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Rule Morning Frost

Bennington - Morning Frost - New England, USA

Bennington, Vermont, United States

Frost crystals on calm, cold mornings near sunrise

No opportunities right now
Here’s what usually blocks matches

No Morning Frost opportunities in the next 14 days

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Rule requirements (key thresholds)
Time Window · Sunrise -45m to +90m Frost Probability · ≥ 60.0% Wind Speed · ≤ 1.5m/s

Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.

Most common blockers (next 72 hours)
Frost Probability 100% failing
Time Window 88% failing
Wind Speed 86% failing

Currently

Real-time conditions
Soil Temperature12.3°C
Dew Point15.2°C (high dew point)
Wind Speed2.4m/s (calm conditions)
Cloud Cover100%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in America/New_York

No opportunities in the next 10 days

See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast predicts the first frost events that transform New England's fall foliage into crystalline masterpieces. We track overnight temperatures, dewpoint, and wind conditions to identify when frost will coat leaves, grasses, and stone walls with sparkling ice crystals.

The first hard frost of autumn is a cherished event in New England—it triggers the final phase of fall color and creates magical dawn conditions where ice crystals catch golden light. The region's iconic stone walls, covered bridges, and sugar maples take on new dimension when dusted with frost.

What makes New England frost photography exceptional:

  • Foliage enhancement - Frost crystals on red and orange leaves create otherworldly textures and highlights
  • Stone wall character - New England's ubiquitous dry-stacked stone walls gain definition and drama when frost-covered
  • Sugar maple groves - Vermont and New Hampshire maple stands combine brilliant color with frost textures
  • Historic elements - Colonial-era buildings, covered bridges, and farmsteads gain timeless quality under frost

Best conditions occur on clear, calm nights in October when temperatures drop to 28-32°F. Frost melts quickly after sunrise, so arrive before dawn for frost plus golden hour light. Protected valleys and hollows accumulate frost more heavily than exposed hilltops.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 86 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
America/New_York
Time Window
Sunrise -45m to +90m
Frost Probability
≥ 60.0%
Wind Speed
≤ 1.5m/s
Tue, Apr 14
24:000%2.4m/s
01:000%2.1m/s
02:000%2.4m/s
03:000%1.8m/s
04:000%1.3m/s
05:000%1.5m/s
06:000%1.8m/s
07:000%1.9m/s
08:000%1.4m/s
09:000%1.3m/s
10:000%1.5m/s
11:000%1.9m/s
12:000%1.7m/s
13:000%2.7m/s
14:000%2.9m/s
15:000%2.4m/s
16:000%1.7m/s
17:000%1.8m/s
18:000%2.5m/s
19:000%1.2m/s
20:000%2m/s
21:000%1.8m/s
22:000%1.9m/s
23:000%1.8m/s
Wed, Apr 15
24:000%1.4m/s
01:000%1.5m/s
02:000%1.3m/s
03:000%1.5m/s
04:000%2.1m/s
05:000%1.5m/s
06:000%0.98m/s
07:000%1.4m/s
08:000%1.6m/s
09:000%2.1m/s
10:000%1.7m/s
11:000%1.4m/s
12:000%1.4m/s
13:000%2m/s
14:000%4.8m/s
15:000%4.7m/s
16:000%3.1m/s
17:000%3.1m/s
18:000%2.3m/s
19:000%2.9m/s
20:000%2.8m/s
21:000%1.6m/s
22:000%2.4m/s
23:000%1.8m/s
Thu, Apr 16
24:000%1.4m/s
01:000%1.6m/s
02:000%1.6m/s
03:000%1.1m/s
04:000%1.5m/s
05:000%1.6m/s
06:000%1.6m/s
07:000%1.8m/s
08:000%1.6m/s
09:000%1.8m/s
10:000%2.1m/s
11:000%1.7m/s
12:000%1.8m/s
13:000%1.8m/s
14:000%3.1m/s
15:000%3.1m/s
16:000%3m/s
17:000%2.5m/s
18:000%4.4m/s
19:000%3.8m/s
20:000%4.2m/s
21:000%3.8m/s
22:000%3.5m/s
23:000%3.1m/s
Fri, Apr 17
24:000%2.8m/s
01:000%2.5m/s
02:000%2.1m/s
03:000%2.1m/s
04:000%2.1m/s
05:000%2.1m/s
06:000%2.4m/s
07:000%2.7m/s
08:000%3m/s
09:000%3.2m/s
10:000%3.4m/s
11:000%3.6m/s
12:000%2.9m/s
13:000%2.3m/s
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Frost Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
America/New_York
Dew Point
°C
Surface Temperature
°C
Temperature
°C
Time Window
Total Cloud Coverage
%
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Tue, Apr 14 Sunrise 06:12 Sunset 19:33
15:00
15°C 12°C 17°C - 100% 0.25kPa
16:00
15°C 12°C 17°C - 100% 0.13kPa
17:00
17°C 13°C 20°C - 100% 0.44kPa
18:00
16°C 13°C 18°C - 100% 0.23kPa
19:00
15°C 13°C 15°C - 100% 0.05kPa
20:00
15°C 13°C 15°C - 100% 0.04kPa
21:00
14°C 13°C 15°C - 100% 0.04kPa
22:00
15°C 13°C 15°C - 88% 0.06kPa
23:00
15°C 13°C 15°C - 100% 0.05kPa
Wed, Apr 15 Sunrise 06:11 Sunset 19:35
24:00
15°C 13°C 15°C - 89% 0.05kPa
01:00
15°C 13°C 15°C - 100% 0.05kPa
02:00
15°C 13°C 15°C - 92% 0.05kPa
03:00
15°C 13°C 15°C - 65% 0.05kPa
04:00
14°C 13°C 15°C - 100% 0.04kPa
05:00
15°C 13°C 15°C - 83% 0.04kPa
06:00
14°C 13°C 15°C - 77% 0.05kPa
07:00
15°C 13°C 15°C - 64% 0.07kPa
08:00
16°C 13°C 17°C - 100% 0.17kPa
09:00
16°C 13°C 18°C - 100% 0.27kPa
10:00
16°C 13°C 18°C - 100% 0.22kPa
11:00
16°C 13°C 18°C - 100% 0.23kPa
12:00
17°C 14°C 18°C - 100% 0.23kPa
13:00
17°C 14°C 19°C - 100% 0.25kPa
14:00
17°C 14°C 22°C - 100% 0.75kPa
15:00
17°C 15°C 22°C - 100% 0.73kPa
16:00
17°C 15°C 22°C - 62% 0.76kPa
17:00
18°C 15°C 23°C - 79% 0.74kPa
18:00
17°C 15°C 20°C - 100% 0.3kPa
19:00
17°C 15°C 17°C - 100% 0.05kPa
20:00
16°C 15°C 16°C - 100% 0.01kPa
21:00
16°C 15°C 16°C - 100% 0.03kPa
22:00
16°C 15°C 16°C - 100% 0.02kPa
23:00
15°C 15°C 16°C - 96% 0.02kPa
Thu, Apr 16 Sunrise 06:09 Sunset 19:36
24:00
15°C 15°C 15°C - 100% 0.03kPa
01:00
15°C 15°C 15°C - 100% 0.03kPa
02:00
15°C 15°C 15°C - 100% 0.03kPa
03:00
15°C 14°C 15°C - 100% 0.05kPa
04:00
15°C 14°C 15°C - 100% 0.06kPa
05:00
15°C 14°C 15°C - 100% 0.05kPa
06:00
15°C 14°C 15°C - 100% 0.04kPa
07:00
15°C 14°C 16°C - 96% 0.03kPa
08:00
16°C 14°C 16°C - 100% 0.04kPa
09:00
16°C 14°C 17°C - 100% 0.1kPa
10:00
16°C 14°C 17°C - 100% 0.11kPa
11:00
16°C 14°C 16°C - 100% 0.06kPa
12:00
16°C 14°C 18°C - 100% 0.17kPa
13:00
17°C 14°C 18°C - 100% 0.21kPa
14:00
16°C 15°C 21°C - 80% 0.57kPa
15:00
17°C 15°C 22°C - 63% 0.72kPa
16:00
17°C 15°C 22°C - 44% 0.76kPa
17:00
17°C 16°C 22°C - 83% 0.73kPa
18:00
17°C 16°C 21°C - 100% 0.64kPa
19:00
16°C 16°C 20°C - 95% 0.51kPa
20:00
16°C 16°C 18°C - 97% 0.2kPa
21:00
15°C 15°C 17°C - 98% 0.15kPa
22:00
14°C 14°C 15°C - 99% 0.1kPa
23:00
14°C 13°C 14°C - 100% 0.06kPa
Fri, Apr 17 Sunrise 06:08 Sunset 19:37
24:00
14°C 13°C 14°C - 100% 0.05kPa
01:00
14°C 13°C 14°C - 100% 0.05kPa
02:00
13°C 13°C 14°C - 100% 0.04kPa
03:00
13°C 13°C 14°C - 86% 0.07kPa
04:00
13°C 13°C 14°C - 72% 0.11kPa
05:00
13°C 13°C 15°C - 59% 0.16kPa
06:00
13°C 13°C 16°C - 56% 0.33kPa
07:00
12°C 14°C 17°C - 54% 0.53kPa
08:00
11°C 14°C 18°C - 52% 0.76kPa
09:00
11°C 14°C 17°C - 58% 0.69kPa
10:00
11°C 14°C 17°C - 64% 0.63kPa
11:00
10°C 14°C 16°C - 70% 0.56kPa
12:00
10°C 14°C 15°C - 75% 0.42kPa
13:00
10°C 14°C 13°C - 80% 0.3kPa
14:00
9.9°C 14°C 12°C - 85% 0.2kPa
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

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