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Rule Fog Hunter

Fog Hunter Forecast for Bourton-on-the-Water, Cotswolds

Bourton on the Water, England, United Kingdom

Low stone bridges cross the River Windrush through the village centre, linking honey-stone facades, greens and waterside paths.

Currently

Real-time conditions
Dewpoint Spread29.0°C
Visibility24135 (Clear)
Relative Humidity17%
Wind Speed5.0m/s (moderate winds)

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/London

No opportunities in the next 14 days

See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.

Most common blockers (95-hour forecast)

  • Fog Probability100% of hours

How this forecast is evaluated

See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Fog Hunter conditions across Cotswolds. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Bourton-on-the-Water.

Explore Fog Hunter conditions across Cotswolds →

Recorded match history

Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Bourton-on-the-Water during the last 365 days.

Last 30 days
0
recorded matching windows
Last 90 days
1
recorded matching window · 35% average confidence
Last 365 days
3
recorded matching windows · 59% average confidence

Only 3 completed matches are recorded in the last 365 days—insufficient history to identify a reliable typical start time or month.

These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.

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95-hour requirements breakdown

When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 95-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/London
Fog Probability
≥ 75.0%
Wed, Aug 12
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Thu, Aug 13
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Fri, Aug 14
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Sat, Aug 15
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Sun, Aug 16
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Fog Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Europe/London
Clear Sky Probability (Ensemble)
%
Dew Point
°C
Rainfall
mm
Relative Humidity
%
Snowfall
cm
Solar Elevation
°
Temperature
°C
Total Precipitation
mm
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Visibility
m
Wind Gusts
m/s
Wind Speed
m/s
Thu, Aug 13 Sunrise 05:48 Sunset 20:34
15:00
97% 7.1°C 0mm 17% 0cm 47° 36°C 0mm 5kPa 24135m 6.5m/s 5m/s
16:00
98% 6.7°C 0mm 16% 0cm 40° 36°C 0mm 5kPa 24134m 6.4m/s 6.4m/s
17:00
91% 7°C 0mm 17% 0cm 32° 36°C 0mm 4.8kPa 24134m 6.5m/s 6.7m/s
18:00
83% 8°C 0mm 19% 0cm 22° 35°C 0mm 4.4kPa 24134m 5.9m/s 6m/s
19:00
76% 9.5°C 0mm 24% 0cm 13° 33°C 0mm 3.8kPa 24134m 6.4m/s 5.5m/s
20:00
67% 9.8°C 0mm 31% 0cm 4.3° 29°C 0mm 2.7kPa 24134m 8.9m/s 4.8m/s
21:00
57% 11°C 0mm 41% 0cm -4.2° 25°C 0mm 1.9kPa 24134m 9.9m/s 4.2m/s
22:00
48% 12°C 0mm 47% 0cm -12° 24°C 0mm 1.6kPa 24135m 9.7m/s 4.5m/s
23:00
51% 13°C 0mm 57% 0cm -18° 22°C 0mm 1.1kPa 24134m 7.9m/s 3.4m/s
Fri, Aug 14 Sunrise 05:48 Sunset 20:34
24:00
55% 13°C 0mm 64% 0cm -22° 20°C 0mm 0.84kPa 24135m 7.5m/s 3.1m/s
01:00
58% 14°C 0mm 72% 0cm -24° 19°C 0mm 0.63kPa 24135m 5.1m/s 2.6m/s
02:00
66% 15°C 0mm 78% 0cm -23° 19°C 0mm 0.47kPa 24134m 2.7m/s 2.2m/s
03:00
74% 15°C 0mm 83% 0cm -20° 18°C 0mm 0.35kPa 24135m 2.1m/s 2.1m/s
04:00
82% 15°C 0mm 87% 0cm -14° 18°C 0mm 0.26kPa 24134m 2.6m/s 2.1m/s
05:00
76% 15°C 0mm 88% 0cm -7.4° 17°C 0mm 0.22kPa 24135m 2.7m/s 2.2m/s
06:00
70% 15°C 0mm 88% 0cm 17°C 0mm 0.23kPa 24134m 2.2m/s 2.1m/s
07:00
64% 14°C 0mm 79% 0cm 9.5° 18°C 0mm 0.44kPa 24134m 5.3m/s 1.7m/s
08:00
48% 14°C 0mm 65% 0cm 19° 21°C 0mm 0.85kPa 24135m 5m/s 2.7m/s
09:00
31% 13°C 0mm 55% 0cm 28° 23°C 0mm 1.3kPa 24134m 5.1m/s 3.5m/s
10:00
15% 13°C 0mm 47% 0cm 37° 25°C 0mm 1.6kPa 24135m 4.8m/s 3.9m/s
11:00
14% 12°C 0mm 40% 0cm 44° 27°C 0mm 2.1kPa 24135m 4.7m/s 4.1m/s
12:00
13% 11°C 0mm 35% 0cm 50° 28°C 0mm 2.4kPa 24135m 4.7m/s 4.1m/s
13:00
12% 11°C 0mm 32% 0cm 52° 29°C 0mm 2.8kPa 24134m 4.8m/s 4.1m/s
14:00
9% 11°C 0mm 30% 0cm 51° 30°C 0mm 3kPa 24134m 4.5m/s 3.9m/s
15:00
6% 11°C 0mm 29% 0cm 47° 31°C 0mm 3.1kPa 24134m 4.6m/s 3.8m/s
16:00
3% 11°C 0mm 30% 0cm 40° 31°C 0mm 3.1kPa 24135m 4.2m/s 3.3m/s
17:00
2% 11°C 0mm 30% 0cm 31° 31°C 0mm 3.2kPa 24135m 4.3m/s 2.9m/s
18:00
1% 13°C 0mm 35% 0cm 22° 30°C 0mm 2.8kPa 24135m 4.7m/s 5.8m/s
19:00
0% 15°C 0mm 49% 0cm 13° 26°C 0mm 1.7kPa 24135m 7.6m/s 5.7m/s
20:00
0% 15°C 0mm 57% 0cm 4.1° 25°C 0mm 1.3kPa 24135m 8.7m/s 6.2m/s
21:00
1% 15°C 0mm 72% 0cm -4.5° 20°C 0.06mm 0.68kPa 24135m 10m/s 6.3m/s
22:00
1% 13°C 0mm 70% 0cm -12° 18°C 0.06mm 0.62kPa 24135m 11m/s 6.2m/s
23:00
1% 12°C 0mm 70% 0cm -18° 17°C 0.06mm 0.6kPa 24134m 10m/s 5.3m/s
Sat, Aug 15 Sunrise 05:50 Sunset 20:32
24:00
0% 12°C 0mm 72% 0cm -22° 17°C 0.06mm 0.53kPa 24134m 9.9m/s 5.1m/s
01:00
0% 11°C 0mm 74% 0cm -24° 16°C 0.19mm 0.46kPa 24135m 10m/s 5.3m/s
02:00
3% 11°C 0mm 73% 0cm -23° 15°C 0mm 0.47kPa 24135m 11m/s 6.1m/s
03:00
6% 10°C 0mm 74% 0cm -20° 15°C 0mm 0.44kPa 24134m 11m/s 6m/s
04:00
9% 11°C 0mm 77% 0cm -15° 15°C 0mm 0.39kPa 24134m 11m/s 5.7m/s
05:00
10% 11°C 0mm 77% 0cm -7.7° 15°C 0mm 0.39kPa 24135m 11m/s 5.8m/s
06:00
12% 11°C 0mm 78% 0cm 0.83° 15°C 0mm 0.39kPa 24134m 10m/s 5.8m/s
07:00
13% 11°C 0mm 77% 0cm 9.3° 15°C 0mm 0.39kPa 24135m 9.8m/s 5.8m/s
08:00
26% 11°C 0mm 74% 0cm 18° 16°C 0mm 0.47kPa 24135m 9.3m/s 6.8m/s
09:00
39% 11°C 0mm 63% 0cm 28° 18°C 0mm 0.77kPa 24134m 8.4m/s 7m/s
10:00
52% 9.9°C 0mm 52% 0cm 36° 20°C 0mm 1.1kPa 24134m 7.5m/s 6.9m/s
11:00
55% 9.3°C 0mm 45% 0cm 44° 22°C 0mm 1.4kPa 24135m 6.7m/s 6.4m/s
12:00
58% 8.7°C 0mm 40% 0cm 49° 23°C 0mm 1.7kPa 24135m 6.2m/s 6m/s
13:00
61% 8°C 0mm 35% 0cm 52° 24°C 0mm 2kPa 24135m 5.7m/s 5.7m/s
14:00
63% 7.5°C 0mm 32% 0cm 51° 25°C 0mm 2.2kPa 24134m 5.4m/s 5.6m/s
15:00
65% 7.1°C 0mm 31% 0cm 46° 25°C 0mm 2.2kPa 24134m 5.4m/s 5.9m/s
16:00
67% 6.6°C 0mm 30% 0cm 39° 25°C 0mm 2.2kPa 24134m 5.1m/s 6m/s
17:00
63% 6.2°C 0mm 30% 0cm 31° 25°C 0mm 2.2kPa 24134m 5m/s 6.4m/s
18:00
60% 6°C 0mm 32% 0cm 22° 24°C 0mm 2kPa 24135m 5.3m/s 6.7m/s
19:00
56% 5.7°C 0mm 36% 0cm 13° 22°C 0mm 1.6kPa 24134m 6.5m/s 7m/s
20:00
50% 4.9°C 0mm 40% 0cm 3.8° 19°C 0mm 1.3kPa 24134m 9.3m/s 6.4m/s
21:00
44% 5.7°C 0mm 51% 0cm -4.8° 16°C 0mm 0.88kPa 24134m 9.9m/s 6m/s
22:00
38% 6.3°C 0mm 60% 0cm -12° 14°C 0mm 0.63kPa 24134m 9.9m/s 5.1m/s
23:00
38% 7.4°C 0mm 70% 0cm -18° 13°C 0mm 0.44kPa 24134m 9.1m/s 4m/s
Sun, Aug 16 Sunrise 05:51 Sunset 20:30
24:00
37% 7.8°C 0mm 76% 0cm -22° 12°C 0mm 0.34kPa 24135m 6.5m/s 2.7m/s
01:00
37% 8°C 0mm 79% 0cm -24° 11°C 0mm 0.28kPa 24135m 5.7m/s 2.5m/s
02:00
34% 8.2°C 0mm 71% 0cm -23° 13°C 0mm 0.44kPa 24135m 5.1m/s 2.8m/s
03:00
31% 8.2°C 0mm 63% 0cm -20° 15°C 0mm 0.63kPa 24135m 4.4m/s 3m/s
04:00
28% 8°C 0mm 55% 0cm -15° 17°C 0mm 0.86kPa 24135m 3.7m/s 3.3m/s
05:00
22% 7.4°C 0mm 47% 0cm -7.9° 19°C 0mm 1.1kPa 24135m 3.5m/s 3.2m/s
06:00
17% 6.3°C 0mm 39% 0cm 0.63° 21°C 0mm 1.5kPa 24135m 3.3m/s 3.1m/s
07:00
11% 4.6°C 0mm 31% 0cm 9.1° 23°C 0mm 1.9kPa 24135m 3.1m/s 3m/s
08:00
11% 4.4°C 0mm 29% 0cm 18° 23°C 0mm 2kPa 24135m 3.1m/s 3.2m/s
09:00
10% 4.1°C 0mm 28% 0cm 27° 24°C 0mm 2.1kPa 24135m 3.2m/s 3.3m/s
10:00
10% 3.8°C 0mm 26% 0cm 36° 24°C 0mm 2.3kPa 24135m 3.2m/s 3.5m/s
11:00
9% 4.1°C 0mm 28% 0cm 44° 23°C 0mm 2.1kPa 24135m 2.8m/s 2.7m/s
12:00
8% 4.3°C 0mm 31% 0cm 49° 22°C 0mm 1.9kPa 24135m 2.3m/s 2m/s
13:00
7% 4.5°C 0mm 33% 0cm 52° 22°C 0mm 1.7kPa 24135m 1.8m/s 1.2m/s
14:00
10% 5°C 0mm 37% 0cm 51° 20°C 0mm 1.5kPa 24135m 3.3m/s 2m/s
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

How this forecast is made

Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.

The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.

Forecast generated

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