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Rule Fog Hunter

Fog Hunter Forecast for Mount Cook, New Zealand

Twizel, Canterbury, New Zealand

Aoraki/Mount Cook rises above braided glacial valleys and moraine lakes, with Hooker Valley footbridges and ridges adding foreground depth.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Fog Probability
67%
Dewpoint Spread0.2°C
Visibility145 (Dense fog)
Relative Humidity98%
Wind Speed2.7m/s (calm conditions)

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Pacific/Auckland
fog weather icon
Next opportunity
Dense Fog
Mount Cook
Today · 18:00–20:00 · 2h window
Medium confidence
64%
🌫️Fog Probability77.7-98.5%
Dewpoint Spread: 0.3°C
Visibility: 2456 (Mist/Haze)
Relative Humidity: 97%
Wind Speed: 0.8m/s (calm conditions)
fog weather icon
Dense Fog
Mount Cook
Today · 21:00–04:00
🌫️Fog Probability:86-100%
High
fog weather icon
Moderate Fog
Mount Cook
Tomorrow · 09:00–13:00
🌫️Fog Probability:76.4-80%
Low
fog weather icon
Dense Fog
Mount Cook
Sat, Jul 18 · 01:00–04:00
🌫️Fog Probability:77.7-100%
Medium
fog weather icon
Dense Fog
Mount Cook
Sat, Jul 18 · 05:00–07:00
🌫️Fog Probability:100%
High
fog weather icon
Dense Fog
Mount Cook
Sat, Jul 18 · 11:00–13:00
🌫️Fog Probability:100%
High

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Fog Hunter conditions across New Zealand. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Mount Cook.

Explore Fog Hunter conditions across New Zealand →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Mount Cook during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
13
recorded matching windows · 80% average confidence
Last 90 days
14
recorded matching windows · 81% average confidence
Last 365 days
14
recorded matching windows · 81% average confidence
Most represented month

July, with 11 of 14 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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86-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 86-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
21matching hours in the next 86 hoursJump to next match
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Pacific/Auckland
Fog Probability
≥ 75.0%
Wed, Jul 15
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Thu, Jul 16
24:000%
01:0087%
02:0069%
03:0047%
04:0038%
05:0069%
06:0067%
07:0067%
08:0068%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:0059%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:0055%
18:0099%
19:0078%
20:0063%
21:0086%
22:00100%
23:00100%
Fri, Jul 17
24:00100%
01:00100%
02:00100%
03:00100%
04:0067%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:0080%
10:0080%
11:0076%
12:0078%
13:0072%
14:0065%
15:000%
16:000%
17:0055%
18:0069%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Sat, Jul 18
24:000%
01:00100%
02:00100%
03:0078%
04:0071%
05:00100%
06:00100%
07:0067%
08:0067%
09:000%
10:000%
11:00100%
12:00100%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Sun, Jul 19
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Fog Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Pacific/Auckland
Clear Sky Probability (Ensemble)
%
Dew Point
°C
Rainfall
mm
Relative Humidity
%
Snowfall
cm
Solar Elevation
°
Temperature
°C
Total Precipitation
mm
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Visibility
m
Wind Gusts
m/s
Wind Speed
m/s
Thu, Jul 16 Sunrise 08:11 Sunset 17:20
07:00 ☾
0% -1.1°C 0.4mm 98% 0.4cm -12° -0.89°C 0.44mm 0.01kPa 145m 3.4m/s 2.7m/s
08:00 ☾
0% 0.2°C 0.23mm 99% 0.3cm -1.9° 0.41°C 0.75mm 0.01kPa 69m 3.5m/s 2.7m/s
09:00 ☾
0% 1°C 0.04mm 100% 0.07cm 7.1° 1°C 1mm 0kPa 53m 3.3m/s 2.8m/s
10:00 ☾
0% 0.4°C 0mm 97% 0cm 15° 0.85°C 1mm 0.02kPa 862m 2.8m/s 2.4m/s
11:00 ☾
0% 0.2°C 0mm 98% 0cm 21° 0.45°C 1.1mm 0.01kPa 107m 3m/s 2.9m/s
12:00
0% -0.3°C 0mm 98% 0cm 24° -0.03°C 1.1mm 0.01kPa 584m 2.8m/s 2.6m/s
13:00
0% -0.9°C 0mm 96% 0cm 25° -0.43°C 0mm 0.02kPa 4444m 2.7m/s 2.6m/s
14:00
1% -1.7°C 0.01mm 93% 0cm 23° -0.72°C 0mm 0.04kPa 24134m 2.6m/s 2.5m/s
15:00
1% -2.4°C 0mm 92% 0cm 18° -1.3°C 0mm 0.04kPa 24134m 2.3m/s 2.2m/s
16:00
1% -3.3°C 0mm 93% 0cm 11° -2.4°C 0mm 0.03kPa 22881m 2.2m/s 2.1m/s
17:00
0% -4.6°C 0mm 96% 0cm 3° -4°C 0mm 0.02kPa 23203m 1.7m/s 1.6m/s
18:00 ☾
0% -5°C 0mm 97% 0cm -6.7° -4.7°C 0mm 0.01kPa 2456m 1.3m/s 0.83m/s
19:00 ☾
1% -5°C 0mm 96% 0cm -17° -4.5°C 0mm 0.02kPa 2499m 1.5m/s 0.98m/s
20:00 ☾
2% -4.6°C 0mm 97% 0cm -28° -4.2°C 0mm 0.01kPa 9576m 1.7m/s 1.4m/s
21:00 ☾
3% -4.7°C 0mm 97% 0cm -39° -4.3°C 0mm 0.01kPa 5748m 1.3m/s 0.94m/s
22:00 ☾
5% -4.4°C 0mm 98% 0cm -49° -4.1°C 0mm 0.01kPa 233m 1.5m/s 0.98m/s
23:00 ☾
6% -4.2°C 0mm 98% 0cm -59° -3.9°C 0mm 0.01kPa 137m 1.5m/s 1.1m/s
Fri, Jul 17 Sunrise 08:10 Sunset 17:21
24:00 ☾
8% -4°C 0.01mm 98% 0cm -66° -3.7°C 0mm 0.01kPa 107m 1.6m/s 0.95m/s
01:00 ☾
10% -3.4°C 0.01mm 99% 0cm -68° -3.2°C 0mm 0.01kPa 81m 1.7m/s 1.2m/s
02:00 ☾
11% -3.4°C 0.01mm 98% 0cm -63° -3°C 0mm 0.01kPa 178m 1.5m/s 0.9m/s
03:00 ☾
13% -3.4°C 0mm 98% 0cm -54° -3.1°C 0mm 0.01kPa 841m 1.1m/s 0.61m/s
04:00 ☾
11% -4°C 0mm 95% 0cm -44° -3.4°C 0mm 0.02kPa 6126m 1m/s 0.57m/s
05:00 ☾
8% -4.9°C 0mm 94% 0cm -33° -4.1°C 0mm 0.03kPa 3105m 0.73m/s 0.46m/s
06:00 ☾
6% -6.9°C 0mm 88% 0cm -23° -5.3°C 0mm 0.05kPa 5288m 0.73m/s 0.87m/s
07:00 ☾
4% -8°C 0mm 81% 0cm -12° -5.3°C 0mm 0.08kPa 5474m 0.81m/s 0.84m/s
08:00 ☾
2% -8.5°C 0mm 81% 0cm -1.8° -5.8°C 0mm 0.08kPa 5054m 1m/s 1.1m/s
09:00 ☾
0% -5.6°C 0mm 89% 0cm 7.2° -4°C 0mm 0.05kPa 234m 0.83m/s 0.6m/s
10:00 ☾
0% -3.9°C 0mm 90% 0cm 15° -2.5°C 0mm 0.05kPa 278m 1.7m/s 1.3m/s
11:00 ☾
0% -2.2°C 0mm 92% 0cm 21° -1°C 0mm 0.05kPa 130m 1.8m/s 1.7m/s
12:00
0% -1.5°C 0mm 92% 0cm 24° -0.41°C 0mm 0.05kPa 93m 2.2m/s 2.1m/s
13:00
0% -1.2°C 0mm 94% 0cm 25° -0.32°C 0mm 0.04kPa 176m 2.4m/s 2.2m/s
14:00
0% -1.3°C 0mm 94% 0cm 23° -0.4°C 0mm 0.04kPa 1750m 2.3m/s 2.1m/s
15:00
0% -1.5°C 0.01mm 93% 0cm 18° -0.58°C 0mm 0.04kPa 2587m 2.2m/s 2m/s
16:00
0% -1.9°C 0mm 92% 0cm 11° -0.85°C 0mm 0.04kPa 24135m 2.3m/s 2.2m/s
17:00
0% -3°C 0mm 94% 0cm 3.2° -2.3°C 0mm 0.03kPa 24135m 1.9m/s 1.8m/s
18:00 ☾
0% -4.1°C 0mm 96% 0cm -6.6° -3.6°C 0mm 0.02kPa 1992m 1.1m/s 0.64m/s
19:00 ☾
0% -5.6°C 0mm 93% 0cm -17° -4.6°C 0mm 0.03kPa 6003m 1.2m/s 0.23m/s
20:00 ☾
0% -6.2°C 0mm 88% 0cm -28° -4.5°C 0mm 0.05kPa 20770m 1.3m/s 0.36m/s
21:00 ☾
0% -6.6°C 0mm 86% 0cm -39° -4.6°C 0mm 0.06kPa 5407m 0.92m/s 0.44m/s
22:00 ☾
0% -6.2°C 0mm 89% 0cm -49° -4.7°C 0mm 0.05kPa 5136m 1m/s 0.51m/s
23:00 ☾
0% -5.2°C 0mm 93% 0cm -59° -4.2°C 0mm 0.03kPa 5097m 1m/s 0.31m/s
Sat, Jul 18 Sunrise 08:09 Sunset 17:22
24:00 ☾
0% -5.4°C 0mm 93% 0cm -66° -4.4°C 0mm 0.03kPa 5068m 1.1m/s 0.67m/s
01:00 ☾
0% -4.9°C 0mm 95% 0cm -67° -4.1°C 0mm 0.02kPa 773m 1.4m/s 1.1m/s
02:00 ☾
0% -5°C 0mm 96% 0cm -63° -4.5°C 0mm 0.02kPa 1075m 1.5m/s 1.2m/s
03:00 ☾
0% -6.4°C 0mm 95% 0cm -54° -5.7°C 0mm 0.02kPa 2691m 1.5m/s 0.45m/s
04:00 ☾
0% -7.2°C 0mm 92% 0cm -44° -6.2°C 0mm 0.03kPa 1956m 1.1m/s 0.46m/s
05:00 ☾
0% -5.1°C 0.01mm 97% 0cm -33° -4.6°C 0mm 0.01kPa 320m 1.8m/s 1.5m/s
06:00 ☾
0% -3.9°C 0mm 98% 0cm -22° -3.6°C 0mm 0.01kPa 1352m 2.8m/s 2.1m/s
07:00 ☾
0% -4.1°C 0mm 96% 0cm -12° -3.6°C 0mm 0.02kPa 4568m 1.9m/s 1.7m/s
08:00 ☾
0% -5.4°C 0mm 94% 0cm -1.7° -4.6°C 0mm 0.03kPa 5592m 1.7m/s 0.97m/s
09:00 ☾
0% -5.8°C 0mm 92% 0cm 7.3° -4.7°C 0mm 0.04kPa 24134m 1.9m/s 0.58m/s
10:00 ☾
0% -3.3°C 0mm 94% 0cm 15° -2.5°C 0mm 0.03kPa 2586m 2.4m/s 2m/s
11:00 ☾
0% -2°C 0mm 95% 0cm 21° -1.4°C 0mm 0.03kPa 265m 2.9m/s 2.8m/s
12:00
0% -0.9°C 0mm 97% 0cm 25° -0.45°C 0mm 0.02kPa 161m 2.7m/s 2.6m/s
13:00
0% 0.1°C 0mm 94% 0cm 25° 0.93°C 0mm 0.04kPa 8152m 2.2m/s 2.3m/s
14:00
0% 1.1°C 0mm 92% 0cm 23° 2.3°C 0mm 0.06kPa 16144m 1.8m/s 2m/s
15:00
0% 2.1°C 0mm 89% 0cm 18° 3.7°C 0mm 0.09kPa 24135m 1.3m/s 1.7m/s
16:00
0% 2.3°C 0.003mm 90% 0cm 12° 3.8°C 0mm 0.08kPa 19804m 1.2m/s 1.4m/s
17:00
0% 2.5°C 0.007mm 91% 0cm 3.3° 3.9°C 0mm 0.07kPa 15473m 1m/s 1.2m/s
18:00 ☾
0% 2.8°C 0.01mm 92% 0cm -6.5° 4°C 0mm 0.06kPa 11143m 0.84m/s 1m/s
19:00 ☾
0% 3°C 0.01mm 93% 0cm -17° 4.1°C 0.02mm 0.06kPa 9054m 0.75m/s 0.75m/s
20:00 ☾
0% 3.2°C 0.02mm 93% 0cm -28° 4.3°C 0.04mm 0.06kPa 6965m 0.65m/s 0.49m/s
21:00 ☾
0% 3.5°C 0.02mm 94% 0cm -38° 4.4°C 0.06mm 0.05kPa 4877m 0.56m/s 0.22m/s
22:00 ☾
0% 3.5°C 0.02mm 94% 0cm -49° 4.4°C 0.08mm 0.05kPa 7029m 0.62m/s 0.42m/s
23:00 ☾
0% 3.6°C 0.01mm 94% 0cm -58° 4.5°C 0.1mm 0.05kPa 9182m 0.68m/s 0.61m/s
Sun, Jul 19 Sunrise 08:09 Sunset 17:22
24:00 ☾
0% 3.6°C 0.01mm 94% 0cm -65° 4.5°C 0.13mm 0.05kPa 11334m 0.74m/s 0.81m/s
01:00 ☾
0% 3.6°C 0.01mm 92% 0cm -67° 4.8°C 0.1mm 0.07kPa 15601m 0.67m/s 0.7m/s
02:00 ☾
1% 3.6°C 0.01mm 90% 0cm -63° 5°C 0.08mm 0.08kPa 19868m 0.59m/s 0.59m/s
03:00 ☾
1% 3.6°C 0.01mm 89% 0cm -54° 5.3°C 0.06mm 0.1kPa 24135m 0.52m/s 0.48m/s
04:00 ☾
1% 4.1°C 0.01mm 89% 0cm -44° 5.8°C 0.06mm 0.1kPa 19846m 0.58m/s 0.68m/s
05:00 ☾
0% 4.5°C 0.01mm 89% 0cm -33° 6.3°C 0.06mm 0.11kPa 15557m 0.64m/s 0.88m/s
06:00 ☾
0% 5°C 0.01mm 89% 0cm -22° 6.7°C 0.06mm 0.11kPa 11268m 0.7m/s 1.1m/s
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →
Forecast generated

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