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Rule Northern Lights

Skógafoss - Northern Lights - Iceland

Skógafoss, South, Iceland

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

No opportunities right now
Here’s what usually blocks matches

No Northern Lights opportunities in the next 14 days

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Rule requirements (key thresholds)
Aurora Quality · ≥ 50.0% Solar Elevation · ≤ -8.0° Aurora Activity · ≥ 50.0% Total Cloud Coverage · ≤ 30.0%

Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.

Most common blockers (next 72 hours)
Aurora Activity 100% failing
Aurora Quality 97% failing
Total Cloud Coverage 63% failing

Currently

Real-time conditions
Kp IndexKp 4 (Unsettled)
Sun Elevation24.3° (Daylight)
Cloud Cover97%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Atlantic/Reykjavik

No opportunities in the next 10 days

See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Iceland offers aurora photography with landscapes found nowhere else on Earth - volcanic craters, glacier lagoons, black sand beaches, and waterfalls all under the northern lights.

What makes Iceland special:

  • Volcanic landscapes - Lava fields, geothermal areas, and dramatic geology create otherworldly compositions
  • Glacier lagoon - Jökulsárlón's floating icebergs reflect aurora in ways unique to Iceland
  • Iconic foregrounds - Kirkjufell, Reynisdrangar sea stacks, and Skógafoss are bucket-list shots
  • Ring Road access - Most spots accessible via paved roads, making aurora chasing practical

Aurora season runs September through March. Iceland's changeable weather means cloud gaps can open anywhere - our forecast helps you identify which locations have the best chance tonight.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Atlantic/Reykjavik
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Sat, Mar 14
13:000%24°100%5%24134m
14:000%24°100%98%24135m
15:000%22°19%100%24134m
16:000%18°19%100%24134m
17:000%13°19%100%24135m
18:000%7.5°19%100%24134m
19:000%1.3°20%100%15923m
20:000%-5.6°31%100%1166m
21:000%-12°36%99%1616m
22:000%-18°34%100%5160m
23:000%-23°42%100%749m
Sun, Mar 15
24:000%-27°50%100%189m
01:000%-28°46%100%82m
02:000%-28°42%100%59m
03:000%-26°50%100%64m
04:000%-23°50%100%44m
05:000%-17°50%100%54m
06:000%-11°0%100%103m
07:000%-4.8°0%100%1188m
08:000%2.1°0%85%7050m
09:000%8.4°41%82%1439m
10:000%14°0%54%6643m
11:000%19°0%21%4568m
12:000%23°33%72%5330m
13:000%24°33%97%4195m
14:000%24°33%88%13538m
15:000%22°25%59%13882m
16:000%19°25%72%21807m
17:000%14°25%85%15320m
18:000%7.9°15%41%13958m
19:000%1.6°15%6.1%24134m
20:000%-5.3°15%5.3%24135m
21:0042%-12°15%4.8%24134m
22:0023%-18°15%44%24135m
23:000%-23°15%73%24135m
Mon, Mar 16
24:000%-26°33%75%24135m
01:000%-28°33%82%24135m
02:000%-28°33%88%24134m
03:0044%-26°33%20%24135m
04:0051%-22°33%5.3%24135m
05:0051%-17°33%5%24134m
06:0042%-11°19%5%24135m
07:000%-4.4°19%11%24134m
08:000%2.5°19%5%24134m
09:000%8.7°10%5%24135m
10:000%15°10%0.3%24135m
11:000%19°10%0.3%24134m
12:000%23°7.1%0%24134m
13:000%25°7.1%100%24134m
14:000%25°7.1%100%24135m
15:000%23°15%100%24134m
16:000%19°15%100%24135m
17:000%14°15%100%24135m
18:000%8.2°19%100%24134m
19:000%1.9°19%100%6732m
20:000%-5°19%100%9656m
21:000%-11°19%100%6146m
22:000%-17°19%100%11997m
23:000%-22°19%100%24134m
Tue, Mar 17
24:000%-26°15%100%21287m
01:000%-28°15%100%8434m
02:000%-28°15%100%7854m
03:000%-25°19%100%7701m
04:000%-22°19%100%8727m
05:000%-17°19%100%8880m
06:000%-11°10%98%9463m
07:000%-4°10%100%17925m
08:000%2.8°10%100%24135m
09:000%9.1°10%67%24134m
10:000%15°10%75%24134m
11:000%20°10%91%19462m
12:000%23°10%99%7597m
13:000%25°10%76%16195m
14:000%25°10%99%4700m
15:000%23°10%93%17771m
16:000%19°10%98%19767m
17:000%14°10%100%24135m
18:000%8.5°10%100%24134m
19:000%2.2°10%79%24134m
20:000%-4.7°10%57%24135m
21:0026%-11°7.1%36%24135m
22:0033%-17°7.1%24%24135m
23:0037%-22°7.1%12%24135m
Wed, Mar 18
24:0045%-25°19%0.5%24135m
01:0045%-27°19%0.5%24135m
02:0045%-27°19%0.5%24135m
03:0045%-25°19%0.5%24135m
04:0045%-21°19%0.4%24135m
05:0045%-16°19%0.3%24135m
06:0040%-10°19%0.2%24135m
07:000%-3.6°19%3.5%24135m
08:000%3.2°19%6.7%24135m
09:000%9.5°19%10%24135m
10:000%15°19%13%24135m
11:000%20°19%16%24135m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

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