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Rule Fog Hunter

Mustafapaşa - Fog Hunter - Cappadocia

Mustafapaşa, Nevşehir Province, Türkiye

Thick, moody fog for atmospheric forest and landscape shots

Currently

Real-time conditions
Dewpoint Spread6.0°C
Visibility19473 (Clear)
Relative Humidity66%
Wind Speed3.3m/s (calm conditions)

Upcoming Opportunities

When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.

Times shown in Europe/Istanbul
fog weather icon
Next opportunity
Moderate Fog
Mustafapaşa
Sat, Apr 11 · 21:00–22:00 · 1h window
Medium confidence
48%
🌫️Fog Probability83.6%
Dewpoint Spread: 0.4°C
Visibility: 118 (Dense fog)
Relative Humidity: 97%
Wind Speed: 2.9m/s (calm conditions)
fog weather icon
Dense Fog
Mustafapaşa
Tue, Apr 14 · 12:00–13:00
🌫️Fog Probability:90.5%
Medium

What this forecast looks for

Plain-language explanation from the rule

This forecast predicts when temperature inversions and fog conditions create ethereal scenes in Cappadocia's volcanic valleys. We track overnight cooling, humidity, wind speed, and topography to identify when fog fills valleys between fairy chimneys while hot air balloons and rock formations emerge above.

Cappadocia's distinctive topography—deep volcanic valleys carved between fairy chimney formations and elevated rock citadels—creates perfect conditions for fog inversions. The combination of hot air balloons floating through mist layers, ancient cave dwellings emerging from fog, and fairy chimneys rising like islands from a sea of white creates photography opportunities found nowhere else on earth.

What makes Cappadocia fog photography special:

  • Balloons through mist - Hot air balloons emerging from or floating through fog layers at dawn create magical compositions
  • Fairy chimney islands - Tall rock formations piercing fog-filled valleys while their bases remain hidden
  • Castle rock views - Uçhisar and Ortahisar castles rise above fog inversions for elevated perspective shots
  • Underground city atmosphere - Fog pooling around ancient Derinkuyu and other underground city entrances adds mystery

Göreme valley becomes otherworldly when fog fills the spaces between fairy chimneys while balloons ascend through mist layers—the combination of geological wonder, atmospheric conditions, and colorful balloons is unique globally. Uçhisar Castle's 60-meter rock fortress provides elevated views above fog inversions, with fairy chimney valleys disappearing into white below. Rose Valley and Love Valley develop atmospheric mystery when fog drifts through their distinctive formations at dawn. Çavuşin's abandoned cliff village appears even more ghostly when fog shrouds its lower levels. Pigeon Valley's hundreds of carved dovecotes emerge from mist like secrets being revealed. Best conditions occur on clear, calm autumn and winter nights when valley temperatures drop while elevated areas remain clear. Early morning is crucial—fog typically burns off within hours of sunrise as temperatures rise.

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72-hour requirements breakdown

What passed or failed, hour by hour
0matching hours in the next 95 hours
AND logic: all conditions required
Meets requirement
Misses requirement
Time
Europe/Istanbul
Fog Probability
≥ 60.0%
Sat, Apr 4
20:000%
21:000%
22:000%
23:000%
Sun, Apr 5
24:000%
01:000%
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03:000%
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Mon, Apr 6
24:000%
01:000%
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Tue, Apr 7
24:000%
01:000%
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07:000%
08:000%
09:000%
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Wed, Apr 8
24:000%
01:000%
02:000%
03:000%
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18:000%
How to read: colored cells show whether each predicate requirement is met; highlighted rows mean the full rule matched (an opportunity).

What does Fog Probability mean?

Inputs that drive the score

This derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.

Time
Europe/Istanbul
Clear Sky Probability (Ensemble)
%
Dew Point
°C
Rainfall
mm
Relative Humidity
%
Snowfall
cm
Solar Elevation
°
Temperature
°C
Total Precipitation
mm
Vapor Pressure Deficit
kPa
Visibility
m
Wind Gusts
m/s
Wind Speed
m/s
Sun, Apr 5 Sunrise 06:19 Sunset 19:07
20:00
5% 2.7°C 0mm 66% 0cm -11° 8.7°C 1.5mm 0.38kPa 19473m 6m/s 3.3m/s
21:00
5% 3.1°C 0mm 71% 0cm -22° 8.1°C 1.6mm 0.32kPa 24135m 3.5m/s 1.8m/s
22:00
12% 3.2°C 0mm 74% 0cm -31° 7.7°C 0mm 0.28kPa 24134m 1.7m/s 1.2m/s
23:00
19% 3.2°C 0mm 75% 0cm -39° 7.2°C 0mm 0.25kPa 24134m 2.2m/s 1.9m/s
Mon, Apr 6 Sunrise 06:19 Sunset 19:07
24:00
26% 2.8°C 0mm 77% 0cm -44° 6.5°C 0mm 0.22kPa 24135m 6.2m/s 3.7m/s
01:00
29% 2.5°C 0mm 79% 0cm -45° 5.8°C 0mm 0.19kPa 24135m 6.1m/s 3.6m/s
02:00
33% 2.4°C 0mm 81% 0cm -42° 5.3°C 0mm 0.17kPa 24135m 6.2m/s 3.8m/s
03:00
36% 2.3°C 0mm 85% 0cm -35° 4.6°C 0mm 0.13kPa 24134m 6.8m/s 4.1m/s
04:00
46% 2.2°C 0mm 87% 0cm -26° 4.1°C 0mm 0.1kPa 24135m 6.3m/s 3.8m/s
05:00
56% 2.1°C 0mm 89% 0cm -16° 3.7°C 0mm 0.09kPa 24135m 5.7m/s 3.7m/s
06:00
66% 1.8°C 0mm 90% 0cm -4.2° 3.3°C 0mm 0.08kPa 24135m 4.8m/s 3.4m/s
07:00
69% 1.7°C 0mm 89% 0cm 7.5° 3.3°C 0mm 0.09kPa 24135m 4.5m/s 3.1m/s
08:00
71% 1.2°C 0mm 79% 0cm 19° 4.5°C 0mm 0.18kPa 24134m 4.4m/s 3.6m/s
09:00
74% 0.9°C 0mm 71% 0cm 31° 5.8°C 0mm 0.27kPa 24134m 4.3m/s 3.7m/s
10:00
78% 0.8°C 0mm 65% 0cm 41° 7°C 0mm 0.35kPa 24135m 4.2m/s 4m/s
11:00
83% 1°C 0mm 60% 0cm 50° 8.2°C 0mm 0.43kPa 24134m 4.3m/s 4.3m/s
12:00
87% 0.8°C 0mm 56% 0cm 57° 9.2°C 0mm 0.51kPa 24134m 4.3m/s 4.3m/s
13:00
85% 0.7°C 0mm 52% 0cm 58° 10°C 0mm 0.59kPa 24134m 4.1m/s 4.3m/s
14:00
84% 0.5°C 0mm 48% 0cm 54° 11°C 0mm 0.67kPa 24135m 3.9m/s 4.5m/s
15:00
82% 0°C 0mm 45% 0cm 45° 12°C 0mm 0.75kPa 24134m 3.8m/s 4.7m/s
16:00
67% -0.8°C 0mm 42% 0cm 35° 12°C 0mm 0.8kPa 24134m 3.9m/s 4.4m/s
17:00
51% -1.4°C 0mm 40% 0cm 24° 12°C 0mm 0.81kPa 24135m 4.2m/s 4.1m/s
18:00
36% -0.8°C 0mm 44% 0cm 13° 11°C 0mm 0.73kPa 24134m 5.1m/s 5.8m/s
19:00
40% 1.3°C 0mm 58% 0cm 1.2° 9.2°C 0mm 0.49kPa 24135m 7.1m/s 5.5m/s
20:00
45% 1.7°C 0mm 64% 0cm -11° 8.1°C 0.06mm 0.39kPa 24134m 7.3m/s 4.9m/s
21:00
49% 1.7°C 0mm 69% 0cm -21° 7°C 0.06mm 0.31kPa 24134m 6.2m/s 3.8m/s
22:00
63% 1.7°C 0mm 71% 0cm -31° 6.5°C 0mm 0.28kPa 24135m 4.2m/s 3m/s
23:00
77% 1.5°C 0mm 72% 0cm -39° 6.1°C 0mm 0.26kPa 24135m 3.2m/s 2.6m/s
Tue, Apr 7 Sunrise 06:18 Sunset 19:08
24:00
91% 1.2°C 0mm 72% 0cm -44° 5.8°C 0mm 0.25kPa 24134m 2.4m/s 2.3m/s
01:00
91% 1.1°C 0mm 74% 0cm -45° 5.4°C 0mm 0.24kPa 24135m 2.1m/s 2.1m/s
02:00
92% 1°C 0mm 75% 0cm -41° 5.1°C 0mm 0.22kPa 24135m 1.9m/s 2m/s
03:00
92% 0.8°C 0mm 75% 0cm -35° 4.8°C 0mm 0.21kPa 24135m 2.1m/s 2.2m/s
04:00
94% 0.8°C 0mm 76% 0cm -26° 4.5°C 0mm 0.2kPa 24135m 2.2m/s 2.3m/s
05:00
96% 0.6°C 0mm 78% 0cm -15° 4.2°C 0mm 0.18kPa 24134m 2.2m/s 2.3m/s
06:00
98% 0.4°C 0mm 79% 0cm -3.9° 3.8°C 0mm 0.17kPa 24135m 2.2m/s 2.2m/s
07:00
98% 0.7°C 0mm 78% 0cm 7.7° 4.2°C 0mm 0.18kPa 24134m 2.1m/s 2m/s
08:00
98% 0.4°C 0mm 68% 0cm 19° 5.8°C 0mm 0.29kPa 24134m 2.5m/s 1.9m/s
09:00
98% -0.4°C 0mm 59% 0cm 31° 7.1°C 0mm 0.41kPa 24134m 2.9m/s 2m/s
10:00
97% -1.2°C 0mm 51% 0cm 42° 8.3°C 0mm 0.53kPa 24134m 2.8m/s 2.1m/s
11:00
97% -1.9°C 0mm 45% 0cm 51° 9.3°C 0mm 0.64kPa 24135m 3m/s 2.4m/s
12:00
96% -2.5°C 0mm 40% 0cm 57° 10°C 0mm 0.75kPa 24134m 3.1m/s 2.9m/s
13:00
90% -2.9°C 0mm 37% 0cm 58° 11°C 0mm 0.85kPa 24135m 3.7m/s 3.7m/s
14:00
84% -3.1°C 0mm 34% 0cm 54° 12°C 0mm 0.93kPa 24135m 4.5m/s 4.5m/s
15:00
78% -3.2°C 0mm 33% 0cm 46° 13°C 0mm 0.97kPa 24135m 5.1m/s 4.7m/s
16:00
71% -2.8°C 0mm 34% 0cm 36° 13°C 0mm 0.96kPa 24135m 6.2m/s 5.1m/s
17:00
63% -2.3°C 0mm 36% 0cm 24° 13°C 0mm 0.94kPa 24134m 6.5m/s 5.4m/s
18:00
56% -1.7°C 0mm 39% 0cm 13° 12°C 0mm 0.86kPa 24134m 7.1m/s 6.7m/s
19:00
63% -0.5°C 0mm 46% 0cm 1.3° 11°C 0mm 0.7kPa 24134m 8m/s 6.3m/s
20:00
71% -0.3°C 0mm 50% 0cm -10° 9.5°C 0mm 0.59kPa 24134m 8.7m/s 5.2m/s
21:00
78% -0.2°C 0mm 52% 0cm -21° 9.1°C 0mm 0.55kPa 24134m 8.4m/s 4.2m/s
22:00
82% -0.5°C 0mm 52% 0cm -31° 8.6°C 0mm 0.53kPa 24135m 8m/s 3.9m/s
23:00
86% -1.3°C 0mm 52% 0cm -39° 8.1°C 0mm 0.52kPa 24135m 7.4m/s 3.6m/s
Wed, Apr 8 Sunrise 06:16 Sunset 19:09
24:00
90% -1.9°C 0mm 51% 0cm -43° 7.6°C 0mm 0.51kPa 24135m 5.5m/s 3.1m/s
01:00
86% -2°C 0mm 52% 0cm -44° 7.2°C 0mm 0.49kPa 24134m 4.5m/s 2.8m/s
02:00
81% -2°C 0mm 53% 0cm -41° 6.9°C 0mm 0.47kPa 24135m 5.5m/s 2.9m/s
03:00
77% -1.8°C 0mm 55% 0cm -34° 6.6°C 0mm 0.44kPa 24135m 7.1m/s 3.5m/s
04:00
69% -1.3°C 0mm 49% 0cm -25° 8.8°C 0mm 0.57kPa 24135m 8.3m/s 4.8m/s
05:00
60% -1.1°C 0mm 43% 0cm -15° 11°C 0mm 0.74kPa 24135m 9.6m/s 6.1m/s
06:00
52% -1.1°C 0mm 38% 0cm -3.6° 13°C 0mm 0.93kPa 24135m 11m/s 7.4m/s
07:00
46% -0.9°C 0.003mm 38% 0cm 13°C 0mm 0.93kPa 24135m 11m/s 7.9m/s
08:00
39% -0.7°C 0.007mm 39% 0cm 20° 13°C 0mm 0.92kPa 24135m 11m/s 8.5m/s
09:00
33% -0.6°C 0.01mm 39% 0cm 31° 13°C 0mm 0.92kPa 24135m 11m/s 9m/s
10:00
25% 2.3°C 0.21mm 57% 0cm 42° 11°C 0.17mm 0.55kPa 16603m 11m/s 9.2m/s
11:00
17% 3.8°C 0.42mm 74% 0cm 51° 8.1°C 0.33mm 0.28kPa 9071m 12m/s 9.3m/s
12:00
9% 4.4°C 0.62mm 92% 0cm 57° 5.7°C 0.5mm 0.08kPa 1539m 12m/s 9.5m/s
13:00
7% 3.5°C 0.56mm 93% 0.15cm 58° 4.5°C 1.8mm 0.06kPa 1057m 11m/s 7.3m/s
14:00
5% 2.5°C 0.5mm 94% 0.3cm 54° 3.4°C 3.1mm 0.05kPa 575m 11m/s 5.1m/s
15:00
3% 1.6°C 0.44mm 95% 0.45cm 46° 2.2°C 4.4mm 0.03kPa 94m 10m/s 2.9m/s
16:00
2% 1.1°C 0.31mm 89% 0.3cm 36° 2.7°C 3.1mm 0.08kPa 8107m 9.2m/s 4m/s
17:00
1% 0.5°C 0.19mm 82% 0.15cm 25° 3.2°C 1.9mm 0.14kPa 16121m 8.4m/s 5m/s
18:00
0% -0.2°C 0.06mm 75% 0cm 13° 3.7°C 0.56mm 0.2kPa 24135m 7.5m/s 6.1m/s
19:00
0% -0.8°C 0.04mm 76% 0cm 1.5° 3°C 0.58mm 0.18kPa 24135m 6.2m/s 5m/s
How to read: these inputs help produce the derived score; they are not requirements by themselves.

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