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Rule Fire Sky

Manoa Falls - Fire Sky - Hawaii

Honolulu, Hawaii, United States

Those rare, intensely red and orange sunset skies

No opportunities right now
Here’s what usually blocks matches

No Fire Sky opportunities in the next 14 days

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Rule requirements (key thresholds)
Golden Hour · Any Fiery Red Sky Potential · ≥ 65.0% Precipitation Chance · ≤ 15.0% Visibility · ≥ 8000.0m

Tip: Scroll down to the 72-hour table to see exactly which condition fails hour by hour.

Most common blockers (next 72 hours)
Fiery Red Sky Potential 100% failing
Precipitation Chance 100% failing
Golden Hour 96% failing

Currently

Real-time conditions
Low Cloud Cover100%
Mid Cloud Cover100%
High Cloud Cover100%
Aerosol Optical Depth0.1dimensionless
Sun Elevation-30.3° (Astronomical night)

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Pacific/Honolulu

No opportunities in the next 10 days

See the blocker timeline below to understand which conditions are preventing matches.

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast tracks the spectacular sunset conditions that transform Hawaii's tropical skies into blazing displays. We combine cloud coverage patterns, volcanic haze levels, and atmospheric clarity to predict when Hawaiian sunsets will ignite with dramatic color.

Hawaii offers some of the Pacific's most dramatic fire-sky conditions, particularly when volcanic haze (vog) from Kilauea adds atmospheric particulates that scatter light into intense oranges and reds. The tropical location means the sun sets quickly at a steep angle, creating brief but intense color displays.

What makes Hawaii special for fire-sky photography:

  • Volcanic haze advantage - Vog from Kilauea volcano scatters light into intense sunset colors
  • Maui and Big Island drama - Leeward coasts receive the most dramatic vog-enhanced sunsets
  • Tropical intensity - Quick sunset at steep angle creates brief but fierce color
  • Ocean reflections - Calm leeward waters mirror fire skies perfectly

The Big Island's Kona coast offers Hawaii's most reliable fire-sky conditions, particularly when vog from Kilauea volcano drifts southwest. The volcanic particulates scatter light dramatically, creating sunsets of unusual intensity. Maui's western coast benefits from similar conditions when vog crosses the channel. The steep volcanic slopes provide dramatic foreground silhouettes—palm trees and volcanic peaks profiled against blazing skies. During periods of volcanic activity, vog levels increase and sunset colors become even more intense. The leeward (western/southern) coasts of islands offer the calmest water for reflections. Trade winds typically die down at sunset, creating mirror-like ocean surfaces that double the impact. Tropical sunsets happen quickly—the entire show from first color to darkness takes about 30 minutes, with peak color lasting only 5-10 minutes. Scout locations beforehand and be ready before the sun touches the horizon.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Pacific/Honolulu
Golden Hour
Any
Fiery Red Sky Potential
≥ 65.0%
Precipitation Chance
≤ 15.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Tue, Apr 7
21:000%46%24135m
22:000%43%24134m
23:000%39%21689m
Wed, Apr 8
24:000%47%24134m
01:000%56%24135m
02:000%64%19856m
03:000%7.4%24134m
04:000%15%24134m
05:000%22%24135m
06:0011%37%24135m
07:000%51%7705m
08:000%66%23823m
09:000%50%24135m
10:000%62%24134m
11:000%75%24134m
12:000%81%24135m
13:000%86%24135m
14:000%92%24135m
15:000%90%24134m
16:000%92%24134m
17:000%95%5194m
18:000%96%19814m
19:000%98%15802m
20:000%99%5062m
21:000%96%4485m
22:000%93%6538m
23:000%89%6448m
Thu, Apr 9
24:000%90%8505m
01:000%92%6875m
02:000%93%6909m
03:000%87%6512m
04:000%80%7840m
05:000%74%7498m
06:000.2%73%5989m
07:000%72%8616m
08:000%71%14901m
09:000%73%24135m
10:000%76%24135m
11:000%78%15452m
12:000%82%24134m
13:000%87%24135m
14:000%92%15447m
15:000%86%24135m
16:000%80%17942m
17:000%74%6811m
18:000%81%7600m
19:000%89%4845m
20:000%97%5221m
21:000%96%5732m
22:000%96%9985m
23:000%96%8827m
Fri, Apr 10
24:000%97%17185m
01:000%98%6108m
02:000%99%3964m
03:000%95%4149m
04:000%90%5003m
05:000%86%2945m
06:000%86%3357m
07:000%86%1528m
08:000%86%1071m
09:000%71%3949m
10:000%56%649m
11:000%41%1612m
12:000%45%23494m
13:000%48%24135m
14:000%51%24134m
15:000%44%24135m
16:000%36%24134m
17:000%28%24135m
18:000%31%24134m
19:0010%34%24135m
20:000%37%24135m
21:000%34%24134m
22:000%32%24134m
23:000%29%24134m
Sat, Apr 11
24:000%35%24135m
01:000%40%24135m
02:000%46%24134m
03:000%38%24134m
04:000%30%24135m
05:000%22%24135m
06:0037%25%24135m
07:000%27%24135m
08:000%30%24135m
09:000%32%24135m
10:000%35%24135m
11:000%37%24135m
12:000%42%24135m
13:000%47%24135m
14:000%51%24135m
15:000%49%24135m
16:000%47%24135m
17:000%44%24135m
18:000%50%24135m
19:0010%55%24135m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Fiery Red Sky Potential mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Pacific/Honolulu
Aerosol Optical Depth (550nm)
Clear Sky Probability (Ensemble)
%
Cloud Cover Uncertainty (Ensemble)
%
Dust AOD (550nm)
Golden Hour
High Clouds
%
Low Clouds
%
Mid-Level Clouds
%
RH @ 700 hPa
%
Smoke AOD (550nm)
Solar Elevation
°
Sunshine Duration
seconds
Wed, Apr 8 Sunrise 06:17 Sunset 18:48
21:00
0.15 0% 1% 0.001 - 100% 100% 100% 93% 0.008 -30° 0seconds
22:00
0.16 0% 0% 0.001 - 100% 96% 100% 89% 0.007 -43° 0seconds
23:00
0.14 0% 0% 0.001 - 100% 100% 100% 85% 0.007 -53° 0seconds
Thu, Apr 9 Sunrise 06:17 Sunset 18:48
24:00
0.14 0% 0% 0.001 - 100% 100% 100% 89% 0.008 -60° 0seconds
01:00
0.13 0% 0% 0.001 - 100% 100% 100% 93% 0.008 -60° 0seconds
02:00
0.14 0% 0% 0.002 - 100% 100% 100% 97% 0.009 -54° 0seconds
03:00
0.15 0% 0% 0.002 - 100% 97% 96% 96% 0.009 -44° 0seconds
04:00
0.16 0% 0% 0.002 - 100% 93% 57% 95% 0.009 -32° 0seconds
05:00
0.17 0% 0% 0.002 - 100% 100% 99% 94% 0.009 -18° 0seconds
06:00
0.18 0% 0% 0.002 - 100% 79% 100% 95% 0.009 -4.7° 0seconds
07:00
0.19 0% 0% 0.002 - 100% 80% 100% 95% 0.009 9.2° 0seconds
08:00
0.19 0% 0% 0.002 - 100% 70% 100% 96% 0.009 23° 0seconds
09:00
0.18 0% 0% 0.002 - 87% 17% 100% 94% 0.009 37° 0seconds
10:00
0.16 0% 0% 0.002 - 100% 92% 96% 92% 0.008 51° 3600seconds
11:00
0.14 0% 0% 0.002 - 100% 95% 80% 90% 0.008 64° 3600seconds
12:00
0.13 0% 0% 0.002 - 100% 100% 100% 87% 0.007 74° 3600seconds
13:00
0.13 0% 0% 0.002 - 100% 100% 100% 83% 0.008 75° 3600seconds
14:00
0.13 0% 0% 0.001 - 100% 100% 100% 80% 0.007 65° 3600seconds
15:00
0.13 0% 0% 0.001 - 100% 100% 100% 85% 0.007 52° 0seconds
16:00
0.13 0% 0% 0.001 - 100% 100% 100% 90% 0.007 38° 0seconds
17:00
0.12 0% 0% 0.001 - 100% 94% 100% 94% 0.007 24° 0seconds
18:00
0.12 0% 0% 0.001 - 100% 100% 100% 95% 0.007 11° 0seconds
19:00
0.12 0% 0% 0.001 - 100% 100% 100% 96% 0.006 -3.3° 0seconds
20:00
0.11 0% 0% 0.001 - 100% 100% 100% 97% 0.006 -17° 0seconds
21:00
0.11 0% 0% 0.001 - 100% 100% 100% 98% 0.006 -30° 0seconds
22:00
0.12 0% 0% 0.001 - 100% 100% 100% 99% 0.006 -42° 0seconds
23:00
0.11 0% 0% 0.001 - 100% 90% 100% 100% 0.006 -53° 0seconds
Fri, Apr 10 Sunrise 06:16 Sunset 18:48
24:00
0.09 0% 0% 0.001 - 100% 90% 100% 98% 0.005 -60° 0seconds
01:00
0.08 0% 0% 0.001 - 100% 100% 100% 95% 0.005 -60° 0seconds
02:00
0.09 0% 0% 0.001 - 100% 100% 100% 93% 0.005 -54° 0seconds
03:00
- 0% 0% - - 100% 100% 100% 90% - -43° 0seconds
04:00
- 0% 0% - - 100% 100% 100% 88% - -31° 0seconds
05:00
- 0% 0% - - 100% 100% 100% 86% - -18° 0seconds
06:00
- 0% 0% - - 100% 100% 100% 90% - -4.5° 0seconds
07:00
- 0% 1% - - 100% 100% 100% 95% - 9.4° 0seconds
08:00
- 0% 1% - - 100% 100% 100% 99% - 23° 0seconds
09:00
- 0% 4% - - 100% 100% 100% 77% - 37° 0seconds
10:00
- 0% 7% - - 100% 100% 99% 55% - 51° 0seconds
11:00
- 0% 10% - - 100% 100% 0% 33% - 64° 0seconds
12:00
- 0% 12% - - 100% 84% 0% 28% - 75° 0seconds
13:00
- 1% 15% - - 100% 85% 0% 23% - 75° 0seconds
14:00
- 1% 17% - - 100% 0% 0% 18% - 65° 0seconds
15:00
- 5% 21% - - 100% 2% 0% 15% - 52° 3600seconds
16:00
- 9% 25% - - 100% 2% 0% 12% - 38° 3600seconds
17:00
- 13% 29% - - 43% 0% 0% 9.5% - 25° 3600seconds
18:00
- 12% 27% - - 0% 0% 0% 7.5% - 11° 3600seconds
19:00
- 10% 26% - - 0% 0% 0% 5.5% - -3.2° 3600seconds
20:00
- 9% 24% - - 5% 0% 0% 3.5% - -17° 3600seconds
21:00
- 14% 26% - - 1% 0% 0% 3.3% - -30° 0seconds
22:00
- 18% 29% - - 35% 0% 0% 3% - -42° 0seconds
23:00
- 23% 31% - - 0% 0% 0% 2.8% - -53° 0seconds
Sat, Apr 11 Sunrise 06:15 Sunset 18:49
24:00
- 22% 30% - - 5% 0% 0% 2.7% - -59° 0seconds
01:00
- 21% 30% - - 11% 0% 0% 2.7% - -60° 0seconds
02:00
- 20% 29% - - 96% 8% 0% 2.6% - -53° 0seconds
03:00
- 14% 26% - - 97% 5% 0% 2.6% - -43° 1200seconds
04:00
- 9% 23% - - 99% 3% 0% 2.5% - -31° 2400seconds
05:00
- 3% 20% - - 100% 0% 0% 2.5% - -18° 3600seconds
06:00
- 2% 18% - - 98% 0% 0% 2.6% - -4.3° 3600seconds
07:00
- 1% 15% - - 97% 0% 0% 2.6% - 9.6° 3600seconds
08:00
- 0% 13% - - 95% 0% 0% 2.7% - 23° 3600seconds
09:00
- 0% 9% - - 96% 14% 0% 3.7% - 37° 3600seconds
10:00
- 0% 4% - - 97% 28% 0% 4.7% - 51° 3600seconds
11:00
- 0% 0% - - 99% 42% 0% 5.7% - 64° 3600seconds
12:00
- 0% 0% - - 99% 48% 0% 6.9% - 75° 3600seconds
13:00
- 0% 0% - - 100% 53% 0% 8.2% - 76° 3600seconds
14:00
- 0% 0% - - 100% 59% 0% 9.4% - 65° 3600seconds
15:00
- 0% 1% - - 100% 43% 20% 9.7% - 52° 2400seconds
16:00
- 0% 2% - - 100% 27% 40% 9.9% - 39° 1200seconds
17:00
- 0% 3% - - 100% 12% 60% 10% - 25° 0seconds
18:00
- 0% 3% - - 100% 8% 61% 11% - 11° 0seconds
19:00
- 0% 4% - - 100% 5% 62% 12% - -3.1° 0seconds
20:00
- 0% 4% - - 100% 2% 63% 13% - -17° 0seconds
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

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