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Rule Northern Lights

Skógafoss - Northern Lights - Iceland

Skógafoss, South, Iceland

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Kp IndexKp 3 (Unsettled)
Sun Elevation-18.8° (Astronomical night)
Cloud Cover100%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Atlantic/Reykjavik
aurora weather icon
Next opportunity
Good Chance of Aurora
Skógafoss
Sat, Apr 11 · 04:00–05:00 · 1h window
Medium confidence
50%
🌌Aurora Quality71.3%
Kp Index: Kp 5 (Minor Storm)
Sun Elevation: -11.9° (Nautical twilight)
Cloud Cover: 7%
aurora weather icon
Excellent Chance of Aurora
Skógafoss
Sat, Apr 18 · 24:00–04:00
🌌Aurora Quality:80.8-95%
Low

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Iceland offers aurora photography with landscapes found nowhere else on Earth - volcanic craters, glacier lagoons, black sand beaches, and waterfalls all under the northern lights.

What makes Iceland special:

  • Volcanic landscapes - Lava fields, geothermal areas, and dramatic geology create otherworldly compositions
  • Glacier lagoon - Jökulsárlón's floating icebergs reflect aurora in ways unique to Iceland
  • Iconic foregrounds - Kirkjufell, Reynisdrangar sea stacks, and Skógafoss are bucket-list shots
  • Ring Road access - Most spots accessible via paved roads, making aurora chasing practical

Aurora season runs September through March. Iceland's changeable weather means cloud gaps can open anywhere - our forecast helps you identify which locations have the best chance tonight.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
1matching hours in the next 95 hoursJump to next match
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Atlantic/Reykjavik
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Wed, Apr 8
01:000%-19°27%100%1871m
02:000%-19°21%100%175m
03:000%-17°14%100%84m
04:000%-13°14%100%64m
05:000%-8.1°14%100%87m
06:000%-2.1°0%100%153m
07:000%4.4°0%100%205m
08:000%11°0%100%2366m
09:000%18°8%99%2083m
10:000%23°8%100%503m
11:000%28°8%99%559m
12:000%32°8%99%536m
13:000%34°11%97%1834m
14:000%33°11%100%2483m
15:000%31°8%100%192m
16:000%27°14%100%797m
17:000%22°18%100%3261m
18:000%15°28%100%3071m
19:000%8.9°34%100%1408m
20:000%2.5°37%100%532m
21:000%-4°41%100%209m
22:000%-9.6°42%100%2373m
23:000%-14°39%100%997m
Thu, Apr 9
24:000%-17°36%100%1156m
01:000%-19°36%100%979m
02:000%-19°36%100%637m
03:000%-16°19%100%384m
04:000%-13°19%100%947m
05:000%-7.7°19%100%361m
06:000%-1.7°4.6%100%265m
07:000%4.8°4.6%100%91m
08:000%11°4.6%100%849m
09:000%18°0%100%1808m
10:000%24°0%100%436m
11:000%29°0%100%122m
12:000%32°0%100%192m
13:000%34°0%100%329m
14:000%34°0%100%589m
15:000%31°2.7%100%1083m
16:000%27°2.7%100%1180m
17:000%22°2.7%100%2428m
18:000%16°2.7%100%1209m
19:000%9.2°2.7%100%1161m
20:000%2.8°2.7%100%1180m
21:000%-3.7°4.6%100%692m
22:000%-9.3°4.6%100%651m
23:000%-14°4.6%100%600m
Fri, Apr 10
24:000%-17°10%100%534m
01:000%-18°10%100%564m
02:000%-18°10%100%1342m
03:000%-16°73%100%1746m
04:000%-12°73%100%1428m
05:000%-7.3°73%100%1938m
06:000%-1.3°61%99%5861m
07:000%5.2°61%100%4964m
08:000%12°61%99%6834m
09:000%18°33%48%9354m
10:000%24°33%5%24135m
11:000%29°33%77%24134m
12:000%33°15%55%17431m
13:000%34°15%51%24134m
14:000%34°15%83%24134m
15:000%32°15%95%18908m
16:000%28°15%95%23283m
17:000%22°15%96%1999m
18:000%16°33%40%24135m
19:000%9.5°33%4.4%24135m
20:000%3.1°33%99%24134m
21:000%-3.4°41%100%24135m
22:000%-9°41%100%24134m
23:000%-14°41%100%24135m
Sat, Apr 11
24:000%-17°73%100%24134m
01:000%-18°73%100%24134m
02:000%-18°73%100%24134m
03:000%-16°73%71%24135m
04:0071%-12°73%7.3%24135m
05:0059%-7°73%2%24135m
06:000%-0.82°73%0.4%24135m
07:000%5.5°73%33%24135m
08:000%12°73%66%24135m
09:000%19°73%100%24135m
10:000%25°73%100%24135m
11:000%30°73%100%24135m
12:000%33°73%100%24135m
13:000%35°73%98%24135m
14:000%34°73%96%24135m
15:000%32°73%94%24135m
16:000%28°73%96%24135m
17:000%23°73%98%24135m
18:000%16°73%100%24135m
19:000%9.8°73%100%24135m
20:000%3.4°73%100%24135m
21:000%-3°73%100%24135m
22:000%-8.7°73%100%24135m
23:000%-13°73%100%24135m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

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