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Rule Northern Lights

Kirkjufell - Northern Lights - Iceland

Grundarfjordur, West, Iceland

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Aurora Quality
0%
Kp IndexKp 3 (Unsettled)
Sun Elevation-17.3° (Astronomical twilight)
Cloud Cover100%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Atlantic/Reykjavik
aurora weather icon
Next opportunity
Excellent Chance of Aurora
Kirkjufell
Sat, Apr 18 · 02:00–04:00 · 2h window
Low confidence
29%
🌌Aurora Quality80.8-95%
Kp Index: Kp 6 (Moderate Storm)
Sun Elevation: -14.1° (Astronomical twilight)
Cloud Cover: 23%
aurora weather icon
Excellent Chance of Aurora at Dawn
Kirkjufell
Sat, Apr 18 · 04:00–05:00
🌌Aurora Quality:88.4%
Medium

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Iceland offers aurora photography with landscapes found nowhere else on Earth - volcanic craters, glacier lagoons, black sand beaches, and waterfalls all under the northern lights.

What makes Iceland special:

  • Volcanic landscapes - Lava fields, geothermal areas, and dramatic geology create otherworldly compositions
  • Glacier lagoon - Jökulsárlón's floating icebergs reflect aurora in ways unique to Iceland
  • Iconic foregrounds - Kirkjufell, Reynisdrangar sea stacks, and Skógafoss are bucket-list shots
  • Ring Road access - Most spots accessible via paved roads, making aurora chasing practical

Aurora season runs September through March. Iceland's changeable weather means cloud gaps can open anywhere - our forecast helps you identify which locations have the best chance tonight.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Atlantic/Reykjavik
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Wed, Apr 8
01:000%-18°29%100%8261m
02:000%-18°24%81%11679m
03:000%-16°18%100%5795m
04:000%-13°16%100%155m
05:000%-8.6°16%100%71m
06:000%-3.1°8%100%101m
07:000%3.1°0%100%103m
08:000%9.3°0%100%97m
09:000%16°8%100%74m
10:000%21°8%100%90m
11:000%26°8%100%128m
12:000%30°11%100%1319m
13:000%32°11%100%2796m
14:000%32°14%100%7873m
15:000%31°11%98%8504m
16:000%27°16%73%10125m
17:000%22°21%87%14143m
18:000%17°30%85%12071m
19:000%10°36%88%13771m
20:000%4.3°40%82%8860m
21:000%-1.9°42%99%8417m
22:000%-7.5°43%100%5187m
23:000%-12°41%100%67m
Thu, Apr 9
24:000%-15°39%100%70m
01:000%-17°39%100%77m
02:000%-17°39%100%59m
03:000%-16°22%100%67m
04:000%-13°22%100%57m
05:000%-8.2°22%100%56m
06:000%-2.7°5.4%100%64m
07:000%3.5°5.4%100%111m
08:000%9.7°5.4%100%8056m
09:000%16°1.7%100%110m
10:000%22°1.7%100%101m
11:000%27°1.7%100%1272m
12:000%30°0.7%97%12167m
13:000%32°0.7%100%8567m
14:000%33°0.7%92%9017m
15:000%31°3.2%53%8807m
16:000%27°3.2%64%9096m
17:000%23°3.2%100%8459m
18:000%17°3.2%100%212m
19:000%11°3.2%97%1050m
20:000%4.6°3.2%71%13391m
21:000%-1.5°5.4%93%16921m
22:000%-7.2°5.4%100%10637m
23:000%-12°5.4%100%9162m
Fri, Apr 10
24:000%-15°12%100%8516m
01:000%-17°12%100%431m
02:000%-17°12%100%122m
03:000%-15°100%91%390m
04:000%-12°100%81%3181m
05:000%-7.8°100%95%1845m
06:000%-2.3°100%100%3792m
07:000%3.8°100%86%4677m
08:000%10°100%78%4774m
09:000%16°36%52%23882m
10:000%22°36%48%23878m
11:000%27°36%77%23010m
12:000%31°16%93%24134m
13:000%33°16%58%24134m
14:000%33°16%13%24134m
15:000%31°16%2.6%24134m
16:000%28°16%2%24134m
17:000%23°16%2%24135m
18:000%17°36%20%24135m
19:000%11°36%88%24135m
20:000%4.9°36%97%24134m
21:000%-1.1°45%100%24135m
22:000%-6.8°45%95%24134m
23:000%-11°45%67%24135m
Sat, Apr 11
24:000%-15°100%91%24134m
01:000%-17°100%100%24134m
02:000%-17°100%100%24134m
03:000%-15°100%100%24135m
04:000%-12°100%100%24135m
05:000%-7.4°100%100%24135m
06:000%-1.9°100%100%24135m
07:000%4.2°100%97%23737m
08:000%10°100%94%23339m
09:000%17°100%90%22942m
10:000%22°100%92%21518m
11:000%27°100%94%20094m
12:000%31°100%96%18671m
13:000%33°100%75%20492m
14:000%33°100%54%22314m
15:000%32°100%32%24135m
16:000%28°100%48%21030m
17:000%23°100%64%17926m
18:000%18°100%79%14821m
19:000%11°100%86%14794m
20:000%5.2°100%93%14767m
21:000%-0.77°100%100%14740m
22:000%-6.5°100%100%14984m
23:000%-11°100%100%15228m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

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