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Rule Fog Hunter

Fog Hunter Forecast for Asheville, Smoky Mountains & Blue Ridge

Asheville, North Carolina, United States

Asheville anchors Blue Ridge Parkway access to layered mountain overlooks and Mount Mitchell, alongside streets shaped by the city's creative character.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Fog Probability
0%
Dewpoint Spread15.6°C
Visibility24135 (Clear)
Relative Humidity38%
Wind Speed2.9m/s (calm conditions)

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in America/New_York

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (86-hour forecast)

  • Fog Probability100% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Fog Hunter conditions across Smoky Mountains & Blue Ridge. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Asheville.

Explore Fog Hunter conditions across Smoky Mountains & Blue Ridge →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Asheville during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
2
recorded matching windows · 71% average confidence
Last 90 days
3
recorded matching windows · 81% average confidence
Last 365 days
9
recorded matching windows · 85% average confidence

Only 9 completed matches are recorded in the last 365 days—insufficient history to identify a reliable typical start time or month.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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86-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 86-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 86 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
America/New_York
Fog Probability
≥ 75.0%
Sat, Aug 22
24:0055%
01:0071%
02:0071%
03:0071%
04:0055%
05:0071%
06:0071%
07:0071%
08:0055%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Sun, Aug 23
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:0055%
05:0071%
06:0073%
07:0073%
08:0053%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Mon, Aug 24
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Tue, Aug 25
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Fog Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
America/New_York
Clear Sky Probability (Ensemble)
%
Dew Point
°C
Rainfall
mm
Relative Humidity
%
Snowfall
cm
Solar Elevation
°
Temperature
°C
Total Precipitation
mm
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Visibility
m
Wind Gusts
m/s
Wind Speed
m/s
Sat, Aug 22 Sunrise 06:55 Sunset 20:10
16:00
59% 13°C 0.09mm 38% 0cm 49° 29°C 0.06mm 2.5kPa 24135m 4.7m/s 2.9m/s
17:00
42% 16°C 0mm 51% 0cm 38° 26°C 0.13mm 1.7kPa 24135m 4.5m/s 2.2m/s
18:00
48% 15°C 0.01mm 50% 0cm 26° 27°C 0.13mm 1.7kPa 24134m 7m/s 3.5m/s
19:00
54% 16°C 0mm 55% 0cm 13° 25°C 0.13mm 1.5kPa 24134m 6.3m/s 2.4m/s
20:00 ☾
60% 16°C 0mm 70% 0cm 1.6° 21°C 0.13mm 0.76kPa 24134m 1.2m/s 1.2m/s
21:00 ☾
73% 15°C 0mm 71% 0cm -10° 20°C 0mm 0.68kPa 24134m 1.4m/s 1.5m/s
22:00 ☾
87% 14°C 0mm 74% 0cm -21° 19°C 0mm 0.58kPa 24134m 1.5m/s 1.5m/s
23:00 ☾
100% 14°C 0mm 78% 0cm -31° 18°C 0mm 0.47kPa 24134m 1.5m/s 1.7m/s
Sun, Aug 23 Sunrise 06:55 Sunset 20:09
24:00 ☾
100% 15°C 0mm 83% 0cm -38° 18°C 0mm 0.35kPa 24134m 1.5m/s 1.6m/s
01:00 ☾
99% 15°C 0mm 86% 0cm -42° 17°C 0mm 0.27kPa 24135m 1.6m/s 1.7m/s
02:00 ☾
99% 15°C 0mm 90% 0cm -43° 17°C 0mm 0.18kPa 24135m 1.7m/s 1.8m/s
03:00 ☾
98% 15°C 0mm 95% 0cm -39° 16°C 0mm 0.1kPa 24135m 1.7m/s 1.8m/s
04:00 ☾
96% 15°C 0mm 97% 0cm -32° 16°C 0mm 0.06kPa 24134m 2.8m/s 1.9m/s
05:00 ☾
95% 15°C 0mm 98% 0cm -22° 15°C 0mm 0.04kPa 24134m 1.5m/s 1.7m/s
06:00 ☾
95% 15°C 0mm 98% 0cm -11° 15°C 0mm 0.03kPa 24134m 1.6m/s 1.8m/s
07:00
96% 15°C 0mm 98% 0cm 0.51° 15°C 0mm 0.03kPa 24135m 2.9m/s 2m/s
08:00
96% 16°C 0mm 95% 0cm 12° 16°C 0mm 0.09kPa 24135m 5m/s 1.8m/s
09:00
97% 16°C 0mm 81% 0cm 24° 19°C 0mm 0.42kPa 24135m 7m/s 2.6m/s
10:00
99% 14°C 0mm 62% 0cm 36° 22°C 0mm 0.98kPa 24134m 6.6m/s 3.9m/s
11:00
100% 12°C 0mm 46% 0cm 48° 24°C 0mm 1.6kPa 24135m 6.8m/s 4.2m/s
12:00
99% 8.9°C 0mm 35% 0cm 58° 26°C 0mm 2.1kPa 24135m 6.9m/s 4.4m/s
13:00
98% 7.3°C 0mm 29% 0cm 65° 27°C 0mm 2.5kPa 24134m 6.7m/s 4.6m/s
14:00
97% 6.8°C 0mm 27% 0cm 65° 27°C 0mm 2.6kPa 24135m 6.2m/s 4.7m/s
15:00
94% 7.2°C 0mm 28% 0cm 59° 27°C 0mm 2.6kPa 24134m 5.9m/s 4.8m/s
16:00
92% 7.5°C 0mm 29% 0cm 49° 27°C 0mm 2.6kPa 24134m 5.7m/s 4.8m/s
17:00
89% 8°C 0mm 31% 0cm 37° 26°C 0mm 2.4kPa 24134m 5.5m/s 4.9m/s
18:00
90% 9.8°C 0mm 38% 0cm 25° 25°C 0mm 2kPa 24134m 5.7m/s 4.6m/s
19:00
91% 11°C 0mm 49% 0cm 13° 23°C 0mm 1.4kPa 24134m 7.9m/s 4.4m/s
20:00 ☾
92% 12°C 0mm 61% 0cm 1.4° 20°C 0mm 0.88kPa 24134m 9.4m/s 3.1m/s
21:00 ☾
86% 11°C 0mm 70% 0cm -11° 17°C 0mm 0.58kPa 24134m 4m/s 2.1m/s
22:00 ☾
79% 11°C 0mm 75% 0cm -21° 16°C 0mm 0.45kPa 24134m 1.6m/s 1.7m/s
23:00 ☾
73% 11°C 0mm 77% 0cm -31° 15°C 0mm 0.38kPa 24135m 1.5m/s 1.6m/s
Mon, Aug 24 Sunrise 06:56 Sunset 20:07
24:00 ☾
73% 11°C 0mm 79% 0cm -38° 14°C 0mm 0.34kPa 24134m 1.6m/s 1.7m/s
01:00 ☾
74% 11°C 0mm 79% 0cm -43° 14°C 0mm 0.34kPa 24134m 1.5m/s 1.6m/s
02:00 ☾
74% 10°C 0mm 82% 0cm -43° 13°C 0mm 0.28kPa 24134m 1.4m/s 1.5m/s
03:00 ☾
72% 10°C 0mm 84% 0cm -39° 13°C 0mm 0.23kPa 24134m 1.4m/s 1.5m/s
04:00 ☾
71% 10°C 0mm 85% 0cm -32° 13°C 0mm 0.22kPa 24135m 1.4m/s 1.6m/s
05:00 ☾
69% 10°C 0mm 87% 0cm -22° 12°C 0mm 0.19kPa 24135m 1.5m/s 1.7m/s
06:00 ☾
67% 10°C 0mm 89% 0cm -12° 12°C 0mm 0.15kPa 24134m 1.4m/s 1.7m/s
07:00
65% 10°C 0mm 90% 0cm 0.38° 12°C 0mm 0.13kPa 24134m 1.4m/s 1.5m/s
08:00
63% 11°C 0mm 83% 0cm 12° 14°C 0mm 0.27kPa 24134m 2m/s 1.5m/s
09:00
61% 11°C 0mm 67% 0cm 24° 18°C 0mm 0.66kPa 24134m 2.3m/s 1.5m/s
10:00
58% 12°C 0mm 55% 0cm 36° 21°C 0mm 1.1kPa 24135m 1.9m/s 1.3m/s
11:00
56% 11°C 0mm 46% 0cm 48° 23°C 0mm 1.5kPa 24134m 1.5m/s 1.4m/s
12:00
55% 9.9°C 0mm 39% 0cm 58° 25°C 0mm 1.9kPa 24135m 1.9m/s 1.6m/s
13:00
53% 8.9°C 0mm 33% 0cm 64° 26°C 0mm 2.3kPa 24134m 2.5m/s 1.7m/s
14:00
52% 8.3°C 0mm 31% 0cm 65° 27°C 0mm 2.4kPa 24135m 3.5m/s 2.2m/s
15:00
52% 8.4°C 0mm 31% 0cm 58° 27°C 0mm 2.4kPa 24134m 3.8m/s 2.9m/s
16:00
52% 8.8°C 0mm 31% 0cm 48° 27°C 0mm 2.5kPa 24134m 3.7m/s 3.2m/s
17:00
52% 9.7°C 0mm 35% 0cm 37° 27°C 0mm 2.3kPa 24134m 3m/s 3.4m/s
18:00
53% 12°C 0mm 43% 0cm 25° 25°C 0mm 1.8kPa 24135m 4.5m/s 3.6m/s
19:00
54% 12°C 0mm 53% 0cm 13° 22°C 0mm 1.2kPa 24134m 6.8m/s 3.2m/s
20:00 ☾
55% 12°C 0mm 65% 0cm 1.2° 19°C 0mm 0.75kPa 24134m 4.6m/s 2.4m/s
21:00 ☾
55% 11°C 0mm 71% 0cm -11° 17°C 0mm 0.55kPa 24134m 3.4m/s 1.9m/s
22:00 ☾
55% 11°C 0mm 77% 0cm -22° 15°C 0mm 0.38kPa 24134m 2.2m/s 1.4m/s
23:00 ☾
55% 10°C 0mm 83% 0cm -31° 13°C 0mm 0.25kPa 24135m 0.92m/s 0.93m/s
Tue, Aug 25 Sunrise 06:57 Sunset 20:06
24:00 ☾
55% 10°C 0mm 80% 0cm -39° 14°C 0mm 0.31kPa 24135m 0.79m/s 0.78m/s
01:00 ☾
55% 11°C 0mm 77% 0cm -43° 14°C 0mm 0.37kPa 24135m 0.67m/s 0.64m/s
02:00 ☾
55% 11°C 0mm 74% 0cm -43° 15°C 0mm 0.44kPa 24135m 0.55m/s 0.49m/s
03:00 ☾
53% 11°C 0mm 64% 0cm -39° 18°C 0mm 0.75kPa 24135m 0.68m/s 0.5m/s
04:00 ☾
52% 11°C 0mm 53% 0cm -32° 21°C 0mm 1.1kPa 24135m 0.8m/s 0.51m/s
05:00 ☾
50% 9.9°C 0mm 42% 0cm -23° 24°C 0mm 1.7kPa 24135m 0.93m/s 0.53m/s
06:00 ☾
46% 10°C 0mm 39% 0cm -12° 25°C 0mm 1.9kPa 24135m 1.2m/s 0.7m/s
07:00
41% 10°C 0mm 36% 0cm 0.26° 26°C 0mm 2.2kPa 24135m 1.4m/s 0.87m/s
08:00
37% 10°C 0mm 33% 0cm 12° 28°C 0mm 2.5kPa 24135m 1.6m/s 1m/s
09:00
42% 10°C 0mm 33% 0cm 24° 28°C 0mm 2.5kPa 24135m 1.7m/s 1m/s
10:00
47% 10°C 0mm 33% 0cm 36° 28°C 0mm 2.5kPa 24135m 1.8m/s 1m/s
11:00
52% 10°C 0mm 33% 0cm 47° 28°C 0mm 2.4kPa 24135m 1.9m/s 1m/s
12:00
54% 12°C 0mm 44% 0cm 57° 25°C 0mm 1.8kPa 24135m 1.9m/s 1.3m/s
13:00
56% 13°C 0mm 54% 0cm 64° 23°C 0mm 1.3kPa 24135m 1.8m/s 1.5m/s
14:00
58% 13°C 0mm 64% 0cm 64° 20°C 0mm 0.86kPa 24135m 1.7m/s 1.8m/s
15:00
60% 13°C 0mm 68% 0cm 58° 19°C 0mm 0.7kPa 24135m 1.5m/s 1.6m/s
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →
Forecast generated

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