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Rule Fog Hunter

Fog Hunter Forecast for Mount Cook, New Zealand

Twizel, Canterbury, New Zealand

Aoraki/Mount Cook rises above braided glacial valleys and moraine lakes, with Hooker Valley footbridges and ridges adding foreground depth.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Dewpoint Spread0.1°C
Visibility41 (Dense fog)
Relative Humidity99%
Wind Speed8.3m/s (moderate winds)

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Pacific/Auckland
fog weather icon
Next opportunity
Dense Fog
Mount Cook
Tomorrow · 01:00–04:00 · 3h window
High confidence
94%
🌫️Fog Probability100%
Dewpoint Spread: 0.2°C
Visibility: 793 (Fog)
Relative Humidity: 98%
Wind Speed: 1.4m/s (calm conditions)
fog weather icon
Dense Fog
Mount Cook
Tomorrow · 19:00–22:00
🌫️Fog Probability:83.4-85%
Medium

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Fog Hunter conditions across New Zealand. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Mount Cook.

Explore Fog Hunter conditions across New Zealand →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Mount Cook during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
24
recorded matching windows · 84% average confidence
Last 90 days
49
recorded matching windows · 82% average confidence
Last 365 days
50
recorded matching windows · 82% average confidence
Most frequent recorded start hour

07:00 local time, shared by 9 of 50 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

Most represented month

July, with 32 of 50 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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95-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 95-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
6matching hours in the next 95 hoursJump to next match
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Pacific/Auckland
Fog Probability
≥ 75.0%
Sat, Aug 22
07:0047%
08:0048%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Sun, Aug 23
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:0044%
20:0043%
21:0049%
22:0033%
23:0037%
Mon, Aug 24
24:0056%
01:00100%
02:00100%
03:00100%
04:0065%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:0038%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:0085%
20:0083%
21:0085%
22:0047%
23:0048%
Tue, Aug 25
24:000%
01:0069%
02:0048%
03:0048%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Wed, Aug 26
24:000%
01:0037%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Fog Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Pacific/Auckland
Clear Sky Probability (Ensemble)
%
Dew Point
°C
Rainfall
mm
Relative Humidity
%
Snowfall
cm
Solar Elevation
°
Temperature
°C
Total Precipitation
mm
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Visibility
m
Wind Gusts
m/s
Wind Speed
m/s
Sun, Aug 23 Sunrise 07:24 Sunset 18:01
08:00
0% -2.4°C 0.21mm 99% 0.64cm 5.8° -2.3°C 4.9mm 0.01kPa 41m 17m/s 8.3m/s
09:00
0% -4.4°C 0.18mm 96% 0.46cm 15° -3.9°C 5.4mm 0.02kPa 137m 15m/s 6.8m/s
10:00
0% -4.7°C 0.73mm 97% 0.85cm 24° -4.3°C 6.1mm 0.01kPa 105m 17m/s 6m/s
11:00
0% -3.3°C 1.8mm 98% 2cm 30° -3.1°C 7.6mm 0.01kPa 39m 19m/s 6.9m/s
12:00
0% -3.3°C 2.3mm 99% 2.6cm 34° -3.1°C 9.8mm 0.01kPa 29m 19m/s 7m/s
13:00
0% -3.7°C 1.6mm 99% 2cm 35° -3.5°C 2.3mm 0.01kPa 31m 20m/s 7.6m/s
14:00
0% -3.8°C 1.6mm 98% 2.1cm 32° -3.5°C 4.8mm 0.01kPa 35m 21m/s 8.1m/s
15:00
0% -3.7°C 1.8mm 98% 2.4cm 27° -3.5°C 7.1mm 0.01kPa 34m 21m/s 9m/s
16:00
0% -4°C 1.8mm 98% 2.3cm 19° -3.7°C 9.5mm 0.01kPa 50m 20m/s 7.4m/s
17:00
0% -4.2°C 1.2mm 98% 1.8cm 9.8° -3.9°C 11mm 0.01kPa 60m 20m/s 6.7m/s
18:00
0% -4.9°C 0.1mm 96% 0.26cm 0.16° -4.3°C 13mm 0.02kPa 361m 18m/s 6.2m/s
19:00
0% -5.4°C 0.23mm 97% 0.29cm -11° -5°C 0.31mm 0.01kPa 232m 7.3m/s 5.1m/s
20:00
0% -5.5°C 0.06mm 97% 0.07cm -22° -5.1°C 0.44mm 0.01kPa 568m 4.7m/s 3.6m/s
21:00
0% -6.4°C 0.01mm 98% 0.02cm -33° -6.1°C 0.5mm 0.01kPa 3333m 2.5m/s 2.8m/s
22:00
0% -7.7°C 0.01mm 97% 0cm -42° -7.3°C 0.5mm 0.01kPa 10456m 2m/s 2.2m/s
23:00
0% -9.2°C 0mm 97% 0cm -51° -8.8°C 0.5mm 0.01kPa 5476m 1.6m/s 1.6m/s
Mon, Aug 24 Sunrise 07:22 Sunset 18:02
24:00
0% -9.2°C 0mm 99% 0cm -56° -9°C 0.5mm 0kPa 2975m 1.6m/s 1.5m/s
01:00
0% -7.3°C 0.01mm 98% 0cm -57° -7.1°C 0mm 0.01kPa 793m 2.1m/s 1.4m/s
02:00
0% -5.4°C 0.02mm 98% 0.03cm -54° -5.1°C 0mm 0.01kPa 306m 2.9m/s 2.1m/s
03:00
0% -4.5°C 0.07mm 98% 0.07cm -46° -4.2°C 0.06mm 0.01kPa 339m 2.8m/s 2.2m/s
04:00
0% -4.9°C 0.47mm 97% 0.47cm -37° -4.5°C 0.25mm 0.01kPa 139m 2.2m/s 2.1m/s
05:00
0% -3.1°C 1.1mm 98% 1.1cm -26° -2.8°C 1.2mm 0.01kPa 84m 3m/s 2.7m/s
06:00
0% -2.4°C 1.3mm 99% 1.3cm -15° -2.3°C 2.4mm 0.01kPa 56m 4.5m/s 3.5m/s
07:00
0% -1.4°C 1.6mm 99% 1.6cm -4.4° -1.3°C 1.4mm 0kPa 41m 4.8m/s 4.1m/s
08:00
0% -1.1°C 1.7mm 99% 1.7cm 6.1° -1.1°C 3.1mm 0kPa 51m 4.3m/s 3.8m/s
09:00
0% -1.1°C 1.3mm 99% 1.4cm 16° -0.99°C 4.5mm 0.01kPa 72m 4.3m/s 3.4m/s
10:00
0% -0.4°C 1.4mm 100% 1.5cm 24° -0.31°C 5.9mm 0kPa 57m 4.9m/s 3.7m/s
11:00
0% 0.1°C 1.1mm 100% 1.2cm 31° 0.12°C 7.2mm 0kPa 30m 5m/s 4.4m/s
12:00
0% 0.2°C 0.55mm 100% 0.65cm 34° 0.21°C 7.9mm 0kPa 27m 5.1m/s 4.7m/s
13:00
0% 0.5°C 0.61mm 100% 0.66cm 35° 0.48°C 0.63mm 0kPa 23m 5m/s 4.9m/s
14:00
0% 0.3°C 0.2mm 100% 0.26cm 32° 0.38°C 1.1mm 0kPa 25m 4.9m/s 4.8m/s
15:00
0% 0.1°C 0.29mm 99% 0.32cm 27° 0.18°C 1.3mm 0kPa 34m 4.7m/s 4.5m/s
16:00
0% 0°C 0.69mm 100% 0.7cm 19° 0.08°C 1.9mm 0kPa 37m 4.8m/s 4.7m/s
17:00
0% -0.1°C 0.13mm 100% 0.29cm 10° -0.07°C 2.3mm 0kPa 35m 5m/s 4.4m/s
18:00
0% -0.2°C 0.01mm 99% 0.13cm 0.32° -0.07°C 2.5mm 0.01kPa 36m 4.9m/s 4.4m/s
19:00
0% -0.7°C 0.01mm 99% 0.07cm -11° -0.57°C 0.06mm 0kPa 111m 4.8m/s 4.2m/s
20:00
0% -1.2°C 0mm 98% 0.06cm -22° -0.95°C 0.06mm 0.01kPa 414m 5.1m/s 4.6m/s
21:00
0% -1.3°C 0.02mm 99% 0.15cm -32° -1.2°C 0.19mm 0kPa 275m 5.5m/s 4.9m/s
22:00
0% -0.2°C 0.04mm 99% 0.19cm -42° -0.03°C 0.38mm 0.01kPa 45m 6.6m/s 5.5m/s
23:00
0% -0.4°C 0.11mm 99% 0.26cm -51° -0.32°C 0.63mm 0.01kPa 40m 6.1m/s 5.3m/s
Tue, Aug 25 Sunrise 07:21 Sunset 18:03
24:00
0% -0.3°C 0.18mm 98% 0.19cm -56° -0.03°C 0.81mm 0.01kPa 82m 6.8m/s 5.9m/s
01:00
0% -0.2°C 0.05mm 99% 0.17cm -57° -0.09°C 0.19mm 0kPa 38m 6.3m/s 5.2m/s
02:00
0% 0.1°C 0.02mm 99% 0.19cm -53° 0.26°C 0.44mm 0kPa 31m 6.2m/s 5.4m/s
03:00
0% -0.1°C 0.2mm 99% 0.22cm -46° -0.04°C 0.56mm 0kPa 36m 7m/s 5.5m/s
04:00
0% 0.3°C 1.3mm 99% 1.3cm -36° 0.45°C 1.1mm 0.01kPa 91m 9.1m/s 7.1m/s
05:00
0% 0.8°C 3.3mm 100% 3.3cm -26° 0.85°C 3.7mm 0kPa 45m 8.8m/s 6.3m/s
06:00
0% 1.3°C 3.4mm 100% 3.4cm -15° 1.3°C 7.8mm 0kPa 47m 9.6m/s 6.9m/s
07:00
0% 1.8°C 6.7mm 100% 6.7cm -4.1° 1.8°C 5.8mm 0kPa 46m 8.2m/s 6.2m/s
08:00
0% 2.5°C 7mm 100% 7cm 6.3° 2.5°C 13mm 0kPa 39m 8.6m/s 6.8m/s
09:00
0% 2.6°C 7.3mm 100% 7.4cm 16° 2.6°C 21mm 0kPa 39m 7.3m/s 5.9m/s
10:00
0% 3°C 7.1mm 100% 0cm 24° 3°C 27mm 0kPa 42m 8.2m/s 6.9m/s
11:00
0% 1.2°C 2.9mm 100% 3cm 31° 1.2°C 33mm 0kPa 44m 4m/s 3.6m/s
12:00
0% 1.3°C 0.4mm 100% 0.55cm 35° 1.3°C 34mm 0kPa 36m 4.8m/s 3.6m/s
13:00
0% 1.6°C 0.27mm 97% 0.37cm 35° 2°C 23mm 0.02kPa 8069m 3.9m/s 3.3m/s
14:00
0% 1.9°C 0.13mm 94% 0.18cm 33° 2.8°C 11mm 0.05kPa 16102m 3m/s 2.9m/s
15:00
0% 2.2°C 0mm 91% 0cm 27° 3.5°C 0mm 0.07kPa 24135m 2m/s 2.6m/s
16:00
0% 2.2°C 0mm 90% 0cm 19° 3.6°C 0mm 0.08kPa 24135m 1.9m/s 2.5m/s
17:00
0% 2.3°C 0mm 90% 0cm 10° 3.7°C 0mm 0.08kPa 24135m 1.8m/s 2.3m/s
18:00
0% 2.3°C 0mm 90% 0cm 0.48° 3.8°C 0mm 0.08kPa 24135m 1.7m/s 2.2m/s
19:00
0% 2.9°C 0.007mm 91% 0cm -11° 4.2°C 0.02mm 0.07kPa 19770m 1.5m/s 1.9m/s
20:00
0% 3.4°C 0.01mm 92% 0cm -22° 4.5°C 0.04mm 0.07kPa 15405m 1.3m/s 1.6m/s
21:00
0% 3.9°C 0.02mm 93% 0cm -32° 4.9°C 0.06mm 0.06kPa 11040m 1.1m/s 1.4m/s
22:00
0% 3.7°C 0.02mm 93% 0cm -42° 4.7°C 0.06mm 0.06kPa 11074m 1.4m/s 1.6m/s
23:00
0% 3.6°C 0.02mm 93% 0cm -50° 4.5°C 0.06mm 0.06kPa 11108m 1.7m/s 1.8m/s
Wed, Aug 26 Sunrise 07:19 Sunset 18:04
24:00
0% 3.4°C 0.02mm 93% 0cm -56° 4.4°C 0.06mm 0.05kPa 11143m 1.9m/s 2.1m/s
01:00
0% 3.8°C 0.43mm 95% 0cm -57° 4.6°C 0.56mm 0.05kPa 7693m 2.1m/s 1.8m/s
02:00
1% 4.2°C 0.83mm 96% 0cm -53° 4.8°C 1.1mm 0.04kPa 4242m 2.2m/s 1.4m/s
03:00
1% 4.6°C 1.2mm 97% 0cm -45° 5°C 1.6mm 0.03kPa 792m 2.3m/s 1.1m/s
04:00
1% 4.9°C 1.3mm 97% 0cm -36° 5.3°C 2.4mm 0.03kPa 973m 3.1m/s 1.5m/s
05:00
0% 5.1°C 1.3mm 96% 0cm -26° 5.7°C 3.2mm 0.03kPa 1154m 3.9m/s 1.8m/s
06:00
0% 5.4°C 1.4mm 96% 0cm -15° 6°C 4.1mm 0.04kPa 1336m 4.6m/s 2.2m/s
07:00
0% 5.8°C 4mm 97% 0cm -3.9° 6.2°C 8.8mm 0.03kPa 989m 5.1m/s 2.5m/s
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

Forecast generated

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