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Rule Fog Hunter

Castle Combe - Fog Hunter - Cotswolds

Castle Combe, England, United Kingdom

Thick, moody fog for atmospheric forest and landscape shots

Currently

Real-time conditions
Dewpoint Spread0.9°C
Visibility24134 (Clear)
Relative Humidity94%
Wind Speed2.9m/s (calm conditions)

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/London
fog weather icon
Next opportunity
Moderate Fog
Castle Combe
Mon, Apr 13 · 22:00–24:00 · 2h window
Low confidence
32%
🌫️Fog Probability62.7-74.6%
Dewpoint Spread: 0.5°C
Visibility: 24135 (Clear)
Relative Humidity: 96%
Wind Speed: 1.0m/s (calm conditions)
fog weather icon
Moderate Fog
Castle Combe
Wed, Apr 15 · 16:00–17:00
🌫️Fog Probability:61.7%
Low
fog weather icon
Moderate Fog
Castle Combe
Wed, Apr 15 · 18:00–19:00
🌫️Fog Probability:61.1%
Low
fog weather icon
Moderate Fog at Sunset
Castle Combe
Wed, Apr 15 · 19:00–21:00
🌫️Fog Probability:62.7-74.6%
Low
fog weather icon
Moderate Fog
Castle Combe
Wed, Apr 15 · 21:00–02:00
🌫️Fog Probability:62.7-74.6%
Low

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast tracks morning mist and fog conditions that transform the Cotswolds' gentle landscapes into atmospheric scenes worthy of a Constable painting. We monitor temperature inversions, humidity levels, and overnight cooling to predict when valley fog will blanket the honey-stone villages and rolling hills.

The Cotswolds' distinctive topography of shallow river valleys creates perfect conditions for radiation fog and valley mist. Cold air pools in valleys overnight, and when combined with moisture from the River Windrush and its tributaries, creates dreamy morning conditions that soften the already pastoral landscape.

What makes Cotswolds fog photography special:

  • Slad Valley inversions - Laurie Lee's famous valley fills with morning mist, with hilltop villages emerging as islands above the fog layer
  • Arlington Row mist - Bibury's iconic weavers' cottages partially obscured by dawn fog, with honey-stone glowing through the haze
  • Valley villages - Bourton-on-the-Water and Lower Slaughter with fog settled along their streams, stone bridges emerging from mist
  • Church tower beacons - Stow-on-the-Wold and Painswick church towers rising above fog blankets, marking village locations

The best fog photography occurs on calm, clear autumn and winter mornings (September-March) following cold nights. Slad Valley—immortalized in Laurie Lee's "Cider with Rosie"—is particularly reliable for valley fog, with viewpoints along the valley rim offering elevated perspectives. Arlington Row benefits from mist rising from the River Coln, creating dreamy morning compositions of England's most photographed street. Arrive before dawn to capture the transition from pre-dawn blue light through foggy golden hour. Fog typically burns off by mid-morning, creating a narrow window of opportunity.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 91 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/London
Fog Probability
≥ 60.0%
Wed, Apr 8
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
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14:000%
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23:000%
Thu, Apr 9
24:000%
01:000%
02:0030%
03:0030%
04:0046%
05:0048%
06:0044%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
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13:000%
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15:000%
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Fri, Apr 10
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
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23:000%
Sat, Apr 11
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
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20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Sun, Apr 12
24:000%
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Fog Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Europe/London
Clear Sky Probability (Ensemble)
%
Dew Point
°C
Rainfall
mm
Relative Humidity
%
Snowfall
cm
Solar Elevation
°
Temperature
°C
Total Precipitation
mm
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Visibility
m
Wind Gusts
m/s
Wind Speed
m/s
Thu, Apr 9 Sunrise 06:26 Sunset 19:55
02:00
89% 8.7°C 0mm 94% 0cm -30° 9.6°C 0mm 0.07kPa 24134m 8.5m/s 2.9m/s
03:00
83% 8.5°C 0mm 95% 0cm -26° 9.3°C 0mm 0.06kPa 24135m 9.4m/s 3.1m/s
04:00
77% 8.4°C 0mm 95% 0cm -21° 9.1°C 0mm 0.06kPa 24135m 7.8m/s 2.8m/s
05:00
54% 8.5°C 0mm 96% 0cm -13° 9.1°C 0mm 0.05kPa 24135m 9.3m/s 3.2m/s
06:00
32% 8.2°C 0mm 96% 0cm -4.7° 8.8°C 0mm 0.05kPa 24134m 9.2m/s 3m/s
07:00
9% 7.8°C 0mm 92% 0cm 4.5° 9°C 0mm 0.09kPa 24134m 11m/s 4.3m/s
08:00
6% 7.3°C 0mm 86% 0cm 14° 9.4°C 0mm 0.16kPa 24134m 11m/s 4.2m/s
09:00
3% 7.5°C 0mm 82% 0cm 23° 10°C 0mm 0.23kPa 24135m 11m/s 5.5m/s
10:00
0% 6.7°C 0mm 74% 0cm 31° 11°C 0mm 0.34kPa 24134m 11m/s 6.6m/s
11:00
0% 7.4°C 0mm 76% 0cm 39° 11°C 0mm 0.32kPa 24135m 11m/s 6.9m/s
12:00
0% 9.4°C 0mm 82% 0cm 44° 12°C 0mm 0.25kPa 24135m 11m/s 7.4m/s
13:00
0% 8.9°C 0mm 86% 0cm 46° 11°C 0mm 0.19kPa 24135m 12m/s 8.1m/s
14:00
0% 7.3°C 0mm 79% 0cm 45° 11°C 0mm 0.27kPa 24135m 11m/s 7.2m/s
15:00
0% 7.1°C 0mm 78% 0cm 41° 11°C 0mm 0.28kPa 24134m 12m/s 7.7m/s
16:00
0% 6.3°C 0mm 74% 0cm 34° 11°C 0mm 0.34kPa 24135m 10m/s 7.7m/s
17:00
0% 5.5°C 0mm 72% 0cm 26° 10°C 0.06mm 0.34kPa 24134m 10m/s 7.5m/s
18:00
0% 5.4°C 0mm 76% 0cm 17° 9.5°C 0.13mm 0.29kPa 24134m 9.8m/s 6.9m/s
19:00
0% 4.5°C 0mm 77% 0cm 7.8° 8.3°C 0.19mm 0.25kPa 24135m 10m/s 6.4m/s
20:00
24% 2.5°C 0mm 73% 0cm -1.3° 7°C 0mm 0.27kPa 24135m 11m/s 6.2m/s
21:00
48% 1.4°C 0mm 75% 0cm -10° 5.5°C 0mm 0.23kPa 24134m 9m/s 4.1m/s
22:00
72% 1.2°C 0mm 78% 0cm -18° 4.8°C 0mm 0.19kPa 24134m 8.5m/s 3.9m/s
23:00
65% 0.7°C 0mm 76% 0cm -24° 4.5°C 0mm 0.2kPa 24135m 8.6m/s 4.1m/s
Fri, Apr 10 Sunrise 06:26 Sunset 19:55
24:00
57% 0.2°C 0mm 74% 0cm -29° 4.5°C 0mm 0.22kPa 24134m 9.5m/s 4.3m/s
01:00
50% -0.2°C 0mm 70% 0cm -31° 4.8°C 0mm 0.26kPa 24135m 9.7m/s 4.3m/s
02:00
34% -0.5°C 0mm 69% 0cm -30° 4.8°C 0mm 0.27kPa 24134m 8.6m/s 3.5m/s
03:00
17% -0.6°C 0mm 69% 0cm -26° 4.6°C 0mm 0.26kPa 24134m 8m/s 2.9m/s
04:00
1% -0.7°C 0mm 70% 0cm -20° 4.3°C 0mm 0.25kPa 24135m 6m/s 2m/s
05:00
1% -0.8°C 0mm 70% 0cm -13° 4.1°C 0mm 0.24kPa 24134m 1.2m/s 1.1m/s
06:00
0% -0.8°C 0mm 70% 0cm -4.4° 4.2°C 0mm 0.25kPa 24134m 1.2m/s 1.3m/s
07:00
0% 0°C 0mm 74% 0cm 4.8° 4.2°C 0mm 0.22kPa 24135m 0.82m/s 0.84m/s
08:00
0% 0.2°C 0mm 71% 0cm 14° 5°C 0mm 0.25kPa 24134m 0.51m/s 0.68m/s
09:00
0% 0.3°C 0mm 68% 0cm 23° 5.8°C 0mm 0.3kPa 24134m 1.2m/s 1.1m/s
10:00
0% 0.6°C 0mm 65% 0cm 32° 6.8°C 0mm 0.35kPa 24135m 2.9m/s 2.4m/s
11:00
0% 0.7°C 0mm 63% 0cm 39° 7.3°C 0mm 0.38kPa 24135m 4.3m/s 3.5m/s
12:00
0% 1.1°C 0mm 61% 0cm 44° 8°C 0mm 0.41kPa 24134m 5.4m/s 4.5m/s
13:00
0% 1.3°C 0mm 62% 0cm 47° 8.1°C 0mm 0.41kPa 24134m 6m/s 4.8m/s
14:00
0% 1.7°C 0.02mm 65% 0cm 45° 8°C 0mm 0.38kPa 24134m 6.7m/s 5.5m/s
15:00
0% 2.4°C 0.06mm 72% 0cm 41° 7.1°C 0.06mm 0.28kPa 24134m 6.1m/s 4.1m/s
16:00
0% 2.6°C 0mm 70% 0cm 34° 7.8°C 0.13mm 0.32kPa 24134m 6.7m/s 4.2m/s
17:00
0% 3°C 0.01mm 73% 0cm 26° 7.6°C 0.13mm 0.28kPa 24134m 7.3m/s 5.3m/s
18:00
0% 3.8°C 0.05mm 85% 0cm 17° 6.2°C 0.19mm 0.14kPa 24135m 7.7m/s 5.8m/s
19:00
0% 4.2°C 0.01mm 91% 0cm 8.1° 5.6°C 0.25mm 0.08kPa 24135m 5.7m/s 4.1m/s
20:00
0% 4.1°C 0mm 93% 0cm -0.99° 5.2°C 0mm 0.06kPa 24135m 8.2m/s 4.8m/s
21:00
0% 4°C 0mm 94% 0cm -9.9° 4.8°C 0mm 0.05kPa 24134m 14m/s 5.6m/s
22:00
0% 3.8°C 0mm 93% 0cm -18° 4.9°C 0mm 0.06kPa 24135m 17m/s 6.7m/s
23:00
0% 4.1°C 0mm 90% 0cm -24° 5.7°C 0mm 0.1kPa 24134m 19m/s 7.8m/s
Sat, Apr 11 Sunrise 06:24 Sunset 19:56
24:00
0% 4.7°C 0mm 88% 0cm -28° 6.6°C 0mm 0.12kPa 24135m 19m/s 8.4m/s
01:00
0% 5.9°C 0mm 88% 0cm -30° 7.8°C 0mm 0.13kPa 24134m 18m/s 8.1m/s
02:00
0% 7°C 0mm 87% 0cm -29° 8.9°C 0mm 0.14kPa 24134m 17m/s 7.7m/s
03:00
0% 7.2°C 0.04mm 90% 0cm -26° 8.7°C 0mm 0.11kPa 24134m 15m/s 7.5m/s
04:00
0% 7.7°C 0.11mm 92% 0cm -20° 9°C 0.06mm 0.09kPa 24135m 14m/s 6.8m/s
05:00
0% 5.3°C 0.3mm 92% 0cm -13° 6.6°C 0.69mm 0.08kPa 23668m 12m/s 9m/s
06:00
0% 4°C 0.54mm 93% 0cm -4.1° 5.1°C 1.4mm 0.06kPa 16810m 14m/s 6.7m/s
07:00
0% 4.1°C 0.18mm 93% 0cm 5.1° 5.2°C 1.7mm 0.06kPa 24135m 11m/s 5.6m/s
08:00
0% 3.2°C 0.12mm 80% 0cm 14° 6.5°C 1.1mm 0.2kPa 24135m 12m/s 6.4m/s
09:00
0% 1.9°C 0.06mm 66% 0cm 24° 7.8°C 0.6mm 0.36kPa 24135m 12m/s 7.2m/s
10:00
0% 0.1°C 0mm 53% 0cm 32° 9.1°C 0.06mm 0.54kPa 24135m 13m/s 8m/s
11:00
0% 1.3°C 0mm 62% 0cm 39° 8.2°C 0.13mm 0.41kPa 23407m 14m/s 8.7m/s
12:00
0% 2.4°C 0mm 71% 0cm 45° 7.4°C 0.19mm 0.3kPa 22680m 15m/s 9.4m/s
13:00
0% 3.2°C 0mm 79% 0cm 47° 6.5°C 0.25mm 0.2kPa 21952m 17m/s 10m/s
14:00
12% 3°C 0mm 81% 0cm 46° 6°C 0.19mm 0.18kPa 22680m 16m/s 9.3m/s
15:00
25% 2.9°C 0mm 83% 0cm 41° 5.5°C 0.13mm 0.15kPa 23407m 16m/s 8.6m/s
16:00
37% 2.7°C 0mm 85% 0cm 35° 5°C 0.06mm 0.13kPa 24135m 16m/s 7.8m/s
17:00
39% 2.6°C 0mm 84% 0cm 27° 5.2°C 0.06mm 0.14kPa 24135m 16m/s 8m/s
18:00
40% 2.6°C 0mm 83% 0cm 18° 5.3°C 0.06mm 0.16kPa 24135m 16m/s 8.2m/s
19:00
42% 2.6°C 0mm 81% 0cm 8.3° 5.5°C 0.06mm 0.17kPa 24135m 16m/s 8.4m/s
20:00
55% 2.4°C 0mm 80% 0cm -0.67° 5.4°C 0.04mm 0.18kPa 24135m 16m/s 8.5m/s
21:00
67% 2.1°C 0mm 80% 0cm -9.7° 5.4°C 0.02mm 0.18kPa 24135m 16m/s 8.5m/s
22:00
80% 1.9°C 0mm 79% 0cm -17° 5.3°C 0mm 0.19kPa 24135m 16m/s 8.6m/s
23:00
79% 2.2°C 0mm 80% 0cm -24° 5.4°C 0mm 0.18kPa 24135m 16m/s 8.8m/s
Sun, Apr 12 Sunrise 06:22 Sunset 19:58
24:00
79% 2.6°C 0mm 81% 0cm -28° 5.5°C 0mm 0.17kPa 24135m 16m/s 9m/s
01:00
78% 2.9°C 0mm 83% 0cm -30° 5.6°C 0mm 0.16kPa 24135m 16m/s 9.1m/s
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

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