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Rule Northern Lights

Jökulsárlón Glacier Lagoon - Northern Lights - Iceland

Iceland

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Aurora Quality
0%
Kp IndexKp 3 (Unsettled)
Sun Elevation-18.4° (Astronomical night)
Cloud Cover91%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Atlantic/Reykjavik
aurora weather icon
Next opportunity
Excellent Chance of Aurora
Jökulsárlón Glacier Lagoon
Tomorrow · 03:00–04:00 · 1h window
Medium confidence
57%
🌌Aurora Quality85.5%
Kp Index: Kp 5 (Minor Storm)
Sun Elevation: -14.9° (Astronomical twilight)
Cloud Cover: 19%
aurora weather icon
Excellent Chance of Aurora
Jökulsárlón Glacier Lagoon
Sat, Apr 11 · 24:00–04:00
🌌Aurora Quality:95%
Medium
aurora weather icon
Excellent Chance of Aurora at Dawn
Jökulsárlón Glacier Lagoon
Sat, Apr 11 · 04:00–05:00
🌌Aurora Quality:91.4%
Medium
aurora weather icon
Excellent Chance of Aurora
Jökulsárlón Glacier Lagoon
Sat, Apr 18 · 24:00–04:00
🌌Aurora Quality:94.8-95%
Low
aurora weather icon
Excellent Chance of Aurora at Sunrise
Jökulsárlón Glacier Lagoon
Sat, Apr 18 · 04:00–05:00
🌌Aurora Quality:85.1%
Medium

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Iceland offers aurora photography with landscapes found nowhere else on Earth - volcanic craters, glacier lagoons, black sand beaches, and waterfalls all under the northern lights.

What makes Iceland special:

  • Volcanic landscapes - Lava fields, geothermal areas, and dramatic geology create otherworldly compositions
  • Glacier lagoon - Jökulsárlón's floating icebergs reflect aurora in ways unique to Iceland
  • Iconic foregrounds - Kirkjufell, Reynisdrangar sea stacks, and Skógafoss are bucket-list shots
  • Ring Road access - Most spots accessible via paved roads, making aurora chasing practical

Aurora season runs September through March. Iceland's changeable weather means cloud gaps can open anywhere - our forecast helps you identify which locations have the best chance tonight.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
6matching hours in the next 95 hoursJump to next match
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Atlantic/Reykjavik
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Wed, Apr 8
01:0030%-19°25%36%9057m
02:000%-18°20%58%8682m
03:000%-16°14%82%2413m
04:000%-12°11%100%920m
05:000%-6.6°11%100%667m
06:000%-0.17°0%100%237m
07:000%5.9°0%100%449m
08:000%12°0%100%812m
09:000%19°0%100%1077m
10:000%24°8%100%441m
11:000%29°8%100%1098m
12:000%32°8%100%505m
13:000%33°11%100%991m
14:000%32°11%100%1265m
15:000%30°8%60%1724m
16:000%26°14%55%1753m
17:000%20°18%73%532m
18:000%14°28%100%738m
19:000%7.5°33%100%1747m
20:000%1.3°38%75%1086m
21:000%-5°40%93%845m
22:000%-10°41%100%734m
23:000%-15°38%100%768m
Thu, Apr 9
24:000%-17°36%98%1665m
01:000%-18°36%91%1727m
02:000%-18°36%100%1746m
03:000%-15°20%100%702m
04:000%-11°20%100%447m
05:000%-6.2°20%100%593m
06:000%0.23°4.9%100%428m
07:000%6.3°4.9%100%664m
08:000%13°4.9%100%522m
09:000%19°1.5%100%475m
10:000%25°1.5%93%960m
11:000%29°1.5%61%1665m
12:000%32°0%77%1608m
13:000%34°0%78%1593m
14:000%33°0%100%1032m
15:000%30°2.9%62%1632m
16:000%26°2.9%57%1695m
17:000%20°2.9%67%1265m
18:000%14°2.9%66%8647m
19:000%7.8°2.9%65%8481m
20:000%1.6°2.9%54%10005m
21:000%-4.7°4.9%30%9774m
22:0023%-10°4.9%29%9395m
23:0031%-14°4.9%16%9280m
Fri, Apr 10
24:0028%-17°11%21%7471m
01:0034%-18°11%18%8664m
02:0030%-17°11%22%8430m
03:0086%-15°100%19%9471m
04:0063%-11°100%37%10880m
05:000%-5.8°100%21%12328m
06:000%0.54°63%17%14151m
07:000%6.6°63%6%15929m
08:000%13°63%6.3%21166m
09:000%19°34%2.8%24135m
10:000%25°34%0.8%24135m
11:000%30°34%2.5%24134m
12:000%33°15%3.4%24134m
13:000%34°15%4.3%24134m
14:000%33°15%4.1%24134m
15:000%31°15%5.8%24134m
16:000%26°15%5%24134m
17:000%21°15%4.8%24135m
18:000%15°34%2.7%24135m
19:000%8.1°34%5.3%24135m
20:000%1.9°34%39%24134m
21:000%-4.4°42%42%24135m
22:0050%-9.7°42%5.2%24134m
23:0056%-14°42%4.3%24135m
Sat, Apr 11
24:0095%-17°100%0%24134m
01:0095%-18°100%0.1%24134m
02:0095%-17°100%0%24134m
03:0095%-14°100%0.3%24135m
04:0091%-11°100%2.5%24135m
05:000%-5.4°100%2.7%24135m
06:000%0.85°100%0.7%24135m
07:000%7°100%34%24135m
08:000%13°100%67%24135m
09:000%20°100%100%24135m
10:000%25°100%100%24135m
11:000%30°100%100%24135m
12:000%33°100%100%24135m
13:000%34°100%100%24135m
14:000%34°100%100%24135m
15:000%31°100%100%24135m
16:000%27°100%100%24135m
17:000%21°100%100%24135m
18:000%15°100%100%24135m
19:000%8.4°100%100%23832m
20:000%2.2°100%100%23529m
21:000%-4.1°100%100%23226m
22:000%-9.4°100%100%23529m
23:000%-14°100%100%23832m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

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