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Rule Storm Chaser

Storm Chaser Forecast for Stokksnes, Iceland Coast

Hofn, East, Iceland

Stokksnes places Vestrahorn’s sharp gabbro ridges behind black dunes, tidal flats, and grass hummocks that can reflect the mountain in calm water.

Currently

Real-time conditions
CAPE1
Lifted Index12.9°C
Wind Gusts8.4m/s
Precipitation0.0mm

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Atlantic/Reykjavik
Next opportunity
Weak Storm
Stokksnes
Mon, Aug 24 · 24:00–01:00 · 1h window
Low confidence
28%
⛈️Storm Intensity40%
CAPE: 4
Lifted Index: 7.3°C
Wind Gusts: 17.2m/s
Precipitation: 6.1mm
thunderstorms weather icon
Weak Storm at Sunrise
Stokksnes
Mon, Aug 24 · 06:00–07:00
⛈️Storm Intensity:40%
Low
thunderstorms weather icon
Weak Storm
Stokksnes
Mon, Aug 24 · 12:00–13:00
⛈️Storm Intensity:41%
Low

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Storm Chaser conditions across Iceland Coast. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Stokksnes.

Explore Storm Chaser conditions across Iceland Coast →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Stokksnes during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
5
recorded matching windows · 51% average confidence
Last 90 days
5
recorded matching windows · 51% average confidence
Last 365 days
5
recorded matching windows · 51% average confidence

Only 5 completed matches are recorded in the last 365 days—insufficient history to identify a reliable typical start time or month.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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95-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 95-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Atlantic/Reykjavik
Storm Intensity
≥ 40.0%
Mon, Aug 17
08:008%
09:008%
10:009%
11:0014%
12:0019%
13:0012%
14:000%
15:000%
16:0014%
17:0015%
18:0015%
19:0014%
20:0013%
21:0013%
22:0013%
23:0017%
Tue, Aug 18
24:0019%
01:0016%
02:0016%
03:0019%
04:0019%
05:0021%
06:0022%
07:000%
08:000%
09:0016%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Wed, Aug 19
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Thu, Aug 20
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Fri, Aug 21
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Storm Intensity mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Atlantic/Reykjavik
Air Pressure
hPa
CAPE
J/kg
Convective Precip Fraction
fraction
Lifted Index
°C
Precipitation Chance
%
Rainfall
mm
Showers
mm
Simulated Reflectivity
dBZ
Total Precipitation
mm
Visibility
m
Wind Gusts
m/s
Wind Shear 0-3 km
m/s
Wind Shear 0-6 km
m/s
Wind Speed
m/s
Tue, Aug 18 Sunrise 04:59 Sunset 21:05
08:00
1005hPa 1J/kg 0.31fraction 13°C 28% 0.01mm 0mm 9.5dBZ 0mm 24135m 8.4m/s - - 7.3m/s
09:00
1005hPa 3J/kg 0.47fraction 13°C 1% 0.01mm 0mm 9dBZ 0mm 24135m 8.8m/s 2.6m/s 1.2m/s 7.8m/s
10:00
1005hPa 5J/kg 0.38fraction 13°C 1% 0mm 0.01mm -0.63dBZ 0.06mm 24135m 9.4m/s - - 8.1m/s
11:00
1005hPa 4J/kg 0.29fraction 13°C 0% 0mm 0.01mm -10dBZ 0.06mm 24134m 9.3m/s - - 8.3m/s
12:00
1006hPa 1J/kg 0.21fraction 13°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0.06mm 24135m 9m/s 4.4m/s 1m/s 8.1m/s
13:00
1006hPa 0J/kg 0.14fraction 13°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 9m/s - - 8.2m/s
14:00
1006hPa 0J/kg 0.07fraction 12°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 8.2m/s - - 7.5m/s
15:00
1006hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 11°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 7.6m/s 2.9m/s 1.8m/s 7.1m/s
16:00
1006hPa 1J/kg 0fraction 11°C 0% 0mm 0mm -12dBZ 0mm 24134m 7.9m/s - - 7.2m/s
17:00
1006hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 12°C 0% 0mm 0mm -4dBZ 0mm 24135m 7.9m/s - - 7m/s
18:00
1006hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 11°C 0% 0mm 0mm 4dBZ 0mm 24135m 7.5m/s 0.67m/s 2m/s 6.7m/s
19:00
1006hPa 1J/kg 0fraction 11°C 0% 0mm 0mm 0.8dBZ 0mm 24134m 7.4m/s - - 6.6m/s
20:00
1007hPa 2J/kg 0fraction 11°C 0% 0mm 0mm -2.4dBZ 0mm 24134m 7.6m/s - - 6.4m/s
21:00
1007hPa 2J/kg 0fraction 11°C 0% 0mm 0mm -5.7dBZ 0mm 24134m 7.7m/s 2m/s 2.5m/s 6m/s
22:00
1008hPa 3J/kg 0fraction 11°C 0% 0mm 0mm -9dBZ 0mm 24135m 7.6m/s - - 6m/s
23:00
1008hPa 3J/kg 0fraction 11°C 0% 0mm 0mm -12dBZ 0mm 24134m 7.1m/s - - 5.7m/s
Wed, Aug 19 Sunrise 05:03 Sunset 21:01
24:00
1008hPa 2J/kg 0fraction 11°C 0% 0mm 0mm -16dBZ 0mm 24135m 6.5m/s 1.9m/s 2.1m/s 5.2m/s
01:00
1008hPa 1J/kg 0fraction 11°C 0% 0mm 0.01mm -16dBZ 0mm 24135m 5.9m/s - - 4.6m/s
02:00
1008hPa 1J/kg 0fraction 11°C 0% 0mm 0mm -16dBZ 0mm 24134m 5.3m/s - - 4.2m/s
03:00
1008hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 11°C 0% 0mm 0mm -16dBZ 0mm 24135m 4.6m/s 2.9m/s 3.7m/s 3.7m/s
04:00
1008hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 11°C 0% 0mm 0mm -17dBZ 0mm 24134m 4m/s - - 3.3m/s
05:00
1008hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 11°C 0% 0mm 0mm -19dBZ 0mm 24135m 3.5m/s - - 3.1m/s
06:00
1009hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 11°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 3m/s 3.8m/s 5.4m/s 2.9m/s
07:00
1009hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 11°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 2.6m/s - - 2.4m/s
08:00
1009hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 10°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 2m/s - - 1.8m/s
09:00
1009hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 10°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 1.4m/s 4.2m/s 7.3m/s 1m/s
10:00
1010hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 10°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 1m/s - - 0.93m/s
11:00
1010hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 10°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 0.72m/s - - 1.3m/s
12:00
1010hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 10°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 1m/s 6.1m/s 10m/s 1.7m/s
13:00
1010hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 10°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 1.7m/s - - 2.2m/s
14:00
1010hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 9.8°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 2.7m/s - - 3.1m/s
15:00
1010hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 9.7°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 3.8m/s 7.8m/s 12m/s 4.1m/s
16:00
1010hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 9.4°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 4.4m/s - - 4.6m/s
17:00
1010hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 8.7°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 5m/s - - 5.1m/s
18:00
1010hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 8.1°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 5.3m/s 8.7m/s 14m/s 5.3m/s
19:00
1010hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 7.5°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 5.5m/s - - 5.4m/s
20:00
1010hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 7.3°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 5.3m/s - - 4.7m/s
21:00
1010hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 7°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 4.6m/s 9.4m/s 15m/s 4.1m/s
22:00
1010hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 6.9°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 3.8m/s - - 3.5m/s
23:00
1010hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 6.8°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 2.8m/s - - 2.7m/s
Thu, Aug 20 Sunrise 05:06 Sunset 20:58
24:00
1010hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 6.8°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 2.1m/s 9m/s 15m/s 2m/s
01:00
1010hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 6.6°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 1.7m/s - - 1.7m/s
02:00
1009hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 6.5°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 1.2m/s - - 1.3m/s
03:00
1009hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 6.4°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 1.1m/s 6.7m/s 12m/s 1.1m/s
04:00
1009hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 6.3°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 1.2m/s - - 1.2m/s
05:00
1009hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 6.4°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 1.1m/s - - 1.1m/s
06:00
1009hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 6.4°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 0.71m/s 4.7m/s 9.7m/s 0.79m/s
07:00
1009hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 6.5°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 0.2m/s - - 0.2m/s
08:00
1009hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 6.7°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24134m 0.72m/s - - 0.69m/s
09:00
1009hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 6.9°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 1.2m/s 3.3m/s 7.2m/s 1.3m/s
10:00
1009hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 7°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 2m/s - - 2m/s
11:00
1010hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 7°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 2.4m/s - - 2.4m/s
12:00
1010hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 7.1°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 2.6m/s 4.2m/s 7.9m/s 2.7m/s
13:00
1012hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 7.5°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 2.4m/s - - 2.4m/s
14:00
1015hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 7.9°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 2.1m/s - - 2.1m/s
15:00
1017hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 8.2°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 1.8m/s 4.7m/s 9.1m/s 1.8m/s
16:00
1017hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 7.9°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 1.8m/s - - 1.8m/s
17:00
1017hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 7.6°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 1.8m/s - - 1.8m/s
18:00
1017hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 7.3°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 1.8m/s 4m/s 8.4m/s 1.8m/s
19:00
1017hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 7.2°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 1.5m/s - - 1.4m/s
20:00
1016hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 7.1°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 1.2m/s - - 1.1m/s
21:00
1016hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 7°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 0.87m/s 3.4m/s 5.7m/s 0.83m/s
22:00
1016hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 7°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 1.2m/s - - 1.1m/s
23:00
1016hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 7°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 1.5m/s - - 1.5m/s
Fri, Aug 21 Sunrise 05:09 Sunset 20:54
24:00
1017hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 7°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 1.8m/s 2.3m/s 2.2m/s 1.8m/s
01:00
1017hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 7.2°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 3m/s - - 2.8m/s
02:00
1017hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 7.4°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 4.2m/s - - 3.9m/s
03:00
1017hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 7.5°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 5.4m/s 1.7m/s 2.1m/s 5m/s
04:00
1018hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 7.6°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 5.4m/s - - 5m/s
05:00
1018hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 7.7°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 5.5m/s - - 5.1m/s
06:00
1018hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 7.8°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 5.6m/s 3.5m/s 4.6m/s 5.1m/s
07:00
1018hPa 0J/kg 0fraction 7.9°C 0% 0mm 0mm -20dBZ 0mm 24135m 5.2m/s - - 4.8m/s
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

Forecast generated

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