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Rule Northern Lights

Skógafoss - Northern Lights - Iceland

Skógafoss, South, Iceland

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

No opportunities right now
Here’s what usually blocks matches

No Northern Lights opportunities in the next 14 days

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Rule requirements (key thresholds)
Aurora Quality · ≥ 50.0% Solar Elevation · ≤ -8.0° Aurora Activity · ≥ 50.0% Total Cloud Coverage · ≤ 30.0%

Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.

Most common blockers (next 72 hours)
Aurora Quality 100% failing
Total Cloud Coverage 99% failing
Aurora Activity 63% failing

Currently

Real-time conditions
Aurora Quality
0%
Kp IndexKp 4 (Unsettled)
Sun Elevation-36.1° (Astronomical night)
Cloud Cover54%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Atlantic/Reykjavik

No opportunities in the next 10 days

See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Iceland offers aurora photography with landscapes found nowhere else on Earth - volcanic craters, glacier lagoons, black sand beaches, and waterfalls all under the northern lights.

What makes Iceland special:

  • Volcanic landscapes - Lava fields, geothermal areas, and dramatic geology create otherworldly compositions
  • Glacier lagoon - Jökulsárlón's floating icebergs reflect aurora in ways unique to Iceland
  • Iconic foregrounds - Kirkjufell, Reynisdrangar sea stacks, and Skógafoss are bucket-list shots
  • Ring Road access - Most spots accessible via paved roads, making aurora chasing practical

Aurora season runs September through March. Iceland's changeable weather means cloud gaps can open anywhere - our forecast helps you identify which locations have the best chance tonight.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Atlantic/Reykjavik
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Sun, Feb 22
01:000%-36°39%100%513m
02:000%-36°47%100%359m
03:000%-34°47%100%637m
04:000%-31°42%100%4906m
05:000%-25°41%100%7321m
06:000%-19°33%99%9363m
07:000%-13°25%100%7857m
08:000%-5.9°20%100%7510m
09:000%0.86°11%94%7269m
10:000%6.3°8%100%6826m
11:000%11°8%89%7615m
12:000%14°15%99%4918m
13:000%16°15%100%14530m
14:000%16°15%94%10508m
15:000%15°18%95%9277m
16:000%11°23%94%8874m
17:000%6.7°21%99%8447m
18:000%1.2°37%93%7416m
19:000%-5.4°41%100%5833m
20:000%-12°39%100%7044m
21:000%-19°48%100%11243m
22:000%-25°44%85%17526m
23:000%-30°46%72%16358m
Mon, Feb 23
24:000%-34°43%56%16539m
01:000%-36°43%54%12506m
02:000%-36°43%77%17920m
03:000%-34°61%100%23848m
04:000%-30°61%86%23830m
05:000%-25°61%62%24134m
06:000%-19°33%71%24135m
07:000%-12°33%77%17699m
08:000%-5.5°33%98%15172m
09:000%1.2°33%100%6885m
10:000%6.7°33%100%6213m
11:000%11°33%100%5212m
12:000%15°15%100%505m
13:000%17°15%100%1629m
14:000%17°15%100%1859m
15:000%15°15%100%1631m
16:000%12°15%100%376m
17:000%7°15%100%365m
18:000%1.5°15%100%254m
19:000%-5.1°15%100%276m
20:000%-12°15%100%262m
21:000%-18°33%100%258m
22:000%-24°33%100%275m
23:000%-30°33%100%238m
Tue, Feb 24
24:000%-34°33%100%233m
01:000%-36°33%100%232m
02:000%-36°33%100%195m
03:000%-34°33%100%139m
04:000%-30°33%100%175m
05:000%-25°33%100%244m
06:000%-18°15%100%241m
07:000%-12°15%100%251m
08:000%-5.2°15%100%426m
09:000%1.5°15%100%307m
10:000%7°15%100%189m
11:000%12°15%100%289m
12:000%15°7.1%100%11209m
13:000%17°7.1%100%11339m
14:000%17°7.1%100%12149m
15:000%15°4.6%100%11958m
16:000%12°4.6%96%9334m
17:000%7.3°4.6%100%11238m
18:000%1.8°4.6%100%11289m
19:000%-4.8°4.6%100%11734m
20:000%-11°4.6%100%13018m
21:0036%-18°15%25%24134m
22:000%-24°15%51%13141m
23:000%-29°15%77%11621m
Wed, Feb 25
24:000%-33°73%77%13762m
01:000%-35°73%81%13851m
02:000%-35°73%85%13249m
03:000%-33°73%80%15698m
04:000%-29°73%69%24135m
05:000%-24°73%56%24134m
06:000%-18°73%98%24135m
07:000%-12°73%99%16184m
08:000%-4.8°73%99%8234m
09:000%1.8°73%100%283m
10:000%7.4°73%100%883m
11:000%12°73%100%1483m
12:000%15°73%100%2082m
13:000%17°73%100%1759m
14:000%17°73%100%1436m
15:000%16°73%100%1112m
16:000%12°73%100%854m
17:000%7.6°73%100%596m
18:000%2.1°73%100%338m
19:000%-4.4°73%100%280m
20:000%-11°73%100%222m
21:000%-18°73%100%164m
22:000%-24°73%100%148m
23:000%-29°73%100%133m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

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