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Rule Fog Hunter

Fog Hunter Forecast for Lake Tekapo, New Zealand

Lake Tekapo, Canterbury, New Zealand

Lake Tekapo pairs turquoise glacial water with the Church of the Good Shepherd, gravel shores, and the long ridge of the Southern Alps.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Fog Probability
0%
Dewpoint Spread4.9°C
Visibility24134 (Clear)
Relative Humidity70%
Wind Speed13.3m/s (moderate winds)

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Pacific/Auckland

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (85-hour forecast)

  • Fog Probability100% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Fog Hunter conditions across New Zealand. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Lake Tekapo.

Explore Fog Hunter conditions across New Zealand →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Lake Tekapo during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
4
recorded matching windows · 85% average confidence
Last 90 days
25
recorded matching windows · 76% average confidence
Last 365 days
29
recorded matching windows · 75% average confidence
Most frequent recorded start hour

16:00 local time, shared by 5 of 29 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

Most represented month

July, with 18 of 29 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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85-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 85-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 85 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Pacific/Auckland
Fog Probability
≥ 75.0%
Sat, Aug 22
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Sun, Aug 23
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Mon, Aug 24
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Tue, Aug 25
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Wed, Aug 26
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Fog Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Pacific/Auckland
Clear Sky Probability (Ensemble)
%
Dew Point
°C
Rainfall
mm
Relative Humidity
%
Snowfall
cm
Solar Elevation
°
Temperature
°C
Total Precipitation
mm
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Visibility
m
Wind Gusts
m/s
Wind Speed
m/s
Sun, Aug 23 Sunrise 07:23 Sunset 17:59
08:00 ☾
1% -1.2°C 0mm 70% 0cm 5.8° 3.7°C 1mm 0.24kPa 24134m 23m/s 13m/s
09:00 ☾
2% -3.7°C 0mm 61% 0cm 15° 3.1°C 1mm 0.3kPa 24135m 21m/s 10m/s
10:00 ☾
6% -5.2°C 0mm 54% 0cm 24° 3.4°C 1mm 0.36kPa 24134m 22m/s 9.8m/s
11:00 ☾
10% -4.9°C 0mm 54% 0cm 30° 3.5°C 1mm 0.36kPa 24134m 23m/s 12m/s
12:00
14% -4°C 0mm 56% 0cm 34° 4.1°C 1mm 0.36kPa 24134m 25m/s 13m/s
13:00
31% -3.8°C 0.01mm 57% 0cm 34° 4.1°C 0mm 0.35kPa 24134m 25m/s 14m/s
14:00
48% -3.6°C 0.01mm 56% 0cm 32° 4.3°C 0mm 0.36kPa 24134m 25m/s 14m/s
15:00
65% -3.9°C 0mm 56% 0.05cm 26° 4°C 0.06mm 0.35kPa 5714m 25m/s 13m/s
16:00
69% -4.5°C 0mm 55% 0.05cm 19° 3.8°C 0.19mm 0.36kPa 6657m 23m/s 11m/s
17:00
74% -4°C 0mm 61% 0cm 9.4° 2.9°C 0.25mm 0.29kPa 24135m 20m/s 8.1m/s
18:00
78% -5°C 0mm 62% 0cm -0.28° 1.6°C 0.31mm 0.26kPa 24135m 11m/s 5.6m/s
19:00 ☾
85% -5°C 0mm 69% 0cm -11° -0.06°C 0mm 0.19kPa 24135m 6.9m/s 4.1m/s
20:00 ☾
93% -5.4°C 0mm 70% 0cm -22° -0.68°C 0mm 0.17kPa 24134m 6.8m/s 4.1m/s
21:00 ☾
100% -5.5°C 0mm 72% 0cm -33° -1.1°C 0mm 0.16kPa 24134m 6.5m/s 4.4m/s
22:00 ☾
100% -5.8°C 0mm 70% 0cm -42° -1.1°C 0mm 0.17kPa 24134m 7.4m/s 5.2m/s
23:00 ☾
100% -6.2°C 0mm 70% 0cm -51° -1.3°C 0mm 0.17kPa 24135m 7.1m/s 5m/s
Mon, Aug 24 Sunrise 07:21 Sunset 18:00
24:00 ☾
100% -6.2°C 0mm 69% 0cm -56° -1.2°C 0mm 0.17kPa 24135m 5.9m/s 4.2m/s
01:00 ☾
100% -5.9°C 0mm 70% 0cm -57° -1.2°C 0mm 0.17kPa 24135m 5.2m/s 3.9m/s
02:00 ☾
100% -5.6°C 0mm 72% 0cm -53° -1.2°C 0mm 0.16kPa 24134m 5.1m/s 3.9m/s
03:00 ☾
100% -5.6°C 0mm 73% 0cm -46° -1.4°C 0mm 0.15kPa 24135m 5.4m/s 4m/s
04:00 ☾
100% -5.4°C 0mm 74% 0cm -36° -1.4°C 0mm 0.14kPa 24135m 5.5m/s 4.1m/s
05:00 ☾
100% -5°C 0mm 74% 0cm -26° -0.9°C 0mm 0.15kPa 24134m 4.7m/s 4.1m/s
06:00 ☾
100% -4.1°C 0mm 75% 0cm -15° -0.19°C 0mm 0.15kPa 24135m 5.4m/s 4.7m/s
07:00 ☾
98% -3.1°C 0mm 78% 0cm -4.3° 0.29°C 0mm 0.14kPa 24134m 5.4m/s 4.7m/s
08:00 ☾
96% -1.8°C 0mm 80% 0cm 6.1° 1.4°C 0mm 0.14kPa 24134m 5.5m/s 4.6m/s
09:00 ☾
94% 0.2°C 0mm 75% 0cm 16° 4.2°C 0mm 0.21kPa 24134m 8m/s 4.3m/s
10:00 ☾
94% 0.8°C 0mm 66% 0cm 24° 6.6°C 0mm 0.33kPa 24134m 11m/s 4.7m/s
11:00 ☾
93% 0.9°C 0mm 62% 0cm 30° 7.7°C 0mm 0.4kPa 24134m 11m/s 6m/s
12:00
93% 1.5°C 0mm 63% 0cm 34° 8.2°C 0mm 0.41kPa 24134m 12m/s 6.2m/s
13:00
73% 1.8°C 0mm 63% 0cm 35° 8.4°C 0mm 0.4kPa 24134m 12m/s 6m/s
14:00
54% 1.8°C 0mm 64% 0cm 32° 8.1°C 0mm 0.38kPa 24134m 12m/s 5.7m/s
15:00
34% 1.6°C 0mm 66% 0cm 26° 7.7°C 0mm 0.36kPa 24135m 11m/s 5.6m/s
16:00
28% 1.5°C 0mm 67% 0cm 19° 7.3°C 0mm 0.34kPa 24134m 11m/s 4.9m/s
17:00
21% 1.8°C 0mm 75% 0cm 9.7° 5.9°C 0mm 0.24kPa 24134m 8.1m/s 4.5m/s
18:00
15% 0.8°C 0mm 82% 0cm 0.03° 3.6°C 0mm 0.14kPa 24134m 6.6m/s 4.6m/s
19:00 ☾
10% 0.5°C 0mm 82% 0cm -11° 3.3°C 0mm 0.14kPa 24134m 6.9m/s 4.5m/s
20:00 ☾
5% -0.4°C 0mm 78% 0cm -22° 3.1°C 0mm 0.17kPa 24135m 7.4m/s 5.1m/s
21:00 ☾
0% -0.9°C 0mm 79% 0cm -32° 2.4°C 0mm 0.15kPa 24135m 6.6m/s 5.1m/s
22:00 ☾
0% -1°C 0mm 79% 0cm -42° 2.2°C 0mm 0.15kPa 24134m 6.2m/s 4.7m/s
23:00 ☾
0% -0.9°C 0mm 80% 0cm -51° 2.3°C 0mm 0.15kPa 24134m 7.2m/s 5.3m/s
Tue, Aug 25 Sunrise 07:20 Sunset 18:01
24:00 ☾
0% -0.6°C 0mm 79% 0cm -56° 2.6°C 0mm 0.15kPa 24134m 8.2m/s 5.5m/s
01:00 ☾
3% -0.1°C 0mm 83% 0cm -57° 2.5°C 0mm 0.13kPa 24134m 6.7m/s 4.6m/s
02:00 ☾
7% 0.1°C 0mm 84% 0cm -53° 2.5°C 0mm 0.12kPa 24135m 5.8m/s 4.5m/s
03:00 ☾
10% 0.1°C 0mm 84% 0cm -45° 2.6°C 0mm 0.12kPa 24134m 4.6m/s 4.1m/s
04:00 ☾
9% 0.2°C 0.05mm 80% 0cm -36° 3.2°C 0mm 0.15kPa 24135m 4.7m/s 4.2m/s
05:00 ☾
8% 1.1°C 0.05mm 80% 0cm -26° 4.2°C 0.13mm 0.16kPa 24134m 7.6m/s 5m/s
06:00 ☾
7% 1.7°C 0.08mm 85% 0cm -15° 4°C 0.19mm 0.12kPa 24135m 7.6m/s 4.7m/s
07:00 ☾
6% 1.4°C 0.27mm 90% 0cm -4° 2.9°C 0.13mm 0.07kPa 23826m 5.1m/s 4.2m/s
08:00 ☾
5% 1.9°C 0.15mm 91% 0cm 6.4° 3.2°C 0.31mm 0.07kPa 24134m 5.3m/s 3.9m/s
09:00 ☾
4% 2.7°C 0.02mm 86% 0cm 16° 5°C 0.44mm 0.13kPa 24134m 8m/s 3.8m/s
10:00 ☾
4% 3.6°C 0.3mm 78% 0cm 24° 7.2°C 0.63mm 0.23kPa 24135m 8.6m/s 4.8m/s
11:00 ☾
3% 3.5°C 0mm 71% 0cm 31° 8.4°C 0.75mm 0.31kPa 24134m 12m/s 5.7m/s
12:00
3% 3.6°C 0mm 64% 0cm 34° 10°C 0.75mm 0.44kPa 24134m 11m/s 6.1m/s
13:00
9% 2.5°C 0mm 69% 0cm 35° 7.9°C 0.5mm 0.33kPa 24134m 8.6m/s 5.2m/s
14:00
14% 1.3°C 0mm 74% 0cm 32° 5.7°C 0.25mm 0.24kPa 24134m 6.1m/s 4.3m/s
15:00
20% 0.1°C 0mm 78% 0cm 27° 3.4°C 0mm 0.17kPa 24135m 3.6m/s 3.5m/s
16:00
17% -0.3°C 0mm 78% 0cm 19° 3.2°C 0mm 0.17kPa 24135m 3.5m/s 3.5m/s
17:00
13% -0.6°C 0mm 78% 0cm 9.9° 3°C 0mm 0.17kPa 24135m 3.4m/s 3.5m/s
18:00
10% -0.9°C 0mm 77% 0cm 0.19° 2.7°C 0mm 0.17kPa 24135m 3.2m/s 3.5m/s
19:00 ☾
8% -0.6°C 0mm 79% 0cm -11° 2.7°C 0mm 0.15kPa 24135m 2.9m/s 3.2m/s
20:00 ☾
7% -0.4°C 0mm 81% 0cm -22° 2.6°C 0mm 0.14kPa 24135m 2.6m/s 2.8m/s
21:00 ☾
5% -0.1°C 0mm 83% 0cm -32° 2.5°C 0mm 0.13kPa 24135m 2.2m/s 2.5m/s
22:00 ☾
6% 0.2°C 0mm 84% 0cm -42° 2.7°C 0mm 0.12kPa 24135m 2.4m/s 2.6m/s
23:00 ☾
8% 0.4°C 0mm 84% 0cm -50° 2.8°C 0mm 0.12kPa 24135m 2.6m/s 2.8m/s
Wed, Aug 26 Sunrise 07:18 Sunset 18:02
24:00 ☾
9% 0.7°C 0mm 85% 0cm -56° 3°C 0mm 0.11kPa 24135m 2.7m/s 3m/s
01:00 ☾
13% 0.9°C 0.003mm 82% 0cm -56° 3.7°C 0mm 0.14kPa 24135m 2.9m/s 2.9m/s
02:00 ☾
17% 1.1°C 0.007mm 79% 0cm -52° 4.4°C 0mm 0.18kPa 24135m 3.1m/s 2.9m/s
03:00 ☾
21% 1.2°C 0.01mm 76% 0cm -45° 5.1°C 0mm 0.21kPa 24135m 3.3m/s 2.8m/s
04:00 ☾
18% 2.1°C 0.03mm 76% 0cm -36° 6°C 0.06mm 0.23kPa 24135m 4.6m/s 3.8m/s
05:00 ☾
16% 2.9°C 0.06mm 75% 0cm -25° 7°C 0.13mm 0.25kPa 24135m 5.9m/s 4.8m/s
06:00 ☾
13% 3.7°C 0.08mm 75% 0cm -14° 7.9°C 0.19mm 0.27kPa 24135m 7.1m/s 5.8m/s
07:00 ☾
10% 3.9°C 0.6mm 79% 0cm -3.7° 7.4°C 1.2mm 0.22kPa 20595m 6.1m/s 4.9m/s
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →
Forecast generated

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