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Rule Fog Hunter

Fog Hunter Forecast for Mývatn, Iceland

Reykjahlíð, Northeast, Iceland

Mývatn surrounds shallow water with pseudocraters, lava pillars, and distant volcanic ridges. Geothermal steam adds moving layers, while snow makes the dark volcanic forms especially graphic in winter.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Dewpoint Spread6.3°C
Visibility24135 (Clear)
Relative Humidity65%
Wind Speed11.4m/s (moderate winds)

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Atlantic/Reykjavik

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (95-hour forecast)

  • Fog Probability100% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Fog Hunter conditions across Iceland. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Mývatn.

Explore Fog Hunter conditions across Iceland →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Mývatn during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
5
recorded matching windows · 59% average confidence
Last 90 days
11
recorded matching windows · 70% average confidence
Last 365 days
17
recorded matching windows · 73% average confidence
Most frequent recorded start hour

01:00 local time, shared by 4 of 17 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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95-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 95-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Atlantic/Reykjavik
Fog Probability
≥ 75.0%
Fri, Aug 21
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Sat, Aug 22
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Sun, Aug 23
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Mon, Aug 24
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Tue, Aug 25
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Fog Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Atlantic/Reykjavik
Clear Sky Probability (Ensemble)
%
Dew Point
°C
Rainfall
mm
Relative Humidity
%
Snowfall
cm
Solar Elevation
°
Temperature
°C
Total Precipitation
mm
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Visibility
m
Wind Gusts
m/s
Wind Speed
m/s
Sat, Aug 22 Sunrise 05:12 Sunset 21:06
20:00
0% 5.6°C 0mm 65% 0cm 5.7° 12°C 0mm 0.49kPa 24135m 16m/s 11m/s
21:00
0% 5.6°C 0mm 67% 0cm 0.31° 12°C 0mm 0.45kPa 24135m 16m/s 10m/s
22:00
0% 5.8°C 0mm 68% 0cm -5.1° 12°C 0mm 0.44kPa 24134m 16m/s 10m/s
23:00
0% 5.9°C 0mm 71% 0cm -9.1° 11°C 0mm 0.38kPa 24134m 16m/s 9.8m/s
Sun, Aug 23 Sunrise 05:15 Sunset 21:02
24:00
0% 6.1°C 0mm 71% 0cm -12° 11°C 0mm 0.39kPa 24134m 14m/s 8.6m/s
01:00
0% 6.3°C 0mm 72% 0cm -13° 11°C 0mm 0.36kPa 24134m 13m/s 7.4m/s
02:00
0% 6.5°C 0mm 76% 0cm -12° 11°C 0mm 0.31kPa 24134m 11m/s 6.2m/s
03:00
0% 6.9°C 0mm 81% 0cm -10° 10°C 0mm 0.24kPa 24134m 8.4m/s 5m/s
04:00
0% 6.9°C 0mm 82% 0cm -6.7° 9.8°C 0mm 0.21kPa 24134m 6.9m/s 4.4m/s
05:00
0% 6.7°C 0mm 82% 0cm -2° 9.7°C 0mm 0.22kPa 24135m 7.4m/s 4.6m/s
06:00
0% 6.6°C 0mm 80% 0cm 3.6° 9.9°C 0mm 0.24kPa 24135m 7.1m/s 4.5m/s
07:00
0% 6.8°C 0mm 77% 0cm 9.4° 11°C 0mm 0.29kPa 24135m 6.7m/s 4.2m/s
08:00
0% 6.9°C 0mm 73% 0cm 16° 12°C 0mm 0.36kPa 24134m 7.1m/s 4.7m/s
09:00
0% 7.2°C 0mm 69% 0cm 22° 13°C 0mm 0.46kPa 24134m 9.4m/s 4.8m/s
10:00
0% 7.6°C 0mm 63% 0cm 27° 15°C 0mm 0.61kPa 24134m 8.9m/s 6m/s
11:00
0% 7.3°C 0mm 58% 0cm 31° 15°C 0mm 0.74kPa 24135m 10m/s 9m/s
12:00
0% 5.5°C 0mm 50% 0cm 34° 16°C 0mm 0.89kPa 24135m 9.8m/s 8.6m/s
13:00
12% 4.2°C 0mm 44% 0cm 36° 16°C 0mm 1kPa 24135m 7.3m/s 7m/s
14:00
23% 5.2°C 0.01mm 49% 0cm 35° 16°C 0mm 0.92kPa 24134m 5.3m/s 5.6m/s
15:00
35% 6.1°C 0mm 59% 0cm 33° 14°C 0mm 0.66kPa 24135m 4.7m/s 6.2m/s
16:00
33% 5.9°C 0mm 59% 0cm 28° 14°C 0.06mm 0.65kPa 24135m 2.2m/s 4.5m/s
17:00
31% 5.7°C 0.01mm 63% 0cm 23° 13°C 0.06mm 0.55kPa 24134m 3.1m/s 4.6m/s
18:00
29% 5.4°C 0mm 68% 0cm 17° 11°C 0.06mm 0.42kPa 24135m 4.6m/s 5.1m/s
19:00
30% 4.9°C 0mm 72% 0cm 11° 9.6°C 0mm 0.33kPa 24134m 5m/s 5.1m/s
20:00
31% 4.4°C 0mm 76% 0cm 5.3° 8.4°C 0mm 0.27kPa 24134m 4.3m/s 4.5m/s
21:00
32% 4°C 0mm 78% 0cm 0.03° 7.7°C 0mm 0.24kPa 24134m 4.1m/s 4.2m/s
22:00
29% 3.7°C 0mm 79% 0cm -5.5° 7.1°C 0mm 0.21kPa 24134m 3.7m/s 3.2m/s
23:00
26% 3.4°C 0mm 82% 0cm -9.4° 6.3°C 0mm 0.18kPa 24134m 2.5m/s 2.2m/s
Mon, Aug 24 Sunrise 05:18 Sunset 20:58
24:00
23% 3.2°C 0mm 83% 0cm -12° 5.9°C 0mm 0.16kPa 24134m 1.8m/s 1.8m/s
01:00
18% 3.2°C 0mm 84% 0cm -13° 5.6°C 0mm 0.14kPa 24134m 1.3m/s 1.4m/s
02:00
12% 3.1°C 0mm 86% 0cm -13° 5.3°C 0mm 0.13kPa 24134m 0.9m/s 0.97m/s
03:00
7% 3°C 0mm 87% 0cm -11° 5°C 0mm 0.11kPa 24135m 0.93m/s 0.94m/s
04:00
5% 2.8°C 0mm 87% 0cm -7° 4.8°C 0mm 0.11kPa 24134m 0.61m/s 0.66m/s
05:00
4% 2.8°C 0mm 85% 0cm -2.3° 5°C 0mm 0.13kPa 24134m 0.53m/s 0.52m/s
06:00
2% 2.9°C 0mm 84% 0cm 3.3° 5.4°C 0mm 0.14kPa 24134m 0.72m/s 0.71m/s
07:00
1% 2.8°C 0mm 78% 0cm 9.1° 6.3°C 0mm 0.21kPa 24134m 0.63m/s 0.58m/s
08:00
1% 2.9°C 0mm 75% 0cm 15° 7.1°C 0mm 0.26kPa 24135m 0.93m/s 0.79m/s
09:00
0% 3.2°C 0mm 72% 0cm 21° 8°C 0mm 0.3kPa 24135m 1.6m/s 1.4m/s
10:00
0% 3.6°C 0mm 70% 0cm 27° 8.9°C 0mm 0.35kPa 24134m 1.9m/s 1.3m/s
11:00
0% 4.1°C 0mm 67% 0cm 31° 10°C 0mm 0.41kPa 24134m 3.1m/s 1.3m/s
12:00
0% 4.7°C 0mm 64% 0cm 34° 11°C 0mm 0.47kPa 24134m 3.8m/s 2.1m/s
13:00
0% 4.7°C 0mm 61% 0cm 35° 12°C 0mm 0.55kPa 24134m 4.5m/s 3.1m/s
14:00
0% 5.2°C 0.31mm 65% 0cm 35° 12°C 0.13mm 0.48kPa 22001m 5.5m/s 4.9m/s
15:00
0% 6.3°C 0.43mm 80% 0cm 32° 9.7°C 0.63mm 0.25kPa 18915m 7.4m/s 5.6m/s
16:00
0% 6°C 0.31mm 81% 0cm 28° 9.1°C 1mm 0.22kPa 24003m 7.4m/s 4.5m/s
17:00
0% 5.8°C 0.07mm 77% 0cm 23° 9.6°C 1.1mm 0.27kPa 24134m 6.1m/s 3.1m/s
18:00
0% 5.8°C 0mm 75% 0cm 17° 10°C 1.1mm 0.3kPa 24135m 7.8m/s 3.3m/s
19:00
1% 6.1°C 0mm 75% 0cm 11° 10°C 0mm 0.32kPa 24134m 9.5m/s 5.5m/s
20:00
3% 6.5°C 0.01mm 78% 0cm 10°C 0mm 0.26kPa 24134m 11m/s 7.1m/s
21:00
4% 6.3°C 0mm 78% 0cm -0.51° 10°C 0mm 0.27kPa 24134m 12m/s 6.4m/s
22:00
3% 6.2°C 0mm 76% 0cm -5.8° 10°C 0mm 0.3kPa 24135m 16m/s 9.4m/s
23:00
3% 6.8°C 0mm 79% 0cm -9.8° 10°C 0mm 0.26kPa 24134m 17m/s 10m/s
Tue, Aug 25 Sunrise 05:22 Sunset 20:55
24:00
2% 7.4°C 0mm 80% 0cm -12° 11°C 0mm 0.25kPa 24134m 16m/s 10m/s
01:00
10% 6.1°C 0mm 72% 0cm -14° 11°C 0mm 0.37kPa 24134m 13m/s 8.7m/s
02:00
19% 4.6°C 0mm 63% 0cm -13° 11°C 0mm 0.5kPa 24134m 11m/s 7.2m/s
03:00
27% 2.8°C 0mm 54% 0cm -11° 12°C 0mm 0.64kPa 24135m 8.3m/s 5.6m/s
04:00
28% 2.8°C 0mm 51% 0cm -7.3° 13°C 0mm 0.71kPa 24135m 8.8m/s 6.4m/s
05:00
29% 2.7°C 0mm 49% 0cm -2.6° 13°C 0mm 0.78kPa 24135m 9.2m/s 7.1m/s
06:00
30% 2.6°C 0mm 46% 0cm 14°C 0mm 0.86kPa 24135m 9.6m/s 7.8m/s
07:00
34% 2.8°C 0mm 46% 0cm 8.9° 14°C 0mm 0.89kPa 24135m 9m/s 7.4m/s
08:00
39% 2.9°C 0mm 45% 0cm 15° 15°C 0mm 0.92kPa 24135m 8.3m/s 6.9m/s
09:00
43% 3.1°C 0mm 44% 0cm 21° 15°C 0mm 0.95kPa 24135m 7.6m/s 6.5m/s
10:00
43% 3.2°C 0mm 46% 0cm 26° 15°C 0mm 0.92kPa 24135m 6.4m/s 5.6m/s
11:00
43% 3.2°C 0mm 47% 0cm 31° 15°C 0mm 0.88kPa 24135m 5.1m/s 4.7m/s
12:00
43% 3.3°C 0mm 48% 0cm 34° 14°C 0mm 0.85kPa 24135m 3.8m/s 3.8m/s
13:00
43% 3.7°C 0mm 52% 0cm 35° 13°C 0mm 0.73kPa 24135m 3m/s 3m/s
14:00
44% 4°C 0mm 57% 0cm 34° 12°C 0mm 0.62kPa 24135m 2.2m/s 2.2m/s
15:00
44% 4.1°C 0mm 61% 0cm 32° 11°C 0mm 0.52kPa 24135m 1.4m/s 1.4m/s
16:00
41% 4°C 0mm 63% 0cm 28° 11°C 0mm 0.47kPa 24135m 1.2m/s 1.2m/s
17:00
37% 4°C 0mm 65% 0cm 23° 10°C 0mm 0.43kPa 24135m 0.97m/s 0.96m/s
18:00
34% 3.8°C 0mm 67% 0cm 17° 9.6°C 0mm 0.39kPa 24135m 0.74m/s 0.72m/s
19:00
29% 3.5°C 0mm 66% 0cm 11° 9.5°C 0mm 0.4kPa 24135m 0.98m/s 0.97m/s
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

Forecast generated

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