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Rule Morning Frost

Marken - Morning Frost - The Netherlands

Marken, North Holland, The Netherlands

Frost crystals on calm, cold mornings near sunrise

No opportunities right now
Here’s what usually blocks matches

No Morning Frost opportunities in the next 14 days

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Rule requirements (key thresholds)
Time Window · Sunrise -45m to +90m Frost Probability · ≥ 60.0% Wind Speed · ≤ 1.5m/s

Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.

Most common blockers (next 72 hours)
Frost Probability 100% failing
Wind Speed 100% failing
Time Window 88% failing

Currently

Real-time conditions
Soil Temperature9.9°C
Dew Point6.2°C (moderate dew point)
Wind Speed3.8m/s (calm conditions)
Cloud Cover100%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/Amsterdam

No opportunities in the next 10 days

See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

Dutch winters, when temperatures drop below freezing for extended periods, transform the country's canals and polders into a magical frozen landscape. Hoar frost decorates windmills, creating delicate ice crystal coatings that catch morning light. The historic Elfstedentocht (Eleven Cities Tour) ice-skating conditions—though rare—exemplify the photography potential.

The flat landscape and high humidity create ideal conditions for heavy frost formation. Windmills accumulate intricate ice crystals on their wooden blades and structures. When canals freeze solid, the Netherlands' character transforms—the water that defines the landscape becomes walkable, creating unique perspectives.

What makes Dutch frost photography special:

  • Windmill ice crystals - Hoar frost coating historic structures in delicate white patterns
  • Frozen canal perspective - Unique viewpoints walking on typically impassable water
  • Polder snow simplicity - Minimalist white expanses broken only by windmills and farms
  • Urban canal ice - Amsterdam and Leiden's waterways frozen with footprints and skate tracks

True freezing conditions requiring sustained temperatures below -5°C for multiple days are becoming rarer with climate change. When they occur (typically January-February), act quickly—conditions may last only days. Best frost photography occurs at sunrise when low-angle light illuminates ice crystals. The Kinderdijk, Giethoorn's canals, and rural polders of Friesland offer exceptional winter scenes. Safety first—never venture onto ice without local knowledge of thickness.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 74 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/Amsterdam
Time Window
Sunrise -45m to +90m
Frost Probability
≥ 60.0%
Wind Speed
≤ 1.5m/s
Thu, Apr 9
06:000%3m/s
07:000%3.1m/s
08:000%3.3m/s
09:000%3.5m/s
10:000%3.8m/s
11:000%4.2m/s
12:000%3.8m/s
13:000%3.7m/s
14:000%3.4m/s
15:000%3.5m/s
16:000%3.1m/s
17:000%4m/s
18:000%4.5m/s
19:000%2.7m/s
20:000%3.5m/s
21:000%3.5m/s
22:000%4.6m/s
23:000%7.4m/s
Fri, Apr 10
24:000%7.2m/s
01:000%6.7m/s
02:000%6.7m/s
03:000%7m/s
04:000%6m/s
05:000%6.4m/s
06:000%6m/s
07:000%5.2m/s
08:000%4.7m/s
09:000%4.7m/s
10:000%3.7m/s
11:000%3.6m/s
12:000%3.1m/s
13:000%2.9m/s
14:000%3m/s
15:000%3.3m/s
16:000%3.1m/s
17:000%2.6m/s
18:000%2m/s
19:000%1.7m/s
20:000%2.3m/s
21:000%2.9m/s
22:000%2.8m/s
23:000%3.1m/s
Sat, Apr 11
24:000%3.9m/s
01:000%3.9m/s
02:000%4.3m/s
03:000%4.4m/s
04:000%4.5m/s
05:000%5.2m/s
06:002.8%5.1m/s
07:002.8%4.5m/s
08:002.8%5.5m/s
09:002.6%5.6m/s
10:002.8%6.6m/s
11:000%7m/s
12:000%6.8m/s
13:000%7.6m/s
14:000%7.8m/s
15:000%6.3m/s
16:000%4.9m/s
17:000%3.4m/s
18:000%3.4m/s
19:000%3.5m/s
20:000%3.6m/s
21:000%3.6m/s
22:000%3.7m/s
23:000%3.7m/s
Sun, Apr 12
24:001.7%4m/s
01:001.5%4.3m/s
02:002.3%4.5m/s
03:002.8%4.8m/s
04:002.8%5.1m/s
05:003%5.3m/s
06:000%5.4m/s
07:000%5.5m/s
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Frost Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Europe/Amsterdam
Dew Point
°C
Surface Temperature
°C
Temperature
°C
Time Window
Total Cloud Coverage
%
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Thu, Apr 9 Sunrise 06:56 Sunset 20:27
10:00
6.2°C 9.9°C 13°C - 100% 0.52kPa
11:00
6.7°C 10°C 14°C - 79% 0.64kPa
12:00
7.1°C 11°C 16°C - 53% 0.82kPa
13:00
7.9°C 11°C 18°C - 5% 0.96kPa
14:00
8.5°C 12°C 19°C - 5% 1.1kPa
15:00
9.4°C 13°C 20°C - 67% 1.1kPa
16:00
9.9°C 13°C 20°C - 100% 1.1kPa
17:00
10°C 14°C 19°C - 100% 0.96kPa
18:00
11°C 14°C 17°C - 100% 0.64kPa
19:00
12°C 14°C 15°C - 100% 0.39kPa
20:00
11°C 14°C 14°C - 100% 0.23kPa
21:00
11°C 14°C 12°C - 100% 0.16kPa
22:00
11°C 14°C 12°C - 100% 0.11kPa
23:00
9.3°C 13°C 11°C - 100% 0.14kPa
Fri, Apr 10 Sunrise 06:56 Sunset 20:27
24:00
6.5°C 13°C 8.3°C - 100% 0.13kPa
01:00
6.2°C 13°C 8.1°C - 100% 0.13kPa
02:00
5.8°C 12°C 7.7°C - 100% 0.13kPa
03:00
5°C 12°C 7.2°C - 100% 0.14kPa
04:00
4.3°C 11°C 6.6°C - 100% 0.15kPa
05:00
3.8°C 11°C 6.6°C - 100% 0.17kPa
06:00
2.9°C 10°C 6.3°C - 100% 0.2kPa
07:00
2.9°C 10°C 6°C - 100% 0.18kPa
08:00
3.3°C 9.7°C 6.2°C - 100% 0.17kPa
09:00
3.4°C 9.5°C 7.1°C - 100% 0.23kPa
10:00
2.7°C 9.5°C 7.9°C - 100% 0.32kPa
11:00
2.4°C 9.5°C 8.7°C - 100% 0.4kPa
12:00
2.1°C 9.7°C 9.4°C - 100% 0.47kPa
13:00
1.8°C 9.8°C 10°C - 100% 0.53kPa
14:00
1.8°C 10°C 10°C - 100% 0.57kPa
15:00
1.8°C 10°C 11°C - 60% 0.59kPa
16:00
2°C 10°C 11°C - 95% 0.58kPa
17:00
2°C 11°C 10°C - 24% 0.55kPa
18:00
2°C 11°C 10°C - 29% 0.52kPa
19:00
2.3°C 11°C 9.3°C - 64% 0.45kPa
20:00
3°C 10°C 7.6°C - 92% 0.29kPa
21:00
3°C 10°C 6.2°C - 100% 0.19kPa
22:00
3°C 9.7°C 5.9°C - 100% 0.17kPa
23:00
2.9°C 9.4°C 6.5°C - 100% 0.22kPa
Sat, Apr 11 Sunrise 06:53 Sunset 20:29
24:00
2.8°C 9.2°C 6.6°C - 100% 0.23kPa
01:00
2.8°C 8.9°C 6.7°C - 100% 0.24kPa
02:00
2.8°C 8.8°C 7.2°C - 100% 0.27kPa
03:00
2.3°C 8.6°C 6.8°C - 80% 0.27kPa
04:00
2°C 8.4°C 6.2°C - 100% 0.24kPa
05:00
1.8°C 8.2°C 6.1°C - 100% 0.25kPa
06:00
1.7°C 8°C 6.4°C - 100% 0.27kPa
07:00
1.6°C 7.9°C 6.6°C - 100% 0.29kPa
08:00
2°C 7.8°C 7.2°C - 100% 0.31kPa
09:00
2.6°C 7.8°C 8.3°C - 100% 0.36kPa
10:00
3.3°C 7.9°C 9.8°C - 100% 0.44kPa
11:00
3.6°C 8.2°C 12°C - 100% 0.56kPa
12:00
4.2°C 8.5°C 12°C - 100% 0.62kPa
13:00
4.3°C 8.9°C 14°C - 100% 0.81kPa
14:00
5.3°C 9.5°C 16°C - 92% 0.91kPa
15:00
5.7°C 9.6°C 13°C - 95% 0.59kPa
16:00
5.6°C 9.7°C 10°C - 97% 0.35kPa
17:00
5.1°C 9.7°C 7.6°C - 100% 0.17kPa
18:00
4.7°C 9.5°C 7.2°C - 100% 0.16kPa
19:00
4.3°C 9.3°C 6.8°C - 100% 0.16kPa
20:00
3.9°C 9°C 6.4°C - 100% 0.16kPa
21:00
3.6°C 8.7°C 6°C - 100% 0.14kPa
22:00
3.3°C 8.4°C 5.6°C - 100% 0.13kPa
23:00
3.1°C 8.2°C 5.2°C - 100% 0.12kPa
Sun, Apr 12 Sunrise 06:51 Sunset 20:30
24:00
2.9°C 7.9°C 5.3°C - 100% 0.14kPa
01:00
2.7°C 7.7°C 5.5°C - 100% 0.16kPa
02:00
2.5°C 7.5°C 5.6°C - 100% 0.18kPa
03:00
2.7°C 7.5°C 7°C - 100% 0.26kPa
04:00
2.8°C 7.6°C 8.3°C - 100% 0.35kPa
05:00
2.8°C 7.7°C 9.6°C - 100% 0.45kPa
06:00
3°C 8.1°C 11°C - 100% 0.52kPa
07:00
3.2°C 8.4°C 12°C - 100% 0.6kPa
08:00
3.4°C 8.8°C 13°C - 100% 0.68kPa
09:00
3.7°C 9°C 12°C - 100% 0.64kPa
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

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