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Rule Northern Lights

Thingvellir - Northern Lights - Iceland

Laugarvatn, South, Iceland

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Aurora Quality
0%
Kp IndexKp 2 (Quiet)
Sun Elevation-28.5° (Astronomical night)
Cloud Cover100%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Atlantic/Reykjavik
aurora weather icon
Next opportunity
Fair Chance of Aurora
Thingvellir
Today · 21:00–22:00 · 1h window
Medium confidence
46%
🌌Aurora Quality51.4%
Kp Index: Kp 4 (Unsettled)
Sun Elevation: -11.7° (Nautical twilight)
Cloud Cover: 29%
aurora weather icon
Good Chance of Aurora
Thingvellir
Tomorrow · 01:00–02:00
🌌Aurora Quality:63.5%
Medium

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Iceland offers aurora photography with landscapes found nowhere else on Earth - volcanic craters, glacier lagoons, black sand beaches, and waterfalls all under the northern lights.

What makes Iceland special:

  • Volcanic landscapes - Lava fields, geothermal areas, and dramatic geology create otherworldly compositions
  • Glacier lagoon - Jökulsárlón's floating icebergs reflect aurora in ways unique to Iceland
  • Iconic foregrounds - Kirkjufell, Reynisdrangar sea stacks, and Skógafoss are bucket-list shots
  • Ring Road access - Most spots accessible via paved roads, making aurora chasing practical

Aurora season runs September through March. Iceland's changeable weather means cloud gaps can open anywhere - our forecast helps you identify which locations have the best chance tonight.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
2matching hours in the next 95 hoursJump to next match
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Atlantic/Reykjavik
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Thu, Mar 12
01:0046%-29°42%39%24134m
02:0035%-29°38%41%24135m
03:0028%-27°27%43%23985m
04:000%-24°18%66%24134m
05:000%-19°15%65%24134m
06:000%-13°11%79%24135m
07:000%-6.5°11%99%24134m
08:000%0.5°0%88%24134m
09:000%6.5°0%90%24134m
10:000%12°0%100%24134m
11:000%17°0%100%24134m
12:000%20°0%100%24135m
13:000%22°8%23%24135m
14:000%22°14%13%24134m
15:000%21°18%10%24135m
16:000%17°16%97%7499m
17:000%13°16%100%24135m
18:000%7.1°16%100%24134m
19:000%1.1°21%100%4729m
20:000%-5.7°21%96%23752m
21:000%-12°24%100%23288m
22:000%-18°34%100%23215m
23:000%-23°42%100%24135m
Fri, Mar 13
24:000%-27°38%100%24051m
01:000%-28°38%100%24135m
02:000%-29°38%100%24135m
03:000%-27°2.9%100%23077m
04:000%-23°2.9%100%8220m
05:000%-18°2.9%100%9313m
06:000%-12°2.9%100%8488m
07:000%-6.1°2.9%100%5026m
08:000%0.83°2.9%100%2046m
09:000%6.9°15%100%2375m
10:000%13°15%100%8844m
11:000%17°15%100%24135m
12:000%21°27%100%24014m
13:000%23°27%100%24134m
14:000%23°27%100%24135m
15:000%21°100%100%24134m
16:000%18°100%25%24134m
17:000%13°100%14%24135m
18:000%7.5°52%4.9%24135m
19:000%1.4°52%8.4%24135m
20:000%-5.4°52%17%24135m
21:0051%-12°52%29%24122m
22:000%-18°52%79%24134m
23:000%-23°52%79%24134m
Sat, Mar 14
24:000%-26°64%71%24135m
01:0064%-28°64%12%24135m
02:0047%-28°64%33%24135m
03:0056%-26°43%5%24135m
04:0056%-23°43%5%24134m
05:0056%-18°43%6.6%24134m
06:0056%-12°43%5%24135m
07:000%-5.7°43%40%24134m
08:000%1.2°43%74%24135m
09:000%7.2°21%48%24135m
10:000%13°21%38%24134m
11:000%18°21%45%24135m
12:000%21°15%20%24134m
13:000%23°15%5%24135m
14:000%23°15%5%24135m
15:000%21°11%97%24135m
16:000%18°11%100%24134m
17:000%13°11%100%24135m
18:000%7.8°11%100%24134m
19:000%1.7°11%100%24134m
20:000%-5°11%100%24135m
21:000%-11°34%100%24135m
22:000%-17°34%100%24134m
23:000%-22°34%100%24135m
Sun, Mar 15
24:000%-26°43%100%24134m
01:000%-28°43%100%3735m
02:000%-28°43%100%21949m
03:000%-26°43%100%2433m
04:000%-22°43%100%930m
05:000%-17°43%100%1723m
06:000%-12°43%100%9048m
07:000%-5.3°43%95%14077m
08:000%1.5°43%90%19106m
09:000%7.6°43%85%24135m
10:000%13°43%90%24135m
11:000%18°43%95%24135m
12:000%22°43%100%24135m
13:000%24°43%100%24135m
14:000%24°43%99%24135m
15:000%22°43%99%24135m
16:000%18°43%100%24135m
17:000%14°43%100%24135m
18:000%8.1°43%100%24135m
19:000%2°43%70%24135m
20:000%-4.7°43%39%24135m
21:0054%-11°43%8.9%24135m
22:0039%-17°43%35%23094m
23:000%-22°43%61%22053m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

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