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Rule Fog Hunter

Castle Combe - Fog Hunter - Cotswolds

Castle Combe, England, United Kingdom

Thick, moody fog for atmospheric forest and landscape shots

Currently

Real-time conditions
Dewpoint Spread5.5°C
Visibility24134 (Clear)
Relative Humidity68%
Wind Speed7.5m/s (moderate winds)

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/London
fog weather icon
Next opportunity
Moderate Fog
Castle Combe
Sat, Apr 25 · 22:00–23:00 · 1h window
Medium confidence
42%
🌫️Fog Probability72.7%
Dewpoint Spread: 0.5°C
Visibility: 24135 (Clear)
Relative Humidity: 97%
Wind Speed: 3.2m/s (calm conditions)
fog weather icon
Moderate Fog
Castle Combe
Mon, Apr 27 · 22:00–23:00
🌫️Fog Probability:67.2%
Low

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast tracks morning mist and fog conditions that transform the Cotswolds' gentle landscapes into atmospheric scenes worthy of a Constable painting. We monitor temperature inversions, humidity levels, and overnight cooling to predict when valley fog will blanket the honey-stone villages and rolling hills.

The Cotswolds' distinctive topography of shallow river valleys creates perfect conditions for radiation fog and valley mist. Cold air pools in valleys overnight, and when combined with moisture from the River Windrush and its tributaries, creates dreamy morning conditions that soften the already pastoral landscape.

What makes Cotswolds fog photography special:

  • Slad Valley inversions - Laurie Lee's famous valley fills with morning mist, with hilltop villages emerging as islands above the fog layer
  • Arlington Row mist - Bibury's iconic weavers' cottages partially obscured by dawn fog, with honey-stone glowing through the haze
  • Valley villages - Bourton-on-the-Water and Lower Slaughter with fog settled along their streams, stone bridges emerging from mist
  • Church tower beacons - Stow-on-the-Wold and Painswick church towers rising above fog blankets, marking village locations

The best fog photography occurs on calm, clear autumn and winter mornings (September-March) following cold nights. Slad Valley—immortalized in Laurie Lee's "Cider with Rosie"—is particularly reliable for valley fog, with viewpoints along the valley rim offering elevated perspectives. Arlington Row benefits from mist rising from the River Coln, creating dreamy morning compositions of England's most photographed street. Arrive before dawn to capture the transition from pre-dawn blue light through foggy golden hour. Fog typically burns off by mid-morning, creating a narrow window of opportunity.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
2matching hours in the next 95 hoursJump to next match
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/London
Fog Probability
≥ 60.0%
Mon, Apr 20
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Tue, Apr 21
24:000%
01:0035%
02:0050%
03:0067%
04:0047%
05:0050%
06:0074%
07:0044%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
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Wed, Apr 22
24:000%
01:000%
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07:000%
08:000%
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Thu, Apr 23
24:000%
01:000%
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03:000%
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06:000%
07:000%
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09:000%
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Fri, Apr 24
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
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18:000%
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Fog Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Europe/London
Clear Sky Probability (Ensemble)
%
Dew Point
°C
Rainfall
mm
Relative Humidity
%
Snowfall
cm
Solar Elevation
°
Temperature
°C
Total Precipitation
mm
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Visibility
m
Wind Gusts
m/s
Wind Speed
m/s
Tue, Apr 21 Sunrise 06:01 Sunset 20:15
20:00
27% 2.5°C 0mm 68% 0cm 1.8° 8°C 0mm 0.34kPa 24134m 13m/s 7.5m/s
21:00
51% 0.1°C 0mm 63% 0cm -7° 6.7°C 0mm 0.37kPa 24134m 14m/s 6.9m/s
22:00
76% -0.2°C 0mm 67% 0cm -15° 5.5°C 0mm 0.3kPa 24134m 14m/s 6.4m/s
23:00
78% 0.5°C 0mm 74% 0cm -21° 4.7°C 0mm 0.22kPa 24134m 15m/s 6.7m/s
Wed, Apr 22 Sunrise 06:01 Sunset 20:15
24:00
81% 0.7°C 0mm 79% 0cm -25° 3.9°C 0mm 0.17kPa 24135m 15m/s 6.8m/s
01:00
83% 0.8°C 0mm 83% 0cm -26° 3.4°C 0mm 0.13kPa 24134m 16m/s 7m/s
02:00
82% 0.9°C 0mm 86% 0cm -25° 3°C 0mm 0.1kPa 24135m 16m/s 6.8m/s
03:00
81% 1.3°C 0mm 90% 0cm -22° 2.8°C 0mm 0.08kPa 24134m 17m/s 7.4m/s
04:00
80% 1.6°C 0mm 92% 0cm -16° 2.7°C 0mm 0.06kPa 24135m 17m/s 6.6m/s
05:00
78% 1.8°C 0mm 95% 0cm -8.9° 2.5°C 0mm 0.04kPa 24134m 15m/s 5.5m/s
06:00
76% 1.7°C 0mm 96% 0cm -0.13° 2.3°C 0mm 0.03kPa 24135m 15m/s 5.9m/s
07:00
74% 2.2°C 0mm 92% 0cm 8.5° 3.3°C 0mm 0.06kPa 24134m 16m/s 6.4m/s
08:00
77% 3.4°C 0mm 86% 0cm 18° 5.6°C 0mm 0.13kPa 24134m 16m/s 7.9m/s
09:00
79% 5°C 0mm 81% 0cm 27° 8.1°C 0mm 0.21kPa 24134m 15m/s 8.2m/s
10:00
82% 5.5°C 0mm 74% 0cm 36° 10°C 0mm 0.33kPa 24135m 13m/s 8.2m/s
11:00
82% 5.9°C 0mm 69% 0cm 43° 12°C 0mm 0.43kPa 24134m 11m/s 8.3m/s
12:00
81% 6.1°C 0mm 64% 0cm 48° 13°C 0mm 0.54kPa 24134m 11m/s 8.1m/s
13:00
81% 5.9°C 0mm 60% 0cm 51° 14°C 0mm 0.63kPa 24135m 11m/s 8.1m/s
14:00
65% 5.8°C 0mm 57% 0cm 49° 14°C 0mm 0.69kPa 24135m 10m/s 7.9m/s
15:00
49% 6.8°C 0mm 60% 0cm 45° 14°C 0mm 0.65kPa 24135m 11m/s 8m/s
16:00
33% 7.2°C 0mm 63% 0cm 38° 14°C 0mm 0.6kPa 24135m 11m/s 7.6m/s
17:00
28% 6.9°C 0mm 64% 0cm 29° 14°C 0mm 0.55kPa 24135m 10m/s 6.7m/s
18:00
24% 6.2°C 0mm 66% 0cm 20° 12°C 0mm 0.49kPa 24134m 9.9m/s 6.3m/s
19:00
19% 5.2°C 0mm 68% 0cm 11° 11°C 0mm 0.41kPa 24134m 11m/s 6.2m/s
20:00
16% 3.5°C 0mm 67% 0cm 9.3°C 0mm 0.38kPa 24134m 12m/s 5.8m/s
21:00
12% 2.4°C 0mm 67% 0cm -6.8° 8.3°C 0mm 0.36kPa 24134m 12m/s 5.3m/s
22:00
9% 2.1°C 0mm 69% 0cm -14° 7.5°C 0mm 0.32kPa 24135m 13m/s 5.6m/s
23:00
10% 2.1°C 0mm 72% 0cm -20° 6.8°C 0mm 0.28kPa 24135m 13m/s 5.7m/s
Thu, Apr 23 Sunrise 05:58 Sunset 20:16
24:00
10% 1.7°C 0mm 73% 0cm -24° 6.1°C 0mm 0.25kPa 24135m 13m/s 5.4m/s
01:00
11% 1.2°C 0mm 76% 0cm -26° 5°C 0mm 0.21kPa 24134m 13m/s 5.2m/s
02:00
20% 0.9°C 0mm 81% 0cm -25° 4°C 0mm 0.16kPa 24135m 12m/s 4.8m/s
03:00
29% 0.9°C 0mm 83% 0cm -21° 3.5°C 0mm 0.13kPa 24135m 12m/s 4.7m/s
04:00
38% 1°C 0mm 86% 0cm -16° 3.1°C 0mm 0.11kPa 24135m 12m/s 4.4m/s
05:00
40% 1°C 0mm 89% 0cm -8.6° 2.7°C 0mm 0.08kPa 24135m 12m/s 4.3m/s
06:00
43% 1.2°C 0mm 92% 0cm 0.19° 2.4°C 0mm 0.06kPa 24135m 12m/s 3.9m/s
07:00
45% 1.8°C 0mm 88% 0cm 8.8° 3.6°C 0mm 0.1kPa 24135m 12m/s 4.3m/s
08:00
54% 3.3°C 0mm 82% 0cm 18° 6.2°C 0mm 0.17kPa 24135m 12m/s 5.4m/s
09:00
63% 4.7°C 0mm 76% 0cm 27° 8.7°C 0mm 0.27kPa 24134m 11m/s 6.1m/s
10:00
72% 5.7°C 0mm 70% 0cm 36° 11°C 0mm 0.38kPa 24135m 9.9m/s 6.5m/s
11:00
73% 6.3°C 0mm 66% 0cm 43° 12°C 0mm 0.49kPa 24135m 9.6m/s 6.8m/s
12:00
73% 6.5°C 0mm 62% 0cm 49° 14°C 0mm 0.59kPa 24135m 9.4m/s 7.1m/s
13:00
74% 6.5°C 0mm 59% 0cm 51° 14°C 0mm 0.67kPa 24134m 9.1m/s 7.1m/s
14:00
78% 6.7°C 0mm 58% 0cm 50° 15°C 0mm 0.73kPa 24135m 8.9m/s 7m/s
15:00
81% 6.7°C 0mm 56% 0cm 45° 15°C 0mm 0.76kPa 24135m 8.7m/s 6.8m/s
16:00
85% 8°C 0mm 61% 0cm 38° 15°C 0mm 0.68kPa 24134m 8.5m/s 6.2m/s
17:00
86% 9.1°C 0mm 66% 0cm 29° 15°C 0mm 0.58kPa 24135m 8.6m/s 5.7m/s
18:00
88% 8.9°C 0mm 70% 0cm 20° 14°C 0mm 0.5kPa 24134m 9.1m/s 5.6m/s
19:00
89% 8.4°C 0mm 75% 0cm 11° 13°C 0mm 0.37kPa 24134m 10m/s 5.1m/s
20:00
90% 7.4°C 0mm 82% 0cm 2.2° 10°C 0mm 0.22kPa 24134m 11m/s 4.2m/s
21:00
92% 6.6°C 0mm 88% 0cm -6.5° 8.6°C 0mm 0.14kPa 24134m 12m/s 4.6m/s
22:00
93% 5.5°C 0mm 86% 0cm -14° 7.6°C 0mm 0.14kPa 24134m 13m/s 5.2m/s
23:00
92% 4°C 0mm 86% 0cm -20° 6.2°C 0mm 0.14kPa 24135m 12m/s 4.7m/s
Fri, Apr 24 Sunrise 05:56 Sunset 20:18
24:00
92% 2.7°C 0mm 88% 0cm -24° 4.4°C 0mm 0.1kPa 24135m 11m/s 4m/s
01:00
91% 1.4°C 0mm 90% 0cm -26° 2.9°C 0mm 0.07kPa 24135m 11m/s 3.6m/s
02:00
92% 2°C 0mm 80% 0cm -25° 5.1°C 0mm 0.17kPa 24135m 9.6m/s 4.1m/s
03:00
92% 2.3°C 0mm 70% 0cm -21° 7.4°C 0mm 0.31kPa 24135m 8.4m/s 4.6m/s
04:00
93% 2.3°C 0mm 60% 0cm -16° 9.6°C 0mm 0.47kPa 24135m 7.3m/s 5.1m/s
05:00
92% 3.1°C 0mm 58% 0cm -8.3° 11°C 0mm 0.55kPa 24135m 6.8m/s 4.9m/s
06:00
92% 3.9°C 0mm 56% 0cm 0.44° 12°C 0mm 0.64kPa 24135m 6.3m/s 4.7m/s
07:00
91% 4.6°C 0mm 53% 0cm 9.1° 14°C 0mm 0.74kPa 24135m 5.7m/s 4.5m/s
08:00
88% 5.1°C 0mm 54% 0cm 18° 14°C 0mm 0.75kPa 24135m 5.7m/s 4.6m/s
09:00
85% 5.7°C 0mm 55% 0cm 28° 15°C 0mm 0.75kPa 24135m 5.7m/s 4.7m/s
10:00
82% 6.2°C 0mm 56% 0cm 36° 15°C 0mm 0.75kPa 24135m 5.7m/s 4.7m/s
11:00
80% 7.1°C 0mm 63% 0cm 44° 14°C 0mm 0.6kPa 24135m 6m/s 4.2m/s
12:00
79% 7.9°C 0mm 70% 0cm 49° 13°C 0mm 0.46kPa 24135m 6.4m/s 3.7m/s
13:00
77% 8.4°C 0mm 77% 0cm 51° 12°C 0mm 0.33kPa 24135m 6.7m/s 3.2m/s
14:00
73% 6.8°C 0mm 79% 0cm 50° 10°C 0mm 0.26kPa 24135m 6.4m/s 3.3m/s
15:00
68% 5.2°C 0mm 81% 0cm 45° 8.3°C 0mm 0.21kPa 24135m 6.1m/s 3.3m/s
16:00
64% 3.5°C 0mm 83% 0cm 38° 6.2°C 0mm 0.16kPa 24135m 5.7m/s 3.4m/s
17:00
62% 2.6°C 0mm 82% 0cm 30° 5.4°C 0mm 0.16kPa 24135m 4.6m/s 3.1m/s
18:00
60% 1.8°C 0mm 82% 0cm 21° 4.6°C 0mm 0.15kPa 24135m 3.5m/s 2.8m/s
19:00
58% 0.9°C 0mm 81% 0cm 11° 3.7°C 0mm 0.15kPa 24135m 2.4m/s 2.5m/s
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

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