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Rule Storm Chaser

Storm Chaser Forecast for Stokksnes, Iceland Coast

Hofn, East, Iceland

Stokksnes places Vestrahorn’s sharp gabbro ridges behind black dunes, tidal flats, and grass hummocks that can reflect the mountain in calm water.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Storm Intensity
0%
CAPE0
Lifted Index8.8°C
Wind Gusts6.0m/s
Precipitation0.0mm

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Atlantic/Reykjavik
Next opportunity
Weak Storm
Stokksnes
Tomorrow · 09:00–13:00 · 4h window
Low confidence
34%
⛈️Storm Intensity40-50%
CAPE: 18
Lifted Index: 6.9°C
Wind Gusts: 8.9m/s
Precipitation: 11.5mm
thunderstorms weather icon
Weak Storm
Stokksnes
Tomorrow · 14:00–19:00
⛈️Storm Intensity:40-52%
Low
thunderstorms weather icon
Weak Storm
Stokksnes
Sun, Aug 30 · 15:00–16:00
⛈️Storm Intensity:43%
Low

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Storm Chaser conditions across Iceland Coast. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Stokksnes.

Explore Storm Chaser conditions across Iceland Coast →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Stokksnes during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
6
recorded matching windows · 51% average confidence
Last 90 days
6
recorded matching windows · 51% average confidence
Last 365 days
6
recorded matching windows · 51% average confidence

Only 6 completed matches are recorded in the last 365 days—insufficient history to identify a reliable typical start time or month.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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86-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 86-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
11matching hours in the next 86 hoursJump to next match
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Atlantic/Reykjavik
Storm Intensity
≥ 40.0%
Sun, Aug 23
04:0038%
05:0040%
06:0044%
07:0036%
08:0031%
09:0037%
10:0029%
11:0029%
12:0037%
13:000%
14:000%
15:0014%
16:000%
17:000%
18:0012%
19:000%
20:000%
21:0019%
22:0016%
23:0018%
Mon, Aug 24
24:0021%
01:0016%
02:0016%
03:0026%
04:0022%
05:0025%
06:0030%
07:0031%
08:0033%
09:0040%
10:0045%
11:0047%
12:0050%
13:0035%
14:0040%
15:0047%
16:0050%
17:0049%
18:0052%
19:0015%
20:0015%
21:0026%
22:0015%
23:0015%
Tue, Aug 25
24:0026%
01:0015%
02:0015%
03:0025%
04:000%
05:0013%
06:0024%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:0011%
13:000%
14:0016%
15:0028%
16:0024%
17:0015%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Wed, Aug 26
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:0011%
07:000%
08:000%
09:0010%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Storm Intensity mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Atlantic/Reykjavik
Air Pressure
hPa
CAPE
J/kg
Convective Precip Fraction
fraction
Lifted Index
°C
Precipitation Chance
%
Rainfall
mm
Showers
mm
Simulated Reflectivity
dBZ
Total Precipitation
mm
Visibility
m
Wind Gusts
m/s
Wind Shear 0-3 km
m/s
Wind Shear 0-6 km
m/s
Wind Speed
m/s
Sun, Aug 23 Sunrise 05:15 Sunset 20:47
20:00
1001hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 8.8°C 58% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 6m/s - - 5.3m/s
21:00 ☾
1001hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 9.2°C 76% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 5.4m/s 1.1m/s 13m/s 5.2m/s
22:00 ☾
1002hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 8.9°C 84% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 6.1m/s - - 5.5m/s
23:00 ☾
1002hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 9.1°C 92% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 5.1m/s - - 4.6m/s
Mon, Aug 24 Sunrise 05:18 Sunset 20:44
24:00 ☾
1002hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 9.1°C 100% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 4m/s 2.3m/s 14m/s 3.8m/s
01:00 ☾
1003hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 9.4°C 100% 0mm 0mm -3.4dBZ 0mm 24135m 2.4m/s - - 2.3m/s
02:00 ☾
1003hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 11°C 100% 0mm 0mm 13dBZ 0mm 24134m 0.9m/s - - 0.77m/s
03:00 ☾
1003hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 11°C 100% 0mm 0mm 30dBZ 0mm 24134m 4.7m/s 7.5m/s 18m/s 4.3m/s
04:00 ☾
1003hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 12°C 100% 0mm 0mm 31dBZ 0mm 24134m 6.2m/s - - 5.2m/s
05:00 ☾
1003hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 11°C 100% 0.08mm 0mm 33dBZ 0mm 24134m 7.5m/s - - 6m/s
06:00
1003hPa 1J/kg 0fraction 8.2°C 100% 0.44mm 0mm 34dBZ 0.25mm 22556m 7.6m/s 2.3m/s 11m/s 6.3m/s
07:00
1003hPa 11J/kg 0fraction 7.4°C 99% 1.2mm 0mm 34dBZ 0.69mm 10418m 7.9m/s - - 6.7m/s
08:00
1003hPa 14J/kg 0fraction 7.7°C 97% 1.7mm 0mm 34dBZ 2.1mm 8415m 8.4m/s - - 7.4m/s
09:00
1002hPa 12J/kg 0fraction 8.1°C 96% 1.9mm 0mm 34dBZ 3.8mm 7837m 8.9m/s 4m/s 11m/s 7.5m/s
10:00
1002hPa 7J/kg 0fraction 7.9°C 96% 2.5mm 0mm 34dBZ 5.8mm 6048m 11m/s - - 8.9m/s
11:00
1002hPa 15J/kg 0fraction 7.2°C 96% 3.4mm 0mm 35dBZ 8.5mm 4904m 9.2m/s - - 8.7m/s
12:00
1001hPa 18J/kg 0fraction 6.9°C 96% 3.2mm 0mm 35dBZ 12mm 5235m 8.9m/s 3.2m/s 2.8m/s 8.5m/s
13:00
1000hPa 18J/kg 0fraction 5.8°C 83% 3.7mm 0mm 26dBZ 3.5mm 4520m 6.9m/s - - 6.3m/s
14:00
1000hPa 10J/kg 0fraction 6.1°C 69% 3.5mm 0mm 16dBZ 7.1mm 634m 8.2m/s - - 4.9m/s
15:00
999hPa 2J/kg 0.007fraction 5.9°C 56% 5.3mm 0mm 6dBZ 12mm 589m 14m/s 2.4m/s 14m/s 7.9m/s
16:00
999hPa 16J/kg 0.01fraction 6.2°C 59% 0.38mm 0.16mm 7.3dBZ 15mm 1694m 16m/s - - 9.1m/s
17:00
999hPa 0J/kg 0.02fraction 8.8°C 61% 0mm 0.02mm 8.6dBZ 15mm 2221m 15m/s - - 11m/s
18:00
999hPa 13J/kg 0.02fraction 9.1°C 64% 0.07mm 0.08mm 9.9dBZ 16mm 6037m 15m/s 7.6m/s 14m/s 9.4m/s
19:00
999hPa 3J/kg 0.04fraction 10°C 56% 0.12mm 0.03mm -0.07dBZ 0.13mm 24134m 16m/s - - 9.8m/s
20:00
1000hPa 27J/kg 0.05fraction 11°C 47% 0.01mm 0.09mm -10dBZ 0.25mm 24135m 17m/s - - 11m/s
21:00 ☾
1000hPa 33J/kg 0.07fraction 11°C 39% 0.02mm 0.15mm -20dBZ 0.44mm 23293m 17m/s 7.3m/s 13m/s 12m/s
22:00 ☾
1001hPa 37J/kg 0.06fraction 11°C 39% 0mm 0.12mm -20dBZ 0.56mm 24134m 17m/s - - 11m/s
23:00 ☾
1001hPa 35J/kg 0.06fraction 10°C 39% 0mm 0.12mm -20dBZ 0.69mm 24135m 17m/s - - 12m/s
Tue, Aug 25 Sunrise 05:21 Sunset 20:40
24:00 ☾
1002hPa 27J/kg 0.06fraction 9.9°C 39% 0mm 0.09mm -20dBZ 0.81mm 24135m 17m/s 6.1m/s 10m/s 11m/s
01:00 ☾
1002hPa 33J/kg 0.04fraction 9.2°C 26% 0mm 0.17mm -20dBZ 0.13mm 21376m 17m/s - - 11m/s
02:00 ☾
1003hPa 29J/kg 0.02fraction 8.7°C 13% 0mm 0.08mm -20dBZ 0.25mm 24096m 15m/s - - 9.4m/s
03:00 ☾
1003hPa 28J/kg 0fraction 8.6°C 0% 0mm 0.14mm -20dBZ 0.38mm 20492m 13m/s 8.3m/s 11m/s 8.2m/s
04:00 ☾
1004hPa 24J/kg 0fraction 8.7°C 13% 0mm 0.14mm -20dBZ 0.5mm 24134m 9.6m/s - - 6m/s
05:00 ☾
1004hPa 22J/kg 0fraction 8.5°C 25% 0mm 0.11mm -20dBZ 0.63mm 3790m 6.8m/s - - 4.9m/s
06:00
1005hPa 15J/kg 0fraction 8.5°C 38% 0mm 0.05mm -20dBZ 0.69mm 3341m 4.1m/s 12m/s 12m/s 3.7m/s
07:00
1005hPa 9J/kg 0fraction 8.6°C 38% 0mm 0mm -19dBZ 0mm 4574m 2.3m/s - - 2.3m/s
08:00
1006hPa 4J/kg 0fraction 8.6°C 37% 0.02mm 0mm -18dBZ 0.06mm 24134m 1.5m/s - - 1.5m/s
09:00
1006hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 8.3°C 37% 0mm 0mm -17dBZ 0.06mm 24134m 0.91m/s 13m/s 11m/s 0.91m/s
10:00
1006hPa 1J/kg 0fraction 6.7°C 39% 0.04mm 0mm -11dBZ 0.06mm 24135m 1m/s - - 0.96m/s
11:00
1006hPa 5J/kg 0fraction 3.8°C 40% 0.9mm 0mm -5.5dBZ 0.25mm 13843m 1.8m/s - - 1.9m/s
12:00
1007hPa 12J/kg 0fraction 3°C 41% 1mm 0mm 0.53dBZ 1.4mm 10718m 3m/s 8.7m/s 12m/s 2.9m/s
13:00
1007hPa 2J/kg 0fraction 2.8°C 37% 1.8mm 0mm 9.6dBZ 1.3mm 7114m 3.5m/s - - 3.2m/s
14:00
1007hPa 5J/kg 0fraction 3.4°C 33% 1.6mm 0mm 19dBZ 2.8mm 1095m 4m/s - - 3m/s
15:00
1008hPa 31J/kg 0fraction 3.8°C 28% 0.01mm 0.37mm 28dBZ 3.5mm 1718m 7.8m/s 3.2m/s 3.8m/s 4.1m/s
16:00
1008hPa 4J/kg 0fraction 4.6°C 29% 0mm 0mm 23dBZ 3.6mm 1880m 4.4m/s - - 2.7m/s
17:00
1008hPa 28J/kg 0fraction 4.7°C 30% 0.01mm 0.03mm 18dBZ 3.6mm 3704m 2m/s - - 1.7m/s
18:00
1009hPa 19J/kg 0fraction 4.4°C 31% 0.06mm 0mm 13dBZ 3.7mm 24134m 2m/s 0.98m/s 2.3m/s 2m/s
19:00
1009hPa 7J/kg 0fraction 4.3°C 33% 0.04mm 0mm 1.8dBZ 0.13mm 4519m 1.7m/s - - 1.7m/s
20:00
1009hPa 1J/kg 0fraction 4.4°C 36% 0mm 0mm -9.1dBZ 0.13mm 4862m 2.3m/s - - 2.3m/s
21:00 ☾
1010hPa 3J/kg 0fraction 4.5°C 39% 0.02mm 0mm -20dBZ 0.19mm 3840m 3m/s 5.2m/s 6.6m/s 3m/s
22:00 ☾
1010hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 4.6°C 38% 0mm 0mm -9.3dBZ 0.19mm 798m 3.5m/s - - 3.5m/s
23:00 ☾
1011hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 4.6°C 38% 0mm 0mm 1.5dBZ 0.19mm 145m 3.5m/s - - 3.7m/s
Wed, Aug 26 Sunrise 05:24 Sunset 20:36
24:00 ☾
1011hPa 2J/kg 0fraction 4.6°C 37% 0mm 0mm 12dBZ 0.19mm 74m 3.7m/s 7.3m/s 9.4m/s 3.8m/s
01:00 ☾
1014hPa 6J/kg 0fraction 4.7°C 33% 0.14mm 0mm 13dBZ 0.4mm 5126m 4.7m/s - - 4.3m/s
02:00 ☾
1018hPa 10J/kg 0fraction 4.8°C 30% 0.27mm 0mm 13dBZ 0.6mm 10178m 5.7m/s - - 4.8m/s
03:00 ☾
1021hPa 14J/kg 0fraction 4.8°C 26% 0.41mm 0mm 14dBZ 0.81mm 15231m 6.6m/s 2.3m/s 8.9m/s 5.3m/s
04:00 ☾
1021hPa 11J/kg 0fraction 5°C 30% 0.28mm 0mm 12dBZ 1mm 18199m 7m/s - - 6.1m/s
05:00 ☾
1021hPa 8.7J/kg 0fraction 5.2°C 33% 0.15mm 0mm 9.4dBZ 1.2mm 21167m 7.4m/s - - 6.9m/s
06:00
1022hPa 6J/kg 0fraction 5.4°C 37% 0.02mm 0mm 7.3dBZ 1.4mm 24135m 7.8m/s 5.6m/s 10m/s 7.7m/s
07:00
1022hPa 5J/kg 0fraction 5.7°C 33% 0.01mm 0mm 13dBZ 0.92mm 24135m 7.9m/s - - 7.6m/s
08:00
1022hPa 4J/kg 0fraction 6°C 30% 0.007mm 0mm 18dBZ 0.46mm 24135m 8.1m/s - - 7.6m/s
09:00
1022hPa 3J/kg 0fraction 6.3°C 26% 0mm 0mm 23dBZ 0mm 24135m 8.2m/s 3.7m/s 8.9m/s 7.5m/s
10:00
1022hPa 2J/kg 0fraction 6.5°C 30% 0mm 0mm 18dBZ 0mm 24135m 8m/s - - 7.3m/s
11:00
1022hPa 1J/kg 0fraction 6.6°C 34% 0mm 0mm 12dBZ 0mm 24135m 7.8m/s - - 7.1m/s
12:00
1021hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 6.8°C 38% 0mm 0mm 6.7dBZ 0mm 24135m 7.6m/s 6.1m/s 11m/s 6.8m/s
13:00
1022hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 7.2°C 42% 0mm 0mm -2.2dBZ 0mm 24135m 7.4m/s - - 6.6m/s
14:00
1022hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 7.7°C 46% 0mm 0mm -11dBZ 0mm 24135m 7.2m/s - - 6.4m/s
15:00
1022hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 8.1°C 50% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 6.9m/s 4.9m/s 12m/s 6.1m/s
16:00
1021hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 8.4°C 42% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 6.8m/s - - 6.1m/s
17:00
1021hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 8.8°C 34% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 6.7m/s - - 6.1m/s
18:00
1021hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 9.1°C 26% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 6.6m/s 4.3m/s 14m/s 6.1m/s
19:00
1021hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 9.3°C 25% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 6.5m/s - - 5.8m/s
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

How opportunities work → Weather data sources →
Forecast generated

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