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Rule Fog Hunter

Fog Hunter Forecast for Lake Tekapo, New Zealand

Lake Tekapo, Canterbury, New Zealand

Lake Tekapo pairs turquoise glacial water with the Church of the Good Shepherd, gravel shores, and the long ridge of the Southern Alps.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Fog Probability
59%
Dewpoint Spread0.2°C
Visibility152 (Dense fog)
Relative Humidity99%
Wind Speed1.4m/s (calm conditions)

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Pacific/Auckland
fog weather icon
Next opportunity
Dense Fog
Lake Tekapo
Today · 13:00–15:00 · 2h window
High confidence
93%
🌫️Fog Probability91.4%
Dewpoint Spread: 0.7°C
Visibility: 130 (Dense fog)
Relative Humidity: 96%
Wind Speed: 1.4m/s (calm conditions)

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Fog Hunter conditions across New Zealand. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Lake Tekapo.

Explore Fog Hunter conditions across New Zealand →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Lake Tekapo during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
7
recorded matching windows · 79% average confidence
Last 90 days
27
recorded matching windows · 77% average confidence
Last 365 days
33
recorded matching windows · 76% average confidence
Most represented month

July, with 18 of 33 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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95-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 95-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
7matching hours in the next 95 hoursJump to next match
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Pacific/Auckland
Fog Probability
≥ 75.0%
Sun, Sep 6
09:0036%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:0069%
20:0069%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Mon, Sep 7
24:000%
01:00100%
02:00100%
03:00100%
04:00100%
05:0069%
06:0069%
07:00100%
08:0069%
09:0059%
10:0053%
11:0053%
12:0052%
13:0091%
14:0091%
15:0067%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Tue, Sep 8
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Wed, Sep 9
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Thu, Sep 10
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Fog Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Pacific/Auckland
Clear Sky Probability (Ensemble)
%
Dew Point
°C
Rainfall
mm
Relative Humidity
%
Snowfall
cm
Solar Elevation
°
Temperature
°C
Total Precipitation
mm
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Visibility
m
Wind Gusts
m/s
Wind Speed
m/s
Mon, Sep 7 Sunrise 06:57 Sunset 18:16
09:00 ☾
0% -0.3°C 0.04mm 99% 0.05cm 20° -0.11°C 0.25mm 0.01kPa 152m 1.7m/s 1.4m/s
10:00 ☾
0% 0.1°C 0.02mm 99% 0.04cm 29° 0.25°C 0.31mm 0.01kPa 131m 1.7m/s 1.5m/s
11:00 ☾
0% 0.4°C 0.01mm 98% 0.05cm 35° 0.74°C 0.38mm 0.01kPa 80m 1.8m/s 1.6m/s
12:00
0% 0.4°C 0.01mm 97% 0.06cm 39° 0.88°C 0.44mm 0.02kPa 85m 2.1m/s 1.7m/s
13:00
0% 0.2°C 0.01mm 96% 0.03cm 40° 0.85°C 0.06mm 0.03kPa 130m 1.7m/s 1.4m/s
14:00
0% 0.1°C 0mm 94% 0cm 36° 0.9°C 0.06mm 0.04kPa 179m 1.6m/s 1.4m/s
15:00
0% 0.1°C 0mm 92% 0cm 30° 1.2°C 0.06mm 0.05kPa 993m 1.6m/s 1.3m/s
16:00
0% 0.2°C 0.01mm 90% 0cm 22° 1.6°C 0.06mm 0.07kPa 2245m 1.7m/s 1.2m/s
17:00
0% -0.1°C 0mm 89% 0cm 13° 1.5°C 0.13mm 0.07kPa 2563m 1.7m/s 1m/s
18:00
0% -0.3°C 0mm 92% 0cm 2.5° 0.76°C 0.13mm 0.05kPa 24003m 0.52m/s 0.6m/s
19:00 ☾
12% -1.3°C 0mm 91% 0cm -8.4° -0.03°C 0mm 0.05kPa 24059m 1.4m/s 1.5m/s
20:00 ☾
24% -3.2°C 0mm 88% 0cm -19° -1.4°C 0mm 0.07kPa 24134m 2.3m/s 2.5m/s
21:00 ☾
36% -4.6°C 0mm 85% 0cm -30° -2.5°C 0mm 0.07kPa 24134m 2.3m/s 2.5m/s
22:00 ☾
27% -5°C 0mm 84% 0cm -39° -2.7°C 0mm 0.08kPa 24134m 2.2m/s 2.4m/s
23:00 ☾
18% -5.3°C 0mm 84% 0cm -47° -3.1°C 0mm 0.08kPa 24134m 1.9m/s 2.1m/s
Tue, Sep 8 Sunrise 06:56 Sunset 18:17
24:00 ☾
9% -5.3°C 0mm 84% 0cm -51° -3°C 0mm 0.08kPa 24135m 1.9m/s 2m/s
01:00 ☾
7% -5.6°C 0mm 83% 0cm -52° -3.2°C 0mm 0.08kPa 24135m 1.8m/s 2m/s
02:00 ☾
4% -5.8°C 0mm 83% 0cm -48° -3.3°C 0mm 0.08kPa 24134m 1.7m/s 1.9m/s
03:00 ☾
2% -5.8°C 0mm 83% 0cm -41° -3.4°C 0mm 0.08kPa 24134m 1.5m/s 1.7m/s
04:00 ☾
1% -5.7°C 0mm 84% 0cm -31° -3.4°C 0mm 0.08kPa 23252m 1.4m/s 1.5m/s
05:00 ☾
1% -5.7°C 0mm 84% 0cm -21° -3.4°C 0mm 0.07kPa 24135m 1.6m/s 1.7m/s
06:00 ☾
0% -5.8°C 0mm 84% 0cm -11° -3.5°C 0mm 0.08kPa 24134m 1.7m/s 1.9m/s
07:00 ☾
1% -5.3°C 0mm 84% 0cm 0.68° -2.9°C 0mm 0.08kPa 24134m 1.5m/s 1.7m/s
08:00 ☾
2% -4.6°C 0mm 82% 0cm 11° -2°C 0mm 0.09kPa 24134m 1.3m/s 1.4m/s
09:00 ☾
3% -3.1°C 0mm 80% 0cm 21° -0.13°C 0mm 0.12kPa 24135m 1.1m/s 1m/s
10:00 ☾
3% -1.5°C 0mm 83% 0cm 29° 0.99°C 0mm 0.11kPa 24135m 1.1m/s 0.95m/s
11:00 ☾
3% -0.5°C 0mm 84% 0cm 36° 1.9°C 0mm 0.11kPa 24135m 0.92m/s 0.91m/s
12:00
3% -0.1°C 0mm 82% 0cm 40° 2.7°C 0mm 0.14kPa 22522m 1m/s 1.3m/s
13:00
3% 0.2°C 0mm 80% 0cm 40° 3.3°C 0mm 0.15kPa 22507m 0.92m/s 1.3m/s
14:00
2% 0.4°C 0mm 79% 0cm 37° 3.7°C 0mm 0.17kPa 22511m 0.74m/s 1.1m/s
15:00
2% 0.6°C 0mm 79% 0cm 31° 4°C 0mm 0.17kPa 22529m 0.83m/s 1.1m/s
16:00
1% 0.8°C 0mm 81% 0cm 22° 3.8°C 0mm 0.15kPa 22609m 0.9m/s 1.1m/s
17:00
1% 0.9°C 0mm 86% 0cm 13° 3°C 0mm 0.11kPa 9350m 1m/s 1.1m/s
18:00
0% -0.5°C 0mm 93% 0cm 2.7° 0.55°C 0mm 0.05kPa 4345m 1.4m/s 1.5m/s
19:00 ☾
8% -1.8°C 0mm 93% 0cm -8.2° -0.74°C 0mm 0.04kPa 4175m 2.9m/s 3.1m/s
20:00 ☾
15% -2.7°C 0mm 89% 0cm -19° -1.1°C 0mm 0.06kPa 24134m 3m/s 3.3m/s
21:00 ☾
23% -3.7°C 0mm 83% 0cm -29° -1.2°C 0mm 0.1kPa 24135m 2.8m/s 3m/s
22:00 ☾
31% -4.3°C 0mm 80% 0cm -39° -1.3°C 0mm 0.11kPa 24134m 2.8m/s 3.1m/s
23:00 ☾
38% -4.9°C 0mm 77% 0cm -46° -1.5°C 0mm 0.12kPa 24134m 2.7m/s 2.9m/s
Wed, Sep 9 Sunrise 06:54 Sunset 18:18
24:00 ☾
46% -5.3°C 0mm 75% 0cm -51° -1.5°C 0mm 0.13kPa 24135m 2.7m/s 3m/s
01:00 ☾
63% -5.8°C 0mm 73% 0cm -51° -1.7°C 0mm 0.14kPa 24134m 2.5m/s 2.8m/s
02:00 ☾
80% -6.4°C 0mm 70% 0cm -47° -1.8°C 0mm 0.16kPa 24135m 2.5m/s 2.8m/s
03:00 ☾
97% -7°C 0mm 69% 0cm -40° -2°C 0mm 0.17kPa 24134m 2.4m/s 2.6m/s
04:00 ☾
98% -7.1°C 0mm 69% 0cm -31° -2.2°C 0mm 0.16kPa 24135m 2.1m/s 2.4m/s
05:00 ☾
98% -6.6°C 0mm 71% 0cm -21° -2°C 0mm 0.15kPa 24135m 2.4m/s 2.6m/s
06:00 ☾
99% -5.7°C 0mm 74% 0cm -10° -1.8°C 0mm 0.14kPa 24134m 2.3m/s 2.5m/s
07:00 ☾
99% -5.1°C 0mm 77% 0cm 0.97° -1.5°C 0mm 0.13kPa 24135m 2.4m/s 2.7m/s
08:00 ☾
98% -3.8°C 0mm 76% 0cm 11° -0.04°C 0mm 0.15kPa 24134m 2.2m/s 2.3m/s
09:00 ☾
98% -2.1°C 0mm 73% 0cm 21° 2.2°C 0mm 0.19kPa 24134m 2.5m/s 2.1m/s
10:00 ☾
97% -0.7°C 0mm 72% 0cm 29° 3.8°C 0mm 0.22kPa 24134m 2.8m/s 2.1m/s
11:00 ☾
97% 0.3°C 0mm 71% 0cm 36° 5.1°C 0mm 0.25kPa 22522m 3.2m/s 2.5m/s
12:00
96% 0.9°C 0mm 70% 0cm 40° 5.9°C 0mm 0.28kPa 22511m 3.6m/s 2.8m/s
13:00
85% 1.2°C 0mm 70% 0cm 40° 6.3°C 0mm 0.29kPa 22518m 3.8m/s 3m/s
14:00
74% 1.4°C 0mm 70% 0cm 37° 6.5°C 0mm 0.29kPa 23004m 4m/s 3.3m/s
15:00
63% 1.5°C 0mm 71% 0cm 31° 6.5°C 0mm 0.28kPa 24135m 4.3m/s 3.5m/s
16:00
54% 1.5°C 0mm 72% 0cm 23° 6.2°C 0mm 0.27kPa 24135m 4.5m/s 3.8m/s
17:00
45% 1.5°C 0mm 78% 0cm 13° 5.1°C 0mm 0.2kPa 24134m 5.2m/s 3.6m/s
18:00
36% -0.1°C 0mm 81% 0cm 2.9° 2.8°C 0mm 0.14kPa 24135m 4.6m/s 3.7m/s
19:00 ☾
28% 0.4°C 0.19mm 87% 0.19cm -8° 2.3°C 1.4mm 0.1kPa 16155m 4.1m/s 3.2m/s
20:00 ☾
20% 0.7°C 0.37mm 92% 0.37cm -19° 1.9°C 2.8mm 0.05kPa 8175m 3.6m/s 2.7m/s
21:00 ☾
12% 1.1°C 0.56mm 98% 0.56cm -29° 1.4°C 4.1mm 0.01kPa 194m 3m/s 2.2m/s
22:00 ☾
10% 0.4°C 0.42mm 95% 0.37cm -38° 1.1°C 4.3mm 0.03kPa 8174m 2.8m/s 2.3m/s
23:00 ☾
7% -0.3°C 0.29mm 92% 0.19cm -46° 0.84°C 4.5mm 0.05kPa 16155m 2.6m/s 2.4m/s
Thu, Sep 10 Sunrise 06:52 Sunset 18:19
24:00 ☾
5% -1.1°C 0.15mm 89% 0cm -50° 0.57°C 4.7mm 0.07kPa 24135m 2.4m/s 2.5m/s
01:00 ☾
7% -1.3°C 0.11mm 82% 0cm -51° 1.4°C 3.2mm 0.12kPa 24135m 3.4m/s 2.8m/s
02:00 ☾
9% -1.6°C 0.06mm 76% 0cm -47° 2.2°C 1.8mm 0.17kPa 24135m 4.4m/s 3.1m/s
03:00 ☾
11% -2°C 0.02mm 70% 0cm -40° 2.9°C 0.31mm 0.23kPa 24135m 5.4m/s 3.5m/s
04:00 ☾
8% -2.7°C 0.03mm 64% 0cm -31° 3.5°C 0.44mm 0.28kPa 24135m 4.9m/s 3.5m/s
05:00 ☾
6% -3.4°C 0.05mm 58% 0cm -21° 4.1°C 0.56mm 0.34kPa 24135m 4.4m/s 3.5m/s
06:00 ☾
3% -4.3°C 0.06mm 52% 0cm -9.9° 4.6°C 0.69mm 0.41kPa 24135m 3.9m/s 3.5m/s
07:00 ☾
6% -4.4°C 0.04mm 52% 0.17cm 1.3° 4.6°C 0.83mm 0.4kPa 18523m 4.5m/s 4.2m/s
08:00 ☾
8% -4.4°C 0.02mm 52% 0.35cm 11° 4.5°C 0.98mm 0.4kPa 12910m 5.1m/s 4.9m/s
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →
Forecast generated

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