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Rule Fog Hunter

Mustafapaşa - Fog Hunter - Cappadocia

Mustafapaşa, Nevşehir Province, Türkiye

Thick, moody fog for atmospheric forest and landscape shots

Currently

Real-time conditions
Dewpoint Spread10.7°C
Visibility18685 (Clear)
Relative Humidity48%
Wind Speed4.5m/s (calm conditions)

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/Istanbul
fog weather icon
Next opportunity
Dense Fog
Mustafapaşa
Mon, Apr 20 · 03:00–05:00 · 2h window
High confidence
81%
🌫️Fog Probability83.5-88.6%
Dewpoint Spread: 0.4°C
Visibility: 24135 (Clear)
Relative Humidity: 98%
Wind Speed: 2.5m/s (calm conditions)
fog weather icon
Dense Fog at Sunrise
Mustafapaşa
Mon, Apr 20 · 05:00–07:00
🌫️Fog Probability:66.7-88.6%
Medium

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast predicts when temperature inversions and fog conditions create ethereal scenes in Cappadocia's volcanic valleys. We track overnight cooling, humidity, wind speed, and topography to identify when fog fills valleys between fairy chimneys while hot air balloons and rock formations emerge above.

Cappadocia's distinctive topography—deep volcanic valleys carved between fairy chimney formations and elevated rock citadels—creates perfect conditions for fog inversions. The combination of hot air balloons floating through mist layers, ancient cave dwellings emerging from fog, and fairy chimneys rising like islands from a sea of white creates photography opportunities found nowhere else on earth.

What makes Cappadocia fog photography special:

  • Balloons through mist - Hot air balloons emerging from or floating through fog layers at dawn create magical compositions
  • Fairy chimney islands - Tall rock formations piercing fog-filled valleys while their bases remain hidden
  • Castle rock views - Uçhisar and Ortahisar castles rise above fog inversions for elevated perspective shots
  • Underground city atmosphere - Fog pooling around ancient Derinkuyu and other underground city entrances adds mystery

Göreme valley becomes otherworldly when fog fills the spaces between fairy chimneys while balloons ascend through mist layers—the combination of geological wonder, atmospheric conditions, and colorful balloons is unique globally. Uçhisar Castle's 60-meter rock fortress provides elevated views above fog inversions, with fairy chimney valleys disappearing into white below. Rose Valley and Love Valley develop atmospheric mystery when fog drifts through their distinctive formations at dawn. Çavuşin's abandoned cliff village appears even more ghostly when fog shrouds its lower levels. Pigeon Valley's hundreds of carved dovecotes emerge from mist like secrets being revealed. Best conditions occur on clear, calm autumn and winter nights when valley temperatures drop while elevated areas remain clear. Early morning is crucial—fog typically burns off within hours of sunrise as temperatures rise.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
4matching hours in the next 95 hoursJump to next match
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/Istanbul
Fog Probability
≥ 60.0%
Fri, Apr 17
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Sat, Apr 18
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Sun, Apr 19
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:0035%
11:0034%
12:0031%
13:0024%
14:0014%
15:0017%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:0043%
23:0043%
Mon, Apr 20
24:000%
01:0043%
02:0057%
03:0084%
04:0089%
05:0089%
06:0067%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
15:000%
16:000%
17:000%
18:000%
19:000%
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Tue, Apr 21
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
04:000%
05:000%
06:000%
07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
10:000%
11:000%
12:000%
13:000%
14:000%
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Fog Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Europe/Istanbul
Clear Sky Probability (Ensemble)
%
Dew Point
°C
Rainfall
mm
Relative Humidity
%
Snowfall
cm
Solar Elevation
°
Temperature
°C
Total Precipitation
mm
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Visibility
m
Wind Gusts
m/s
Wind Speed
m/s
Sat, Apr 18 Sunrise 06:00 Sunset 19:19
16:00
0% 3°C 0.02mm 48% 0cm 38° 14°C 0.13mm 0.81kPa 18685m 6.2m/s 4.5m/s
17:00
0% 3.7°C 0mm 54% 0cm 26° 13°C 0.5mm 0.68kPa 13181m 5.4m/s 4.1m/s
18:00
0% 4.1°C 0.02mm 57% 0cm 15° 12°C 0.81mm 0.61kPa 22291m 4.9m/s 3.2m/s
19:00
0% 5°C 0mm 64% 0cm 3.2° 12°C 1.3mm 0.49kPa 9525m 2.3m/s 1m/s
20:00
0% 5.5°C 0.16mm 71% 0cm -8.3° 11°C 1.8mm 0.38kPa 15532m 2m/s 1.6m/s
21:00
0% 6.2°C 0.1mm 82% 0cm -19° 9.2°C 2.1mm 0.21kPa 13954m 2.6m/s 2.3m/s
22:00
0% 6.3°C 0.09mm 85% 0cm -28° 8.6°C 0.25mm 0.17kPa 23238m 2.5m/s 2.2m/s
23:00
0% 6.3°C 0.89mm 86% 0cm -35° 8.5°C 0.81mm 0.15kPa 14693m 3.1m/s 2.4m/s
Sun, Apr 19 Sunrise 06:00 Sunset 19:19
24:00
0% 6.6°C 1.3mm 89% 0cm -39° 8.3°C 2.3mm 0.12kPa 9471m 3.3m/s 2.2m/s
01:00
0% 6.6°C 0.75mm 92% 0cm -40° 7.9°C 3.5mm 0.09kPa 7530m 4.5m/s 3.6m/s
02:00
0% 6.4°C 0.1mm 95% 0cm -37° 7.1°C 4.1mm 0.05kPa 494m 5.4m/s 4.7m/s
03:00
0% 4.8°C 0.19mm 95% 0cm -30° 5.6°C 4.3mm 0.05kPa 261m 4.8m/s 4.1m/s
04:00
0% 4.7°C 0.07mm 93% 0cm -22° 5.7°C 0.13mm 0.06kPa 12478m 4.2m/s 3.1m/s
05:00
0% 4.5°C 0.25mm 92% 0cm -12° 5.7°C 0.38mm 0.08kPa 12651m 4.1m/s 3.4m/s
06:00
0% 4°C 0.79mm 92% 0cm -0.13° 5.2°C 0.94mm 0.07kPa 5015m 4m/s 3.6m/s
07:00
0% 3.8°C 0.63mm 95% 0cm 11° 4.5°C 1.7mm 0.04kPa 246m 3.9m/s 4m/s
08:00
0% 2.9°C 0.46mm 95% 0cm 23° 3.5°C 2.3mm 0.04kPa 76m 4.5m/s 3.9m/s
09:00
0% 2.3°C 0.36mm 96% 0.37cm 34° 2.9°C 2.7mm 0.03kPa 43m 4.3m/s 3.2m/s
10:00
0% 2.4°C 0.16mm 97% 0.17cm 45° 2.9°C 0.25mm 0.02kPa 32m 4m/s 2.8m/s
11:00
0% 2.5°C 0.03mm 96% 0cm 55° 3.1°C 0.31mm 0.03kPa 34m 3.9m/s 2.4m/s
12:00
0% 2.6°C 0.03mm 95% 0cm 61° 3.3°C 0.38mm 0.04kPa 48m 4m/s 2.3m/s
13:00
0% 2.7°C 0.05mm 94% 0cm 62° 3.5°C 0.44mm 0.04kPa 81m 4.1m/s 2.6m/s
14:00
0% 2.6°C 0.02mm 93% 0cm 57° 3.6°C 0.5mm 0.05kPa 347m 4.3m/s 2.9m/s
15:00
0% 2.8°C 0.01mm 93% 0cm 49° 3.8°C 0.5mm 0.05kPa 3671m 4.4m/s 3m/s
16:00
0% 2.7°C 0.01mm 92% 0cm 38° 3.9°C 0.06mm 0.07kPa 5416m 4.4m/s 2.8m/s
17:00
0% 2.5°C 0.02mm 88% 0cm 26° 4.3°C 0.13mm 0.1kPa 22465m 4m/s 2.7m/s
18:00
0% 2.4°C 0mm 85% 0cm 15° 4.6°C 0.19mm 0.12kPa 24134m 3.5m/s 2.5m/s
19:00
0% 2.1°C 0mm 84% 0cm 3.3° 4.7°C 0.19mm 0.14kPa 24134m 2.6m/s 1.9m/s
20:00
0% 2.3°C 0mm 87% 0cm -8.1° 4.4°C 0.25mm 0.11kPa 24134m 2.5m/s 2m/s
21:00
0% 2.5°C 0mm 92% 0cm -19° 3.8°C 0.25mm 0.07kPa 24134m 2.8m/s 2.3m/s
22:00
12% 2.2°C 0mm 94% 0cm -28° 3.2°C 0mm 0.05kPa 24134m 2.7m/s 2.3m/s
23:00
25% 2.1°C 0mm 94% 0cm -35° 3.1°C 0mm 0.05kPa 24134m 1.7m/s 1.7m/s
Mon, Apr 20 Sunrise 05:59 Sunset 19:20
24:00
37% 1.8°C 0mm 93% 0cm -39° 2.8°C 0mm 0.05kPa 24135m 1.8m/s 1.9m/s
01:00
39% 1.5°C 0mm 93% 0cm -40° 2.5°C 0mm 0.05kPa 24134m 2.1m/s 2.2m/s
02:00
40% 1.5°C 0mm 95% 0cm -37° 2.2°C 0mm 0.03kPa 24135m 2.4m/s 2.3m/s
03:00
42% 1.5°C 0mm 97% 0cm -30° 1.9°C 0mm 0.02kPa 24134m 2.4m/s 2.4m/s
04:00
48% 1.3°C 0mm 98% 0cm -22° 1.7°C 0mm 0.02kPa 24135m 3m/s 2.5m/s
05:00
53% 1°C 0mm 97% 0cm -11° 1.4°C 0mm 0.02kPa 24135m 2.4m/s 2.3m/s
06:00
59% 0.7°C 0mm 96% 0cm 0.16° 1.2°C 0mm 0.02kPa 24134m 2.5m/s 2.4m/s
07:00
57% 1.1°C 0mm 92% 0cm 11° 2.2°C 0mm 0.06kPa 24135m 2.9m/s 2.1m/s
08:00
56% -0.1°C 0mm 76% 0cm 23° 3.8°C 0mm 0.19kPa 24134m 5.2m/s 2.8m/s
09:00
54% -0.7°C 0mm 66% 0cm 34° 5.1°C 0mm 0.3kPa 24134m 4.8m/s 3.5m/s
10:00
54% -0.9°C 0mm 60% 0cm 45° 6.2°C 0mm 0.37kPa 24134m 4.3m/s 3.9m/s
11:00
55% -1°C 0mm 56% 0cm 55° 7.3°C 0mm 0.45kPa 24135m 4m/s 4.2m/s
12:00
55% -1.4°C 0mm 50% 0cm 62° 8.4°C 0mm 0.55kPa 24135m 4.1m/s 4.2m/s
13:00
53% -1.5°C 0mm 47% 0cm 63° 9.4°C 0mm 0.63kPa 24134m 4m/s 4.3m/s
14:00
51% -1.6°C 0mm 44% 0cm 58° 10°C 0mm 0.68kPa 24134m 4.1m/s 4.4m/s
15:00
49% -1.9°C 0mm 42% 0cm 49° 10°C 0mm 0.72kPa 24135m 3.8m/s 3.9m/s
16:00
48% -1.9°C 0mm 41% 0cm 38° 11°C 0mm 0.76kPa 24135m 3.7m/s 3.8m/s
17:00
48% -1.8°C 0mm 42% 0cm 27° 11°C 0mm 0.75kPa 24134m 3.9m/s 4.4m/s
18:00
47% -1.9°C 0mm 43% 0cm 15° 10°C 0mm 0.71kPa 24134m 3.9m/s 4.4m/s
19:00
50% -0.7°C 0mm 50% 0cm 3.5° 9°C 0mm 0.57kPa 24135m 5m/s 3.7m/s
20:00
54% -0.1°C 0mm 58% 0cm -7.9° 7.7°C 0mm 0.45kPa 24135m 4.4m/s 3.1m/s
21:00
57% 0.1°C 0mm 61% 0cm -18° 7.1°C 0mm 0.39kPa 24135m 3.7m/s 2.9m/s
22:00
67% -0.7°C 0mm 62% 0cm -27° 6.1°C 0mm 0.36kPa 24135m 2.9m/s 2.4m/s
23:00
78% -1.5°C 0mm 63% 0cm -35° 5°C 0mm 0.33kPa 24135m 2.1m/s 1.8m/s
Tue, Apr 21 Sunrise 05:57 Sunset 19:21
24:00
88% -2.4°C 0mm 63% 0cm -39° 4°C 0mm 0.3kPa 24135m 1.3m/s 1.3m/s
01:00
89% -2°C 0mm 59% 0cm -39° 5.5°C 0mm 0.37kPa 24135m 1.5m/s 1.4m/s
02:00
91% -1.8°C 0mm 54% 0cm -36° 7°C 0mm 0.46kPa 24135m 1.7m/s 1.5m/s
03:00
92% -1.6°C 0mm 49% 0cm -30° 8.5°C 0mm 0.57kPa 24135m 1.9m/s 1.6m/s
04:00
93% -2.1°C 0mm 44% 0cm -21° 9.6°C 0mm 0.67kPa 24135m 2.1m/s 1.6m/s
05:00
93% -2.9°C 0mm 38% 0cm -11° 11°C 0mm 0.79kPa 24135m 2.2m/s 1.5m/s
06:00
94% -3.8°C 0mm 33% 0cm 0.37° 12°C 0mm 0.93kPa 24135m 2.4m/s 1.4m/s
07:00
94% -3.9°C 0mm 31% 0cm 11° 13°C 0mm 1kPa 24135m 2.8m/s 1.9m/s
08:00
95% -4°C 0mm 30% 0cm 23° 13°C 0mm 1.1kPa 24135m 3.3m/s 2.4m/s
09:00
95% -4.2°C 0mm 28% 0cm 35° 14°C 0mm 1.2kPa 24135m 3.7m/s 2.9m/s
10:00
92% -3.8°C 0mm 29% 0cm 46° 14°C 0mm 1.1kPa 24135m 3.7m/s 3.1m/s
11:00
88% -3.5°C 0mm 30% 0cm 55° 14°C 0mm 1.1kPa 24135m 3.7m/s 3.3m/s
12:00
85% -3.2°C 0mm 31% 0cm 62° 14°C 0mm 1.1kPa 24135m 3.6m/s 3.5m/s
13:00
85% -2.4°C 0mm 36% 0cm 63° 12°C 0mm 0.93kPa 24135m 3m/s 2.9m/s
14:00
84% -1.8°C 0mm 40% 0cm 58° 11°C 0mm 0.79kPa 24135m 2.4m/s 2.3m/s
15:00
84% -1.4°C 0mm 45% 0cm 49° 9.9°C 0mm 0.67kPa 24135m 1.8m/s 1.8m/s
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

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