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Rule Morning Frost

Muonio - Morning Frost - Finnish Lapland

Muonio, Lapland, Finland

Frost crystals on calm, cold mornings near sunrise

Currently

Real-time conditions
Soil Temperature-7.5°C
Dew Point-18.2°C (low dew point)
Wind Speed2.0m/s (calm conditions)
Cloud Cover5%

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/Helsinki
Next opportunity
Light Frost at Sunrise
Muonio
Mon, Mar 2 · 09:00–09:11 · 1h window
Low confidence
31%
❄️Frost Probability62%
Soil Temperature: -5.4°C
Dew Point: -5.1°C (low dew point)
Wind Speed: 1.2m/s (calm conditions)
Cloud Cover: 56%
thermometer-snow weather icon
Light Frost at Sunrise
Muonio
Tue, Mar 3 · 06:52–09:00
❄️Frost Probability:60-64%
Low
thermometer-snow weather icon
Light Frost
Muonio
Tue, Mar 3 · 09:00–09:07
❄️Frost Probability:63%
Low

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast tracks the extreme arctic frost conditions that make Finnish Lapland a winter photographer's paradise. We combine temperature, humidity, wind, and snow data to predict when the region's legendary frost phenomena will occur.

Finnish Lapland experiences frost conditions unlike anywhere else in accessible Europe. Temperatures routinely drop to -30°C or colder from December through February, creating frost phenomena that must be seen to be believed. The region's unique combination of humid air from the Atlantic meeting extreme cold creates the spectacular "tykkylumi" or crown snow phenomenon—where every tree branch becomes encased in thick layers of frost and snow.

What makes Finnish Lapland special for frost photography:

  • Tykkylumi crown snow - Trees completely transformed into white sculptures by accumulated frost and snow
  • Extreme cold tolerance - Consistent temperatures of -20°C to -40°C create reliable frost conditions
  • Ice flowers - Lake Inari and smaller water bodies develop crystalline ice formations
  • Frozen waterfalls - Waterfalls freeze into spectacular ice sculptures

Riisitunturi National Park near Kuusamo is world-famous for tykkylumi—every spruce tree on the fell tops becomes a ghostly white sentinel, transformed by weeks of accumulated frost. The phenomenon occurs when supercooled fog droplets freeze instantly on contact with trees, building up thick layers. Pallas-Yllästunturi offers similar conditions with the added drama of fell landscapes. At -30°C, even your breath creates instant frost crystals in the air, and any exposed water generates spectacular ice formations. The key is visiting during stable cold periods in midwinter—our forecast identifies when conditions favor crown snow accumulation and tracks visibility for photography.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/Helsinki
Time Window
Sunrise -45m to +90m
Frost Probability
≥ 60.0%
Wind Speed
≤ 1.5m/s
Sat, Feb 21
21:0054%1.4m/s
22:0054%1.1m/s
23:0052%1.8m/s
Sun, Feb 22
24:0055%1.4m/s
01:0055%1.2m/s
02:0055%1.3m/s
03:0055%1.1m/s
04:0061%1m/s
05:0065%1m/s
06:0065%1.1m/s
07:0058%1.2m/s
08:0054%1.3m/s
09:0058%1.1m/s
10:0055%1.5m/s
11:0069%1.5m/s
12:0073%1.6m/s
13:0073%1.6m/s
14:0073%1.5m/s
15:0069%1.3m/s
16:0069%1.3m/s
17:0069%1.5m/s
18:0069%1.7m/s
19:0067%2.1m/s
20:0067%2.1m/s
21:0067%2m/s
22:0067%1.9m/s
23:0059%1.8m/s
Mon, Feb 23
24:0061%1.6m/s
01:0061%1.4m/s
02:0061%1.5m/s
03:0059%1.8m/s
04:0059%1.7m/s
05:0061%1.6m/s
06:0061%1.5m/s
07:0061%1.7m/s
08:0061%1.7m/s
09:0055%1.6m/s
10:0054%1.3m/s
11:0058%0.87m/s
12:0060%0.71m/s
13:0061%0.69m/s
14:0071%0.71m/s
15:0071%0.75m/s
16:0065%0.83m/s
17:0069%0.95m/s
18:0058%1.1m/s
19:0058%1.3m/s
20:0058%1.4m/s
21:0055%1.4m/s
22:0055%1.4m/s
23:0055%1.4m/s
Tue, Feb 24
24:0055%1.4m/s
01:0055%1.4m/s
02:0054%1.4m/s
03:0054%1.4m/s
04:0054%1.5m/s
05:0054%1.6m/s
06:0054%1.7m/s
07:0054%1.5m/s
08:0054%1.5m/s
09:0054%1.5m/s
10:0055%1.5m/s
11:0061%1.3m/s
12:0073%1.1m/s
13:0073%0.96m/s
14:0073%1m/s
15:0065%0.82m/s
16:0063%0.79m/s
17:0054%0.84m/s
18:0054%0.9m/s
19:0054%1m/s
20:0054%0.95m/s
21:0054%0.94m/s
22:0058%1.1m/s
23:0069%1.1m/s
Wed, Feb 25
24:0069%0.96m/s
01:0069%1.2m/s
02:0069%0.91m/s
03:0061%1.1m/s
04:0055%1.3m/s
05:0054%1.4m/s
06:0052%1.8m/s
07:0052%2.2m/s
08:0052%2.6m/s
09:0050%2.8m/s
10:0050%3.1m/s
11:0050%3.4m/s
12:0050%3.8m/s
13:0052%4.2m/s
14:0052%4.6m/s
15:0048%4.8m/s
16:0048%4.9m/s
17:0048%5m/s
18:0048%4.8m/s
19:0048%4.5m/s
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Frost Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Europe/Helsinki
Dew Point
°C
Surface Temperature
°C
Temperature
°C
Time Window
Total Cloud Coverage
%
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Sun, Feb 22 Sunrise 08:14 Sunset 17:04
21:00
-18°C -7.5°C -18°C - 5% 0.01kPa
22:00
-19°C -7.5°C -18°C - 7% 0kPa
23:00
-20°C -7.5°C -20°C - 31% 0kPa
Mon, Feb 23 Sunrise 08:14 Sunset 17:04
24:00
-21°C -7.5°C -21°C - 35% 0kPa
01:00
-22°C -7.5°C -22°C - 35% 0kPa
02:00
-22°C -7.5°C -22°C - 35% 0kPa
03:00
-22°C -7.5°C -22°C - 35% 0kPa
04:00
-22°C -7.5°C -22°C - 36% 0kPa
05:00
-23°C -7.5°C -23°C - 36% 0kPa
06:00
-23°C -7.5°C -23°C - 37% 0kPa
07:00
-22°C -7.6°C -22°C - 37% 0kPa
08:00
-22°C -7.6°C -22°C - 36% 0kPa
09:00
-22°C -7.6°C -22°C - 66% 0kPa
10:00
-17°C -7.6°C -17°C - 91% 0kPa
11:00
-14°C -7.6°C -13°C - 95% 0.02kPa
12:00
-12°C -7.6°C -11°C - 86% 0.02kPa
13:00
-11°C -7.5°C -10°C - 65% 0.03kPa
14:00
-11°C -7.5°C -9.9°C - 20% 0.02kPa
15:00
-11°C -7.5°C -11°C - 7% 0.01kPa
16:00
-14°C -7.5°C -14°C - 10% 0.01kPa
17:00
-17°C -7.5°C -17°C - 8% 0kPa
18:00
-19°C -7.5°C -19°C - 51% 0kPa
19:00
-21°C -7.5°C -21°C - 54% 0kPa
20:00
-22°C -7.5°C -22°C - 57% 0kPa
21:00
-23°C -7.5°C -23°C - 62% 0kPa
22:00
-24°C -7.5°C -24°C - 66% 0kPa
23:00
-24°C -7.5°C -24°C - 68% 0kPa
Tue, Feb 24 Sunrise 08:10 Sunset 17:08
24:00
-25°C -7.5°C -25°C - 73% 0kPa
01:00
-25°C -7.5°C -25°C - 76% 0kPa
02:00
-26°C -7.5°C -26°C - 81% 0kPa
03:00
-26°C -7.5°C -26°C - 86% 0kPa
04:00
-26°C -7.6°C -26°C - 97% 0kPa
05:00
-26°C -7.6°C -26°C - 99% 0kPa
06:00
-26°C -7.6°C -26°C - 99% 0kPa
07:00
-26°C -7.6°C -26°C - 96% 0kPa
08:00
-26°C -7.6°C -26°C - 98% 0kPa
09:00
-25°C -7.7°C -25°C - 98% 0kPa
10:00
-19°C -7.7°C -19°C - 78% 0kPa
11:00
-16°C -7.7°C -16°C - 27% 0.01kPa
12:00
-14°C -7.7°C -13°C - 7% 0.02kPa
13:00
-13°C -7.7°C -12°C - 5% 0.03kPa
14:00
-12°C -7.6°C -11°C - 5% 0.03kPa
15:00
-12°C -7.6°C -12°C - 13% 0.01kPa
16:00
-15°C -7.6°C -14°C - 29% 0.01kPa
17:00
-17°C -7.6°C -17°C - 100% 0kPa
18:00
-17°C -7.6°C -17°C - 100% 0.01kPa
19:00
-18°C -7.6°C -17°C - 100% 0.01kPa
20:00
-18°C -7.6°C -17°C - 95% 0.01kPa
21:00
-19°C -7.6°C -19°C - 96% 0kPa
22:00
-20°C -7.6°C -20°C - 46% 0kPa
23:00
-22°C -7.6°C -22°C - 5% 0kPa
Wed, Feb 25 Sunrise 08:06 Sunset 17:12
24:00
-23°C -7.6°C -23°C - 5% 0kPa
01:00
-24°C -7.6°C -24°C - 5% 0kPa
02:00
-25°C -7.6°C -25°C - 5% 0kPa
03:00
-21°C -7.9°C -21°C - 34% 0kPa
04:00
-17°C -8.2°C -17°C - 63% 0kPa
05:00
-14°C -8.4°C -14°C - 93% 0.01kPa
06:00
-13°C -8.4°C -13°C - 95% 0.01kPa
07:00
-12°C -8.4°C -12°C - 98% 0.01kPa
08:00
-11°C -8.3°C -11°C - 100% 0.01kPa
09:00
-12°C -8.3°C -11°C - 100% 0.01kPa
10:00
-13°C -8.3°C -12°C - 100% 0.01kPa
11:00
-13°C -8.3°C -12°C - 100% 0.02kPa
12:00
-13°C -8.2°C -12°C - 100% 0.02kPa
13:00
-13°C -8.2°C -12°C - 100% 0.02kPa
14:00
-13°C -8.2°C -12°C - 100% 0.02kPa
15:00
-13°C -8.2°C -12°C - 100% 0.02kPa
16:00
-13°C -8.1°C -12°C - 100% 0.02kPa
17:00
-12°C -8.1°C -12°C - 100% 0.02kPa
18:00
-12°C -8.1°C -11°C - 100% 0.02kPa
19:00
-12°C -8°C -11°C - 100% 0.02kPa
20:00
-11°C -8°C -11°C - 100% 0.02kPa
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

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