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Rule Northern Lights

Höfn - Northern Lights - Iceland

Hofn, East, Iceland

Northern Lights photography conditions - combines aurora activity levels with clear skies and proper darkness for optimal viewing.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Kp IndexKp 4 (Unsettled)
Sun Elevation-35.6° (Astronomical night)
Cloud Cover100%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Atlantic/Reykjavik
aurora weather icon
Next opportunity
Excellent Chance of Aurora
Höfn
Wed, Feb 25 · 24:00–02:00 · 2h window
Medium confidence
52%
🌌Aurora Quality95%
Kp Index: Kp 5 (Minor Storm)
Sun Elevation: -33.4° (Astronomical night)
Cloud Cover: 5%
aurora weather icon
Excellent Chance of Aurora
Höfn
Wed, Feb 25 · 04:00–07:00
🌌Aurora Quality:95%
Medium
aurora weather icon
Excellent Chance of Aurora at Sunrise
Höfn
Wed, Feb 25 · 07:00–08:00
🌌Aurora Quality:84.6%
Medium

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast answers the question every aurora photographer asks: "Can I actually see the aurora tonight?" Unlike simple Kp forecasts, we combine NOAA's OVATION aurora model with real-time cloud cover, visibility, and darkness data to predict true viewing conditions.

Iceland offers aurora photography with landscapes found nowhere else on Earth - volcanic craters, glacier lagoons, black sand beaches, and waterfalls all under the northern lights.

What makes Iceland special:

  • Volcanic landscapes - Lava fields, geothermal areas, and dramatic geology create otherworldly compositions
  • Glacier lagoon - Jökulsárlón's floating icebergs reflect aurora in ways unique to Iceland
  • Iconic foregrounds - Kirkjufell, Reynisdrangar sea stacks, and Skógafoss are bucket-list shots
  • Ring Road access - Most spots accessible via paved roads, making aurora chasing practical

Aurora season runs September through March. Iceland's changeable weather means cloud gaps can open anywhere - our forecast helps you identify which locations have the best chance tonight.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
6matching hours in the next 95 hoursJump to next match
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Atlantic/Reykjavik
Aurora Quality
≥ 50.0%
Solar Elevation
≤ -8.0°
Aurora Activity
≥ 50.0%
Total Cloud Coverage
≤ 30.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Sun, Feb 22
01:000%-36°37%100%15120m
02:000%-35°47%100%24134m
03:000%-33°48%100%24135m
04:000%-29°44%100%7998m
05:000%-23°43%100%724m
06:000%-17°29%100%677m
07:000%-11°23%100%2995m
08:000%-4.2°18%97%412m
09:000%2.1°8%99%509m
10:000%7.3°8%97%999m
11:000%12°8%100%7679m
12:000%14°15%99%11259m
13:000%16°15%100%5706m
14:000%15°15%100%6242m
15:000%13°16%100%3506m
16:000%9.5°23%100%1463m
17:000%4.8°21%100%1211m
18:000%-0.87°40%99%1833m
19:000%-7.4°42%100%1402m
20:000%-14°43%100%2040m
21:000%-20°48%100%3553m
22:000%-26°45%99%10804m
23:000%-31°46%100%18853m
Mon, Feb 23
24:000%-34°45%100%23237m
01:000%-36°45%100%23236m
02:000%-35°45%100%23270m
03:000%-32°64%99%23525m
04:000%-28°64%100%24134m
05:000%-23°64%98%22652m
06:000%-17°34%86%5554m
07:000%-10°34%78%4986m
08:000%-3.8°34%96%3108m
09:000%2.4°34%97%1009m
10:000%7.6°34%100%283m
11:000%12°34%100%69m
12:000%15°15%100%149m
13:000%16°15%100%495m
14:000%16°15%100%497m
15:000%13°15%98%821m
16:000%9.9°15%98%21014m
17:000%5.1°15%100%21190m
18:000%-0.43°15%100%21408m
19:000%-7.1°15%100%24135m
20:000%-14°15%100%21096m
21:000%-20°34%100%21145m
22:000%-26°34%100%21135m
23:000%-30°34%100%21124m
Tue, Feb 24
24:000%-34°34%100%21131m
01:000%-35°34%100%21086m
02:000%-35°34%100%21082m
03:000%-32°34%100%13618m
04:000%-28°34%100%2524m
05:000%-23°34%100%2221m
06:000%-16°15%100%2582m
07:000%-10°15%100%2023m
08:000%-3.5°15%100%999m
09:000%2.8°15%100%716m
10:000%15%100%523m
11:000%12°15%100%247m
12:000%15°7.7%100%137m
13:000%16°7.7%100%1601m
14:000%16°7.7%100%7797m
15:000%14°5%100%10786m
16:000%10°5%100%10618m
17:000%5.4°5%100%15165m
18:000%0.05°5%100%24134m
19:000%-6.8°5%100%24135m
20:000%-13°5%100%24135m
21:000%-20°15%100%24134m
22:000%-25°15%100%24134m
23:000%-30°15%100%24135m
Wed, Feb 25
24:0095%-33°100%5%24134m
01:0095%-35°100%5.3%24135m
02:000%-34°100%73%24135m
03:000%-32°100%68%24134m
04:0095%-28°100%0.3%24135m
05:0095%-22°100%0%24134m
06:0095%-16°100%0.2%24135m
07:0085%-9.6°100%15%24135m
08:000%-3.1°100%29%24135m
09:000%3.1°100%44%24135m
10:000%8.3°100%63%24135m
11:000%13°100%81%24135m
12:000%16°100%100%24135m
13:000%17°100%100%23895m
14:000%16°100%100%23655m
15:000%14°100%100%23415m
16:000%11°100%100%23655m
17:000%5.7°100%100%23895m
18:000%0.32°100%100%24135m
19:000%-6.4°100%100%24135m
20:000%-13°100%100%24135m
21:000%-19°100%100%24135m
22:000%-25°100%100%16986m
23:000%-30°100%100%9837m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

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