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Rule Fire Sky

Fire Sky Forecast for Hana Highway, Hawaii

Paia, Hawaii, United States

The Hana Highway threads through rainforest, sea cliffs, waterfalls, and one-lane bridges, providing layered roadside views of Maui's windward coast.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Low Cloud Cover79%
Mid Cloud Cover0%
High Cloud Cover0%
Aerosol Optical Depth0.1
Sun Elevation-27.5° (Astronomical night)

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Pacific/Honolulu

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (81-hour forecast)

  • Fiery Red Sky Potential100% of hours
  • Golden Hour83% of hours
  • Precipitation Chance82% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Fire Sky conditions across Hawaii. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Hana Highway.

Explore Fire Sky conditions across Hawaii →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Hana Highway during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
3
recorded matching windows · 67% average confidence
Last 90 days
8
recorded matching windows · 64% average confidence
Last 365 days
11
recorded matching windows · 64% average confidence
Most frequent recorded start hour

06:00 local time, shared by 11 of 11 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

Most represented month

May, with 3 of 11 matches recorded in the last 365 days.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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81-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 81-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 81 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Pacific/Honolulu
Golden Hour
Any
Fiery Red Sky Potential
≥ 65.0%
Precipitation Chance
≤ 15.0%
Visibility
≥ 8000.0m
Wed, Aug 12
18:0011%2.3%24134m
19:0053%1.1%24134m
20:008.5%0%24135m
21:0011%29%24135m
22:0017%19%24134m
23:003.6%8.3%24134m
Thu, Aug 13
24:005.8%19%24135m
01:000.5%29%24134m
02:000.3%39%24135m
03:007.5%32%24135m
04:000.4%25%24135m
05:000.5%18%24134m
06:0013%25%24134m
07:002.3%32%18546m
08:002.2%39%18487m
09:002%27%23464m
10:0010%15%24134m
11:0015%3.4%24135m
12:0014%2.3%24134m
13:009.5%1.1%24135m
14:006.9%0%24135m
15:006.6%0.15%24134m
16:006.9%0.29%24135m
17:009.7%0.44%24134m
18:0017%0.29%24135m
19:0052%0.15%24134m
20:0014%0%24134m
21:005.9%6.1%24135m
22:005.3%12%24134m
23:0017%18%24135m
Fri, Aug 14
24:008.1%25%24135m
01:000.3%32%24135m
02:000.2%39%24134m
03:003.3%31%24134m
04:002.5%23%24134m
05:000.2%15%24135m
06:0023%23%24135m
07:000.6%31%24135m
08:005.3%39%24135m
09:005.6%39%24135m
10:0017%39%24135m
11:0017%39%24135m
12:0016%47%24134m
13:006.9%56%21372m
14:0011%64%20476m
15:0017%72%20413m
16:0016%80%18375m
17:0017%88%18348m
18:0017%92%12907m
19:0040%96%13616m
20:000.1%100%12379m
21:000%96%11944m
22:001.2%93%8484m
23:0015%89%7998m
Sat, Aug 15
24:0017%92%8191m
01:0017%95%9614m
02:0016%97%11490m
03:0017%96%10630m
04:0017%94%11700m
05:0017%93%12206m
06:0027%94%9860m
07:008.8%96%9790m
08:0014%98%16031m
09:0011%93%9912m
10:0015%88%10269m
11:0015%82%10333m
12:0015%85%15665m
13:0013%88%18385m
14:0014%90%18490m
15:000%87%20372m
16:000%84%22253m
17:000%80%24135m
18:000%72%20741m
19:0014%63%17347m
20:000%54%13952m
21:000%44%11896m
22:000%35%9839m
23:000%25%7783m
Sun, Aug 16
24:000%32%7683m
01:000%39%7583m
02:000%46%7483m
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Fiery Red Sky Potential mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Pacific/Honolulu
Aerosol Optical Depth (550nm)
Clear Sky Probability (Ensemble)
%
Cloud Cover Uncertainty (Ensemble)
%
Dust AOD (550nm)
Golden Hour
High Clouds
%
Low Clouds
%
Mid-Level Clouds
%
RH @ 700 hPa
%
Smoke AOD (550nm)
Solar Elevation
°
Sunshine Duration
seconds
Thu, Aug 13 Sunrise 06:04 Sunset 18:56
04:00
0.1 100% 4% 0.001 - 0% 79% 0% 30% 0.006 -28° 0seconds
05:00
0.1 100% 4% 0.001 - 0% 82% 0% 30% 0.006 -15° 0seconds
06:00
0.1 100% 4% 0.001 - 5% 74% 0% 30% 0.005 -1.5° 0seconds
07:00
0.1 100% 4% 0.001 - 5% 69% 0% 31% 0.005 12° 0seconds
08:00
0.1 100% 4% 0.001 - 5% 71% 0% 31% 0.005 26° 0seconds
09:00
0.11 94% 6% 0.001 - 5% 72% 0% 31% 0.006 40° 3600seconds
10:00
0.11 88% 9% 0.001 - 5% 49% 0% 30% 0.006 54° 3600seconds
11:00
0.11 82% 11% 0.001 - 5% 11% 0% 29% 0.006 68° 3600seconds
12:00
0.11 87% 10% 0.001 - 5% 12% 0% 27% 0.007 80° 3600seconds
13:00
0.11 92% 8% 0.001 - 5% 44% 0% 26% 0.007 80° 3600seconds
14:00
0.11 97% 7% 0.001 - 0% 35% 0% 24% 0.007 68° 3600seconds
15:00
0.11 98% 6% 0.001 - 0% 19% 0% 23% 0.007 54° 3600seconds
16:00
0.11 99% 4% 0.001 - 0% 20% 0% 22% 0.008 40° 3600seconds
17:00
0.11 100% 3% 0.001 - 0% 46% 0% 21% 0.008 26° 3600seconds
18:00
0.11 100% 3% 0.001 - 0% 56% 0% 23% 0.008 12° 3600seconds
19:00
0.11 100% 3% 0.001 - 0% 61% 0% 25% 0.008 -1.4° 3600seconds
20:00
0.12 100% 3% 0.001 - 0% 58% 0% 28% 0.009 -15° 3600seconds
21:00
0.12 100% 4% 0.002 - 0% 44% 0% 27% 0.009 -28° 0seconds
22:00
0.13 99% 5% 0.002 - 0% 16% 0% 27% 0.01 -39° 0seconds
23:00
0.14 99% 6% 0.002 - 0% 28% 0% 26% 0.01 -48° 0seconds
Fri, Aug 14 Sunrise 06:04 Sunset 18:55
24:00
0.14 99% 6% 0.002 - 0% 59% 0% 24% 0.01 -54° 0seconds
01:00
0.15 99% 6% 0.003 - 0% 59% 0% 21% 0.01 -54° 0seconds
02:00
0.14 99% 6% 0.003 - 0% 62% 0% 19% 0.01 -48° 0seconds
03:00
- 98% 7% - - 0% 64% 0% 17% - -39° 0seconds
04:00
- 97% 7% - - 0% 66% 0% 16% - -28° 0seconds
05:00
- 96% 8% - - 0% 85% 0% 14% - -15° 0seconds
06:00
- 93% 9% - - 4% 69% 0% 14% - -1.6° 0seconds
07:00
- 91% 10% - - 0% 75% 0% 14% - 12° 0seconds
08:00
- 88% 11% - - 0% 60% 0% 14% - 26° 0seconds
09:00
- 89% 11% - - 0% 59% 0% 13% - 40° 3600seconds
10:00
- 90% 12% - - 0% 16% 0% 12% - 54° 3600seconds
11:00
- 91% 12% - - 0% 32% 0% 11% - 68° 3600seconds
12:00
- 90% 13% - - 0% 29% 0% 12% - 80° 3600seconds
13:00
- 90% 13% - - 0% 14% 0% 13% - 80° 3600seconds
14:00
- 89% 14% - - 0% 12% 0% 14% - 68° 3600seconds
15:00
- 83% 20% - - 0% 44% 0% 15% - 54° 3600seconds
16:00
- 78% 25% - - 0% 62% 0% 15% - 40° 3600seconds
17:00
- 72% 31% - - 0% 62% 0% 16% - 26° 3600seconds
18:00
- 68% 29% - - 0% 32% 0% 18% - 12° 3600seconds
19:00
- 63% 27% - - 0% 64% 0% 21% - -1.6° 3600seconds
20:00
- 59% 25% - - 0% 97% 0% 23% - -15° 3600seconds
21:00
- 46% 25% - - 0% 71% 0% 42% - -28° 0seconds
22:00
- 33% 25% - - 0% 49% 0% 61% - -39° 0seconds
23:00
- 20% 25% - - 0% 43% 0% 79% - -49° 0seconds
Sat, Aug 15 Sunrise 06:04 Sunset 18:54
24:00
- 17% 24% - - 0% 38% 0% 79% - -54° 0seconds
01:00
- 13% 22% - - 0% 36% 0% 79% - -54° 0seconds
02:00
- 10% 21% - - 0% 32% 0% 79% - -49° 0seconds
03:00
- 12% 23% - - 0% 34% 0% 74% - -39° 0seconds
04:00
- 13% 24% - - 0% 37% 0% 68% - -28° 0seconds
05:00
- 15% 26% - - 0% 33% 0% 63% - -15° 0seconds
06:00
- 15% 25% - - 0% 33% 0% 61% - -1.7° 0seconds
07:00
- 14% 23% - - 0% 8% 0% 59% - 12° 0seconds
08:00
- 14% 22% - - 0% 16% 0% 58% - 26° 0seconds
09:00
- 22% 23% - - 0% 10% 0% 59% - 40° 3600seconds
10:00
- 30% 25% - - 0% 7% 0% 61% - 54° 3600seconds
11:00
- 38% 26% - - 0% 8% 0% 63% - 67° 3600seconds
12:00
- 38% 25% - - 0% 10% 0% 62% - 80° 3600seconds
13:00
- 39% 23% - - 0% 25% 0% 61% - 80° 3600seconds
14:00
- 39% 22% - - 13% 18% 0% 59% - 67° 3600seconds
15:00
- 37% 26% - - 42% 16% 33% 61% - 54° 2400seconds
16:00
- 36% 31% - - 71% 14% 67% 64% - 40° 1200seconds
17:00
- 34% 35% - - 100% 11% 100% 66% - 26° 0seconds
18:00
- 31% 34% - - 100% 19% 87% 70% - 12° 0seconds
19:00
- 28% 34% - - 99% 27% 75% 75% - -1.8° 0seconds
20:00
- 25% 33% - - 99% 34% 62% 79% - -15° 0seconds
21:00
- 24% 34% - - 96% 46% 58% 82% - -28° 0seconds
22:00
- 22% 36% - - 93% 59% 54% 85% - -39° 0seconds
23:00
- 21% 37% - - 90% 71% 49% 87% - -49° 0seconds
Sun, Aug 16 Sunrise 06:05 Sunset 18:54
24:00
- 19% 36% - - 94% 65% 65% 88% - -55° 0seconds
01:00
- 18% 34% - - 97% 60% 81% 88% - -55° 0seconds
02:00
- 16% 33% - - 100% 54% 96% 89% - -49° 0seconds
03:00
- 16% 32% - - 100% 68% 98% 87% - -39° 0seconds
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

Forecast generated

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