Skip to content
✨ New: PhotoWeather is now available on iOS and Android
Rule Morning Frost

Asheville - Morning Frost - Smoky Mountains & Blue Ridge

Asheville, North Carolina, United States

Frost crystals on calm, cold mornings near sunrise

No opportunities right now
Here’s what usually blocks matches

No Morning Frost opportunities in the next 14 days

Get notified
Free alerts · takes 30 seconds
Rule requirements (key thresholds)
Time Window · Sunrise -45m to +90m Frost Probability · ≥ 60.0% Wind Speed · ≤ 1.5m/s

Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.

Most common blockers (next 72 hours)
Frost Probability 100% failing
Time Window 88% failing
Wind Speed 43% failing

Currently

Real-time conditions
Soil Temperature14.8°C
Dew Point6.9°C (moderate dew point)
Wind Speed3.4m/s (calm conditions)
Cloud Cover4%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in America/New_York

No opportunities in the next 10 days

See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast predicts the first hard frost events that enhance the Smokies' autumn landscapes with crystalline textures. We track overnight temperatures, humidity, and elevation to identify when frost will coat mountain meadows, overlooks, and exposed vegetation with sparkling ice crystals at dawn.

The Smokies' elevation range means frost arrives at different times depending on altitude. Clingmans Dome and high overlooks can see frost as early as late September, while valleys may not freeze until late October or November. This staggered frost timing extends the season for frost photography and creates interesting elevation-based opportunities.

What makes Smoky Mountains frost photography exceptional:

  • Mountain meadows - High-elevation grassy areas like Andrews Bald develop heavy frost coverage on clear nights
  • Clingmans Dome conditions - At 6,643 feet, the highest point often experiences hoar frost creating alien landscapes
  • Frozen waterfalls - Later season frost leads to ice formations on the Smokies' countless waterfalls
  • Foliage combination - Early season frost can coincide with peak color, coating colorful leaves with ice crystals

Best frost photography requires clear, calm nights with temperatures dropping into the mid-20s Fahrenheit. High elevation locations experience frost most reliably, while valley locations need colder conditions. Arrive before dawn to catch frost plus first light—frost melts quickly after sunrise. Classic locations include Clingmans Dome observation tower, Grassy patches along Appalachian Trail, and roadside overlooks above 5,000 feet elevation.

Create your own Morning Frost alerts

Get notified when these conditions match at your own locations.

Get this template

72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
America/New_York
Time Window
Sunrise -45m to +90m
Frost Probability
≥ 60.0%
Wind Speed
≤ 1.5m/s
Fri, Apr 10
15:000%1.1m/s
16:000%1.3m/s
17:000%1.6m/s
18:000%1.9m/s
19:000%2.1m/s
20:000%1.9m/s
21:000%1.1m/s
22:000%1.3m/s
23:000%1.6m/s
Sat, Apr 11
24:000%1.3m/s
01:000%1.4m/s
02:000%1.7m/s
03:000%1.7m/s
04:000%1.7m/s
05:000%1.7m/s
06:000%1.6m/s
07:000%1.6m/s
08:000%1.6m/s
09:000%1.7m/s
10:000%1.9m/s
11:000%2.8m/s
12:000%3.3m/s
13:000%3.1m/s
14:000%3.3m/s
15:000%3.4m/s
16:000%3.4m/s
17:000%3.3m/s
18:000%3m/s
19:000%2.6m/s
20:000%1.4m/s
21:000%0.91m/s
22:000%0.84m/s
23:000%0.64m/s
Sun, Apr 12
24:000%0.46m/s
01:000%0.86m/s
02:000%1.2m/s
03:000%1.5m/s
04:000%1.2m/s
05:000%0.95m/s
06:000%0.68m/s
07:000%1.1m/s
08:000%1m/s
09:000%1.3m/s
10:000%2.2m/s
11:000%3.3m/s
12:000%3.6m/s
13:000%4.2m/s
14:000%5m/s
15:000%5.3m/s
16:000%5.5m/s
17:000%5.4m/s
18:000%5.1m/s
19:000%4.5m/s
20:000%2.4m/s
21:000%1.2m/s
22:000%1.1m/s
23:000%1.2m/s
Mon, Apr 13
24:000%1.4m/s
01:000%0.95m/s
02:000%2m/s
03:000%1.6m/s
04:000%1.6m/s
05:000%1.4m/s
06:000%1.2m/s
07:000%1.2m/s
08:000%0.9m/s
09:000%1.1m/s
10:000%2m/s
11:000%2.5m/s
12:000%2.9m/s
13:000%3.6m/s
14:000%4.2m/s
15:000%3.5m/s
16:000%4m/s
17:000%3.7m/s
18:000%2.7m/s
19:000%2m/s
20:000%1.6m/s
21:000%1.2m/s
22:000%0.71m/s
23:000%0.25m/s
Tue, Apr 14
24:000%0.41m/s
01:000%0.57m/s
02:000%0.73m/s
03:000%0.64m/s
04:000%0.56m/s
05:000%0.47m/s
06:000%0.49m/s
07:000%0.51m/s
08:000%0.52m/s
09:000%0.58m/s
10:000%0.64m/s
11:000%0.71m/s
12:000%0.66m/s
13:000%0.61m/s
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Frost Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
America/New_York
Dew Point
°C
Surface Temperature
°C
Temperature
°C
Time Window
Total Cloud Coverage
%
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Sat, Apr 11 Sunrise 07:02 Sunset 19:59
15:00
6.9°C 15°C 24°C - 4% 2kPa
16:00
6.7°C 15°C 24°C - 2% 2kPa
17:00
7.1°C 16°C 23°C - 20% 1.9kPa
18:00
8.2°C 16°C 22°C - 37% 1.6kPa
19:00
10°C 16°C 20°C - 67% 1.1kPa
20:00
10°C 16°C 17°C - 90% 0.67kPa
21:00
10°C 16°C 16°C - 100% 0.62kPa
22:00
10°C 16°C 16°C - 100% 0.6kPa
23:00
10°C 16°C 16°C - 100% 0.56kPa
Sun, Apr 12 Sunrise 07:01 Sunset 20:00
24:00
10°C 16°C 16°C - 41% 0.53kPa
01:00
9.7°C 16°C 14°C - 11% 0.39kPa
02:00
9.4°C 15°C 13°C - 3% 0.28kPa
03:00
9.3°C 15°C 12°C - 8% 0.21kPa
04:00
9.5°C 15°C 11°C - 17% 0.14kPa
05:00
9.6°C 15°C 11°C - 49% 0.09kPa
06:00
9.5°C 14°C 10°C - 9% 0.08kPa
07:00
9.5°C 14°C 10°C - 5% 0.06kPa
08:00
10°C 14°C 12°C - 5% 0.16kPa
09:00
11°C 14°C 15°C - 4% 0.45kPa
10:00
11°C 14°C 18°C - 5% 0.73kPa
11:00
10°C 14°C 20°C - 100% 1kPa
12:00
9.8°C 15°C 21°C - 5% 1.2kPa
13:00
9.2°C 15°C 22°C - 5% 1.5kPa
14:00
8.2°C 16°C 23°C - 21% 1.8kPa
15:00
7.4°C 16°C 24°C - 16% 1.9kPa
16:00
7.1°C 17°C 24°C - 28% 1.9kPa
17:00
7.1°C 17°C 23°C - 19% 1.8kPa
18:00
7.9°C 17°C 22°C - 29% 1.6kPa
19:00
8.4°C 17°C 20°C - 5% 1.2kPa
20:00
8.4°C 17°C 17°C - 65% 0.8kPa
21:00
8.2°C 17°C 15°C - 35% 0.58kPa
22:00
7.9°C 17°C 14°C - 18% 0.51kPa
23:00
7.7°C 16°C 13°C - 100% 0.45kPa
Mon, Apr 13 Sunrise 07:00 Sunset 20:00
24:00
7.7°C 16°C 13°C - 6% 0.43kPa
01:00
7.6°C 16°C 12°C - 100% 0.38kPa
02:00
7.6°C 16°C 12°C - 100% 0.39kPa
03:00
7.8°C 15°C 12°C - 100% 0.36kPa
04:00
8.1°C 15°C 12°C - 100% 0.3kPa
05:00
8.3°C 15°C 11°C - 83% 0.2kPa
06:00
8.5°C 15°C 10°C - 100% 0.12kPa
07:00
8.6°C 14°C 10°C - 100% 0.11kPa
08:00
9.1°C 14°C 12°C - 100% 0.22kPa
09:00
9.6°C 14°C 15°C - 100% 0.51kPa
10:00
9.4°C 14°C 18°C - 100% 0.88kPa
11:00
8.1°C 15°C 20°C - 100% 1.3kPa
12:00
6.6°C 15°C 22°C - 100% 1.7kPa
13:00
5.1°C 15°C 23°C - 100% 2kPa
14:00
5.3°C 16°C 23°C - 100% 1.9kPa
15:00
5.3°C 16°C 23°C - 100% 1.9kPa
16:00
5.1°C 17°C 23°C - 100% 1.9kPa
17:00
5.9°C 17°C 22°C - 100% 1.7kPa
18:00
6.9°C 17°C 21°C - 100% 1.5kPa
19:00
8.5°C 17°C 19°C - 100% 1.1kPa
20:00
8.4°C 17°C 17°C - 100% 0.81kPa
21:00
8.2°C 16°C 15°C - 74% 0.61kPa
22:00
7.9°C 15°C 13°C - 48% 0.45kPa
23:00
7.4°C 14°C 11°C - 21% 0.32kPa
Tue, Apr 14 Sunrise 06:58 Sunset 20:01
24:00
7.6°C 14°C 12°C - 48% 0.33kPa
01:00
7.9°C 14°C 12°C - 74% 0.35kPa
02:00
8.2°C 14°C 13°C - 100% 0.37kPa
03:00
9.2°C 14°C 16°C - 100% 0.62kPa
04:00
9.8°C 14°C 19°C - 100% 0.97kPa
05:00
9.9°C 14°C 22°C - 100% 1.4kPa
06:00
10°C 15°C 24°C - 73% 1.7kPa
07:00
11°C 16°C 26°C - 46% 2kPa
08:00
11°C 16°C 27°C - 18% 2.3kPa
09:00
12°C 17°C 26°C - 46% 2kPa
10:00
13°C 17°C 25°C - 73% 1.7kPa
11:00
13°C 18°C 24°C - 100% 1.4kPa
12:00
13°C 18°C 22°C - 87% 1.1kPa
13:00
13°C 18°C 20°C - 74% 0.92kPa
14:00
13°C 18°C 19°C - 61% 0.72kPa
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

Get Notified of Opportunities

Create your own custom alerts for this location and more.

Create Free Account