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Rule Morning Frost

Bennington - Morning Frost - New England, USA

Bennington, Vermont, United States

Frost crystals on calm, cold mornings near sunrise

No opportunities right now
Here’s what usually blocks matches

No Morning Frost opportunities in the next 14 days

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Rule requirements (key thresholds)
Time Window · Sunrise -45m to +90m Frost Probability · ≥ 60.0% Wind Speed · ≤ 1.5m/s

Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.

Most common blockers (next 72 hours)
Wind Speed 92% failing
Time Window 88% failing
Frost Probability 75% failing

Currently

Real-time conditions
Soil Temperature0.9°C
Dew Point-7.3°C (low dew point)
Wind Speed1.8m/s (calm conditions)
Cloud Cover0%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in America/New_York

No opportunities in the next 10 days

See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast predicts the first frost events that transform New England's fall foliage into crystalline masterpieces. We track overnight temperatures, dewpoint, and wind conditions to identify when frost will coat leaves, grasses, and stone walls with sparkling ice crystals.

The first hard frost of autumn is a cherished event in New England—it triggers the final phase of fall color and creates magical dawn conditions where ice crystals catch golden light. The region's iconic stone walls, covered bridges, and sugar maples take on new dimension when dusted with frost.

What makes New England frost photography exceptional:

  • Foliage enhancement - Frost crystals on red and orange leaves create otherworldly textures and highlights
  • Stone wall character - New England's ubiquitous dry-stacked stone walls gain definition and drama when frost-covered
  • Sugar maple groves - Vermont and New Hampshire maple stands combine brilliant color with frost textures
  • Historic elements - Colonial-era buildings, covered bridges, and farmsteads gain timeless quality under frost

Best conditions occur on clear, calm nights in October when temperatures drop to 28-32°F. Frost melts quickly after sunrise, so arrive before dawn for frost plus golden hour light. Protected valleys and hollows accumulate frost more heavily than exposed hilltops.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
3matching hours in the next 92 hoursJump to next match
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
America/New_York
Time Window
Sunrise -45m to +90m
Frost Probability
≥ 60.0%
Wind Speed
≤ 1.5m/s
Wed, Apr 8
24:0054%1.5m/s
01:0054%1.1m/s
02:0060%0.63m/s
03:0060%0.27m/s
04:0060%0.43m/s
05:0060%0.48m/s
06:0060%0.53m/s
07:0078%0.09m/s
08:0083%1m/s
09:0088%1.5m/s
10:0086%1.6m/s
11:0080%1.2m/s
12:0078%1.8m/s
13:0075%1.7m/s
14:0075%1.9m/s
15:0075%2m/s
16:0075%1.8m/s
17:0075%1.9m/s
18:0084%1.6m/s
19:0090%0.05m/s
20:0088%1.5m/s
21:0086%1.8m/s
22:0086%1.8m/s
23:0086%1.8m/s
Thu, Apr 9
24:0086%1.8m/s
01:0086%2m/s
02:0082%2m/s
03:0086%1.8m/s
04:0088%1.6m/s
05:0086%1.8m/s
06:0086%1.9m/s
07:0086%1.9m/s
08:0088%1.6m/s
09:0082%2.6m/s
10:0077%3.4m/s
11:0073%3.7m/s
12:0069%4.2m/s
13:0069%4.8m/s
14:0057%5.6m/s
15:0042%5.9m/s
16:0039%5.9m/s
17:0026%5.3m/s
18:0026%4.8m/s
19:0033%3.3m/s
20:0041%2.4m/s
21:0040%2.6m/s
22:0033%2.4m/s
23:0035%2.5m/s
Fri, Apr 10
24:0050%2.5m/s
01:0031%2.3m/s
02:0030%2.4m/s
03:0035%2.3m/s
04:0035%2m/s
05:0041%1.9m/s
06:0041%2m/s
07:0048%1.8m/s
08:0043%2m/s
09:0042%2.2m/s
10:0038%2.7m/s
11:0044%3.1m/s
12:0030%3.6m/s
13:002.7%4.5m/s
14:002.7%4.9m/s
15:002.5%5.2m/s
16:000%5.2m/s
17:000%5.2m/s
18:000%5.4m/s
19:000%4.6m/s
20:000%3.3m/s
21:000%3.9m/s
22:000%2.1m/s
23:000%3.7m/s
Sat, Apr 11
24:000%2.7m/s
01:000%3m/s
02:000%2.2m/s
03:001.8%3.5m/s
04:0036%4.8m/s
05:0046%6.1m/s
06:0046%6m/s
07:0044%5.8m/s
08:0042%5.7m/s
09:0046%5.1m/s
10:0046%4.5m/s
11:0048%4m/s
12:0050%3.1m/s
13:0048%2.2m/s
14:0045%1.4m/s
15:0045%1.3m/s
16:0045%1.1m/s
17:0045%1m/s
18:0047%0.73m/s
19:0047%0.45m/s
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Frost Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
America/New_York
Dew Point
°C
Surface Temperature
°C
Temperature
°C
Time Window
Total Cloud Coverage
%
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Wed, Apr 8 Sunrise 06:21 Sunset 19:28
21:00
-7.3°C 0.9°C 0.15°C - 0% 0.27kPa
22:00
-7.3°C 0.9°C -0.2°C - 0% 0.25kPa
23:00
-7.2°C 0.9°C -0.29°C - 0% 0.24kPa
Thu, Apr 9 Sunrise 06:21 Sunset 19:28
24:00
-7.1°C 0.9°C -0.39°C - 0% 0.24kPa
01:00
-6.9°C 0.9°C -0.51°C - 0% 0.23kPa
02:00
-6.9°C 0.9°C -0.9°C - 0% 0.21kPa
03:00
-7.5°C 0.9°C -1.3°C - 0% 0.21kPa
04:00
-8.3°C 0.9°C -1.4°C - 0% 0.23kPa
05:00
-8.7°C 0.85°C -1.5°C - 1% 0.23kPa
06:00
-8.9°C 0.85°C -1.6°C - 4% 0.23kPa
07:00
-8.3°C 0.85°C -0.76°C - 4% 0.25kPa
08:00
-7°C 0.89°C 2.5°C - 5% 0.37kPa
09:00
-6.9°C 0.89°C 5°C - 5% 0.51kPa
10:00
-6.7°C 0.89°C 7.1°C - 5% 0.64kPa
11:00
-6.3°C 0.87°C 9.3°C - 5% 0.79kPa
12:00
-5.7°C 0.87°C 11°C - 5% 0.91kPa
13:00
-4.7°C 0.87°C 12°C - 5% 1kPa
14:00
-3.3°C 1.8°C 13°C - 5% 0.99kPa
15:00
-2.4°C 2.7°C 13°C - 5% 0.96kPa
16:00
-1.4°C 3.5°C 13°C - 5% 0.9kPa
17:00
0.1°C 4.1°C 12°C - 92% 0.78kPa
18:00
-0.4°C 4.5°C 10°C - 100% 0.66kPa
19:00
-1°C 4.6°C 7.6°C - 100% 0.47kPa
20:00
-1.6°C 4.5°C 5°C - 59% 0.33kPa
21:00
-2.1°C 4.3°C 3.7°C - 39% 0.27kPa
22:00
-2.6°C 4.1°C 3.1°C - 98% 0.26kPa
23:00
-2.7°C 3.9°C 3.1°C - 81% 0.26kPa
Fri, Apr 10 Sunrise 06:19 Sunset 19:29
24:00
-2.8°C 3.7°C 2.4°C - 5% 0.23kPa
01:00
-2.5°C 3.5°C 2.1°C - 61% 0.2kPa
02:00
-2.3°C 3.3°C 1.9°C - 100% 0.18kPa
03:00
-1.3°C 3.2°C 3.3°C - 100% 0.22kPa
04:00
-0.7°C 3.2°C 3.9°C - 100% 0.23kPa
05:00
-0.8°C 3.1°C 2.6°C - 19% 0.16kPa
06:00
-0.9°C 2.9°C 2.1°C - 53% 0.14kPa
07:00
-0.2°C 2.8°C 3.2°C - 20% 0.17kPa
08:00
0.7°C 2.9°C 5.5°C - 78% 0.26kPa
09:00
1.8°C 3.2°C 7.6°C - 30% 0.35kPa
10:00
3.3°C 3.8°C 10°C - 77% 0.48kPa
11:00
4.8°C 4.5°C 13°C - 22% 0.59kPa
12:00
6.1°C 5.3°C 15°C - 81% 0.71kPa
13:00
6.9°C 6.2°C 16°C - 100% 0.77kPa
14:00
7.7°C 7°C 16°C - 100% 0.78kPa
15:00
8.4°C 7.7°C 17°C - 100% 0.81kPa
16:00
9.1°C 8.1°C 17°C - 100% 0.72kPa
17:00
9.4°C 8.5°C 16°C - 100% 0.59kPa
18:00
9.7°C 8.8°C 15°C - 100% 0.47kPa
19:00
9.4°C 8.9°C 13°C - 100% 0.3kPa
20:00
9.4°C 8.9°C 12°C - 100% 0.22kPa
21:00
9.6°C 9°C 12°C - 100% 0.21kPa
22:00
10°C 8.9°C 11°C - 100% 0.05kPa
23:00
9.5°C 8.9°C 9.9°C - 100% 0.03kPa
Sat, Apr 11 Sunrise 06:17 Sunset 19:30
24:00
8.6°C 8.8°C 8.8°C - 100% 0.01kPa
01:00
6.9°C 8.6°C 7.2°C - 100% 0.02kPa
02:00
5.4°C 8.3°C 5.7°C - 100% 0.02kPa
03:00
2.9°C 7°C 5.1°C - 68% 0.13kPa
04:00
0.2°C 5.6°C 4.6°C - 37% 0.22kPa
05:00
-2.7°C 4.3°C 4°C - 5% 0.31kPa
06:00
-2.8°C 4.5°C 4.9°C - 5% 0.37kPa
07:00
-3°C 4.7°C 5.9°C - 5% 0.44kPa
08:00
-3.3°C 4.9°C 6.8°C - 5% 0.51kPa
09:00
-3.1°C 5.1°C 6.6°C - 5% 0.49kPa
10:00
-3°C 5.3°C 6.5°C - 5% 0.48kPa
11:00
-2.9°C 5.5°C 6.3°C - 5% 0.46kPa
12:00
-2.6°C 5.3°C 4.5°C - 5% 0.34kPa
13:00
-2.6°C 5.1°C 2.7°C - 5% 0.24kPa
14:00
-2.8°C 4.9°C 0.91°C - 5% 0.16kPa
15:00
-3.2°C 4.7°C 0.41°C - 3% 0.15kPa
16:00
-3.5°C 4.6°C -0.09°C - 2% 0.14kPa
17:00
-3.9°C 4.5°C -0.58°C - 0% 0.13kPa
18:00
-4.2°C 4.5°C -0.75°C - 0% 0.13kPa
19:00
-4.5°C 4.5°C -0.92°C - 0% 0.13kPa
20:00
-4.9°C 4.5°C -1.1°C - 0% 0.14kPa
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

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