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Rule Fog Hunter

Fog Hunter Forecast for Banner Elk, Smoky Mountains & Blue Ridge

Banner Elk, North Carolina, United States

Banner Elk sits between Beech Mountain and Grandfather Mountain, with high-elevation village scenes and broad views across autumn-coloured ridges.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Fog Probability
0%
Dewpoint Spread1.3°C
Visibility24134 (Clear)
Relative Humidity92%
Wind Speed0.5m/s (calm conditions)

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in America/New_York

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (93-hour forecast)

  • Fog Probability100% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Fog Hunter conditions across Smoky Mountains & Blue Ridge. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Banner Elk.

Explore Fog Hunter conditions across Smoky Mountains & Blue Ridge →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Banner Elk during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
9
recorded matching windows · 84% average confidence
Last 90 days
39
recorded matching windows · 84% average confidence
Last 365 days
40
recorded matching windows · 83% average confidence
Most frequent recorded start hour

05:00 local time, shared by 7 of 40 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

Most represented month

July, with 17 of 40 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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93-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 93-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 93 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
America/New_York
Fog Probability
≥ 75.0%
Sat, Aug 15
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Sun, Aug 16
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Mon, Aug 17
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Tue, Aug 18
24:000%
01:0029%
02:0030%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Fog Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
America/New_York
Clear Sky Probability (Ensemble)
%
Dew Point
°C
Rainfall
mm
Relative Humidity
%
Snowfall
cm
Solar Elevation
°
Temperature
°C
Total Precipitation
mm
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Visibility
m
Wind Gusts
m/s
Wind Speed
m/s
Sat, Aug 15 Sunrise 06:46 Sunset 20:16
23:00 ☾
14% 18°C 0mm 92% 0cm -29° 19°C 1.4mm 0.17kPa 24134m 0.61m/s 0.49m/s
Sun, Aug 16 Sunrise 06:46 Sunset 20:16
24:00 ☾
17% 18°C 0mm 92% 0cm -36° 19°C 1.4mm 0.17kPa 24135m 0.8m/s 0.78m/s
01:00 ☾
21% 17°C 0mm 92% 0cm -40° 19°C 1.4mm 0.17kPa 24135m 0.8m/s 0.66m/s
02:00 ☾
24% 17°C 0mm 92% 0cm -40° 18°C 1.4mm 0.18kPa 24134m 0.83m/s 0.72m/s
03:00 ☾
36% 17°C 0mm 91% 0cm -36° 18°C 0mm 0.19kPa 24135m 0.8m/s 0.87m/s
04:00 ☾
49% 17°C 0mm 91% 0cm -29° 18°C 0mm 0.19kPa 24135m 1m/s 0.95m/s
05:00 ☾
61% 17°C 0mm 91% 0cm -20° 18°C 0mm 0.18kPa 24135m 1.2m/s 1.3m/s
06:00 ☾
64% 17°C 0mm 93% 0cm -9.6° 18°C 0mm 0.15kPa 24135m 1.3m/s 1.4m/s
07:00
68% 17°C 0mm 94% 0cm 2.1° 18°C 0mm 0.13kPa 24134m 1.2m/s 1.3m/s
08:00
71% 19°C 0mm 93% 0cm 14° 20°C 0mm 0.16kPa 24135m 1.2m/s 1.3m/s
09:00
74% 20°C 0mm 86% 0cm 26° 22°C 0mm 0.36kPa 24134m 1.8m/s 1.2m/s
10:00
76% 19°C 0mm 70% 0cm 38° 25°C 0mm 0.97kPa 24134m 3.4m/s 1.4m/s
11:00
79% 17°C 0mm 54% 0cm 49° 27°C 0mm 1.7kPa 24135m 3.6m/s 2.3m/s
12:00
76% 16°C 0mm 46% 0cm 59° 29°C 0mm 2.1kPa 24134m 3.6m/s 2.7m/s
13:00
72% 16°C 0mm 43% 0cm 66° 30°C 0mm 2.4kPa 24135m 4m/s 3.3m/s
14:00
69% 16°C 0mm 44% 0cm 67° 30°C 0mm 2.4kPa 24134m 4.3m/s 4.1m/s
15:00
48% 17°C 0mm 45% 0cm 60° 30°C 0mm 2.3kPa 24135m 4.6m/s 4.4m/s
16:00
27% 17°C 0mm 46% 0cm 50° 30°C 0mm 2.2kPa 24134m 4.6m/s 4.1m/s
17:00
6% 17°C 0mm 47% 0cm 38° 29°C 0mm 2.1kPa 24134m 4.9m/s 4m/s
18:00
10% 17°C 0mm 52% 0cm 26° 28°C 0mm 1.8kPa 24134m 4.6m/s 3.2m/s
19:00
15% 20°C 0mm 69% 0cm 14° 26°C 0mm 1.1kPa 24134m 3.1m/s 1.8m/s
20:00 ☾
19% 19°C 0mm 81% 0cm 2.6° 23°C 0mm 0.53kPa 24135m 1.5m/s 1.6m/s
21:00 ☾
46% 19°C 0mm 84% 0cm -9° 21°C 0mm 0.42kPa 24134m 1.3m/s 1.4m/s
22:00 ☾
73% 18°C 0mm 83% 0cm -20° 21°C 0mm 0.43kPa 24135m 1.4m/s 1.4m/s
23:00 ☾
100% 18°C 0mm 81% 0cm -29° 21°C 0mm 0.47kPa 24134m 1.5m/s 1.5m/s
Mon, Aug 17 Sunrise 06:47 Sunset 20:14
24:00 ☾
99% 17°C 0mm 79% 0cm -36° 21°C 0mm 0.52kPa 24135m 1.3m/s 1.2m/s
01:00 ☾
99% 17°C 0mm 75% 0cm -40° 21°C 0.06mm 0.64kPa 24134m 1.2m/s 1.2m/s
02:00 ☾
98% 17°C 0mm 74% 0cm -40° 21°C 0.06mm 0.66kPa 24135m 1.2m/s 1.2m/s
03:00 ☾
93% 16°C 0mm 78% 0cm -36° 20°C 0.06mm 0.54kPa 24134m 1.1m/s 1.1m/s
04:00 ☾
89% 16°C 0mm 79% 0cm -29° 20°C 0.06mm 0.49kPa 24135m 1.4m/s 1.4m/s
05:00 ☾
84% 16°C 0mm 79% 0cm -20° 20°C 0.06mm 0.49kPa 24134m 1.6m/s 1.7m/s
06:00 ☾
82% 16°C 0mm 80% 0cm -9.7° 20°C 0.06mm 0.45kPa 24134m 1.6m/s 1.7m/s
07:00
80% 16°C 0mm 83% 0cm 1.9° 19°C 0.06mm 0.39kPa 24135m 2.1m/s 1.9m/s
08:00
78% 18°C 0mm 82% 0cm 14° 21°C 0.06mm 0.45kPa 24134m 3.2m/s 2m/s
09:00
76% 18°C 0mm 68% 0cm 26° 24°C 0mm 0.95kPa 24135m 5.1m/s 2.1m/s
10:00
73% 17°C 0mm 57% 0cm 38° 26°C 0mm 1.5kPa 24135m 7m/s 2.5m/s
11:00
71% 17°C 0mm 49% 0cm 49° 28°C 0mm 1.9kPa 24135m 6.3m/s 3.4m/s
12:00
71% 16°C 0mm 42% 0cm 59° 30°C 0mm 2.4kPa 24135m 6m/s 3.8m/s
13:00
70% 15°C 0mm 38% 0cm 66° 31°C 0mm 2.7kPa 24134m 6.2m/s 4.2m/s
14:00
70% 14°C 0mm 35% 0cm 66° 32°C 0mm 3kPa 24135m 6.1m/s 4.4m/s
15:00
66% 14°C 0mm 34% 0cm 60° 32°C 0mm 3.1kPa 24135m 6.5m/s 4.4m/s
16:00
62% 13°C 0mm 32% 0cm 50° 32°C 0mm 3.2kPa 24134m 6.9m/s 4.5m/s
17:00
58% 13°C 0mm 34% 0cm 38° 31°C 0mm 2.9kPa 24135m 7.1m/s 5m/s
18:00
55% 17°C 0mm 48% 0cm 26° 29°C 0mm 2.1kPa 24135m 7.8m/s 4.6m/s
19:00
52% 19°C 0mm 62% 0cm 14° 27°C 0mm 1.3kPa 24135m 8.8m/s 3.2m/s
20:00 ☾
49% 19°C 0mm 76% 0cm 2.4° 24°C 0mm 0.71kPa 24135m 5.7m/s 2.2m/s
21:00 ☾
43% 19°C 0mm 84% 0cm -9.3° 22°C 0.69mm 0.43kPa 24134m 1.5m/s 1.6m/s
22:00 ☾
37% 19°C 0mm 86% 0cm -20° 21°C 0.69mm 0.35kPa 24135m 6.7m/s 2.7m/s
23:00 ☾
31% 19°C 0mm 91% 0cm -29° 21°C 0.69mm 0.22kPa 24135m 3.5m/s 2.3m/s
Tue, Aug 18 Sunrise 06:48 Sunset 20:13
24:00 ☾
28% 19°C 0mm 93% 0cm -36° 20°C 0.69mm 0.16kPa 24135m 2.2m/s 1.9m/s
01:00 ☾
26% 19°C 0mm 96% 0cm -40° 19°C 0.69mm 0.09kPa 24134m 1.7m/s 1.8m/s
02:00 ☾
23% 19°C 0mm 97% 0cm -40° 19°C 0.69mm 0.07kPa 24135m 1.9m/s 1.7m/s
03:00 ☾
25% 19°C 0mm 85% 0cm -37° 21°C 0.5mm 0.38kPa 24135m 2.3m/s 1.8m/s
04:00 ☾
26% 18°C 0mm 73% 0cm -30° 24°C 0.31mm 0.78kPa 24135m 2.8m/s 1.8m/s
05:00 ☾
28% 18°C 0mm 61% 0cm -20° 26°C 0.13mm 1.3kPa 24135m 3.2m/s 1.9m/s
06:00 ☾
27% 17°C 0.003mm 55% 0cm -9.9° 27°C 0.15mm 1.6kPa 24135m 3.1m/s 2.1m/s
07:00
27% 16°C 0.007mm 49% 0cm 1.8° 28°C 0.17mm 1.9kPa 24135m 3m/s 2.3m/s
08:00
26% 15°C 0.01mm 43% 0cm 13° 29°C 0.19mm 2.3kPa 24135m 2.9m/s 2.5m/s
09:00
33% 15°C 0.007mm 43% 0cm 25° 29°C 0.13mm 2.2kPa 24135m 3.3m/s 3.1m/s
10:00
39% 15°C 0.003mm 43% 0cm 37° 28°C 0.06mm 2.2kPa 24135m 3.7m/s 3.8m/s
11:00
46% 15°C 0mm 44% 0cm 49° 28°C 0mm 2.1kPa 24135m 4m/s 4.5m/s
12:00
45% 16°C 0mm 55% 0cm 59° 26°C 0mm 1.5kPa 24135m 4.4m/s 4m/s
13:00
43% 17°C 0mm 67% 0cm 66° 23°C 0mm 0.96kPa 24135m 4.8m/s 3.5m/s
14:00
42% 17°C 0mm 78% 0cm 66° 21°C 0mm 0.55kPa 24135m 5.1m/s 3m/s
15:00
49% 17°C 0mm 82% 0cm 59° 20°C 0mm 0.43kPa 24135m 4.4m/s 2.8m/s
16:00
56% 17°C 0mm 85% 0cm 49° 19°C 0mm 0.32kPa 24135m 3.6m/s 2.6m/s
17:00
63% 16°C 0mm 89% 0cm 38° 18°C 0mm 0.23kPa 24135m 2.8m/s 2.4m/s
18:00
64% 16°C 0mm 87% 0cm 26° 18°C 0mm 0.26kPa 24135m 2.4m/s 2.1m/s
19:00
65% 16°C 0mm 85% 0cm 14° 18°C 0mm 0.3kPa 24135m 1.9m/s 1.9m/s
20:00 ☾
66% 15°C 0mm 84% 0cm 2.2° 18°C 0mm 0.33kPa 24135m 1.4m/s 1.6m/s
21:00 ☾
71% 15°C 0mm 82% 0cm -9.5° 18°C 0mm 0.35kPa 24135m 1.2m/s 1.3m/s
22:00 ☾
76% 14°C 0mm 81% 0cm -20° 18°C 0mm 0.38kPa 24135m 0.92m/s 0.98m/s
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →
Forecast generated

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