Dramatic Seascapes Forecast for Carmel, California Coast
Carmel’s pale crescent beach curves beneath cypress-covered bluffs, with Point Lobos rocks and marine fog shaping simple coastal silhouettes.
Currently
Real-time conditionsUpcoming Opportunities
When all conditions match, PhotoWeather marks an opportunity window.
No opportunities in the next 14 days
See which requirements block the most forecast hours below.
Most common blockers (88-hour forecast)
- Coastal Drama Score100% of hours
How this forecast is evaluated
See which weather signals PhotoWeather uses to identify Dramatic Seascapes conditions across California Coast. The requirements and hourly values below show how those signals apply at Carmel.
Explore Dramatic Seascapes conditions across California Coast →Recorded match history
Completed PhotoWeather forecast matches recorded for this exact rule at Carmel during the last 365 days.
January, with 19 of 19 matches recorded in the last 365 days.
These figures use completed PhotoWeather MatchEvent records from the previous 365 days only. They describe recorded forecast matches, not observations, climatological probability, or a guarantee of future conditions.
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88-hour requirements breakdown
When available, the detailed table below covers only the stated 88-hour horizon (typically 72–168 hours, depending on available hourly data). Opportunity records above span the next 14 days, so this table does not explain that entire 14-day period.
Time America/Los_Angeles | Coastal Drama Score ≥ 45.0% |
|---|---|
| Sat, Sep 5 | |
| 21:00 | 10% |
| 22:00 | 11% |
| 23:00 | 12% |
| Sun, Sep 6 | |
| 24:00 | 12% |
| 01:00 | 9.9% |
| 02:00 | 9.9% |
| 03:00 | 8.5% |
| 04:00 | 6.8% |
| 05:00 | 8.2% |
| 06:00 | 7.3% |
| 07:00 | 7.4% |
| 08:00 | 7.4% |
| 09:00 | 11% |
| 10:00 | 11% |
| 11:00 | 8.9% |
| 12:00 | 7.5% |
| 13:00 | 21% |
| 14:00 | 21% |
| 15:00 | 20% |
| 16:00 | 24% |
| 17:00 | 24% |
| 18:00 | 24% |
| 19:00 | 24% |
| 20:00 | 24% |
| 21:00 | 22% |
| 22:00 | 22% |
| 23:00 | 13% |
| Mon, Sep 7 | |
| 24:00 | 13% |
| 01:00 | 17% |
| 02:00 | 17% |
| 03:00 | 17% |
| 04:00 | 17% |
| 05:00 | 17% |
| 06:00 | 13% |
| 07:00 | 11% |
| 08:00 | 6.1% |
| 09:00 | 6.1% |
| 10:00 | 8.4% |
| 11:00 | 8.4% |
| 12:00 | 8.4% |
| 13:00 | 8.4% |
| 14:00 | 6.1% |
| 15:00 | 8.4% |
| 16:00 | 7.8% |
| 17:00 | 7.9% |
| 18:00 | 7.9% |
| 19:00 | 7.8% |
| 20:00 | 7.8% |
| 21:00 | 8.4% |
| 22:00 | 6.1% |
| 23:00 | 6.1% |
| Tue, Sep 8 | |
| 24:00 | 6.1% |
| 01:00 | 6.1% |
| 02:00 | 7.5% |
| 03:00 | 11% |
| 04:00 | 8.5% |
| 05:00 | 11% |
| 06:00 | 12% |
| 07:00 | 16% |
| 08:00 | 9.7% |
| 09:00 | 12% |
| 10:00 | 12% |
| 11:00 | 12% |
| 12:00 | 12% |
| 13:00 | 11% |
| 14:00 | 11% |
| 15:00 | 11% |
| 16:00 | 12% |
| 17:00 | 10% |
| 18:00 | 5.5% |
| 19:00 | 8.4% |
| 20:00 | 11% |
| 21:00 | 8.4% |
| 22:00 | 14% |
| 23:00 | 15% |
| Wed, Sep 9 | |
| 24:00 | 18% |
| 01:00 | 18% |
| 02:00 | 21% |
| 03:00 | 21% |
| 04:00 | 21% |
| 05:00 | 19% |
| 06:00 | 27% |
| 07:00 | 27% |
| 08:00 | 22% |
| 09:00 | 28% |
| 10:00 | 28% |
| 11:00 | 24% |
| 12:00 | 27% |
What does Coastal Drama Score mean?
Inputs that drive the scoreThis derived score summarizes multiple raw weather signals. The table below shows the supporting inputs hour by hour, so you can see what's pushing the score up or down.
| Time America/Los_Angeles | High Clouds % | Low Clouds % | Mid-Level Clouds % | Primary Swell Height m | Primary Wave Direction ° | Significant Wave Height m | Total Cloud Coverage % | Wind Direction ° | Wind Gusts m/s | Wind Speed m/s | Wind Wave Height m | Wind Wave Period s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Sep 6
Sunrise 06:43
Sunset 19:28 | ||||||||||||
| 14:00 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.38m | 117° | 1.3m | 0% | 326° | 6.9m/s | 4.9m/s | 1.2m | 5.4s |
| 15:00 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.28m | 111° | 1.5m | 0% | 331° | 6.6m/s | 3.9m/s | 1.4m | 5.5s |
| 16:00 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.19m | 105° | 1.6m | 0% | 330° | 7.6m/s | 4.2m/s | 1.6m | 5.7s |
| 17:00
☾
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.09m | 99° | 1.8m | 0% | 329° | 8.7m/s | 4.8m/s | 1.8m | 5.8s |
| 18:00
☾
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.09m | 94° | 1.8m | 0% | 330° | 9.3m/s | 4.9m/s | 1.8m | 5.8s |
| 19:00
☾
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.09m | 90° | 1.8m | 0% | 324° | 8.9m/s | 4.2m/s | 1.8m | 5.8s |
| 20:00
☾
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.09m | 86° | 1.7m | 0% | 323° | 8.2m/s | 3.3m/s | 1.7m | 5.8s |
| 21:00
☾
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.13m | 84° | 1.6m | 0% | 327° | 8.1m/s | 3.7m/s | 1.6m | 5.7s |
| 22:00
☾
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.16m | 82° | 1.6m | 0% | 330° | 7.3m/s | 4.7m/s | 1.5m | 5.6s |
| 23:00
☾
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.2m | 80° | 1.5m | 0% | 347° | 5.6m/s | 4.5m/s | 1.5m | 5.6s |
| Mon, Sep 7
Sunrise 06:44
Sunset 19:26 | ||||||||||||
| 24:00
☾
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.23m | 79° | 1.5m | 0% | 356° | 4.9m/s | 3.9m/s | 1.4m | 5.6s |
| 01:00
☾
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.25m | 78° | 1.4m | 0% | 350° | 5.5m/s | 4.1m/s | 1.4m | 5.6s |
| 02:00
☾
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.28m | 77° | 1.4m | 0% | 340° | 5.6m/s | 4.4m/s | 1.4m | 5.6s |
| 03:00
☾
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.27m | 75° | 1.4m | 0% | 348° | 5.1m/s | 4.1m/s | 1.3m | 5.5s |
| 04:00
☾
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.27m | 74° | 1.3m | 0% | 0° | 4.5m/s | 3.7m/s | 1.2m | 5.3s |
| 05:00
☾
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.26m | 72° | 1.2m | 0% | 359° | 4.2m/s | 3.7m/s | 1.1m | 5.2s |
| 06:00
☾
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.22m | 69° | 1.1m | 0% | 360° | 4.3m/s | 3.9m/s | 1.1m | 5.1s |
| 07:00 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.19m | 66° | 1m | 0% | 6° | 4.1m/s | 3.7m/s | 0.99m | 5s |
| 08:00 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.15m | 63° | 0.96m | 0% | 6° | 3.8m/s | 3.6m/s | 0.93m | 4.8s |
| 09:00 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.22m | 61° | 0.93m | 0% | 0° | 4.4m/s | 4.4m/s | 0.88m | 4.8s |
| 10:00 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.28m | 60° | 0.9m | 0% | 355° | 4.6m/s | 4.7m/s | 0.83m | 4.7s |
| 11:00 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.35m | 58° | 0.87m | 0% | 345° | 4.5m/s | 4.3m/s | 0.78m | 4.7s |
| 12:00 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.31m | 57° | 0.81m | 0% | 332° | 4.8m/s | 4.5m/s | 0.73m | 4.5s |
| 13:00 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.27m | 56° | 0.74m | 0% | 325° | 5m/s | 4.5m/s | 0.69m | 4.4s |
| 14:00 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.23m | 55° | 0.68m | 0% | 312° | 4.7m/s | 4.2m/s | 0.64m | 4.3s |
| 15:00 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.28m | 54° | 0.65m | 0% | 303° | 4m/s | 3.4m/s | 0.56m | 4.2s |
| 16:00 | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0.34m | 53° | 0.61m | 1% | 308° | 4.1m/s | 3.2m/s | 0.48m | 4.1s |
| 17:00
☾
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.39m | 52° | 0.58m | 0% | 305° | 3.6m/s | 2.6m/s | 0.4m | 4.1s |
| 18:00
☾
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.37m | 63° | 0.58m | 0% | 323° | 2.6m/s | 2m/s | 0.43m | 3.8s |
| 19:00
☾
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.34m | 73° | 0.59m | 0% | 334° | 2.5m/s | 1.8m/s | 0.45m | 3.6s |
| 20:00
☾
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.32m | 83° | 0.59m | 0% | 1° | 1.8m/s | 1.7m/s | 0.48m | 3.4s |
| 21:00
☾
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.27m | 95° | 0.65m | 0% | 359° | 1.9m/s | 1.8m/s | 0.57m | 3.5s |
| 22:00
☾
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.22m | 107° | 0.71m | 0% | 11° | 2.2m/s | 2m/s | 0.65m | 3.6s |
| 23:00
☾
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.17m | 119° | 0.77m | 0% | 15° | 2.2m/s | 2.1m/s | 0.74m | 3.8s |
| Tue, Sep 8
Sunrise 06:44
Sunset 19:25 | ||||||||||||
| 24:00
☾
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.14m | 118° | 0.75m | 0% | 10° | 2.1m/s | 2m/s | 0.73m | 3.8s |
| 01:00
☾
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.12m | 118° | 0.73m | 0% | 15° | 2.1m/s | 2.1m/s | 0.71m | 3.8s |
| 02:00
☾
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.09m | 118° | 0.71m | 0% | 354° | 1.8m/s | 1.7m/s | 0.7m | 3.8s |
| 03:00
☾
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.25m | 122° | 0.7m | 0% | 316° | 1.4m/s | 1.3m/s | 0.65m | 3.9s |
| 04:00
☾
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.4m | 126° | 0.68m | 0% | 7° | 1.3m/s | 1.3m/s | 0.59m | 4s |
| 05:00
☾
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0.56m | 131° | 0.67m | 0% | 23° | 2.4m/s | 2.3m/s | 0.54m | 4s |
| 06:00
☾
| 98% | 0% | 0% | 0.53m | 140° | 0.64m | 98% | 19° | 1.9m/s | 1.9m/s | 0.39m | 4.3s |
| 07:00 | 32% | 0% | 0% | 0.5m | 148° | 0.62m | 32% | 3° | 2.2m/s | 2.2m/s | 0.25m | 4.7s |
| 08:00 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0.47m | 157° | 0.59m | 100% | 6° | 2m/s | 2m/s | 0.1m | 5s |
| 09:00 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0.47m | 159° | 0.58m | 100% | 357° | 2.1m/s | 2.2m/s | 0.11m | 5.3s |
| 10:00 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0.46m | 161° | 0.56m | 100% | 359° | 2.4m/s | 2.4m/s | 0.13m | 5.7s |
| 11:00 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0.46m | 163° | 0.55m | 100% | 335° | 2.1m/s | 2.1m/s | 0.14m | 6s |
| 12:00 | 99% | 0% | 0% | 0.42m | 159° | 0.52m | 99% | 336° | 2m/s | 2m/s | 0.17m | 6.4s |
| 13:00 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0.38m | 155° | 0.5m | 100% | 307° | 2.2m/s | 2.1m/s | 0.21m | 6.8s |
| 14:00 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0.34m | 152° | 0.47m | 100% | 306° | 2.1m/s | 2m/s | 0.24m | 7.2s |
| 15:00 | 100% | 0% | 18% | 0.31m | 147° | 0.44m | 100% | 317° | 2.3m/s | 2.1m/s | 0.23m | 8s |
| 16:00 | 100% | 0% | 10% | 0.27m | 142° | 0.42m | 100% | 329° | 2.6m/s | 2.3m/s | 0.22m | 8.7s |
| 17:00
☾
| 100% | 0% | 14% | 0.24m | 137° | 0.39m | 100% | 314° | 1.9m/s | 1.7m/s | 0.21m | 9.5s |
| 18:00
☾
| 100% | 0% | 81% | 0.24m | 183° | 0.52m | 100% | 293° | 1.7m/s | 1.8m/s | 0.38m | 7.5s |
| 19:00
☾
| 100% | 0% | 81% | 0.25m | 229° | 0.66m | 100% | 325° | 1.8m/s | 1.7m/s | 0.55m | 5.5s |
| 20:00
☾
| 100% | 0% | 98% | 0.25m | 275° | 0.79m | 100% | 26° | 2.7m/s | 2.7m/s | 0.72m | 3.4s |
| 21:00
☾
| 100% | 0% | 100% | 0.24m | 274° | 0.9m | 100% | 15° | 3.2m/s | 3.1m/s | 0.84m | 3.6s |
| 22:00
☾
| 100% | 0% | 100% | 0.22m | 274° | 1m | 100% | 25° | 4.5m/s | 4.5m/s | 0.96m | 3.8s |
| 23:00
☾
| 100% | 0% | 100% | 0.21m | 273° | 1.1m | 100% | 21° | 5.7m/s | 5.5m/s | 1.1m | 4s |
| Wed, Sep 9
Sunrise 06:45
Sunset 19:23 | ||||||||||||
| 24:00
☾
| 92% | 0% | 73% | 0.2m | 275° | 1.1m | 92% | 22° | 5.3m/s | 5.1m/s | 1.1m | 4.1s |
| 01:00
☾
| 83% | 0% | 46% | 0.18m | 277° | 1.1m | 85% | 23° | 4.8m/s | 4.7m/s | 1.1m | 4.1s |
| 02:00
☾
| 75% | 0% | 18% | 0.17m | 278° | 1.2m | 77% | 24° | 4.3m/s | 4.3m/s | 1.1m | 4.2s |
| 03:00
☾
| 76% | 0% | 15% | 0.16m | 277° | 1.3m | 78% | 19° | 4.4m/s | 4.4m/s | 1.3m | 4.3s |
| 04:00
☾
| 77% | 0% | 12% | 0.16m | 276° | 1.4m | 79% | 15° | 4.5m/s | 4.5m/s | 1.3m | 4.4s |
| 05:00
☾
| 79% | 0% | 8% | 0.15m | 275° | 1.5m | 79% | 10° | 4.6m/s | 4.5m/s | 1.4m | 4.5s |
| 06:00
☾
| 54% | 2% | 38% | 0.15m | 276° | 1.5m | 86% | 8° | 5.1m/s | 4.7m/s | 1.5m | 4.6s |
| 07:00 | 30% | 3% | 68% | 0.15m | 276° | 1.6m | 92% | 6° | 5.6m/s | 4.8m/s | 1.6m | 4.7s |
| 08:00 | 5% | 5% | 98% | 0.15m | 277° | 1.6m | 98% | 4° | 6.1m/s | 4.9m/s | 1.6m | 4.8s |
| 09:00 | 4% | 3% | 67% | 0.15m | 276° | 1.6m | 67% | 20° | 4.7m/s | 3.6m/s | 1.6m | 4.8s |
| 10:00 | 2% | 2% | 36% | 0.16m | 275° | 1.6m | 36% | 35° | 3.2m/s | 2.4m/s | 1.6m | 4.7s |
| 11:00 | 1% | 0% | 5% | 0.16m | 274° | 1.5m | 5% | 50° | 1.7m/s | 1.2m/s | 1.5m | 4.7s |
| 12:00 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0.16m | 276° | 1.5m | 3% | 81° | 2.1m/s | 1.7m/s | 1.5m | 4.6s |
| 13:00 | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0.16m | 278° | 1.5m | 2% | 112° | 2.5m/s | 2.2m/s | 1.4m | 4.6s |
How this forecast is made
Opportunities are threshold-based signals: PhotoWeather checks whether forecast conditions match the rules for a photography scenario. They are planning guidance, not guarantees. Forecasts can change as new model runs arrive, and confidence generally decreases farther into the forecast horizon, so recheck conditions before travelling.
The weather forecast foundation comes through Open-Meteo , which aggregates models from weather agencies. PhotoWeather applies condition-specific thresholds and derived calculations; not every condition uses every model or data input.
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