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Rule Northern Lights

Jökulsárlón Glacier Lagoon - Northern Lights - Iceland

Iceland

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Aurora Quality
0%
Kp IndexKp 4 (Unsettled)
Sun Elevation-35.7° (Astronomical night)
Cloud Cover91%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Atlantic/Reykjavik
aurora weather icon
Next opportunity
Excellent Chance of Aurora
Jökulsárlón Glacier Lagoon
Wed, Feb 25 · 24:00–07:00 · 7h window
Medium confidence
52%
🌌Aurora Quality95%
Kp Index: Kp 5 (Minor Storm)
Sun Elevation: -33.4° (Astronomical night)
Cloud Cover: 2%
aurora weather icon
Excellent Chance of Aurora at Sunrise
Jökulsárlón Glacier Lagoon
Wed, Feb 25 · 07:00–08:00
🌌Aurora Quality:85.7%
Medium

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Iceland offers aurora photography with landscapes found nowhere else on Earth - volcanic craters, glacier lagoons, black sand beaches, and waterfalls all under the northern lights.

What makes Iceland special:

  • Volcanic landscapes - Lava fields, geothermal areas, and dramatic geology create otherworldly compositions
  • Glacier lagoon - Jökulsárlón's floating icebergs reflect aurora in ways unique to Iceland
  • Iconic foregrounds - Kirkjufell, Reynisdrangar sea stacks, and Skógafoss are bucket-list shots
  • Ring Road access - Most spots accessible via paved roads, making aurora chasing practical

Aurora season runs September through March. Iceland's changeable weather means cloud gaps can open anywhere - our forecast helps you identify which locations have the best chance tonight.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
8matching hours in the next 95 hoursJump to next match
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Atlantic/Reykjavik
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Sun, Feb 22
01:000%-36°38%100%20990m
02:000%-36°46%100%22363m
03:000%-33°47%100%22215m
04:000%-29°44%100%7354m
05:000%-24°43%100%541m
06:000%-18°30%100%670m
07:000%-11°21%100%914m
08:000%-4.6°18%98%2104m
09:000%1.8°8%100%605m
10:000%7.1°8%100%195m
11:000%11°8%100%204m
12:000%14°15%98%535m
13:000%16°15%100%22090m
14:000%16°15%100%24135m
15:000%13°16%100%21252m
16:000%9.9°23%100%22799m
17:000%5.2°21%100%21892m
18:000%-0.18°40%100%22307m
19:000%-6.9°41%97%9702m
20:000%-13°43%94%12718m
21:000%-20°47%99%21785m
22:000%-26°45%98%22748m
23:000%-31°45%100%22090m
Mon, Feb 23
24:000%-34°44%87%21979m
01:000%-36°44%91%23190m
02:000%-35°44%87%24135m
03:000%-33°63%75%24134m
04:000%-29°63%85%24134m
05:000%-23°63%60%24134m
06:000%-17°34%84%24135m
07:000%-11°34%100%10696m
08:000%-4.2°34%100%196m
09:000%2.2°34%100%106m
10:000%7.4°34%100%82m
11:000%12°34%100%94m
12:000%15°15%100%87m
13:000%16°15%100%79m
14:000%16°15%95%105m
15:000%14°15%100%1657m
16:000%10°15%96%1674m
17:000%5.5°15%100%844m
18:000%0.18°15%100%1923m
19:000%-6.6°15%100%1784m
20:000%-13°15%100%868m
21:000%-20°34%100%917m
22:000%-25°34%100%1541m
23:000%-30°34%100%1578m
Tue, Feb 24
24:000%-34°34%100%1220m
01:000%-35°34%100%1583m
02:000%-35°34%100%1593m
03:000%-33°34%100%1644m
04:000%-28°34%100%1552m
05:000%-23°34%100%853m
06:000%-17°15%100%747m
07:000%-10°15%100%1004m
08:000%-3.9°15%100%712m
09:000%2.5°15%100%537m
10:000%7.8°15%100%104m
11:000%12°15%100%109m
12:000%15°7.6%100%2829m
13:000%17°7.6%100%3716m
14:000%16°7.6%100%6455m
15:000%14°4.9%100%7710m
16:000%11°4.9%100%9074m
17:000%5.9°4.9%100%24134m
18:000%0.45°4.9%100%24134m
19:000%-6.3°4.9%100%24135m
20:000%-13°4.9%100%24135m
21:000%-19°15%100%24134m
22:000%-25°15%100%24134m
23:0043%-30°15%5%24135m
Wed, Feb 25
24:0095%-33°100%1.7%24134m
01:0095%-35°100%6.1%24135m
02:0095%-35°100%5.4%24135m
03:0095%-32°100%2.9%24134m
04:0095%-28°100%0%24135m
05:0095%-23°100%0%24134m
06:0095%-17°100%4.9%24135m
07:0086%-10°100%10%24135m
08:000%-3.5°100%15%24135m
09:000%2.8°100%21%24135m
10:000%8.1°100%47%24135m
11:000%13°100%74%24135m
12:000%16°100%100%24135m
13:000%17°100%100%24135m
14:000%17°100%100%24135m
15:000%15°100%100%24135m
16:000%11°100%100%24135m
17:000%6.2°100%100%24135m
18:000%0.73°100%100%24135m
19:000%-6°100%100%24135m
20:000%-13°100%100%24135m
21:000%-19°100%100%24135m
22:000%-25°100%100%16172m
23:000%-30°100%100%8210m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

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