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Rule Northern Lights

Thingvellir - Northern Lights - Iceland

Laugarvatn, South, Iceland

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Aurora Quality
0%
Kp IndexKp 3 (Unsettled)
Sun Elevation-18.1° (Astronomical night)
Cloud Cover100%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Atlantic/Reykjavik
aurora weather icon
Next opportunity
Excellent Chance of Aurora
Thingvellir
Sat, Apr 18 · 24:00–04:00 · 4h window
Low confidence
38%
🌌Aurora Quality95%
Kp Index: Kp 6 (Moderate Storm)
Sun Elevation: -13.4° (Astronomical twilight)
Cloud Cover: 5%
aurora weather icon
Excellent Chance of Aurora at Dawn
Thingvellir
Sat, Apr 18 · 04:00–05:00
🌌Aurora Quality:88.1%
Medium

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Iceland offers aurora photography with landscapes found nowhere else on Earth - volcanic craters, glacier lagoons, black sand beaches, and waterfalls all under the northern lights.

What makes Iceland special:

  • Volcanic landscapes - Lava fields, geothermal areas, and dramatic geology create otherworldly compositions
  • Glacier lagoon - Jökulsárlón's floating icebergs reflect aurora in ways unique to Iceland
  • Iconic foregrounds - Kirkjufell, Reynisdrangar sea stacks, and Skógafoss are bucket-list shots
  • Ring Road access - Most spots accessible via paved roads, making aurora chasing practical

Aurora season runs September through March. Iceland's changeable weather means cloud gaps can open anywhere - our forecast helps you identify which locations have the best chance tonight.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Atlantic/Reykjavik
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Wed, Apr 8
01:000%-18°28%100%687m
02:000%-18°23%100%73m
03:000%-16°14%100%40m
04:000%-13°14%100%43m
05:000%-8.1°14%100%111m
06:000%-2.3°0%100%79m
07:000%4°0%100%135m
08:000%10°0%100%747m
09:000%17°8%100%1367m
10:000%23°8%100%1122m
11:000%28°8%100%777m
12:000%31°8%98%562m
13:000%33°11%97%773m
14:000%33°11%100%288m
15:000%31°8%100%245m
16:000%27°14%100%288m
17:000%22°18%100%831m
18:000%16°28%100%771m
19:000%9.5°33%100%616m
20:000%3.1°38%100%554m
21:000%-3.2°41%100%33m
22:000%-8.8°42%100%57m
23:000%-13°39%100%311m
Thu, Apr 9
24:000%-17°37%100%506m
01:000%-18°37%100%140m
02:000%-18°37%100%42m
03:000%-16°21%100%43m
04:000%-13°21%100%47m
05:000%-7.7°21%100%51m
06:000%-1.9°5%100%87m
07:000%4.4°5%100%1368m
08:000%11°5%100%1351m
09:000%17°1.5%100%1360m
10:000%23°1.5%100%1246m
11:000%28°1.5%100%427m
12:000%32°0%100%564m
13:000%33°0%100%358m
14:000%33°0%100%364m
15:000%31°2.9%100%74m
16:000%27°2.9%100%445m
17:000%22°2.9%100%341m
18:000%16°2.9%100%3916m
19:000%9.8°2.9%90%2678m
20:000%3.4°2.9%96%4917m
21:000%-2.9°5%100%227m
22:000%-8.5°5%100%121m
23:000%-13°5%100%152m
Fri, Apr 10
24:000%-16°11%100%133m
01:000%-18°11%100%109m
02:000%-18°11%100%241m
03:000%-16°100%100%278m
04:000%-12°100%100%458m
05:000%-7.4°100%100%2127m
06:000%-1.5°64%100%24135m
07:000%4.7°64%100%23175m
08:000%11°64%100%18829m
09:000%18°34%100%18699m
10:000%23°34%100%14094m
11:000%28°34%98%24134m
12:000%32°15%20%24125m
13:000%34°15%51%24134m
14:000%34°15%20%24134m
15:000%31°15%83%24134m
16:000%28°15%96%23908m
17:000%22°15%100%24126m
18:000%16°34%98%24135m
19:000%10°34%33%24135m
20:000%3.7°34%92%24134m
21:000%-2.5°43%30%24135m
22:000%-8.1°43%86%24134m
23:000%-13°43%100%24135m
Sat, Apr 11
24:000%-16°100%100%24134m
01:000%-17°100%78%24134m
02:000%-17°100%83%24134m
03:000%-15°100%100%24135m
04:000%-12°100%100%24135m
05:000%-7°100%100%24135m
06:000%-1.1°100%100%24135m
07:000%5.1°100%67%24135m
08:000%12°100%33%24135m
09:000%18°100%0%24135m
10:000%24°100%16%24135m
11:000%29°100%33%24135m
12:000%32°100%49%24135m
13:000%34°100%65%24135m
14:000%34°100%80%24135m
15:000%32°100%96%24135m
16:000%28°100%97%24135m
17:000%23°100%99%24135m
18:000%17°100%100%24135m
19:000%10°100%100%24135m
20:000%4°100%100%24135m
21:000%-2.2°100%100%24135m
22:000%-7.8°100%100%24135m
23:000%-12°100%100%24135m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

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