kPa 24134m 4m/s 2m/s
20:00 ☾
98% 15°C 0mm 81% 0cm 1.3° 18°C 0.25mm 0.4kPa 24134m 1m/s 1.1m/s
21:00 ☾
97% 14°C 0mm 86% 0cm -11° 17°C 0.44mm 0.27kPa 24134m 1.2m/s 1.2m/s
22:00 ☾
97% 15°C 0mm 88% 0cm -21° 16°C 0.69mm 0.22kPa 24134m 4.9m/s 2m/s
23:00 ☾
96% 15°C 0mm 91% 0cm -31° 16°C 0.69mm 0.17kPa 24134m 5.2m/s 2.3m/s
Sun, Aug 23 Sunrise 06:52 Sunset 20:07
24:00 ☾
97% 14°C 0mm 92% 0cm -38° 16°C 0.69mm 0.15kPa 24134m 4.3m/s 1.9m/s
01:00 ☾
98% 14°C 0mm 95% 0cm -42° 15°C 0.69mm 0.08kPa 24135m 1.4m/s 1.5m/s
02:00 ☾
99% 14°C 0mm 97% 0cm -42° 15°C 0.69mm 0.06kPa 24135m 2m/s 1.8m/s
03:00 ☾
95% 14°C 0mm 98% 0cm -38° 14°C 0mm 0.04kPa 24135m 3m/s 2.2m/s
04:00 ☾
92% 14°C 0mm 99% 0cm -31° 14°C 0mm 0.02kPa 24134m 3.8m/s 2.4m/s
05:00 ☾
88% 14°C 0mm 100% 0cm -21° 14°C 0mm 0.01kPa 9340m 3.7m/s 2.2m/s
06:00 ☾
89% 14°C 0mm 100% 0cm -11° 14°C 0mm 0kPa 979m 5.1m/s 2.2m/s
07:00
91% 14°C 0mm 100% 0cm 1.1° 14°C 0mm 0kPa 129m 6.2m/s 2.3m/s
08:00
92% 15°C 0mm 98% 0cm 13° 15°C 0mm 0.04kPa 11080m 7.2m/s 2.9m/s
09:00
84% 14°C 0mm 88% 0cm 25° 16°C 0mm 0.21kPa 24135m 6.5m/s 2.9m/s
10:00
76% 12°C 0mm 70% 0cm 37° 18°C 0mm 0.61kPa 24134m 6.7m/s 3.2m/s
11:00
68% 10°C 0mm 54% 0cm 48° 20°C 0mm 1kPa 24135m 7m/s 3.5m/s
12:00
75% 8.8°C 0mm 46% 0cm 58° 21°C 0mm 1.3kPa 24135m 6.9m/s 3.9m/s
13:00
81% 9.2°C 0mm 45% 0cm 64° 22°C 0mm 1.4kPa 24134m 6.6m/s 4.1m/s
14:00
88% 9.4°C 0mm 44% 0cm 64° 22°C 0mm 1.5kPa 24135m 6.1m/s 3.9m/s
15:00
92% 8.9°C 0mm 41% 0cm 58° 23°C 0mm 1.6kPa 24134m 5.9m/s 3.8m/s
16:00
96% 8.8°C 0mm 40% 0cm 48° 23°C 0mm 1.7kPa 24134m 5.7m/s 3.9m/s
17:00
100% 8.9°C 0mm 41% 0cm 37° 23°C 0mm 1.6kPa 24134m 5.8m/s 3.9m/s
18:00
100% 9.6°C 0mm 46% 0cm 25° 22°C 0mm 1.4kPa 24134m 5.2m/s 3.7m/s
19:00
100% 11°C 0mm 58% 0cm 13° 20°C 0mm 0.98kPa 24134m 6.9m/s 3.2m/s
20:00 ☾
100% 11°C 0mm 73% 0cm 1° 16°C 0mm 0.48kPa 24134m 4.5m/s 2.1m/s
21:00 ☾
92% 11°C 0mm 77% 0cm -11° 15°C 0mm 0.38kPa 24134m 5.2m/s 2.1m/s
22:00 ☾
85% 11°C 0mm 79% 0cm -22° 14°C 0mm 0.34kPa 24134m 2.2m/s 1.9m/s
23:00 ☾
77% 11°C 0mm 80% 0cm -31° 14°C 0mm 0.33kPa 24135m 1.5m/s 1.6m/s
Mon, Aug 24 Sunrise 06:53 Sunset 20:05
24:00 ☾
75% 10°C 0mm 79% 0cm -38° 14°C 0mm 0.32kPa 24134m 1.3m/s 1.3m/s
01:00 ☾
74% 9.6°C 0mm 77% 0cm -42° 14°C 0mm 0.35kPa 24134m 1.4m/s 1.5m/s
02:00 ☾
72% 9.3°C 0mm 78% 0cm -42° 13°C 0mm 0.32kPa 24134m 1.3m/s 1.3m/s
03:00 ☾
72% 9.1°C 0mm 79% 0cm -38° 13°C 0mm 0.31kPa 24134m 1.5m/s 1.6m/s
04:00 ☾
72% 8.9°C 0mm 80% 0cm -31° 12°C 0mm 0.28kPa 24135m 1.6m/s 1.8m/s
05:00 ☾
72% 8.9°C 0mm 83% 0cm -22° 12°C 0mm 0.23kPa 24135m 1.5m/s 1.6m/s
06:00 ☾
72% 9°C 0mm 86% 0cm -11° 11°C 0mm 0.19kPa 24134m 1.4m/s 1.6m/s
07:00
71% 9°C 0mm 88% 0cm 0.96° 11°C 0mm 0.16kPa 24134m 1.3m/s 1.4m/s
08:00
71% 10°C 0mm 81% 0cm 13° 13°C 0mm 0.29kPa 24134m 1.3m/s 1.2m/s
09:00
66% 11°C 0mm 66% 0cm 25° 17°C 0mm 0.65kPa 24134m 1.9m/s 1.4m/s
10:00
62% 10°C 0mm 55% 0cm 37° 19°C 0mm 1kPa 24135m 2.3m/s 1.6m/s
11:00
57% 8.7°C 0mm 45% 0cm 48° 21°C 0mm 1.4kPa 24134m 2.6m/s 1.9m/s
12:00
57% 7.9°C 0mm 39% 0cm 58° 22°C 0mm 1.6kPa 24135m 2.9m/s 2.2m/s
13:00
56% 7.4°C 0mm 36% 0cm 64° 24°C 0mm 1.9kPa 24134m 3.3m/s 2.5m/s
14:00
56% 6.9°C 0mm 33% 0cm 64° 24°C 0mm 2kPa 24135m 3.7m/s 3.1m/s
15:00
53% 7°C 0mm 33% 0cm 58° 24°C 0mm 2kPa 24134m 4.1m/s 3.6m/s
16:00
51% 7.6°C 0mm 36% 0cm 48° 24°C 0mm 1.9kPa 24134m 3.9m/s 3.7m/s
17:00
48% 8°C 0mm 39% 0cm 36° 23°C 0mm 1.7kPa 24134m 4.2m/s 3.8m/s
18:00
46% 10°C 0mm 49% 0cm 24° 21°C 0mm 1.3kPa 24135m 4.8m/s 3.3m/s
19:00
45% 12°C 0mm 65% 0cm 12° 19°C 0mm 0.75kPa 24134m 5m/s 2.4m/s
20:00 ☾
43% 11°C 0mm 73% 0cm 0.8° 16°C 0mm 0.49kPa 24134m 1.7m/s 1.8m/s
21:00 ☾
44% 10°C 0mm 72% 0cm -11° 15°C 0mm 0.48kPa 24134m 1.4m/s 1.3m/s
22:00 ☾
44% 9.4°C 0mm 72% 0cm -22° 14°C 0mm 0.46kPa 24134m 0.99m/s 0.78m/s
23:00 ☾
45% 8.5°C 0mm 71% 0cm -31° 14°C 0mm 0.45kPa 24135m 0.62m/s 0.26m/s
Tue, Aug 25 Sunrise 06:53 Sunset 20:04
24:00 ☾
45% 8.9°C 0mm 70% 0cm -39° 14°C 0mm 0.49kPa 24135m 0.59m/s 0.28m/s
01:00 ☾
45% 9.3°C 0mm 69% 0cm -43° 15°C 0mm 0.53kPa 24135m 0.57m/s 0.3m/s
02:00 ☾
45% 9.7°C 0mm 68% 0cm -43° 16°C 0mm 0.57kPa 24135m 0.55m/s 0.32m/s
03:00 ☾
43% 9.7°C 0mm 59% 0cm -39° 18°C 0mm 0.84kPa 24135m 0.84m/s 0.67m/s
04:00 ☾
41% 9.4°C 0mm 50% 0cm -31° 20°C 0mm 1.2kPa 24135m 1.1m/s 1m/s
05:00 ☾
39% 8.5°C 0mm 41% 0cm -22° 22°C 0mm 1.6kPa 24135m 1.4m/s 1.4m/s
06:00 ☾
36% 8.9°C 0mm 40% 0cm -11° 23°C 0mm 1.7kPa 24135m 1.7m/s 1.2m/s
07:00
33% 9.2°C 0mm 38% 0cm 0.83° 24°C 0mm 1.9kPa 24135m 1.9m/s 1m/s
08:00
30% 9.6°C 0mm 36% 0cm 12° 26°C 0mm 2.1kPa 24135m 2.1m/s 0.81m/s
09:00
33% 9.4°C 0mm 37% 0cm 24° 25°C 0mm 2kPa 24135m 2m/s 0.94m/s
10:00
35% 9.3°C 0mm 37% 0cm 36° 25°C 0mm 2kPa 24135m 1.9m/s 1.1m/s
11:00
38% 9.2°C 0mm 38% 0cm 48° 25°C 0mm 1.9kPa 24135m 1.7m/s 1.2m/s
12:00
42% 11°C 0mm 48% 0cm 57° 22°C 0mm 1.4kPa 24135m 1.9m/s 1.5m/s
13:00
47% 12°C 0mm 59% 0cm 64° 20°C 0mm 0.96kPa 24135m 2m/s 1.9m/s
14:00
51% 12°C 0mm 70% 0cm 63° 18°C 0mm 0.61kPa 24135m 2.1m/s 2.2m/s
15:00
54% 12°C 0mm 71% 0cm 57° 17°C 0mm 0.57kPa 24135m 1.9m/s 2m/s
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →
Forecast generated

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