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Rule Morning Frost

Nara - Morning Frost - Japan

Nara, Nara, Japan

Frost crystals on calm, cold mornings near sunrise

No opportunities right now
Here’s what usually blocks matches

No Morning Frost opportunities in the next 14 days

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Rule requirements (key thresholds)
Time Window · Sunrise -45m to +90m Frost Probability · ≥ 60.0% Wind Speed · ≤ 1.5m/s

Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.

Most common blockers (next 72 hours)
Frost Probability 100% failing
Time Window 85% failing
Wind Speed 75% failing

Currently

Real-time conditions
Soil Temperature13.5°C
Dew Point4.0°C (low dew point)
Wind Speed1.3m/s (calm conditions)
Cloud Cover100%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Asia/Tokyo

No opportunities in the next 10 days

See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

Japan's winter transforms its iconic landscapes into scenes of serene beauty that embody the aesthetic principle of wabi-sabi—finding beauty in impermanence and imperfection. This forecast tracks frost and freezing conditions across Japan's diverse winter photography destinations.

Winter photography opportunities across Japan:

  • Kyoto's snow-covered temples - Kinkaku-ji golden pavilion and Fushimi Inari shrine gates become ethereal under fresh snow
  • Hokkaido's frozen landscapes - The Blue Pond in Biei develops stunning ice patterns and frost-covered trees create otherworldly scenes
  • Mountain shrines - Nikko's ornate Toshogu shrine complex gains dramatic contrast under winter snow
  • Historic streets - Takayama's preserved Edo-period town appears suspended in time with frost-laden roofs
  • Ice formations - Mountain shrines and waterfalls develop intricate ice sculptures

The season runs from December through February across most of Japan, with Hokkaido remaining frozen well into March. Early morning shoots capture hoarfrost at its peak before the sun melts the delicate ice crystals. The contrast between traditional architecture and pristine snow creates compositions rich in cultural depth.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 92 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Asia/Tokyo
Time Window
Sunrise -45m to +90m
Frost Probability
≥ 60.0%
Wind Speed
≤ 1.5m/s
Wed, Apr 8
13:000%2.1m/s
14:000%1.4m/s
15:000%0.95m/s
16:000%1.9m/s
17:000%2.2m/s
18:000%2m/s
19:000%1.2m/s
20:000%1m/s
21:000%0.67m/s
22:000%0.97m/s
23:000%0.6m/s
Thu, Apr 9
24:000%0.99m/s
01:000%1.2m/s
02:000%0.88m/s
03:000%1.6m/s
04:000%1.6m/s
05:000%1.4m/s
06:000%1.6m/s
07:000%1.4m/s
08:000%1.7m/s
09:000%1.4m/s
10:000%1.3m/s
11:000%0.6m/s
12:000%1.4m/s
13:000%1.6m/s
14:000%0.9m/s
15:000%2.9m/s
16:000%1.3m/s
17:000%2.4m/s
18:000%2.9m/s
19:000%2.9m/s
20:000%2.1m/s
21:000%2.3m/s
22:000%2.4m/s
23:000%3.2m/s
Fri, Apr 10
24:000%3.3m/s
01:000%1.4m/s
02:000%2m/s
03:000%1.4m/s
04:000%1.3m/s
05:000%1.2m/s
06:000%1.5m/s
07:000%1.8m/s
08:000%1.8m/s
09:000%1.7m/s
10:000%1.5m/s
11:000%1.4m/s
12:000%1.5m/s
13:000%1m/s
14:000%1.1m/s
15:000%0.4m/s
16:000%1.3m/s
17:000%1.8m/s
18:000%1.7m/s
19:000%1.7m/s
20:000%2m/s
21:000%2.1m/s
22:000%1.7m/s
23:000%1.6m/s
Sat, Apr 11
24:000%2.1m/s
01:000%3.7m/s
02:000%3.5m/s
03:000%4.3m/s
04:000%3.3m/s
05:000%3.6m/s
06:000%4.2m/s
07:000%4.5m/s
08:000%4.6m/s
09:000%3.3m/s
10:000%1.9m/s
11:000%3.1m/s
12:000%4.4m/s
13:000%5m/s
14:000%5.1m/s
15:000%5.4m/s
16:000%4.3m/s
17:000%3.1m/s
18:000%2m/s
19:000%1.9m/s
20:000%1.9m/s
21:000%1.8m/s
22:000%1.9m/s
23:000%1.9m/s
Sun, Apr 12
24:000%2m/s
01:000%1.9m/s
02:000%1.9m/s
03:000%1.9m/s
04:000%1.9m/s
05:000%1.9m/s
06:000%1.8m/s
07:000%1.7m/s
08:000%1.6m/s
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Frost Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Asia/Tokyo
Dew Point
°C
Surface Temperature
°C
Temperature
°C
Time Window
Total Cloud Coverage
%
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Thu, Apr 9 Sunrise 05:32 Sunset 18:23
10:00
4°C 13°C 15°C - 100% 0.93kPa
11:00
3.6°C 15°C 17°C - 100% 1.2kPa
12:00
3°C 17°C 19°C - 100% 1.4kPa
13:00
2.3°C 17°C 18°C - 100% 1.3kPa
14:00
2.5°C 18°C 19°C - 100% 1.4kPa
15:00
4.2°C 18°C 18°C - 100% 1.3kPa
16:00
7.4°C 18°C 17°C - 100% 0.95kPa
17:00
8.1°C 18°C 16°C - 100% 0.75kPa
18:00
8.9°C 17°C 14°C - 100% 0.5kPa
19:00
9.9°C 16°C 13°C - 100% 0.32kPa
20:00
11°C 15°C 14°C - 100% 0.26kPa
21:00
11°C 15°C 13°C - 100% 0.26kPa
22:00
11°C 15°C 13°C - 100% 0.21kPa
23:00
11°C 14°C 13°C - 100% 0.12kPa
Fri, Apr 10 Sunrise 05:32 Sunset 18:23
24:00
12°C 14°C 13°C - 100% 0.11kPa
01:00
12°C 14°C 13°C - 100% 0.07kPa
02:00
12°C 13°C 13°C - 100% 0.07kPa
03:00
12°C 13°C 13°C - 100% 0.08kPa
04:00
12°C 13°C 13°C - 100% 0.08kPa
05:00
12°C 13°C 13°C - 100% 0.09kPa
06:00
12°C 13°C 13°C - 100% 0.08kPa
07:00
13°C 13°C 13°C - 100% 0.05kPa
08:00
13°C 13°C 14°C - 100% 0.05kPa
09:00
14°C 13°C 14°C - 100% 0.06kPa
10:00
14°C 14°C 15°C - 100% 0.07kPa
11:00
15°C 14°C 15°C - 100% 0.05kPa
12:00
15°C 14°C 15°C - 100% 0.04kPa
13:00
16°C 14°C 16°C - 100% 0.01kPa
14:00
16°C 15°C 16°C - 100% 0.01kPa
15:00
16°C 15°C 16°C - 100% 0.01kPa
16:00
16°C 15°C 16°C - 100% 0.01kPa
17:00
16°C 15°C 16°C - 100% 0.01kPa
18:00
16°C 15°C 16°C - 75% 0.02kPa
19:00
16°C 15°C 16°C - 76% 0.02kPa
20:00
16°C 15°C 16°C - 76% 0.03kPa
21:00
16°C 15°C 16°C - 77% 0.04kPa
22:00
16°C 15°C 16°C - 91% 0.03kPa
23:00
16°C 15°C 16°C - 97% 0.02kPa
Sat, Apr 11 Sunrise 05:31 Sunset 18:24
24:00
16°C 15°C 16°C - 91% 0.02kPa
01:00
15°C 15°C 16°C - 75% 0.13kPa
02:00
15°C 15°C 16°C - 54% 0.11kPa
03:00
14°C 15°C 15°C - 29% 0.12kPa
04:00
14°C 15°C 15°C - 62% 0.1kPa
05:00
13°C 14°C 14°C - 41% 0.11kPa
06:00
12°C 14°C 14°C - 44% 0.18kPa
07:00
12°C 14°C 15°C - 84% 0.24kPa
08:00
12°C 14°C 15°C - 100% 0.32kPa
09:00
12°C 14°C 15°C - 95% 0.39kPa
10:00
11°C 15°C 16°C - 43% 0.54kPa
11:00
9.6°C 16°C 19°C - 18% 0.96kPa
12:00
7.2°C 18°C 20°C - 0% 1.4kPa
13:00
4.3°C 19°C 21°C - 2% 1.7kPa
14:00
1.9°C 20°C 21°C - 0% 1.9kPa
15:00
2.1°C 21°C 21°C - 0% 1.8kPa
16:00
5°C 18°C 17°C - 34% 1kPa
17:00
5.6°C 15°C 12°C - 67% 0.53kPa
18:00
4.9°C 12°C 8.1°C - 100% 0.21kPa
19:00
4.8°C 12°C 8.1°C - 100% 0.22kPa
20:00
4.7°C 12°C 8.2°C - 100% 0.23kPa
21:00
4.5°C 11°C 8.2°C - 100% 0.24kPa
22:00
4.1°C 11°C 8.2°C - 100% 0.27kPa
23:00
3.6°C 11°C 8.3°C - 100% 0.3kPa
Sun, Apr 12 Sunrise 05:29 Sunset 18:25
24:00
3.1°C 11°C 8.3°C - 100% 0.33kPa
01:00
3.2°C 11°C 10°C - 90% 0.48kPa
02:00
3°C 11°C 12°C - 80% 0.66kPa
03:00
2.5°C 11°C 14°C - 70% 0.87kPa
04:00
2.6°C 11°C 15°C - 80% 1kPa
05:00
2.6°C 12°C 16°C - 90% 1.1kPa
06:00
2.6°C 12°C 18°C - 100% 1.3kPa
07:00
2.7°C 13°C 18°C - 100% 1.3kPa
08:00
2.9°C 13°C 18°C - 100% 1.4kPa
09:00
3°C 13°C 19°C - 100% 1.4kPa
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

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