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Rule Northern Lights

Thingvellir - Northern Lights - Iceland

Laugarvatn, South, Iceland

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

No opportunities right now
Here’s what usually blocks matches

No Northern Lights opportunities in the next 14 days

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Rule requirements (key thresholds)
Aurora Quality · ≥ 50.0% Solar Elevation · ≤ -8.0° Aurora Activity · ≥ 50.0% Total Cloud Coverage · ≤ 30.0%

Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.

Most common blockers (next 72 hours)
Aurora Quality 100% failing
Total Cloud Coverage 96% failing
Aurora Activity 71% failing

Currently

Real-time conditions
Kp IndexKp 4 (Unsettled)
Sun Elevation-5.0° (Civil twilight)
Cloud Cover100%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Atlantic/Reykjavik

No opportunities in the next 10 days

See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Iceland offers aurora photography with landscapes found nowhere else on Earth - volcanic craters, glacier lagoons, black sand beaches, and waterfalls all under the northern lights.

What makes Iceland special:

  • Volcanic landscapes - Lava fields, geothermal areas, and dramatic geology create otherworldly compositions
  • Glacier lagoon - Jökulsárlón's floating icebergs reflect aurora in ways unique to Iceland
  • Iconic foregrounds - Kirkjufell, Reynisdrangar sea stacks, and Skógafoss are bucket-list shots
  • Ring Road access - Most spots accessible via paved roads, making aurora chasing practical

Aurora season runs September through March. Iceland's changeable weather means cloud gaps can open anywhere - our forecast helps you identify which locations have the best chance tonight.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Atlantic/Reykjavik
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Sat, Feb 21
19:000%-5.3°23%100%24135m
20:000%-12°38%100%24134m
21:000%-18°47%100%24135m
22:000%-24°41%100%24135m
23:000%-30°45%100%24135m
Sun, Feb 22
24:000%-33°40%100%24135m
01:000%-36°38%100%24135m
02:000%-36°47%100%24134m
03:000%-34°49%100%24135m
04:000%-30°44%100%24134m
05:000%-25°42%100%24135m
06:000%-19°34%100%24134m
07:000%-13°25%100%24134m
08:000%-6.5°21%100%24134m
09:000%0.2°11%100%24135m
10:000%5.5°8%100%24135m
11:000%10°8%100%24135m
12:000%14°15%100%24134m
13:000%15°15%99%24135m
14:000%16°15%97%24135m
15:000%14°18%100%24135m
16:000%11°23%100%24135m
17:000%6.7°20%100%24135m
18:000%1.4°40%99%24135m
19:000%-5°40%100%23591m
20:000%-12°40%100%23212m
21:000%-18°34%100%22688m
22:000%-24°34%100%22993m
23:000%-29°34%100%24135m
Mon, Feb 23
24:000%-33°34%99%24135m
01:000%-35°34%100%24135m
02:000%-35°34%95%24135m
03:000%-34°64%100%24135m
04:000%-30°64%100%24134m
05:000%-25°64%91%24135m
06:000%-19°34%98%24134m
07:000%-13°34%100%24135m
08:000%-6.2°34%99%24134m
09:000%0.5°34%51%24135m
10:000%5.8°34%87%24134m
11:000%10°34%100%24134m
12:000%14°15%100%2229m
13:000%16°15%100%307m
14:000%16°15%100%215m
15:000%14°15%100%235m
16:000%11°15%100%125m
17:000%15%100%146m
18:000%1.7°15%100%1571m
19:000%-4.7°15%100%1590m
20:000%-11°15%100%126m
21:000%-18°34%100%106m
22:000%-24°34%100%89m
23:000%-29°34%100%63m
Tue, Feb 24
24:000%-33°34%100%85m
01:000%-35°34%100%137m
02:000%-35°34%100%367m
03:000%-33°34%100%641m
04:000%-30°34%100%1882m
05:000%-25°34%100%2113m
06:000%-19°15%100%4587m
07:000%-12°15%100%1413m
08:000%-5.8°15%100%1369m
09:000%0.8°15%100%44m
10:000%6.2°15%100%89m
11:000%11°15%100%373m
12:000%14°7.7%100%301m
13:000%16°7.7%100%69m
14:000%16°7.7%100%85m
15:000%15°5%100%23821m
16:000%12°5%100%24134m
17:000%7.3°5%87%24135m
18:000%5%6.8%24135m
19:000%-4.4°5%8.1%24134m
20:0035%-11°5%9.7%24134m
21:000%-17°15%52%24134m
22:000%-23°15%64%3264m
23:000%-28°15%85%1758m
Wed, Feb 25
24:000%-32°100%98%2003m
01:000%-35°100%99%8017m
02:000%-35°100%99%14031m
03:000%-33°100%100%20044m
04:000%-29°100%100%14726m
05:000%-24°100%100%9409m
06:000%-18°100%100%4091m
07:000%-12°100%100%5702m
08:000%-5.5°100%100%7313m
09:000%1.1°100%100%8924m
10:000%6.5°100%100%13994m
11:000%11°100%100%19065m
12:000%15°100%100%24135m
13:000%17°100%100%18707m
14:000%17°100%100%13279m
15:000%15°100%100%7851m
16:000%12°100%100%5364m
17:000%7.6°100%100%2876m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

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